The Michigan Daily - michigandaily.com Friday, September 10, 2010 - 9 Breakdown: Robinson will be X-factor vs. ND Irish aerial attack could pose problems for Blue By RYAN KARTJE Daily Sports Editor After a record-setting performance against Connecticut last week in a 30-10 victory, all eyes are on sophomore quarter- back Denard Robinson. And against the Fighting Irish this week, Robinson's first start on the road, the speedy quarterback will be keyed on early and often, leaving the rest of the Michigan offense to pick up some slack. Safe to say, it should get interesting in South Bend. MICHIGAN RUN OFFENSE VS. NOTRE DAME RUN DEFENSE: With 197 yards on the ground from the quarterback position, the Wolverines look like one of the strongest rush offenses in the country at the moment. The Irish run defense is definitely better than Connecticut's, though, boasting line- backer Mante Te'o, who should be playing on Sundays soon. Te'o's job on Saturday will be to stop Robinson in his tracks. But Robinson should be one of the fastest run- ners Te'o and the rest of the Irish see all season. Rodriguez should also be able to use junior Mike Shaw and sophomore Vincent Smith more effectively against the Irish than theydid last week against Connecticut, since much of Notre Dame's rush defense will be focused on stopping Robinson. EDGE: Michigan MICHIGAN PASS OFFENSE VS. NOTRE DAME PASS DEFENSE Purdue passed 42 times on the Irish last weekend, completing 31, but Boilermaker signal caller Robert Marve also threw two interceptions. Whether that's a reflection of the Notre Dame secondary remains to be seen. The Wolverines will most likely get top wideout Roy Roundtree for this game, as the injury report says he's probable for Sat- urday's matchup. Roundtree's presence in the slot could be a huge coup for Michigan, despite the fact that he was a non-factor last week. If he plays like he's expected to, that won't be the case as Robinson will definitely be in situations that require him to throw more often. It's hard to judge the Michigan pass game on last week's win, considering the Huskies spent most of the game waiting for Robinson to burst into the open field. But he did make some huge throws under pres- sure, so expect to see the same sort of thing this week, just more frequently. EDGE: Michigan NOTRE DAME RUSH OFFENSE VS. MICHIGAN RUSH DEFENSE Rodriguez said earlier this week that he's just as concerned about the Irish's two-headed rushing machine as he is about their talented aerial attack. Armando Allen and Cierre Wood com- bined for 151 rush yards last week and both are pretty electrifying in space. They should force the Wolverines' defense to focus on good tackling again this week. The rush defense against Connecticut was mediocre at best with the Michigan linebackers disappearing for long periods of time, allowing Jordan Todman to rack up a respectable 109 yards. The Notre Dame offensive line is still extremely young, which Michigan could take advantage of, but the Wolverines still have a long way to go in this category. With two quality running backs probably getting into space, the Irish should take the cake in this category - but not by that much. EDGE: Notre Dame NOTRE DAME PASS OFFENSE VS. MICHIGAN PASS DEFENSE This is where it could get ugly for the Wolverines. Dayne Crist is a young quarterback, but he showed a lot of poise in the pocket last week against Purdue. The huge advantage for the Irish, however, is in Crist's arsenal. Michael Floyd and Kyle Rudolph, a possible All-American tandem at wideout and tight end, will give the young Michigan second- ary huge fits this weekend. J.T. Floyd will go head-to-head with Notre Dame's Michael, who should be Floyd's most difficult matchup of the year. Here's betting it doesn't go well. Rudolph, a definite NFL prospect, should also give the Wolverine lineback- ers a lot of trouble, as he provides matchup problems for nearly every team he plays against. Seniors Obi Ezeh and Jonas Mou- ton will most likely be given the task of matching up with Rudolph, and if they can slow him down, it will say a lot about their development. EDGE: Notre Dame SPECIAL TEAMS After last weekend's special teams were a wash due to the weather, the game in South Bend should be a good gauge of where this team stands. Brendan Gibbons should rebound from his performance last weekend, but it would be a mistake to overlook the Notre Dame crowd, which could be one of the loudest the Wolverines see this season. The Irish's kicker David Ruffer, on the other hand, knocked three through the uprights last week. Advantage: Notre Dame. Jeremy Gallon should also bounce back from his fumble on a poorly planned punt return, and Rodriguez insists he should still be as electric as advertised. But with an inexperienced group on special teams in a hostile environment where a game- winning field goal may be needed, it's usu- ally safe to say the edge goes to the home team. EDGE: Notre Dame INTANGIBLES As always, there willibe tempers flying in South Bend for this rivalry matchup. And after the last time Michigan came to Notre Dame, with torrential downpours and a whole host of fumbles, the Wolverines will be eager to prove themselves. That's not even mentioning last year's amazing, Tate Forcier-led comeback in which Greg Mathews caught the game- winner to end an incredible drive. That game may have changed the course of Notre Dame's season, and they sure do remember it. So with both teams in very similar posi- tions as far as the rivalry goes, home field advantage could be a big decider in this matchup. That is, if the weather doesn't act up again. Robinson is the X-factor here, and if he can overcome the noise on the field, the other intangibles won't matter. He will. EDGE: Michigan FINAL SCORE: Michigan31, Notre Dame 30 By JOE STAPLETON Daily SportsEditor What a difference a week makes. Seven days ago, Michigan fans didn't even know who was going to start at quarterback. Now, fans know the Michigan at Wolverine they have under center, and it's Notre Dame no secret that he's one Matchup: of the most explosive Michigan 1-0; players in the country. Notre Dame 1-0 That player, sopho- When: Satur- more Denard Robin- day 3:30 P.M. son, has undoubtedly Where: Notre been the focus of the Dame Stadium Irish gameplan this TV/Radio: week. But Notre Dame NBC offers a challenge to the Michigan defense that could be just as potent as Shoelace. Notre Dame junior receiver Michael Floyd is one of the premier wideouts in the country and terrorized Michigan's secondary last year. He tallied seven catches for 131 yards and a touchdown, before going down with an injury that derailed his season. Containing him this year won't be any easier. "It's going to be a huge challenge," Michigan coach Rich Rodriguez said during a teleconference on Wednesday. "He's so dangerous, particularly on those deep balls. He's got the size and ability to go up and get those, even when he's cov- ered. That's what he did against us last year and he's done it against everybody he's played against, really." Floyd presents a significant test in the passing game, but the Irish running game is arguably even more dangerous. Notre Dame boasts a loaded backfield, with senior Armando Allen, who got the majority of the carries during the game against Purdue last weekend. He shared snaps with talented sophomore Cierre Wood, who didn't play his freshman year but wasone of the nation's top running back recruits out of high school. FILE PHOTO/Dai Notre Dame senior wideout Michael Floyd (pictured here) was injured against Michigan last year. "Who's got us concerned are the run- ning backs," Rodriguez said. "They are very elusive and very quick but run with a lot of power." For the first time in a few years, the Wolverines will go into their game against Notre Dame with a much more confident situation at quarterback than the Irish. Notre Dame signal-caller Dayne Crist saw his first significantgame action on Saturday and is playing on a surgically-repaired knee. Still, he looked solid in his starting debut, completing 19 of 26 passes for 205 yards and a touch- down. The matchups on the field will be fun to watch, but it will be the matchup on the sidelines could be even more interesting. First-year Notre Dame coach Brian Kelly has followed a very similar path to the pinnacle of college football coaching as Rodriguez. Both started as head coaches of small schools, both are spread offense pioneers, and both now find themselves at the very top of their professions. "He had great success at Grand Valley (State University) and everywhere he's been," Rodriguez said. "And I've been fortunate enough to have started the same way. Sometimes when you're at the smaller level you have to be more creative ... Now we're both at great institutions that have great tradition, great fan fol- lowing and great interest." Kelly runs a pass-oriented spread, while the Rodriguez spread is more run- oriented. Both coaches used to coach in the Big East and did play against each other once - Rodriguez's West Virginia team beat Kelly's Cincinnati Bearcats 28-23 in 2007. "I've kind of followed his path, so to speak, what he's done in the last couple years," Rodriguez said. "And I've got a lot of respect for his ability to coach and build a program." INJURY NOTES: While redshirt sophomore wide receiver Roy Roundtree is listed as probable, freshman spur Carvin Johnson will be out tomorrow with a sprained knee. Redshirt junior wide receiver Junior Hemingway is list- ed as doubtful. Around the Big Ten: Pryor to be tested in week two By ALEX HERMANN Daily Sports Writer When ESPN's Todd McShay gets on Sportscenter to talk about Ohio State quarterback Terrelle Pryor's improved throwing mechanics and virtual trans- formation into a traditional "drop- back" quarterback, you shouldn't buy tl -hype. One tremendous game against Ore- gon in the Rose Bowl last January com- bined with a strong performance against Marshall in the team's opener is hardly enough evidence to project Pryor as a first-day talent in the NFL at anything but wideout. That said, the second-ranked Buckeyes are the Big Ten frontrunner for a reason. And even though Pryor may never devel- op into an adequate next-level signal call- er, he certainly has all the right physical tools to lead a team as talented as Ohio State to another conference champion- ship. Pryor's next big test? No. 12 Miami, a program undergoing a renaissance of its own. I don't know what's more likely - the Hurricanes' return as an elite program in the next half decade or Pryor's shot at being a weekly starter in the NFL. But one thing is for certain - ESPN's hype of this particular matchup is far from overblown. NO.18 PENN STATE (1-0) AT NO.1 ALABAMA (1-0) It's hard to justify No. 18 Penn State's lofty ranking with true freshman Rob- ert Bolden at quarterback. And unfortu- nately for the Nittany Lions, the schedule affords little time to break in their young gun as they head to Tuscaloosa to play top-ranked Alabama. But the Crimson Tide have a handi- cap of their own in the backfield, with Heisman Trophy-winning tailback Mark Ingram out of the lineup on Saturday, giv- ing Penn State fans some hope of acquir- ing a win in SEC country. And take it from someone who would like nothing more than to see Alabama coach Nick Saban in the fetal position on the sidelines, sucking his thumb and sobbing after Joe Pa's team unexpectedly puts a whipping on his boys. Unfortunately for us in the valiant minority, it's not going to happen. MICHIGAN STATE (1-0) VS. FLORIDA ATLANTIC (1-0) Someone, somewhere screwed the pooch on this one. First off, who decided to have this game at Ford Field in Detroit? Second, whose idea was it to charge ridiculously high prices? Michigan State, a middling program in the conference, isn't in a position to give up a home game to play Florida Atlantic. I can't believe many seniors in East Lan- sing are happy about giving up one of their precious football Saturdays. Ford Field has sold just 25,000 tick- ets as of yesterday, causing local radio personality and journalist Terry Foster to call the game an "embarrassment" to Michigan State on his blog. Not that I'm inclined to agree with Foster often, and especially on matters involving college football, but we cer- tainly agree here, and the biggest losers are the Spartan students. e STAFF PICKS The Daily football writers do their best to predict what happens in the 2010 football season. Nicole Auerbach Ryan Kartje Tim Joe Guest Picker: Rohan Stapleton " John Hurlahe ak&& Michigan (+4) at Notre Dame Michigan Michigan Michigan Michigan Michigan No.1 Alabama (-11.5) vs. No.18 Penn State Alabama Alabama Penn State Alabama Penn State No.2 Ohio State (-9.5) vs. No.12 Miami (Fla.) Miami (Fla.) Ohio State Miami (Fla.) Ohio State Miami (Fla.) No. 4 TCU (NS) vs. Tennessee Tech TCU TCU TCU TCU TCU No.5 Texas (-28.5) vs. Wyoming Wyoming Texas Texas Wyoming Wyoming No. 6 Nebraska (-28) vs. Idaho Idaho Idaho Idaho Idaho Idaho No. 7 Oregon (-12.5) at Tennessee Oregon Oregon Oregon Oregon Oregon No.8 Florida (-17) vs. South Florida ' Florida South Florida South Florida Florida Florida No.9 Iowa (14) vs. Iowa State Iowa State Iowa Iowa Iowa Iowa No.10 Oklahoma (-8.5) vs. No.17 Florida St. Oklahoma Oklahoma Florida State Florida State Florida State No.11 Wisconsin (-35) vs. San Jose St. Wisconsin Wisconsin Wisconsin San Jose State Wisconsin No.13 Virginia Tech (NS) vs. James Madison Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Virginia Tech No.14 Arkansas (-34) at UL-Monroe Arkansas Arkansas Arkansas Arkansas Arkansas No.15 Ga. Tech. (-12) at Kansas Ga. Tech Ga. Tech. Ga. Tech Ga. Tech Ga. Tech No.16USC(-18.5) vs. Virginia Virginia USC USC USC USC No.19 Louisiana St. (-11) at Vanderbilt Louisiana St. Louisiana St. Louisiana St. Vanderbilt Louisiana St. No. 20Utah (-23) vs. UNLV Utah Utah Utah Utah UNLV No. 21 Auburn (-3.5) at Mississippi St. Auburn Auburn Auburn Auburn Auburn No. 22 Georgia (+2.5) at No. 24 South Carolina Georgia Georgia South Carolina Georgia Georgia No. 23 West Virginia (-13.5) at Marshall West Virginia West Virginia West Virginia West Virginia West Virginia No. 25Stanford (-6) at UCLA Stanford Stanford Stanford UCLA UCLA Michigan St. (-28) at Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic Michigan State Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic Michigan State Purdue (NS) vs. Western Illinois Purdue Purdue Purdue Purdue Purdue To apply to be a guest picker, e-mail naauer@umich.edu. If you're chosen and can beat at least two of us, you'll stay on for another week. The longest tenured guest picker will get a prize at the end of the season.