40 8A - The Michigan Daily - Tuesday, January 20, 2004 NEWS Gephardt expected to drop out of race after finishing infourth place in Iowa caucuses I CAUCUSES Continued from Page 1A with the Iowa win. "Not so long ago this campaign was written off, but on caucus night you stood with me so we could take on President George Bush," Kerry told supporters in a victory speech, as he produced a four-leaf clover handed to him by a woman in the audience. "Thank you, Iowa, for making me the comeback Kerry." The fourth term senator's term comes in the wake of a repudiated disorganized campaign that resulted in the replacement of Kerry's cam- paign manger last fall. But Kerry supporters said the senator has successfully courted many voters who were ambivalent as of Sunday about choosing any c'andidate. "He has been doing what he should be doing, which is organize, organize, organize," said Josh Leipski, a 17-year-old California native, who skipped a week of school to come volun- teer for Kerry's campaign. Despite a clear win in the caucuses, Kerry shares his success with Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina, who finished second behind the Massachusetts politician with 31.8 percent of the state delegate equivalence. A second- or third-place finish, Edwards staffers said Sunday at a rally at Drake Univer- sity, would be enough to prepare him for their "must-win" state caucuses, such as those on Feb. 3 in South Carolina, where Edwards has a commanding lead. Edwards also surged behind Kerry in last week's polls and picked up an endorsement from the Des Moines Register, Iowa's largest newspaper. "Iowa has never been a must-win state," said Roxanne Collins, co-chair for Edwards' Iowa campaign. "We haven't really changed our strategy.... We are naturally pleased and some- what surprised." Addressing supporters at the Savery Renais- sance Hotel following the caucuses, Edwards sounded equally optimistic. "The people of Iowa have confirmed that they believe in the uplifting politics of hope," Edwards said. Kerry and Edwards' underdog victories ELECTION shed new light on 2004 Dean's can- did a c y, which has slowed somewhat in the wake of a third-place finish in the caucuses and abrasive television advertisements run against him in this state. "There's been a lot of criticism focused on him and not the other candidates," said Brian Vetruba, a St. Louis librarian who traveled to Iowa to rally for Dean. "And also I think some of the other candidates have run negative ads against him." But Dean and his followers said they took their finish as a "motivating factor" and look forward to the New Hampshire primaries next Saturday. Currently, Dean has an 8-percent lead over Clark for voter support. "If you had told us one year ago we would have come third in Iowa, we would have given anything for that," Dean said in a post-caucuses party. "It's sort of better than what we hoped for six months ago, less what we hoped for six weeks ago," said U.S. Sen. Tom Harkin, who last week endorsed Dean for the presidency. Rep. Dennis Kucinich of Ohio, who gained only 1 percent of state delegate equivalence last night, has not pulled back from the race, unlike Missouri Rep. Dick Gephardt, who is expected to withdrew after an 11-percent, fourth-place finish here in Iowa. Less than an hour before the caucuses were called to order, Edwards and Kucinich agreed to encourage their caucus base to sup- port one another in the event that one candi- date did not achieve the threshold volume in certain caucuses. "There were candidates in the race that were expected to do better in Iowa who didn't do so well, so I think that means is the race is up for grabs and there's still 49 states to go," said John Friedrich, Kucinich's Iowa political director. While Dean and Edwards still have enough energy in other states to see victories in other caucuses or primaries, Gephardt channeled much of his vigor toward Iowa. Recent New Hampshire polls showed him in single digits in terms of voter support. Gephardt said he has not decided whether to endorse a candidate. Not since 1976, when Jimmy Carter was elected president, have the Iowa caucuses pre- dicted a president, yet their significance is not Though Danielle Ryun (center) is a Howard Dean supporter, low turnout at her local caucus necessitated a switch to John Kerry, the victor last night In Iowa. artificial. "Iowa is going to have a critical role," said Terry McCullough, chair of the National Democratic party. "By February 3, I think we're going to have it down to a few candi- dates." About 120,000 people turned out in this year's caucuses compared to about 60,000 in the past few caucuses. "What Iowa does is to separate the stronger contenders from the weaker ones," said Peverill Squire, political science pro- fessor at the University of Iowa. "If you look at the history on the Democratic side, the nominee has already come out of the top three candidates." 4 Sunshine candidate Mich. Democrats claim Iowa results may make state primary even more important LANSING, Mich. (AP) - With the presidential field scrambled in unexpected ways by John Kerry's Iowa win, Michigan Democrats say the state is even more likely to play an important role in selecting the nominee when the state picks its Democratic presidential favorite on Feb. 7. "The race is really wide open," Michigan Democ- ratic Party Executive Chairman Mark Brewer said Monday night after the Iowa results were announced. "I think we'll see more attention now from the candidates." He added that Michigan will be the largest state - and the only major industrial state - to vote for a Democratic favorite until elections are held in early March in several major states, including New York, California and Ohio. "We're the big prize in the first two months," Brewer said. "How many delegates were at stake tonight, 40? We have 153." Former Gov. James Blanchard, one of the leaders of Kerry's Michigan campaign, said he expects the Kerry campaign to begin pouring resources into the state now that the U.S. senator from Massachusetts has to extend his planning further down the political calendar. "In Michigan, the campaign probably begins in earnest tomorrow," Blanchard said in a phone call from Washington, D.C. "I think he (Kerry) is going to do very well in Michigan, although I concede we're going to have to come from behind," he said. Blanchard said the Kerry campaign has been focusing its resources so far on Iowa and New Hampshire, which holds its presidential caucuses on Jan. 27, the second contest in the race to the nomination. He predicts that will change now that Kerry has the Iowa win and can build on that for later states. Delaware, South Carolina, Missouri, Arizona, New Mexico, Virginia, Oklahoma and North Dako- ta will be holding primaries or caucuses on Feb. 3, just four days before the Michigan caucuses. Blanchard and Dan Mulhern, Gov. Jennifer Granholm's husband, sent a letter recently to 5,000 precinct delegates and Democratic party officers urging them to hold off voting until after they saw how Kerry did in the earlier contests. "I think most people have wisely ... not cast their votes," Blanchard said. "You might end up voting for someone who drops out of the race or who you decide under careful scrutiny is not who you want." A ballot cast now could be a wasted vote for any- one out of the race by Feb. 7. The candidate would still get Michigan delegates, but may decide to relinquish them to someone still in the race. A recent statewide poll among likely Democratic caucus voters showed former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean doing the best in Michigan, with U.S. Rep. Dick Gephardt of Missouri coming in closest behind Dean. But Gephardt, who finished fourth in Iowa, sig- i i naled his intentions Monday night to withdraw from the race. That may have created an opportunity for Dean, who already has the support of two major unions with about 100,000 Michigan members. Gephardt had the backing of unions with more than 150,000 Michigan members, all of whom will be fought over by the candidates left in the race. "We're going to try every day for the next 17 days to earn the votes of the men and women in labor who supported him," said Daren Berringer, Dean's Michigan director. Berringer said he expects Dean to hold onto his edge in Michigan despite his third-place finish in Iowa. We're leading in New Hampshire. We're leading in the Feb. 3 states. We're leading in Michigan," he said. The Dean campaign has been urging its Michi- gan supporters to vote before the Feb. 7 caucuses by mail or over the Internet, and will intensify that message in coming days. Brewer said it's hard to tell if Michigan voters will be more likely to vote early now that the Iowa contest is over or to wait and see what hap- pens in New Hampshire and other early states. More than 23,000 voters have applied for ballots so far, but only about 1,000 had voted as of late last week. "Now that we have one election behind us, peo- ple will feel better informed and may be willing to start casting more votes," Brewer said. A DAVID TUMAN/Daiy Presidential candidate John Edwards addresses Iowa residents in a rally at Drake University on Sunday. 4 REGISTRAR'S BULLETIN BOARD WINTER 2004 DATES TO REMEMBER Mon., Jan. 26 LAST DAY TO WITHDRAW FROM WINTER TERM-students withdraw will be responsible for the $80 registration fee and disenrollment fee. who $50 HPV and Diet Intervention Study A stud is currently being conducted at the University of Michigan Medical Center investigating the effect of a high fruit and vegetable diet in preventing abnormal Pap smears. Who is eligible ? -Sexually active women ages 18-40 What do I have to do? -Receive complete physical exams -Complete questionnaires about dietary intake and sexual activity -Increase fruit and vegetable servings to > 7 servings per day Principal Investigator: Mack T. Ruffin IV, MD For more information please contact: Shannon Andrews (734) 647-4748 andrewss@umich.edu I Mon., Jan. 26 LAST DAY TO DROP CLASSES-with a reduction in tuition. Tue., Jan. 27 Web registration no longer available for WINTER TERM. Authorization required to drop, add, or modify. BEGIN fifty percent reduction of tuition for complete withdrawals from winter term. The $80 registration fee will not be cancelled. This fee adjustment applies only to complete withdrawals from the term and not to a reduction ofjcredit hours. Mon., Feb. 16 LAST DAY for fifty percent reduction of tuition for complete withdrawals from winter term. The $80 registration fee will not be cancelled. Tue., Feb. 17 WITHDRAWING FROM WINTER TERM results in no reduction in tuition or fees. Sat., Feb. 21 Break begins 12:00 p.m. Mon., Mar. 1 Classes resume 8:00 a.m. Sun. Mar.14 Honors Convocation NOTE: Some units (Law, Medicine, Dentistry and Social Work) begin classes on a different academic calendar and these dates will vary for those 11t ( 4 4 a