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JAMES D. BESSER
Washington Correspondent
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Bush Backs $650 Million
In War Aid To Israel
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Prior
layaways
and
sales
excluded
fter some fierce
bargaining, the ad-
ministration has
agreed to provide Israel with
some $650 million in
emergency military aid to
help cover the staggering
costs of maintaining vig-
ilance against Saddam Hus-
sein during the Desert
Storm operation.
The Israeli government
had requested $1 billion in
emergency aid. But impor-
tant administration officials,
led by Richard G. Darman,
director of the Office of
Management and Budget,
had opposed any additional
aid for Israel.
During lengthy negotia-
ting sessions early in the
week, the administration
offered a total of $400 mill-
ion — an offer the Israelis re-
jected.
But Israel's supporters in
Congress sent a clear mes-
sage to the administration
that they would insist on the
additional funds to help
Israel cope with the results
of the Gulf crisis.
Over the weekend, Rep.
Larry Smith (D-Fla.), Rep.
Charles Schumer (D-N.Y.),
and others lined up the
Democratic leadership in the
House behind the Israeli re-
quest; on the Senate side, 22
members of the Appropria-
tions Committee members
signed a letter urging the
president to request the
emergency assistance
package.
Faced with the prospect of
a tough fight in Congress,
the administration finally
agreed to the scaled-down
figure. And reports indicate
that Secretary of State
James Baker played a
positive role in the internal
debate.
In return for the $650, the
Israelis agreed to defer addi-
tional requests for aid, in-
cluding the expected request
for up to $10 billion in hous-
ing loan guarantees to help
settle Soviet Jews in Israel,
— until after Labor Day.
iI
Futurist Predicts Forced
Mideast Peace Confab
Will the United States and
the Soviet Union force
Israelis and Palestinians to
the peace table?
Yes, says Marvin Cetron, a
Washington political and
economic forecaster whose
predictions about the un-
predictable Middle East
have been uncannily accu-
rate.
Mr. Cetron, president of
Forecasting International,
Inc., is predicting an inter-
national peace conference
within six months, with
Israel relinquishing control
over Gaza and the West
Bank, but not East
Jerusalem.
"The United States and
the Soviet Union will get
Marvin Cetron:
Uncannily accurate.
together to impose this," he
said. "They are the world's
policemen; they're going to
get together and say, 'this is
what's required. We made
Saddam live up to sanctions,
we'll do the same thing
here."
The United States, he said,
will threaten to withhold aid
until Israel complies.
If all of that sounds like
bad news for Likudniks, Mr.
Cetron insisted that it does
have its positive side.
"There will be a Palestin-
ian state, but it will be per-
mitted only small arms," he
said. "It will be a peaceful
place — and the Jewish state
will be stronger for it."
.
Quayle Gets Gask Mask
From Wiesenthal Center
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Vice President Dan
Quayle is now prepared for
any emergency, thanks to
the leaders of the Simon
Wiesenthal Center.
The Los Angeles-based
group was in town for its Na-
tional Leadership Con-
ference. Last week, Rabbi
Marvin Hier and several col-
leagues had a private
meeting with Mr. Quayle.
"We just came back from
Israel, where we met with
the Prime Minister and
other leaders," Rabbi Hier
said. "They made it very
clear to us: after the Gulf
war, a Palestinian state is a
moot question. They told us
that an Israeli government
that granted a Palestinian
state would be swept out of
office in 24 hours."
The delegation gave Mr.
Quayle a copy of their up-
dated report on The Poison
Gas Connection, listing
some 358 companies that
provided technology for non-
conventional weapons to the
Iraqis.
Dan Quayle:
Prepared.
The group also presented
Mr. Quayle with an Israeli
gas mask to symbolize the
emotional distress caused by
Iraq's arsenal of non-
conventional weapons.
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