OPINION
Page 4 Saturday, November 17, 1984 The Michigan Daily
4
A broad
By Dave Kopel
Third and final in a series looking
at the 1988 presidential race
The 1988 Republican presidential race
may be a repeat of the 1984 Democratic
one - the boring establishment can-
didate against the young insurgent. The
boring establishment candidate is of
course George Bush. Bush, the solid
favorite of the investment banking and
polo shirt wing of the Republican party,
like Mondale, has built a solid resume:
vice-president, CIA director, am-
bassador to China, and congressman.
(Resume-building was no doubt one of
the skills he picked up at Andover and
Yale.)
Despite solid support from the par-
ty's eastern establishment, Bush is not
guaranteed the nomination. The New
Right and Christian Right factions of
the party which took control of the
Dallas Convention despise Bush. To
them he is part of the weak, com-
promising, secular humanist wing of
the party that kept the Republicans a
minority. Bush knows this and is doing
his best to placate them. Although in
1980 he favored federal funding forr
abortions in case of rape or incest,
today he favors a constitutional amen-
dment to criminalize all abortions.
Bush's effort to mollify the extremists
won't do any good. They are solidly op-
posed to him and will never accept him.
All he has done is diminish the respect1
that independents and moderates usedI
to have for him."
BY REPUBLICAN rules, if a state
votes for the Republican presidential
candidate in the general election, the
state earns bonus delegates to the next1
Republican convention. Usually the
system accentuates the alreadyI
dominant position of the party's
western and southern conservative
wings. But thanks to the Reagan lan-
dslide, eastern states will have a larger
relative share of delegates in 1988. In
1976, Gerald Ford won the Republican
nomination by a slim margin, thanks to
range of
DuPont IV is the one moderate who
might 'be able to challenge George
Bush. Du Pont is preppier, richer, and
far more charismatic; he might be the
big surprise of 1988. He won all his.
Delaware elections by landslides,
despite some resentment about his
aristocratic heritage. A supply-side
Governor with a good record of
economic success, Du Pont has
remained reasonably moderate on
social issues; although he favors school
prayer and he opposes a constitutional
amendment banning abortions in all
circumstances.
The power in the Republican Party
has shifted from the center to the far
right. The most likely beneficiary of the
shift, the most likely Republican
nominee, and the Republican with the
best chance to win the 1988 general
election is Buffalo Congressman Jack
Kemp. The Kemp-Roth tax package
was the basis of the Reaganomics tax
cuts in 1981. And the Kemp-Kasten flat
ised by a large tax bill may be the centerprice of the
lican Party for second round of Reaganomics. If the
economy is booming in 1988, Jack
WS. Kemp will be able to claim much of the
delegates that credit.
1972 nationwide Even more than Ronald Reagan,
like Ford,twill be Jack Kemp has proved himself able to
expand beyond traditonally Republican
.nce the race constituencies. Although he is the
gan versus Bush prophet of trickle-down, supply-side
n most of the economics, he wins votes from all
with about 60 classes of people. Solid support from
ifortunately, the steel-workers in his Buffalo district has
s rthe national made him virtually unbeatable.
IN ADDITION, Kemp is an outstan-
,ate conservativeding public speaker. The charismatic
Baker and Bob former quarterback of the Buffalo Bills
ance at all. Both could have earned a living in the
and responsible nineteenth century as a snake-oil
ashioning con- salesman - or as a revival preacher.
wring President Kemp is a fundamentalist about ec-
budget deficit. onomics; one of his highest priorities as
1 win them is the President would be putting the nation
;ton insiders and back on the gold standard. Another goal
lenn proved, you would be creating "Urban Enterprise
s nomination by Zones" in depressed inner cities -
boring centrist. zones where business would receive
Governor Pierre special tax breaks and exemptions
republican choices
from regulation.
Although fundamentalist economics
are Kemp's main interest, he has kept
his voting record pure on fundamen-
talist social issues. He has been a
reliable voter for school prayer, against
abortion under any conditions, and
against the ERA. His conservative
social postions might alienate the
young independents who would like his
tax-cutting enthusiasm. But perhaps
Kemp, like President Reagan, would be
able -to convince the yuppies that he
really disdains the social issues, and
simultaneously convince the religious
ultra-fundamentalists that he cares
deeply about them.
ONE CANDIDATE who won't have
any trouble proving that he cares
deeply about social issues is North
Carolina Senator Jesse Helms.
George Bush is despi
portion of the Repub]
his past moderate vie
the extra eastern
resulted from Nixon's
sweep. Perhaps Bush,]
able to squeak through.
But I doubt it. C
narrowed down to Rea
in 1980, Reagan wo
remaining primaries
percent of the vote. Ui
far right now runs
Republican Party.
The other two moder
candidates, Howard I
Dole have almost no ch
have been effective
senators, adept at f
promises and pressu
Reagan to reduce the
But all their efforts wil
admiration of Washing
columnists. As John G
don't win your party'.
being a nice guy and a I
FORMER Delaware
Beginning his third term in the Senate,
Helms is emerging as one of America's
most powerful senators. Having won re-
election to the Senate with one of the
dirtiest smear campaigns in memory,
Helms is gearing up for a run at the
presidency. His National Congressional
Club direct-mail fundraising
organization is the best in the nation.
And he will also have financial backing
from far-right millionaires like Bunker
Hunt. His tough stands on abortion and
school prayer will give him a solid base
in the South among Jerry Falwell con-
servatives. Maybe Helms is too much of
a radical extremist to be elected
President. But people used to say that
about Ronald Reagan.
Another Republican hopeful who will
have all the money he needs is New
York millionaire Lewis Lehrman. In
1982, Lehrman lost a close New York
gubenatorial race to Mario Cuomo.
Cuomo has announced that if he decides
to run for President (which he already
has privately decided to do), he will not
seek re-election as Governor in 1986.
That would leave the door way open for
Lehrman to be elected governor in 1986.
Although he would still be a long-shot
for the presidency in 1988, he might be a
good ticket-balancer -for Helms if he
wins the nomination.
But Lehrman would more likely be
crowded aside by any one of several
Republican women who could be vice-
president. United Nations Ambassador
Jeanne Kirkpatrick, a nominal
Democrat, is frequently mentioned as a
possibility. A champion of a hard-line
foreign policy (she supported Argen-
tina during the Falklands war), she
would balance a candidate like Kemp
who focuses mainly on domestic issues.
But although Margaret Thatcher has
proven that a woman doesn't need to be
traditionally feminine to win national
office, Kirkpatrick is simply too harsh,
ugly, and abrasive to do well on a
national ticket.
A better candidate is Transporation
Secretary Elizabeth Dole. Late-night
television watchers have already seen
Jack Kemp might prove to be the
balance that can best appeal beyond
traditional Republican constituen-
cies.
her explaining the importance of
wearing seat-belts. The big surprise,
however, could be Supreme Court
Justice Sandra Day O'Connor, who
tried to maneuver herself into the vice-
presidency in 1983 until it became clear
that Reagan would pick Bush again.
If a second term of Reaganomic
leads to the recession many economis
expect, and if the Republicans
nominate George Bush, almost any
Democrat could re-capture the White
House. But if the economy performs as
well as President Reagan seems to ex-
pect, and if the Republicans nominate
an inspiring leader like Jack Kemp, the
Republicans may finally become
America's majority party.
Kopel is a third year law student.
Jesse Helms has support from ex-
tremist conservatives but is
probably too far right to be elected.
1~
LETTERS TO THE DAILY
E eb s tdens an tyl ig
Edited and managed by students at The University of Michigan
No apologies for interfering with CIA
Vol. XCV, No. 63
420 Maynard St.
Ann Arbor, MI 48109
Editorials represent a majority opinion of the Daily's Editorial Board
Politics of the game
OMPETITION isn't necessarily a
positive thing. Football games
which pit Ohio State University against
the University of Michigan usually
breed a healthy rivalry, though on oc-
casion a fistfight erupts when some
obnoxious fans let the game's ex-
citement get the best of them. This
year that potential for violence has
been channeled in an extremely con-
structive fashion. University and Ohio
State students have been trying to
draw each other's blood - in the an-
nual Red Cross blood drive. But such
aggressive competition on the inter-
national scene, particularly between the
superpowers, more often than not only
serves destructive purposes. The
hysterical football fan is not as
destructive as the national leader who
initiates destructive rivalries in a
display of fanatical nationalism, but
the similarities in language can't help
but be noted.
One University student who was ob-
viously caught up in the drive to draw
more blood than Ohio State students
and. thus, to win that battle, if not the
football game, said: 'Anything to kick
tOSU's butt is a good thing to do." This
comment no doubt was made with the
best of intentions. However, ponder the
hazards of it being translated into an
international contest. It would come
out sounding something like this:
"Anything to kick Russia's butt is a
good thing to do."
The implications of such a statement
ficials in this country. For example,
Vice President George Bush after his
debate with Rep. Geraldine Ferraro
said, "We tried to kick some ass." That
kind of language, so similar to the
football fans rhetoric, is extremely
unhelpful in a diplomatic situation and
certainly wouldn't improve our
relations with the Soviet Union.
This metaphor should not be taken too
far. Ohio State does not speak for the
Kremlin. Nor is the University a
mouthpiece for Washington. Yet, the
language of the battlefield is often un-
settlingly similar 'to that used on the
football field and in diplomacy. In fact,
Former President and Michigan alum
Gerald Ford made several ball game
references Wednesday when
discussing U.S.-Soviet relations and
arms control strategies during a sym-
posium at the University.
What does the East-West conflict
have to do with the Michigan-Ohio
State confrontation? The mentality
exhibited by a president steeped in
patriotic fervor who refuses to
negotiate an arms control agreement
is remarkably similar to that of the
fanatic football fan. Both have the
potential to use their strong emotions
to cause harm to others. The football
fan could potentially fight with fans of
the opposing team. The president could
refuse to take the necessary steps
toward peace for fear that it would
make the nation appear less superior
or even inferior in the world's eyes.
To the Daily:
We have no apologies to offer
for interfering with the CIA's
recruitment process. The CIA is
the largest terrorist organization
in the world. We are proud of any
actions we have taken which
have hampered their operations.
Since its creation in 1945, the
CIA has left a trail of bloody
repression that extends to every
corner of the world. It has been a
tireless enemy of freedom and
democracy. Its tools are murder,
torture, and terror. In Iran in
1953 it installed the Shah through
a military coup that overturned a
popular nationalist government.
During his 25 year rule the Shah
imprisoned, tortured, or
executed tens of thousands of
Iranians. In Guatemala in 1954,
the CIA againtoverthrew a
popular dictatorship. This dic-
tatorship continues to wage war
against its citizens, killing tens of
thousands in the last few years
alone. In Chile in 1973, the CIA
helped to overturn a
democratically elected gover-
nment, replacing it with a regime
that was killing people so fast, it
couldn't figure out how to dispose
of the bodies.
There is absolutely no crime
too hideous for the CIA to carry
through. In the aftermath of
World War II, the CIA came into
the posession of Nazi torture
manuals. Since then is has used
these manuals to train the police
forces of Iran and a number of
Latin American countries in the
most modern interrogation
techniques. The CIA-Nazi link
goes further in that it helped a
number of Nazi war criminals
evade prosecution.
Today the CIA is involved in
waging a war of torture and
terror against the people of
Nicaragua. It has trained a mer-
cenary army to disrupt the
economy and terrorize the
population. IN particular these
attacks have been aimed at
preventing the government from
providing services such as health
care to the rural population, and
in this way reducing popular sup-
port for the government. Toward
allow them to carry out their
recruitment unhampered at a
time when Nicaragua may be in-
vaded at any moment would be
unconscionable. This would be
lending them a degree of
legitimacy which could not
possibly be less deserved.
Whatever may be considered the
purposes and goals of a univer-
sity, the training of recruits for
terrorist organizations isnot
among them. This is not an issue
of free speech. Had they wished
to discuss their crimes, we would
not have attempted to stop them.
It was only the recruitment
process that we sought to disrupt.
We realize that the represen-
tative who came here probably
has never been, nor will ever be,
directly involved in the CIA's
crimes. Many CIA employees
never do anything more than sift
through documents.
Ourgaction was not directed at
this particular individual
however, but at the agency itself.
We will attempt to disrupt the CIA
in any way we can, as we
would attempt to disrupt the ef-
forts of a Nazi concentration
camp to recruit an accountant
from the University. As far as
those individuals who were con-
templating working for the CIA,
it is unfortunate that they cannot
find employment ยข where their
skills may benefit humanity.
Maybe this would not seem like
such a difficult task, it the career
planning office made it one of its
goals, rather than providing
assistance to any gang of
criminals that has managed to
incorporate itself.
-Dean Baker
November 14
L UDES provides SANS with relief
To the Daily:
With all the letters, articles,
and comments in recent days
concerning the use of suicide pills
in the event of nuclear war, even
we here in the Law School heard
of the controversy. Some of us,
myself included, have come up
with an alternative solution that
we hope will satisfy both those for
and against having the Univer-
sity stockpile cyanide.
We must awaken ourselves to
the apparent fact that reality will
be perceptibly altered if and
when everyone gets bombed and
the whole world is wasted.
Therefore, I propose that we
hold a University-wide referen-
dum asking the University to
stockpile massive quantities of
methaquaalude. The use of
"quaaludes" after an atomic war
is a fair and realistic com-
promise with those who would
rather see us stock cyanide,
especially in view of the fact that
most bars will probably be closed
immediately following the
catastrophe. Furthermore, the
use of quaaludes after a nuclear
war would be particularly ap-
propriate as a symbol of our
commitment to "carry on" after
a devastating war with as much
involvement in and concern with
BLOOM COUNTY
the world around us as is
generally manifested today.
A few of us here have gotten
together and formed a small
group, Let's Use Drugs to Escape
Suicide (LUDES). We meet as of-
ten as possible to investigate the
various possibilities. The
problem facing the world today is
indeed serious, and we hope all
students take time out to educate
themselves about it. Most of us,
however, seem to have gotten
used to having this monkey on
our back. Here in our adorably
serene University, we forget that
there actually is a world outside.
It's so easy to take our dream for i
reality; perhaps we had all better
wake up before that dream turns
into a nightmare, and the few
survivors quaff a, few last
quaaludes, remnants of a bygone
yesterday.
- Larry Pollack
November 15
Free speech double standard
To the Daily:
You've got a double standard.
Your very existence depends on
freedom of speech, and yet you
would deny that freedom to
others. Sometimes it's scientists;
this time it's CIA recruiters.
Three points in response to the
editorial "Good riddance"
(Daily, Nov.16).
1. Freedom of speech means
freedom to say what you want.
That means the CIA gets to
recruit, it need not answer
protesters' questions.
2. The claim that the CIA is
against free speech is absolutely
irrelevant. We're for free speech,
so the CIA gets to speak.
3. Finally, you claim that
students may be misinformed
about CIA activities. The solution
is more information, not less.
Students also have a right to hear
what the CIA has to say.
Wise up, guys. Next time, the
protesters could close down a
group you like.
-Ruth Milkman
November 16
Unsigned editorials ap-
pearing on the left side of
this page represent a
majority opinion of the
Daily 's Editorial Board.
by Berke Breathed
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