8 -- Friday, November 7, 2014 The Michigan Daily - michigandaily.cam 8 - Friday, November 7, 2014 The Michigan Daily - michigandailycom Wolverines prep for Wildcats FOOTBALL Breakdown:'M' will ride defense By GREG GARNO Managing Sports Editor You probably don't remember the first 59:50 of the Michigan football team's game against Northwestern last year. But you likely haven't forgotten the last 10 seconds. You remember former wide receiver Jeremy Gallon catching the ball at the 27-yard line, and the offense on the field sprinting off. And then Michigan coach Brady Hoke waving his field- goal unit on. All before the line got set, holder Drew Dileo sliding to hold the ball, and kicker Brendan Gibbons connecting from 44 yards out. There were three overtimes following that period, but you probably don't remember how those played out, save for the fact that Michigan won. You probably ' don't remember the first 59:42 of the Wolverines' game against the Wildcats in 2012. But you probably remember former wide receiver Roy Roundtree leaping up to tip a heave from Devin Gardner and somehow hanging onto the ball with one hand as it dropped. Though you likely don't know howthatovertime periodplayed out, you do remember Michigan walking away victorious. "It just really reminds you that all of the little things matter," Hoke said at his Wednesday press conference. In both instances, you remember the Wolverines' grit and the way they fought back even though they trailed. And against Northwestern (2-3 Big Ten, 3-5 overall) this year, it's going to take that same effort for Michigan (2-3, 4-5) to make something of its season by reaching a bowl game. That type of play will be all the more important as the Wolverines head to Evanston again, needing two wins to be bowl eligible. Fortunately, Fifth-year senior quarterback Devin Gardner passed for more than 200 yards for the first time all season last Saturday. Michigan will enter with momentum after trouncing Indiana, while the Wildcats enter after a heartbreaking, last-minute loss to Wisconsin. The Wolverines are winless on the road this season and are 4-9 on the road in the past three years under Hoke. But in Evanston, Michigan could have a home-like advantage because of the large alumni base in Chicago. You won't remember whether they played on the road or at home, though, because you'll probably remember whether the Wolverines' offense does or doesn't perform well. They'll need to replicate Saturday's performance against the Hoosiers, in which they put up 220 yards passing and nearly 150 yards rushing. And they'll need to do so without committing some of the same mistakes they've made all year long. "I think the biggest thing we're going to do differently is take care of the football," Hoke said Wednesday. "Because when you look at it, I think we're minus-11 turnover margin on the road this year. That doesn't help. "I think the familiarity with going back there (helps). We understand the locker room, how to take the field." Northwestern's defense ranks ninth in the Big Ten in scoring, allowing an average of 23.4 points per game, which will help a Michigan offense that has scored more than 25 points only once in conference play. Fortunately, the Wolverines can ride the strong play of redshirt sophomore running back Drake Johnson, who was the first Michigan back to rush for more than 100 yards in a game since sophomore Derrick Green did against Miami (Ohio) on Sept. 13. But that doesn't mean he'll start or see an increased share of the carries over sophomore De'Veon Smith. You probably don't remember the Wildcats' offense from last year, the one that relied on former running back Venric Mark, and you likely won't remember how their offense is now led by quarterback Trevor Siemian. But this year, Northwestern will lean on a balanced offense, rather than the one that has been skewed toward the ground game in recent years. Ultimately, you won't remember the offense or defense from Saturday's game. Instead, you'll remember the defining moments that happen at the end of the game in a season that hasn't had many. By ALEXA DETTELBACH DailySportsEditor The Michigan football team's next stop on its path to a potential bowl game lies in Evanston, where it will face Northwestern on Saturday. Last year's matchup was a triple-overtimeslogthatendedin the Wolverines' favor. The result isarguablyMichigancoachBrady Hoke's most notable road win during his tenure in Ann Arbor. And while the Wolverines are winless on the road this season, their best chance for a win away from Michigan Stadium comes this weekend against the struggling Wildcats. Here's a breakdown of Michigan's meeting with Northwestern. Michigan pass offense vs. Northwestern pass defense Against Indiana last week, fifth-year senior quarterback Devin Gardner exceeded 200 yards passing for the first time all season. But like Michigan, the Wildcats rely on their defense, which has forced 14 turnovers and 14 sacks, and has allowed an average of 23.9 points per game. Northwestern (2-3 Big Ten, 3- overall) has won 10 of its last 14 games when it holds teams to fewer than 25 points. That being said, Michigan (2-3, 4-5) should be able to move the ball, as Northwestern allows an average of 388.4 yards per game. Redshirt sophomore receiver Amara Darboh, coming off of a career-high 107-yard performance last week, will need to get involved early alongside junior receiver Devin Funchess. The pair can spread the coverage and give Gardner two big targets. So, this matchup lies on Gardner, who has struggled mightily on the road this'season and has thrown 11 tstal interceptionsand just six touchdowns this year. That will need to change if Michigan wants to win. Edge: Push Michigansrush offense vs. Northwestern rush defense Redshirt sophomore Drake Johnson stormed onto the scene last week with a 122-yard, two- touchdown performance. But Hoke maintained a tight-lipped approach whennamingastarting running back for this week. So look for it to be some combination of Johnson's elusive speed and sophomore De'Veon Smith's power-running abilities to keep Northwestern's defensive line on its toes. The Wildcats are allowing an average of 166 yards on the ground, so expect Michigan to take advantage. Northwestern's biggest defensive threat is linebacker Chi Chi Ariguzo, who is eighth in the conference in tackles. Edge: Michigan Michiganpass defense The Wildcats are coming off their worst passing performance of the season. Last week, Iowa held quarterback Trevor Siemian to 8-of-18 passing for 68 yards and no touchdowns. Over the last threegames,Siemianhasjust two total touchdowns and two picks. Northwestern could be without starting receiver Dan Vital - who is questionable with a foot injury - so its passing offense should continue its struggles. In Michigan's secondary, freshman corner Jabrill Peppers is officially out for the rest of the season, but the Wildcats are averaging just 19 points per game - last in the conference. And while the Wolverines are second-to-last in the Big Ten in pass defense efficiency, starting corners senior Raymon Taylor, redshirt junior Blake Countess and sophomore Jourdan Lewis should be able to take care of business. Edge: Michigan Northwestern rush offense vs. Michiganrsshdefense Michigan ranks ninth in the nation in total defense with its crown jewel being its run stopping. And with the Wildcat offense struggling through the air, the Wolverines' ability to limit yards on the ground will helpgetthemoffthe fieldquickly. 10 Northwestern running back JustinJacksonleadsthewaywith 726 yards and five touchdowns on the season. Northwesten has won 9-of-11 games when rushing for at least one touchdown. But the Wildcats average just 3.2 yards per carry, so their ground game also leaves much to be desired. Edge: Michigan Specialteams Northwestern is second in the BigTeninpuntreturns;aveaging 14 yrds per opportunity. ut on the other side of its punting unit, the Wildcats rank dead last in the conference in net yards per punt. Michigan's kicking game has improved significantly since early-season struggles, and the team has full confidence in senior kicker Matt Wile should it come down to a field goal. Edge: Michigan Intangibles After a strong start to the Big Ten season, Northwestern has struggled badly as of late and would need to win out to be bowl eligible. Michigan is coming off its most balanced performance of the season, so look for the Wolverines to carry that momentum, but they'll need to overcome their road troubles. And while this is a home game for the Wildcats, Michigan fans have a big following in Chicago and often fill the stadium with more maize andblue than purple. Edge: Push FOOTBALL Behind Enemy Lines: Ibraheim By MAX COHEN much has last year been a moti- we take from games that we win Daily Sports Editor vator for you guys? and try to improve and try to Ibraheim Campbell: It's make sure that doesn't happen' Fifth-year senior safety Ibra- been a pretty big motivation. again. heim Campbell has been a leader It's really given us a big sense of on Northwestern's defense the what we need to change, what TMD: Do you remember as past three years. During that we need to improve going into regulation expired when Drew time, he's this offseason. It really created Dileo (Michigan's holder) had to seen it a whole new energy around the dive to make that hold as regula- all. BE HJJ N D football program that kind of got tion expired, what was going on He's NEMY away from us last season. in your head if you remember the experi- enced high- lights - like the Wildcats' win in the 2013 Taxslayer.com Gator Bowl - and endured struggles - like Northwestern winning just one conference game the following season, losing most in close fash- ion. The Daily sat down with Campbell at Big Ten Media Day in July. The Michigan Daily: How TMD: The Michigan game specifically last year, has that served as a motivator? Was that loss particularly painful with how it went down in the end there? IC: We had a couple tough losses last year. I don't think one hurt any more than the other. Losing a game, losing sucks, bot- tomline. Whether we lost in that fashion or whether we lost by a landslide, no one likes to lose. Every time we lose a game, we take something from it, just like play? IC: It was a lot happening at once. I don't necessarily remem- ber watching that Dileo dive or anything like that. I remember seeing that on film and think- ing back to it. I mean, but at the moment, honestly, I was kind of trying to figure out what was going on because it was like guys were running on and off the field, I actually thought we had too many guys on the field, so I didn't even realize that they, I mean, it was a lot. Campbell TMD: I see you smiling, kind of rolling your eyes. Is it still tough to comprehend that all of that happened? IC: Like I said, losing sucks, it's never fun. I'm just smiling, because thinking back to it, I really don't know. Like, it was just so chaotic those last couple seconds that it's hard to kind of put it into words, because I don't really know. Yeah, I don't know. TMD: With all of those close losses last year, does it almost make you feel good that there is no way some of that crazy stuff could happen? IC: I think if anything, we've realized that those crazy things can happen multiple times. And they happened to us. So, the fact that they happened makes me feel no more comfortable that they won't happen again because they happened over and over again last season. Prediction: Michigan21, Northwestern pass offense vs. Northwestern 17 The University of Michigan Department of Economics presents The W.S. Woytinsky Lecture Susan Athey Economics of Technology Professor from Stanford University "The Internet & the News Media" Friday, November 7, 2014 11:30 am - 1 pm 1202 School of Education ISA ECONOMICS I