The Michigan Daily-Tuesday, November 11, 1980-Page 9
Michigan starts second season Saturday
p rduRe first
of two obig
Obstacles'
By ALAN FANGER
The preliminaries have been' done
1 away with. All the worry, the
speculation on what might or might not
happen, the cautious optimism that
permeated every press conference or
luncheon that Bo Schembechler, Earle
Bruce and Jim Young spoke at during
the first nine games of the 1980, is gone
now.
One, two, just like that. That fab led
"second season" of Big Ten football,
-once titled the "one-game season" but
:changed to _accommodate, a newcomer
to the chase; will last ones week and
about three hours long.
Michigan and Purdue, each un-
defeated in the conference and peaking
after pairs ofhearly losses, square off in
a nationally-televised contest at 12:25
p.m. Saturday in Michigan Stadium. If
the Wolverines fall to Mark Herrmann
and the explosive Boilermakers, they
'will put themselves, for all practical
purposes, out of contention for the Big
New Year's Day (see related story and
table).
Purdue faces a slightly different
situation. While a loss would put the
Boilermakers out of the running for the
roses, a tie would keep a glimmer of
hope in their camp. Purdue would then
need a Michigan victory over Ohio
State to earn the trip out West.
AMichigan win this Saturday, of
course, would set the Wolverines up for
tyet another season-ending showdown in
Columbus against the Buckeyes, whom
they would also have to defeat to get the
bid.
It all adds up to quite a bit of ex-
citement and anticipation for the three
teams and their fans.
As for Schembechler, it's just another
trip into the pressure cooker.
"This is a key game," he said, getting
Sthe media to believe him for the first
time in a few weeks. "This is it-the ,
next two weeks are it. I don't know how
these games are going to go," he told
reporters at yesterday's media lun-
cheon.
"The question," he' said 'with a great
deal of candor, "is whether we're really
good enough."
Good enough to stop Mark Herrmann,
that is. The Boilermakers live and die
by the efforts of their Heisman trophy-
contending quarterback, and most of
the time they have lived. And lived
well.
Herrmann toyed with the Iowa
secondary last Saturday, riddling the
Hawkeyes for 439 yards (on 26 of 34
passes) and three touchdowns en route
to a 58-13 romp. For the season, he's
completed 180 of 283 passes for 2,471
yards and 18 touchdowns.
Blue controls
its own fate
By ALAN FANGER
Michigan controls the cards of Rose
Bowl and Big Ten championship
destiny as it heads into games with
Purdue and Ohio State the next two
Saturdays.
MICHGAN Who goes there?
MICHIGAN WHO DETERMINING
PERFORMANCE GOES? FACTOR
Win both games MICHIGAN conference record
Beat Purdue, lose Ohio State conference record
to Ohio State
Lose to Purdue, Purdue conference record
beat Ohio State
|' Lose both games Ohio State overall record
Beat Purdue, tie Ohio State overall record
Ohio State
Lose to Purdue, Purdue conference record
tie Ohio State
rTie Purdue, beat Purdue last appearance rule
f Ohio State
Tie Purdue, lose Ohio State conference rule k
to Ohio States
Tie both games Ohio State over all record
But destiny can be a cruel element.
On the low-risk assumption that Ohio
State will defeat Iowa this Saturday and
Purdue will defeat Indiana November
22, the Wolverines must defeat both the
Boilermakers and Buckeyes to earn a
trip back to Pasadena for the Rose
Bowl New Year's Day.
Any other result, and it's curtains for
Bo Schembechler and his team.
The adjoining table lists all possible
outcomes of both games, then deter-
mines which team will go to Pasadena.
The Big Ten has established a system
for selecting its Rose Bowl represen-'
tative which eliminates any possible
vote of the conference's athletic direc-
tors. Such'a votedwas needed in 1973, af-
ter Michigan and Ohio State tied for the
title with 7-0-1 league records. The two
teams played to a 10-10 deadlock that
year, and in the ensuing vote Ohio State
was elected the Rose Bowl represen-
tative.
The system contains several deter-
mining factors that are employed in the
following order:
1. CONFERENCE RECORD-On the
premise that Purdue and Ohio State
both win their non-Michigan games,
this standard can be applied in five of
the nine possible cases. The Wolverines
would be at an obvious disadvantage
here, since they must play both conten-
ders while Purdue and Ohio State do not
play one another.
2. HEAD-TO-HEAD RECORD--This
criterion could not be used to break a tie
between Purdue and Ohio State, for the
aforementioned reason. Once again,
using the initial premise, head-to-head
records could not be used to resolve a
tie since Michigan, the only team to
which the rule could be applied, is out of
the picture if it does anything other
than win both games.
3. OVERALL RECORD-Another
minus for Michigan, as well as for Pur-
due. This would determine a Purdue-
Ohio State or deadlock in the standings;
the Buckeyes would also go under this
rule if they tie the Wolverines in their
battle in Columbus, provided Michigan
defeats Purdue.
4. LAST APPEARANCE RULE-The
only criterion that is not based on per-
formance this season, this rule would
be employed only if Michigan and Pur-
due tie for the title. Both teams would
have 7-0-1 Big lien records and 8-2-1
overall marks, thus eliminating the use
of the first three determinants. Sihce
the Wolverines have traveled, to
Pasadena more recently than their
West Lafayette counterparts, Purdue
would get the nod.
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The statistical picture points to
potential trouble for the Wolverine
defense, which managed to hold two
other aerial giants-California's Rich
Campbell and Illinois' Dave Wilson-in
check. In its last four games, the Pur-
due attack has chalked up an average
of 543 yards a game in total offense, 328
passing and a surprising 215 on the
ground.
While the Boilermaker defense has
been suspect, especially against con-
ference doormats Michigan State
(giving up 26 points) and Northwestern
(yielding 31), Schembechler calls the
unit "really improved since the begin-
ning of the year."
Yet in the end, the conversational ball
always seems to return to Herrmann,
who has never had what could be con-
sidered a "field day" in his three
previous encounters with the
Wolverines.
When asked if Michigan's young
secondary can keep Herrmann from
bombing away, he replied, "They don't
have the experience. But they can all
run-they have speed."
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pSPA GHETTI NIGHT1
Tonight order a spaghetti
dinner including a garden
salad & garlic bread & get
another for 1 C.
tl ( cur tof
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