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June 12, 1992 - Image 36

Resource type:
Text
Publication:
The Detroit Jewish News, 1992-06-12

Disclaimer: Computer generated plain text may have errors. Read more about this.

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=I I I I I I I

Every presidential election
cycle is accompanied by
grandiose forecasts that the
Jewish vote will somehow be
pivotal to the outcome.
But in 1992, those predic-
tions could prove accurate,
thanks to the surprising
candidacy of Texas
billionaire Ross Perot.
With the possibility of a
tight three-way race in
November, Jewish get-out-
the-vote efforts, already be-
ing planned by a number of
Jewish groups, could have a
dramatic impact on the elec-
tion.
"If Perot wins Texas and
California, the only way
(President George) Bush can
win is if he wins New York,
Pennsylvania and several
other big states," said polit-
ical historian Allan J.
Lichtman, an expert in polit-
ical prognostication. "And
the Jewish vote could turn
those states."
The Republican party has
already recognized this
change in the presidential
calculus.
"(Secretary of State
James) Baker has met with
the Jewish leadership more
in the past three months
than he did in the previous
three years," said a leading
pro-Israel activist this week.
"Clearly, the importance of
the Jewish community — at
least in a political sense —
has increased of late."
Arkansas Gov. Bill Clin-
ton's Jewish problem is
compounded by the fact that
in a three-way race, strategy
demands that he shift to the
left —leaving Mr. Perot and
President Bush to split up
the conservative vote. Gov.
Clinton's strategists are fac-
ed with the uncomfortable
reality that the things the
candidate must do in a three-
way race will in all
likelihood damage efforts to
attract large numbers of
Jewish votes.
The Clinton campaign re-
cently took steps to bolster
its effort among Jewish
voters. Sarah Ehrman, a
longtime Washington ac-
tivist with a varied Jewish
resume, will be moving to
Little Rock in the next few
weeks to beef up the cam-
paign's grass-roots effort —
especially in the Jewish
community.
Ms. Ehrman was a founder
of the successful grass-roots
network of the American-
Israel Public Affairs Com-
mittee (AIPAC). At the same
time, she is on the board of

Americans for Peace Now.
Ms. Ehrman is a longtime
friend of Gov. Clinton's wife,
Hilary, whose presence in
the campaign continues to
grow.
Ms. Ehrman will comple-
ment Karen Adler, who re-
cently took over the Jewish
portfolio after a struggle
over the shape of the can-
didate's Jewish campaign
Ms. Adler — whose strength
is primarily among the New
York-based big-money Jew-
ish community — will focus
more on planning for the up-
coming convention, while
Ms. Ehrman will will focus
more on organizing the Jew-
ish pro-Clinton effort around
the country.
The biggest wild card in
the deck involves Jewish
support for Mr. Perot.
"Jews, more than most
groups, demand content
from their candidates," sal?
Mr. Lichtman. "So far, Per
has not obliged."
Nevertheless, son_
California primary exit polir_
showed that more than a
quarter of the Jews who
voted in the Democratic
primary would have pre
ferred voting for Mr. Perot —
less than the number for
non-Jewish Democrats, but
still worrisome to Jewish
Democratic leaders.
"More and more, I hear
friends who are talking seri-
ously about Perot," said a
Jewish Democratic activist.
"The Jewish leadership is
al-most entirely backing
Clinton. But I think we're
going to see a situation
where Jewish voters are just
as susceptible to the Perot
phenomenon as the rest of
the electorate."

.

Mixed Results
In California

T

uesday's primary elec-
tions represented
mixed news for pro-
Israel groups.
In California, a big in-
vestment by pro-Israel ac-
tivists in the Senate cam-
paign of Rep. Mel Levine did
not pay off; despite his huge
bankroll and aggressive
advertising, Mr. Levine
came in third behind Rep.
Barbara Boxer, the winner
of the Democratic primary,
and Lt. Gov. Leo McCarthy.
Mr. Levine was apparentl y
hurt by his attack ads, an:
by the strong wave of sup
port for women candidates in
the wake of the Clarence

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