I PAGE FOUR THE MICHIC A N D A TT V 9.TTvnAv mAR.ru 2 ioxt L111% I11 Mi11HT 1AN f lATT'V I ~T5iT'thTT YV' YA~tGIW? B153 I VUItUh IH: FACULTY: Should We Abandon Price-Wage Controls? De Mortuis (EDITOR'S NOTE: The following article is an- other in a weekly series of commentaries on various topics by prominent University faculty members. The author of today's artiele, Prof. Gardner Ackley, was Economic Adviser and As- sistant Director of the Office of Price Stabiliza- tion from February, 1951, to September, 1952. He also served for nearly five years in the wartime Office of Price Administration.) By GARDNER ACKLEY Professor of Economics THE EDITORS of The Daily have asked my views on the question whether it is wise to abandon price and wage controls at. this time. In part, my answer depends on what is meant by "abandon." Let me reviewj briefly our recent experience with controls, concentrating not on their accomplishments, but rather on what I believe to have been two major errors in their use. Comprehensive wage and price controls were imposed on January 26, 1951. At that time each seller's price for almost every commodity or service was frozen at the highest level he had charged during the period December 19, 1950, to January 26, 1951. Wage rates were frozen at the levels in effect on January 25, 1951. Almost without exception, the prices and wage rates frozen by that action were the highest in our history. During the seven months following the invasion of South Korea on June 24, 1950, the Consumers' Price Index (the so-called "cost-of-living") had advanced about eight percent. But there was plenty of reason to believe that retail prices would have to go even higher. Retail prices normally move more slowly than others, and the Wholesale Price Index had advanced sixteen percent during the same period, while sensitive raw materials prices had soared an astronomical forty- five percent. Over this same period, average hourly earnings in manufacturing had climbed about seven and one-half percent, although this overestimates the rise in wage rates. During December 1950 and January 1951, prices and wages were rising even more rapidly than the above figures suggest. A frantic chase of prices and costs, wages and the cost-of-living, was well under way. This spiral was based almost entirely upon spec- ulation and fear. The Federal Government was not then contributing to inflation by running a deficit; on the contrary the so- called Federal "cash budget" showed a more than five billion dollar surplus in the year ended June 30, 1951. But businessmen and consumers alike feared that the expanded military expenditure program required to counter Communist aggression would in the future produce inflation and shortages. Nat- urally, they rushed to buy, and this produced the very inflation which they feared. Talk about the imminent use of price controls also contributed to the boosting of prices, as many sellers tried to beat the freeze. There was really no choice in January but to clamp down comprehensive controls. The only question-and it is a legitimate one-is why controls were not employed earlier, before the situation got out of hand. Or, even in late January, why did the government not freeze prices at the levels of, say, December 1, a period before the speculative fever had attained the hectic proportions reached in late Jan- uary? The answer to these questions cannot be attempted here. The' explanation involves many factors, personal, administrative, and economic. It is my considered judgment that our record for that period is one of rather miserable failure. It is possible, for example, that timely use of selective controls beginning in December or even November might have avoided the necessity for com- prehensive controls, or at least made com- prehensive controls possible with far less confusion and distortion. This was major error number one. Could it have been avoided? It is my contention that there would have been much greater chance for intelligent action had there been in existence on June 24, 1950, (a) standby legislation authorizing controls in case of an emergency ,and (b) even more import- ant, a small staff which would have done some thinking about, and prepared some plans for dealing with various kinds of in- flationary developments. Legal authority for price-wage controls did not exist until Sep- tember 8, and even a skeleton control staff did not begin to exist before December 1. More significant, there were no draft regu- lations; no carefully-thought-out analyses, no competent evaluation, of the lessons of previous experience, no agreed -upon state- -ment of objectives, no plan of organization. Thus, I am opposed to the abandonment of controls if abandonment means that we go back to where we were on June 24, 1950. Much as I should hate to see the United States again resort to wage and price controls, in this uncertain world it is sen- seless not to be prepared, in an economic as well as a military way, for whatever crises the future may bring. To return now to the chronology of events. For six months or so following the freeze, inflationary pressures remained intense, al- though the speculative fever which had large- ly created the previous inflation cooled rap- idly. During this period, the control agencies struggled painfully with the mess which they inherited from the ill-timed freeze. In the process, some further wage and price in- creases were allowed, partly required by an imperfect law, partly again because of a lack of readiness to deal with the problems. But increases were also required because the structUre of wages and prices had be- come so distorted during the previous in- flationary advance. These distortions could not effectively be removed merely by lower- ing the prices that were too high. Rather, most of the straightening-out of the price structure had to come through allowing in- creases. BUT BY THE late fall of 1951, a noticeable easing of inflationary pressures was evident. Some prices began to drop below ceilings, particularly where the ceilings re- flected the more extreme previous infla- tion. Some sellers did not take full advan- tage of the price increases permitted by the weakening amendments which Congress added to the law in mid-1951. Early in 1952, attention turned to the suspension of price controls. Some of the price agency's econo- mists felt that many controls could be sus- pended, and, if all went well, a progressive lifting of controls would be both safe and wise. Beginning in April, ceilings started to come off. But the top brass in the stabiliza- tion agencies and the Administration were afraid of this program. It was slowed down to a snail's pace. After the election, nothing more was done about removing ceilings awaiting the pleasure of the new Adminis- tration. The failure to act more quickly and more boldly in lifting controls seems to me to have been major error number two. In part it resulted from a mistaken eco- nomic forecast, which was based primar- ily upon repeated gross overestimates of the extent and acceleration of military spending, and secondarily upon faulty pro- jections of consumer spending behavior. In part, however, it resulted from an improper appreciation of the role of direct con- trols in a non-war economy. The basic reliance for restraining inflation in a non-war situation must be placed upon the so-called "indirect controls"-a vigor- ous tax policy, maximum economy in less- essential expenditures, and stringent credit controls. Our record in this respect was not bad. We did increase taxes sharply (although not as much as would have been necessary had the forecast with respect to military spending and con- sumer spending been correct), and we did finally take some of the shackles off the Federal Reserve System. If we use our indirect controls intelli- gently, direct controls in a less-than-full- war situation become a supplement-a back- stop to cut off price movements based upon speculation, to hold the line until the slower acting indirect controls take hold. To change the metaphor, they can be used as a shock absorber. Once the initial shock has been absorbed, the indirect controls can take over. Of course, in the event of full war, direct controls would have to remain in effect, together with stringent indirect con- trols, holding back the continuing and 4n- tense inflationary pressures that full war would generate. Thus, when you ask me, "Is it wise to abandon controls?" I answer "yes and no." Most of the controls should have come off earlier. But it would be unsound and un- wise to abandon them without standby plan- ning and preparedness. --Daily-Bill Hampton "Well . . . give yourself a little time, Ivan. You'll think of something. ettep4 TO TIHE EDITOR The Daily welcomes communications from its readers on matters of general interest, and will publish all letters which are signed by the writer and in good taste. Letters exceeding 300 words in length, defamatory or libelous letters, and letters which for any reason are not in good taste will be condensed, edited or withheld from publication at the discretion of the editors. IN RETROSPECT: Daily Sports Editor, 1921 In Three Worlds at '' (EDITOR'S NOTE: Prof. Angell, of the sociology department, was sports editor of The Daily from 1920-21. He graduated from the University in 1921, and went on to receive his Ph.D. from this institution in 1924. A distinguished author and sociologist, he was chairman of the University sociology department from 1940-52. In 1949, he served as acting chairman of the social science department of UNESCO in Paris; at present, he is a vice-chairman of the U. S. National Commission for UNESCO. This is the third in a series of articles by prominent Daily alumni re- evaluating their college life in terms of their later experience.) By ROBERT C. ANGELL WE ALUMNI looking back a generation to our college days naturally evaluate our undergraduate experiences in terms of the life we have since led. Our analysis can only be helpful to you, the present crop of Michigan men, on the assumption that the world of tomorrow is going to be much like the world that we have known. Because I be- lieve, alas, that there is only too much truth in that assumption, I am willing to contribute to this series. Even though you escape such a dreadful economic collapse as that of the 'thirties, even though you do not serve more than once in the armed forces, you are sure to live through harrowing times and to participate in the making of crucial decisions. Like many college students before and since, I lived in three fairly distinct worlds-the small circle of my fraternity, the broad vistas opening up from the classroom, and the hurly-burly of cam- pus activities. Each of these contributed something distinctive to my development. From the first I gained the confidence that only the support of warm friends can give. How significant this was is perhaps shown by the fact that I am still close to half a dozen of my fraternity classmates. From the second world I gained the orientation and enthusiasm for my life work. Let no student of to- day suppose that his career is any less dependent on the fruits of his academic world. It is to the third world, that of campus activities, that I wish to. turn my chief attention, and especially to The Daily. Two years of play- ing on the tennis team were a source of great fun, especially since we were a congenial group and were so fortunate as to swing through the East both years; but this like dancing in the, male chorus of the Michigan Union Opera, was rather a minor episode. The Daily was something different. This called for steady effort, day in day out, week in week out, throughout the academic year. I am afraid most of us put ourselves into it more conscientiously than we did into our courses. There was certainly a measure of real discipline here. I would not stress its importance, however, for I have long believed that if those who participate in campus activities tend to be successful in life it is mostly because they came to college as energetic, industrious young persons, and simply carried on in their characteristic way through the University and beyond. No, I would emphasize quite another aspect of the matter, at least in my own case. The Daily was where I met many kinds and conditions of students. My fraternity, like almost all such groups, consisted of boys from very similar backgrounds. We had a good time together and we gave each other mutual support but we did not represent to one another different ways of life and thus open up challenging perspectives. In considerable measure The Daily did this. When one worked until one or two in the morning before the paper was "put to bed," one got to know the other members of the night crew pretty well. While waiting for the concert reviewer or some late reporter to type his story, we had plenty of time for the anecdotal gossip that is so revealing of life positions and pros- pects. Valuable as The Daily was in this respect, it could not give me the fullness of insight that would have been desirable. Two groups were not represented at all-foreign students and Americans who had to be completely self-supporting. I now regret that I did not somehow become more intimate with members of these groups. The fact of the matter is that, even if I had then felt as strongly as I now do, the social structure of the campus would have made it rather difficult. Things are better in this respect today. Men's dormitories, which were then non-existent, offer an opportunity for natural mingling among many types of students. This is indeed fortunate since, if anything, the need for understanding those from different class backgrounds and from other nations has increased since my day. The world is posing problems that can only be solved by the joint and comprehending efforts of widely diverse groups. As a matter of fact, dormitories seem to make possible an inter- penetration of the three worlds that were largely separate for me. A diversified yet congenial group in a dormitory can yield a sense of solidarity at the same time that it is opening up fresh perspectives, and these perspectives can enrich the meaning of academic work. Whether or not this actually occurs in any marked degree, I do not know. But the opportunity is there and it is one which my own exper- ience strongly suggests that you seize. .4 t CINEMA At the Orpheum.. . ' THE BIG DAY (Jour de Fete), with Jac- ques Tati. ORPHEUM cinemagoers are being intro- duced this weekend to an interesting French new comedian. The comedy of Jaques Tati is a comedy of errors. Tati is the eternal bungler. It is a relief to find a comic that evokes wholesome laughter from an audience while descending neither to the pie-throw- ing stage nor relying strictly on a battery of gags.% Tati comes from the decreasing ranks of first-class pantomime comedians. Language difficultiesvanish with a well-placed grim- ace or a neat acrobatic stunt. Unfortunately for all concerned, the vehicle for Tati's debut is barren of any interest by itself. Without Tati it would fare worse than a Fitzpatrick travel-talk. The story is of a tiny carnival's annual visit to a small French village. During the cqurse of the festivities the peasants are treated to an American film, extolling the virtues of the U. S. postal service. The bicycle riding village postman, Tati, suf- fers by comparison with the American heli- copter mail deliveries. Goaded on by the villagers, he tries to modernize his own bicycle-made deliveries. His misadventures are the meat of the film., The village life depicted has so little to offer dramatically, that before Tati makes his appearance, many of the customers bad already departed from the theater. The picture is short and allows the man- agement to present five cartoons from the Near Sighted Mr. Magoo series. So skillfully done are these UPA products, that the filmgoer appreciates them more each time he views them. --Harland Britz THE NORTH ATLANTIC alliance shows some signs of coming apart at the seams on its own account. France is weak and overcommitted, and its weakness is now holding up the whole movement toward federation in a European Defense Commun- ity. Even with large grants of aid, the French doubt that they can maintain both MATTER OF FACT 'k B fy JOSEPH and STEWART ALSOP WASHINGTON-Evidently early reports have misrepresented Secretary of State John Foster Dulles's approach to the gi- gantic problem of reorganizing and admin- istering his new department. It has been alleged that' Dulles was following the sys- tem of the legendary Russian pursued by wolves, throwing any State Department em- ployee to Sen. Joseph R. McCarthy in the happy hope of escaping himself. This has now been proven wrong in the highly significant case of. John Carter Vincent, which has been too much obscur- ed by the rush of other events. In this case, Secretary Dulles assumed personal responsibility for deciding Vincent's fate, after the Truman Loyalty Review Board had held that this intensely controversial foreign service office was doubtfully loyal. Dulles took his responsibility extremely seriously. He read through the whole long record of the charges against Vincent, be- fore the Senate Internal Security Com- mittee and elsewhere. He considered other evidence that was also presented to him. He talked with Vincent. In the end, he con- cluded that there was no doubt about Vin- cent's loyalty, but that there were grave doubts about his wisdom-th'at, in short, Vincent was a perfectly loyal American but a silly fellow. On the basis of this judgment, Secretary Dulles allowed Vincent to resign with full pension rights. The difference between the Dulles decision and the prior decision of the Lolalty Review Board was the difference be- tween firing a cook for burning the roast, and charging a cook with being a profes- sional poisoner. The difference was instant- ly recognized by Sens. McCarthy and Pat McCarran.zThey had, in effect, charged Vin- cent with being a professional poisoner of the worst kind. They at once denounced Dulles for his action in the bitterest terms. But the Dulles decision in the Vincent case was also bold in another way. Be- denz was untruthful when he made his charge against Vincent, or Vincent lied in his denials. It is singularly significant that a brilliant and seasoned lawyer, with the conservative cast of mind and strongly judicial temperament of John Foster Dulles, should have decided this conflict in favor of Vincent after the most laborious review of all the evidence. If Dulles thinks Vincent was telling the truth in denying membership in the Com- munist party, then he must also thing that Budenz foreswore himself when he declared ur der oath that Vincent was a Communist party member. This clearly implied judg- ment by Dulles is all the more significant, when taken in conjunction with the Justice Department's handling of the case of that other silly fellow who has leen transformed into a national bugaboo, Owen Lattimore. In the Lattinore case, there was the same either/or proposition as in the Vin- cent case. Either Budenz was untruthful in accusing Lattimore of being a Com- munist, or Lattimore was untruthful in denying Budenz's charge. If Lattimore committed perjury at all, this was certain- ly his most flagrant and positive perjury. Yet the Justice Department apparently preferred to spare Budenz from hostile cross-examination. At any rate, the de- partment left out the main charge, and based the Lattimore indictment on a series of wholly subsidiary and relatively trivial statements contained in Lattimore's ramb- ling testimony. Any show of lack of faith in Louis Bu- denz is a flagrant affront to Sens. McCarthy and McCarran, who have used Budenz as the chief witness in their prosecutions. From every standpoint, therefore, the settlement of the Vincent case indicates that Secre- tary Dulles is entirely prepared to stand up to Sen. McCarthy, The opposite impression has been creat- ed. But this was only because the State t 1 j 1 j t t l I E E t 1 t '] T r Y Book Exchange .. . To the Editor: STUDENTS seem primarily con cerned with what is wrong or what should be done and i not being done, so after fou years in Student Government thi comes as a new job to me. I wish to call attention to some thing that is right for once- something which was done pretty much as it should have been done Through the strong co-operation of many organizations and in dividual students, the Studen Book Exchange did well over twice the business this semester that it has ever done before. I wish that I could thank all who helped in the Exchange and on book col- lections personally and individ- ually-but I must study too. My sincerest thanks go to the officers and men of Alpha Phi Omega; to the councils and men and women in South Quad, Alice Lloyd, Stockwell, East Quad, West Quad, and the rest; to the S.L. and its dorm representatives; to Mr. Vail and the Economics De- partment; and to all those others who contributed so generously of their time. It was your Exchange and you made it a good one-may you continue to be as successful. -Keith Beers, Manager Student Book Exchange Rifle Club Funds .. . To the Editor: WISH to bring a shameful sit- uation to the attention of the student body. An organization on this campus is in need of both financial assistance and moral sup- port. So far these have been with- held. This organizatonbof which I speak is the U. of M. Rifle Club. This year the club has won such honors as the Big Ten Rifle Cham- pionship and the Illinois Invita- tional Rifle Tournament. The club is, however. unknown to the ma- jority of students on campus. The students hear about the club very seldom because it is regarded as one of the lesser campushorgani- zations by the people who print the news. The financial problem of the club is even more depressing to the members. The only sources of income the club has at the pres- ent time are: one Cinema Guild movie a year and the one dollar entrance fee charged new mem- bers. This is pretty lean pickings. The club has applied to the ath- letic department for fundson nu- merous occasions, but has been re- fused each time. The club mem- bers are forced to foot all the bills for each match fired. This is rough on the pocketbooks of the none- too-wealthy shooters. Many col- leges regard rifle shooting as a major sport and spend thousands of dollars each year transporting, equipping, and training rifle teams. The University of Mary- land Rifle Team travels as many miles as does the football team. I don't mean to imply that U. of M. should follow a like policy, but it would be nice if the club could have a little financial assistance. stitutional convention held on November 23, 1952, and with my intimacy with this Association, I would say that the ISA council (now, House) is a breeding and training ground of future dictators. S This is proved by the methods radopted by the recent election s committee to "elect" the represen- tatives from various national and -regional groups - organized and unorganized. The methods adopted were such that it would be possible . to bring the people and only those people into the House of Repre- sentatives, who could be influ- t enced or even controlled by the present regime. They also made it possible to bring adelegatefrom tthe Ukranian group which has only 5 members (according to the foreign students' directory for Spring 1953)-the constitution clearly states that a group must have a minimum of 10 members to be entitled to a seat in the House-a clear violation of the constitution. At a meeting held on March 2, 1953, when a member who was aware of all these subversive meth- ods of the election committee ask- ed the President to be allowed to speak the Executive Secretary dic- tates the President "Shut him up"i!! I need not mention any further details, either about the tactics of this ISA clique or their behavior at the meetings. It is now up to every foreign student (every foreign stu- dent is automatically a member of the ISA) to investigate into this matter and utilize this association to promote friendly relations and better understanding amongst var- ious national groups and also be- tween foreign students and Amer- icans and not let this Association be used for furtherance of selfish interests of a few as is the case now. -Herman G. Raju Worlid Investment .. . To the Editor: BARBARA Ward Jackson's idea of international welfare or in- vestment, she used both terms, certainly sounds like another at- tempt to fleece the United States' out of some more dollar aid. No doubt when she proposed that the nations with the highest per capita incomes "donate" 2% of their totalI incomes to build roads, railroads, electric power plants and similar utilities in backward nations, she had her own idea who those "rich" nations were. Not only that but she wants to' take the 2% "donation" from the nation's total income. This is en- tirely different from the taxable income. This shows that she knows how to get the greatest amount of money with the smallest percent- age figure. Under her plan a farm- er would "donate" 2% of the total' value of his crops, or the small businessman would 'donate" 1 % of the value of his annual sales, which in both cases may be 40% of his income; assuming that he makes a 5% profit on his invest- ment. f K t DAILY OFFICIAL BULLETIN (Continued from Page 2) Coming Events Motion Picture. Ten-minute film, "Hydra," shown Mon. through Sat. at 10:30, 12:30, 3, and 4 o'clock and on Sun. at 3 and 4 o'clock only, 4th floor, University Museums Building. Motion Pictures, auspices of the American Institute of Architects, Uni- versity of Michigan Student Branch. Bridging San Francisco Bay, and Build- ing for the Nations (color). 4 p.m., Mon., March 9, Architecture Auditorium. No admission charge. La Petite Causette will meet tomor- row from 3:30 to 5 p.m. in the North Cafeteria, Union. All interested students invited. Russian Circle. Meeting on Mon., Mar. 9, 8 p.m., International Center. The club will discuss their coming play. Society for Peaceful Alternatives. Meeting, Tues., March 10, 7:30 p.m., Room 3M, Union. Plans for this se- mester's activities will be discussed and decided upon. Election of officers. All are welcome. governments and a sound currency are very attractive to private cap- ital. We look at: Canada, Vene- zuela, Saudi Arabia, West Ger- I~Ztc~p1au &tzl Sixty-Third Year Edited and managed by students of the University of Michigan under the authority of the Board in Control of Student Publications. Editorial Staff Crawford Young .....Managing Editor Barnes Connable.........City Editor Cal Samra .... ......Editorial Director Zander Hollander . , eature Editor Sid Klaus... Associate City Editor Harland Britt........Associate Editor Donna Hendleman .... Associate Editor Ed Whipple............Sports Editor John Jenks ... Associate Sports Editor Dick Sewell ... Associate Sports Editor Lorraine Butler.. .Women's EditMt Mary Jane Mills, Assoc. Women's Editor Don Campbell .... Chief Photographer Business Staff Al Green ......... Business Manager Milt Goetz......Advertising Manager Diane Johnston. ...Assoc. Business Mgr. Judy Loehnberg.. ..Finance Manager Flarlean Han kin . ,. Circulation Manager , F+.