8A - The Michigan Daily - Tuesday, January 20, 2004
Gephardt expected to drop out of race after
finishing infourth place in Iowa caucuses
Continued from Page 1A
with the Iowa win.
"Not so long ago this campaign was written
off, but on caucus night you stood with me so
we could take on President George Bush,"
Kerry told supporters in a victory speech, as he
produced a four-leaf clover handed to him by a
woman in the audience. "Thank you, Iowa, for
making me the comeback Kerry."
The fourth term senator's term comes in the
wake of a repudiated disorganized campaign
that resulted in the replacement of Kerry's cam-
paign manger last fall.
But Kerry supporters said the senator has
successfully courted many voters who were
ambivalent as of Sunday about choosing any
"He has been doing what he should be doing,
which is organize, organize, organize," said
Josh Leipski, a 17-year-old California native,
who skipped a week of school to come volun-
teer for Kerry's campaign.
Despite a clear win in the caucuses, Kerry
shares his success with Sen. John Edwards of
North Carolina, who finished second behind
the Massachusetts politician with 31.8 percent
of the state delegate equivalence.
A second- or third-place finish, Edwards
staffers said Sunday at a rally at Drake Univer-
sity, would be enough to prepare him for their
"must-win" state caucuses, such as those on
Feb. 3 in South Carolina, where Edwards has a
Edwards also surged behind Kerry in last
week's polls and picked up an endorsement
from the Des Moines Register, Iowa's largest
"Iowa has never been a must-win state," said
Roxanne Collins, co-chair for Edwards' Iowa
campaign. "We haven't really changed our
strategy.... We are naturally pleased and some-
Addressing supporters at the Savery Renais-
sance Hotel following the caucuses, Edwards
sounded equally optimistic.
"The people of Iowa have confirmed that they
believe in the uplifting politics of hope," Edwards
light on 2004
did a c y,
slowed somewhat in the wake of a third-place
finish in the caucuses and abrasive television
advertisements run against him in this state.
"There's been a lot of criticism focused on
him and not the other candidates," said Brian
Vetruba, a St. Louis librarian who traveled to
Iowa to rally for Dean. "And also I think some
of the other candidates have run negative ads
But Dean and his followers said they took
their finish as a "motivating factor" and look
forward to the New Hampshire primaries next
Saturday. Currently, Dean has an 8-percent lead
over Clark for voter support.
"If you had told us one year ago we would
have come third in Iowa, we would have given
anything for that," Dean said in a post-caucuses
"It's sort of better than what we hoped for
six months ago, less what we hoped for six
weeks ago," said U.S. Sen. Tom Harkin, who
last week endorsed Dean for the presidency.
Rep. Dennis Kucinich of Ohio, who gained
only 1 percent of state delegate equivalence last
night, has not pulled back from the race, unlike
Missouri Rep. Dick Gephardt, who is expected
to withdrew after an 11-percent, fourth-place
finish here in Iowa.
Less than an hour before the caucuses
were called to order, Edwards and Kucinich
agreed to encourage their caucus base to sup-
port one another in the event that one candi-
date did not achieve the threshold volume in
"There were candidates in the race that were
expected to do better in Iowa who didn't do so
well, so I think that means is the race is up for
grabs and there's still 49 states to go," said John
Friedrich, Kucinich's Iowa political director.
While Dean and Edwards still have enough
energy in other states to see victories in other
caucuses or primaries, Gephardt channeled
much of his vigor toward Iowa. Recent New
Hampshire polls showed him in single digits in
terms of voter support. Gephardt said he has
not decided whether to endorse a candidate.
Not since 1976, when Jimmy Carter was
elected president, have the Iowa caucuses pre-
dicted a president, yet their significance is not
Though Danielle Ryun (center) is a Howard Dean supporter, low turnout at her local caucus
necessitated a switch to John Kerry, the victor last night In Iowa.
"Iowa is going to have a critical role," said
Terry McCullough, chair of the National
Democratic party. "By February 3, I think
we're going to have it down to a few candi-
About 120,000 people turned out in this
year's caucuses compared to about 60,000 in
the past few caucuses.
"What Iowa does is to separate the
stronger contenders from the weaker ones,"
said Peverill Squire, political science pro-
fessor at the University of Iowa.
"If you look at the history on the Democratic
side, the nominee has already come out of the
top three candidates."
Mich. Democrats claim Iowa results may
make state primary even more important
LANSING, Mich. (AP) - With the presidential
field scrambled in unexpected ways by John Kerry's
Iowa win, Michigan Democrats say the state is even
more likely to play an important role in selecting
the nominee when the state picks its Democratic
presidential favorite on Feb. 7.
"The race is really wide open," Michigan Democ-
ratic Party Executive Chairman Mark Brewer said
Monday night after the Iowa results were
announced. "I think we'll see more attention now
from the candidates."
He added that Michigan will be the largest state
- and the only major industrial state - to vote for
a Democratic favorite until elections are held in
early March in several major states, including New
York, California and Ohio.
"We're the big prize in the first two months,"
Brewer said. "How many delegates were at stake
tonight, 40? We have 153."
Former Gov. James Blanchard, one of the leaders
of Kerry's Michigan campaign, said he expects the
Kerry campaign to begin pouring resources into the
state now that the U.S. senator from Massachusetts
has to extend his planning further down the political
"In Michigan, the campaign probably begins in
earnest tomorrow," Blanchard said in a phone call
from Washington, D.C.
"I think he (Kerry) is going to do very well in
Michigan, although I concede we're going to have
to come from behind," he said.
Blanchard said the Kerry campaign has been
focusing its resources so far on Iowa and New
Hampshire, which holds its presidential caucuses
on Jan. 27, the second contest in the race to the
He predicts that will change now that Kerry has
the Iowa win and can build on that for later states.
Delaware, South Carolina, Missouri, Arizona,
New Mexico, Virginia, Oklahoma and North Dako-
ta will be holding primaries or caucuses on Feb. 3,
just four days before the Michigan caucuses.
Blanchard and Dan Mulhern, Gov. Jennifer
Granholm's husband, sent a letter recently to 5,000
precinct delegates and Democratic party officers
urging them to hold off voting until after they saw
how Kerry did in the earlier contests.
"I think most people have wisely ... not cast
their votes," Blanchard said. "You might end up
voting for someone who drops out of the race or
who you decide under careful scrutiny is not who
A ballot cast now could be a wasted vote for any-
one out of the race by Feb. 7. The candidate would
still get Michigan delegates, but may decide to
relinquish them to someone still in the race.
A recent statewide poll among likely Democratic
caucus voters showed former Vermont Gov. Howard
Dean doing the best in Michigan, with U.S. Rep.
Dick Gephardt of Missouri coming in closest
But Gephardt, who finished fourth in Iowa, sig-
naled his intentions Monday night to withdraw from
That may have created an opportunity for Dean,
who already has the support of two major unions
with about 100,000 Michigan members. Gephardt
had the backing of unions with more than 150,000
Michigan members, all of whom will be fought
over by the candidates left in the race.
"We're going to try every day for the next 17
days to earn the votes of the men and women in
labor who supported him," said Daren Berringer,
Dean's Michigan director.
Berringer said he expects Dean to hold onto his
edge in Michigan despite his third-place finish in
We're leading in New Hampshire. We're leading
in the Feb. 3 states. We're leading in Michigan," he
said. The Dean campaign has been urging its Michi-
gan supporters to vote before the Feb. 7 caucuses by
mail or over the Internet, and will intensify that
message in coming days.
Brewer said it's hard to tell if Michigan voters
will be more likely to vote early now that the
Iowa contest is over or to wait and see what hap-
pens in New Hampshire and other early states.
More than 23,000 voters have applied for ballots
so far, but only about 1,000 had voted as of late
"Now that we have one election behind us, peo-
ple will feel better informed and may be willing to
start casting more votes," Brewer said.
Presidential candidate John Edwards addresses Iowa residents in a rally at
Drake University on Sunday.
REGISTRAR'S BULLETIN BOARD
WINTER 2004 DATES TO REMEMBER
Mon., Jan. 26
LAST DAY TO WITHDRAW FROM WINTER TERM-students
withdraw will be responsible for the $80 registration fee and
HPV and Diet Intervention Study
A stud is currently being conducted at
the University of Michigan Medical
Center investigating the effect of a high
fruit and vegetable diet in preventing
abnormal Pap smears.
Who is eligible ?
-Sexually active women ages 18-40
What do I have to do?
-Receive complete physical exams
-Complete questionnaires about dietary
intake and sexual activity
-Increase fruit and vegetable servings to
> 7 servings per day
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Authorization required to drop, add, or modify.
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Sat., Feb. 21 Break begins 12:00 p.m.
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