save the date.....
Yad Ezra's 16th annual
fundraising event
Arab fertility rate had dropped
even further, echoing dramatic
drops reported throughout the
Middle East, where most nations
display fertility levels of about three
births per woman.
And Israeli Arab women now in
their 20s won't necessarily repeat
the childbearing characteristics
of their older counterparts. Israeli
Arab women having fewer children
in their late teens and 20s might
also have fewer children in their 30s
than do today's 30-year-olds, who
still display the fertility characteris-
tics of earlier generations.
In contrast, Israeli Jewish women
in their 20s who are having more
kids might carry that choice into
their 30s at rates above those of
current 30-year-olds.
Forecasting tomorrow's popula-
tion growth from yesterday's rates is
a common mistake.
In 2000, the United Nations'
Population Division predicted the
world's population as 12 billion
people by 2050. Four years later,
they dramatically revised the fore-
cast, and now predict that today's
global population of 6.3 billion will
plateau at 9 billion by 2050.
The Gallup organization recently
published the results of a survey
that showed a convergence in
desired family size among Jews and
Arabs west of the Jordan River.
The ideal family size has fallen to
5.1 for Arabs in Gaza and 4.5 in the
West Bank. The desired family size
among both Israeli Jews and Israeli
Arabs is now 3.7.
While Gallup found no difference
in the preferred number of children
among younger Israelis, younger
West Bankers, 15 to 19, believe an
ideal family should have 4.1 chil-
dren, compared to relatives over
age 50, who believe the ideal family
should have 5.0 children.
The convergence in desired
birth activity among Israeli Jews
and Israeli Arabs, and particularly
among younger West Bankers, is
likely to further impact the future
demographic outlook for Israel and
the West Bank, where Jews now
form a two-thirds majority. 111
Ellen and Jim Labes,
honorees
Wednesday, October 4, 2006
strolling dinner and short program
Congregation Shaarey Zedek
YAD EZRA
feearg Mile Jewish Hwy
for more information call
248 548 3663
check us out online!
www.yadezra.org
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