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Is Israel Waiting
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A renegade politician emerges as the a
wildcard in the country's electoral jungle.
LARRY DERFNER ISRAEL CORRESPONDENT
T
el Aviv — As the campaign
for the October 29, 1996
elections for Knesset and
prime minister revs its en-
gines, not all systems are go.
The Third Way, made up
mainly of hawkish Laborites,
once seemed a sure bet to run.
But now that the negotiations
with Syria are dead in the water,
the movement's overriding pur-
pose — keeping the Golan
Heights — has been blunted.
Even if the Third Way declares
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Haim Ramon:
Will he return?
for the campaign, it seems
unlikely to be a major vote-get-
ter.
Little has been heard from
Natan Sharansky since June,
when he formed a movement
dominated by Russian immi-
grants. The movement, he said,
also intended to run as a party in
the elections, but its momentum
has slowed and its future is un-
clear.
Likud renegade David Levy
has been very active — he says
he has gathered 100,000 petition
signatures to put him on the bal-
lot for prime minister, twice as
many as he needs. Levy and his
party will definitely be running,
but whether he can broaden his
appeal beyond poor Sephardim
in the development towns re-
mains to be seen.
In the Likud, Ariel Sharon's
hopes to challenge Binyamin Ne-
tanyahu for the leadership of the
right-wing opposition have long
faded. In Labor, Foreign Minis- =/
ter Shimon Peres has not ruled
out running against Prime Min-
ister Yitzhak Rabin in the party
primaries, but he probably will
settle for a secure No. 2 spot.
What is unknown, and what
probably remains the most in-
triguing and important of all open
questions in the campaign, is: /
What will Haim Ramon do?
In May 1994, Ramon en-
gineered one of the great up-
heavals in Israeli political
history. Giving up his job as
health minister and leaving
the Labor Party to run on
his own independent ticket,
he won the election for lead-
ership of the Histadrut na-
tional union. Labor's ticket
lost for the first time since
the union was founded in
1920.
Ramon's popularity was
sky-high, rivaling that of
Rabin or Netanyahu. He
was the brave reformer who
had taken on the en-
trenched, nearly-depised
Histadrut regime and won.
A few months later, the gov-
ernment bowed to Ramon
and restructured the coun-
try's health care system,
which had been dominated
and nearly run into the
ground by the Histadrut. A
few months after that, Ra-
mon joined with the gov-
ernment in hammering out
the rescue of the Histadrut's
pension funds, thus ensuring that
workers would be protected in
their retirement.
Of all the potential prime min-
isters in Israel's near future, Ra-
mon, 45, stands as the
representative of the "New Is-
rael": the most dovish on Israeli-
Palestinian affairs, and the most
concerned with domestic, "qual-
ity of life" issues. Relaxed, can-
did, with the brightest smile in
national politics, he is a great fa-
vorite of the media, and well-liked
among all sectors of the popula-
tion - except the hardcore right-
wing and the old-line
Labor/Histadrut machine.
Yet he has been largely silent
this year. "By bringing about the
change in the health care law,
Ramon did a great thing, but that
was the beginning and the end of c-\
his interest in the workers.