Minoi
REPOR
'itie
By JOHN ADAM
Daily research reporter
According to several recent reports, the economic
outlook for minorities is less than desirable.
The combined findings of a group of researchers at
the University's Institute for Social Research and a
recent publication from the University's Graduate
School of Business depict a sort of "Catch-22"
situation for the nation's minorities.
THE ISR RESEARCH technique, called simulation
modeling, has shown that "based on present
demographic trends, even 'if all forms of
discrimination were eliminated, fertility differences
among different population subgroups would still af-
Technique
monitors
sample
population
(Continued from Page 3)
just too many uncontrollable variables
in the everyday world. He described the
function of the simulation modeling as
"comparative dynamics."
SIMULATION modeling "allows you
to test policies in a way that's relatively
cheap and you can try and get the bugs
out of it (the program)" while tht
policy is still in the drawing room stage,
said Smith.
IN OTHER words, it can predict what
the outcome would be like years from
now if the current forces at play were to
continue as they are. Then it can com-
pare that outcome with a different out-
come, say, if the tax rate was halved.
From these comparisons information
pertinent to public policy making is ob-
tained.
Simulation modeling has already of-
fered a view of the possible effects of a
r change in estate taxes for the U.S.
Treasury Department, said Smith. Now
the ISR group is working on a JAME
"retirement income security policy Reseat
study" sponsored by the Department of more
Health and Human Services (formerly
HEW).
Daily
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The Michigan Daily-Tuesday, July 7, 1981-Page 13
rS INDICATE ECONOMIC 'CA TCH-22'
s may be in quandry
feet the economic status of some groups," according model shows that, very quickly, wealth would
to ISR researcher James Smith. become quite unevenly distributed again. Among
"Whites, and especially Jews, for example-who larger families, not only is there less money to save,
traditionally have smaller families-would retain a but the children who eventually inherit that wealth
larger share of the nation's personal wealth," said each receive smaller shares."
Smith in an interview in the summer 1981 ISR Meanwhile, a recent publication by the Univer-
Newsletter. sity's Graduate School of Business Administration,
Furthermore, Smith said in the newsletter, dif- "Black Consumer Profiles: Food Purchasing in the
ferences in saving behaviors lead to still more Inner City," states more bad news for minorities.
inequities. The study says "there is a concensus that residents
"IF WE WERE to start with a population in 1970 of low-income areas pay higher prices if they shop at
and assume that all wealth is evenly distributed the smaller stores in their area."
among families according to their size, and also
assume present patterns of saving, the simulation
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PHONE 769-9420
Daily Photo by KIM HILL
S SMITH, RESEARCHER for the University's Institute for Social
rch, outlines the simulation modeling technique which is becoming a
mportant tool for public policy making.
HOUSING DIVISION
MINORITY PEER ADVISOR STAFF APPLICATIONS
FOR 1981-82 ACADEMIC YEAR
AVAILABLE STARTING JULY 7, 1981 IN 1500 SAB
POSITIONS INCLUDE:
2 IN BURSLEY HALL ON MALE AND FEMALE CORRIDORS
1 IN WEST QUAD ON MALE OR FEMALE CORRIDORS
1 IN MARKLEY HALL ON MALE OR FEMALE CORRIDORS
1 IN EAST QUAD ON A FEMALE CORRIDOR
Minority Peer Advisor positions require the completion of a minimum of 55
undergraduate credit hours by the first day of employment.
QUALIFICATIONS: (1) Must be a registered U of M student of the Ann Arbor Campus during
the period of employment. (2) Preference will be given to applicants who have lived in residence
halls at the University level for at least one year. (3) Undergraduate applicants must have a 2.5
cumulative grade point average in the school of college in which they are enrolled by the first day
of employment. (4) Graduate student applicants must be in good academic standing in the school
or college in which they are enrolled. Individuals who have an application on file must come to
the Housing Office to up-date their application.
DEADLINE FOR APPLICATION-JULY 14, 1981
A NON-DISCRIMINATORY AFFIRMATIVE ACTION EMPLOYER