THE DETROIT JEWISH NEWS
Friday, September 10, 1976 45
Israeli Professor Outlines Probable Causes of Jewish Population Decline
By HAIM SHACHTEFt
World Zionist Organization
JERUSALEM — The
process of superannua-
tion and the high inci-
dence of assimilation are
threatening the exis-
tence of many Jewish
communities in the world.
This is the conclusion ar-
rived at by Prof. Roberto
Bacchi of the Institute of
Contemporary Jewry in
the Hebrew University of
Jerusalem in research
project just published.
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Prof. Bacchi was formerly
chief statistician for the
Israel Government.
World Jewry had for-
merly registered greater
progress than other
communities in the world
both as regards demog-
raphic expansion on the
one hand, and birth con-
trol on the other. The
Holocaust and various
other factors, however,
have engendered a de-
mographic crisis in the
world Jewish population.
In the 19th and 20th
centuries the world
Jewish population grew
from 2.5 million in 1800, to
16.7 million in 1940,
though a speedy decline
in this rate of expansion
had set in already at the
end of the 19th Century.
However, over one third
of the Jewish people was
destroyed in the Holocaust
and of many large and
well-founded communities
only small remnants have
survived, and these have
an irregular composition
as far as age and sex dis-
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tribution are concerned.
In these communities
mixed marriages are on
the increase and fertility
has dropped.
In many communities
throughout the world the
percentage of mixed mar-
riages has risen to about
30 percent in the past few
decades. In the less af-
fected communities
mixed marriages assume
the proportion of 18-20
percent, and only in
1/10th of the Jewish com-
munities in the Diaspora
is the percentage of
mixed marriages lower
than 18 percent. Mar-
riage out of faith has be-
come a characteristic of
Jewish demography.
Fertility among the
Jewish population in the
world is generally lower
than that of the popula-
tion among whom the
Jews live, and in many in-
stances there is as much
as a 35 percent discre-
pancy between the gen-
eral and Jewish birth
rates.
Data concerning, age
distribution in many
Jewish communities
show that the proportion
of children as compared
with that of old people is
very small — and out of
all comparison with that
of the general population.
Prof. Bacchi ascribes this
drop in fertility to the
persistent trauma, of the
Holocaust, as well as to
L.A. Federation
Watches Budget
LOS ANGELES (JTA)
— The development of a
closely coordinated plan-
ning and budgeting proc-
ess during the past year
is enabling a special
committee of the Jewish
Federation-Council to
consider budget propo-
sals of local Jewish ser-
vice agencies this year, as
well as in the future,
more accurately than be-
fore, according to the
chairman of the commit-
tee.
Willard Chotiner, plan-
ning department chair-
man, said that the agen-
cies are asked to submit
new program requests for
validation and to indicate
where m aj or
modifications ofexisting
programs can take place
so that the planning de-
partment can make rec-
ommendations in plan-
ning for community
needs.
He said a committee 18
assigned to each major
field of service in the
planning and allocation
process. Each committee
reports to both the steer-
ing committee of the
planning committee and
to the budget and alloca-
tions committee to assure
coordinated decision-
making.
the large incidence of
mixed marriages and the
high rate of Jewish mig-
ration.
Since the larger percen-
tage of old people brings
on an increasing rate of
mortality among the Jews
which by far exceeds the
birth rate, the Jewish
populations throughout
the world tend to drop
even though in some in-
stances a balance is main-
tained through Jewish
immigration. In all proba-
bility, Prof. Bacchi be-
lieves, the number of Jews
in the Diaspora is consid-
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