The Michigan Daily - michigandaily.com

6A - Tuesday, April 19, 2011 T

Michigan's struggles are in the math

The numbers don't lie.
Anyone who's been
around the Michigan
baseball team.- from Michigan
coach Rich Maloney to the play-
ers and even
the Daily ZACH
baseball HELFAND
beat - has
attributed the On Baseball
team's strug-
gles to lack of offense, poor field-
ing and allowing the big inning.
But do the numbers tell the
same story? Let's break down
the statistics to pinpoint the
source of the Wolverines' woes.
64 - The percentage of balls
in play that are converted to
outs by the Michigan defense.
Known as "defensive efficien-
cy," Texas and South Carolina
led the nation last year at 72.6
percent. With the new bat rules
that have led to a bit less offense
this season, Louisville is on
pace to finish with a 74 to 75
percent efficiency.
That means Michigan con-
verts over 10 percentage points
fewer outs for every ball in play
than Louisville, leading to a

couple of extra hits per game.
45 & 15 - Respectively, the
number of wild pitches and
passed balls committed by the
Wolverines.
That's an absurdly high
number when you consider that
Michigan's 15 passed balls near-
ly triples the average of the rest
of the Big Ten (5.9), and its 45
wild pitches is almost twice the
average for the rest of the con-
ference (22.8). You can attribute
this dismal statistic to a young
catching corps.
58 - For innings in which
Michigan surrendered a run, 58
percent have resulted in mul-
tiple runs.
Michigan's offense only tal-
lies multiple runs in 40 percent
of scoring innings.
On top of that, in scoring
innings the opposition scores
three or more runs nearly twice
as often as the Wolverines (35
percent compared to Michigan's
19 percent). Why such crooked
numbers? The low defensive
efficiency and high error rate
gives the opposition more outs
per inning and often causes

for balls in play (BABIP) against
the Michigan pitching staff. By
assuming that every ball in play
has an equal chance of becom-
ing a hit, this statistic shows
"real" batting average against.
The Big Ten BABIP average is
.333, so every ball in play has a
.333 chance of becoming a hit.
The Big Ten average is .028
lower than Michigan's BABIP,
indicating misfortune for the
Wolverines.
In other words, Michigan's
opponent's batting average
is higher than it should be,
and should decline. But other
factors contribute to BABIP,
such as poor defense and more
hard-hit balls by the opposi-
tion, which probably inflate this
figure.
.310 - Michigan's offensive
BABIP, over twenty percentage
points lower than the Big Ten
BABIP of .333. This discrepancy
signifies the lineup is unlucky
- about one of every 50 balls in
play does not fall for a hit when
the averages tell us it should.
This indicates that the lineup
should see a rise by about 20

percentage points in batting
average, though Maloney might
point out the low BABIP could
be due to too many lazy fly balls.
.247 - The Wolverines bat-
ting average - good enough for
last place in the Big Ten and by
far the lowest average in Malo-
ney's tenure.
.319 & .327 - Respectively,
Michigan's on-base percentage
and slugging percentage. Like
batting average, both earn the
Wolverines at least a share of
last place in the Big Ten.
Both the power numbers
and the small-ball numbers are
lacking.
So let's do the math: Poor
defense and sloppy play ampli-
fies the problem of sub-par
pitching, which leads to big
innings. A bottom-dwelling
offense can't contend with the
production of opposing teams.
When you add it all up, you
get 11 - the number of wins
Michigan has all season.
Compare this to 23 losses, the
worst statistic of all. And you
don't need a calculator to tell
you that.

JAKEFOMM/Daily
Michigan coach Rich Maloney and his team have struggled both at the plate and
on the mound, contributing to the team's 23 lasses in 34 total games this year.
Michigan pitchers to lose their and hits per inning pitched),
composure. respectively. Both figures are
5.19 & 1.67 - The pitching the highest in the Big Ten.
staff's ERA and WHIP (walks .361 - The batting average

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RELEASE DATE- Tuesday, April 19, 2011
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