The Michigan Daily - michigandaily.cam Wednesday, October 21, 2009 - 9A The Michigan Daily - michigandailycom Wednesday, October 21, 2009 - 9A New formula shows poverty in U.S. worse than thought GUILLERMO ARIAS/AP People walk in a neighborhood as Tropical Storm Rick approaches Cabo San Lucas, Mexico, yesterday. Tropical Storm stirs concerns over floods and landslides in New exico Forecasters say Tropical Storm Rick could dump as much as six inches of rain LOS CABOS, Mexico (AP) - Tropical Storm Rick threatens to trigger dangerous flash floods and mud slides when it makes landfall in western Mexico after sparing Baja California's glitzy resorts a direct blow. InSinaloa,whereRickisexpect- ed to make landfall Wednesday, authorities suspended classes for two days in cities along the state's southern coast. Gov. Jesus Aguilar asked resi- dents in a radio message to pay close attention to civil protection advisories and said soldiers were ready to help with possible evacu- ations. The U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami put Rick on a projected path south of the tip of the Baja California Penin- sula overnight, on course to hit the mainland near Mazatlan on Wednesday. Forecasters said Rick could dump 3 to 6 inches (7.5 to 15 cen- timeters) of rain in some areas in the states of Baja California, Sinaloa and Durango and warned of possible flash floods and mud slides. Over the weekend, Rick's winds were clocked at 180 mph (290 kph) - making it the strongest hurri- cane in the eastern North Pacific region since 1997 - and it kicked up high waves hundreds of miles (kilometers) away that killed at least two people. But the storm spent its force far out at sea and weakened over cooler waters. Rick's maximum sustained winds were down to 65 mph (105 kph) Tuesday night,the Hurricane Center said. It was centered about 135 miles (215 kilometers) south- southeast of Cabo San Lucas and moving to the north-northeast at 12 mph (19 kph). Los Cabos Mayor Oscar Rene Nunez said officials would close schools there and urged residents living in makeshift homes and those in flood zones to seek shel- ter. Caravans of police cars, mili- tary vehicles and buses fanned out to "high-risk neighborhoods" in low-lying areas across Los Cabos to evacuate residents. Carlos Guevara, the Cabo San Lucas civil defense coordinator, said people became complacent as the afternoon rains dissipated and the sky began to clear. "We have this storm in front of us. It has not passed," he cau- tioned in a meeting of government officials. Alejandro Flores, a 28-year-old waiter, said Tuesday night that he spent the last few days piling dirt around the side of his house to guard it from floodwaters. He and his wife were preparing to leave their neighborhood, where the pitted dirt roads are commonly inundated during hurricane sea- son. "I am very afraid of the flood- ing," Flores said. Meanwhile, far out in the Pacif- ic Ocean, Hurricane Neki was centered about 630 miles (1,015 kilometers)southwestofHonolulu and about 340 miles (547 kilome- ters) east-southeast of Johnston Island. Maximum winds were at about 75 mph (120 kph). Forecasters predicted Neki would brush by tiny Johnston island on Wednesday. The uninhabited island, which is part of the isolated Johnston Atoll, is under the primary juris- diction and control of the U.S. Air Force. The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service has a national wildlife refuge there. Revised calculation shows poverty rate to be at 15.8 percent, nearly one in six WASHINGTON (AP) - The level of poverty in America is even worse than first believed. A revised formula for calculating medical costs and geographic varia- tions show that approximately 47.4 million Americans last year lived in poverty, 7 million more than the government's official figure. The disparity occurs because of differing formulas the Census Bureau and the National Acad- emy of Science use for calculat- ing the poverty rate. The NAS formula shows the poverty rate to be at 15.8 percent, or nearly 1 in 6 Americans, according to calcula- tions released this week. That's higher than the 13.2 percent, or 39.8 million, figure made avail- able recently under the original government formula.. That measure, created in 1955, does not factor in rising medical care, transportation, child care or geographical variations in living costs.Nordoes it considernon cash government aid when calculating income. As a result, official figures released last month by Census may have overlooked millions of poor people, many of them6 and older. According to the revised NAS formula: -About 18.7 percent of Ameri- cans 65 and older, or nearly 7.1 mil- lion, are in poverty compared to 9.7 percent, or 3.7 million, under the traditional measure. That's due to out-of-pocket expenses from rising Medicare premiums, deductibles and a coverage gap in the prescrip- tion drugbenefit. -About 14.3 percent of people 18 to 64, or 27 million, are in poverty, compared to 11.7 percent under the traditional measure. Many of the additional poor -are low-income, working people with transporta- tion and child-care costs. -Child poverty is lower, at about 17.9 percent, or roughly 13.3 mil- lion, compared to 19 percent under the traditional measure. That's because single mothers and their children disproportionately receive non-cash aid such as food stamps. -Poverty rates were higher for non-Hispanic whites (11 percent), Asians (17 percent) and Hispan- ics (29 percent) when compared to the traditional measure. For blacks, poverty remained flat at 24.7 per- cent, due to the cushioning effect of non-cash aid. -The Northeast and West saw bigger jumps in poverty, due large- ly to cities with higher costs of liv- ing such as New York, Boston, Los Angeles and San Francisco. The Census Bureau said it expe- dited release of the alternative numbers for this month because of the interest expressed by lawmak- ers and the Obama administration in seeing, a fuller range of num- bers. Legislation pending in Con- gress would mandate a switch to the revised formula, although the White House could choose to act on its own. Arloc Sherman, a senior researcher at the nonprofit Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, said that because the revised for- mula factors in non-cash govern- ment aid, the amount of increase in poverty from 2007 to 2008 was generally smaller compared to the current measure. "Food stamp participation rose during the first year of recession and appears to have softened what could have been an even greater increase in financial hardship," he said. University Housing could ditch same-hall, same-room policy From Page 1A not yet been decided how it will determine which students will be eligible to return. Housing also plans to reserve rooms for the University's seven residential Michigan Learn- ing Communities. Each learning community decides which stu- dents can remain in the program. Unlike other residents, students returning to a learning commu- nity will have the opportunity to stay in their current hallway, but whether they will have the choice to stay in their same room is not yet known. After adding up the space allo- cations from all residence halls, Logan said Housing could not come up with a plan that would permit students to keep their same room or hall if they so wished, while also giving other students a choice of where they want to live. "One of the biggest concerns we've had is that if we try to shuffle around the number of spaces to accommodate the students who had been living in Baits or Mark- ley or Couzens, and give them an upper hand in the selection process in some other hall, then it really complicates the process for the stu- dents in those other halls wanting to reapply," he said. With these compounding prob- lems before them, the University has been discussing changes for the sign-up policy during the last sever- al months. Part of that process has been an analysis of how the process has played out in the past. According to Logan, the number of students applying for the same room and same hall has continu- ously declined over the last four years. Comparing the process in 2006 to that in 2009, 115 fewer stu- dents applied for the same room, while 593 fewer students applied for the same hall and learningcom- munity. On the other hand, the number of students participating in the campus-wide lottery has increased 526 students - from 1,202 in 2006 to 1,728 in 2009. Logansaid the increasingpartic- ipation in the lottery has indicated that more students are interested in switching halls and that elimi- nating the same room-same hall option would solve some of the problems. , The lottery will be determined based on the number of consecutive years a student has lived in cam- pus housing - with students with more years receiving a better lot- tery bracket. Logan said he believes students who have lived in the resi- dence halls for a longer period of time won't experience a difference in their housing placements. "We feel that the students who have been living with us for a couple years, and who have that advantage of lower lottery brackets because of their seniority probably won't notice much in the way of outcomes," he said. LSA junior Caitlin Sadler, president of the Residence Halls Association, said she thinks the campus-wide lottery will keep the sign-up system "relatively fair" and that the policy willbe well received in the future. "I think overall, looking at this in three or four years, it's going to be really well-accepted, and it's going to be part of the overall policy," Sadler said. "I think the shift might be a little bit difficult, but it is a bet- ter system I feel in the long run, so it's worth making that shift." Engineering freshman Mina Georges is a member of MCSP in Couzens. He said he wants to return to MCSP next year - even if it's in another location - because he enjoys learning about the urban policy and environmental issues the program teaches. "If the program is going to con- tinue, and we're just going to live in a different place, it won't matter for me that much," Georges said. But he said he does not agree with Housing's proposal that would prevent students from returning to the same hall. "I think they should just leave it (the way it is)," he said. "If someone feels comfortable at some place, why do you have to make them change?" LSA sophomore Tatiana Hortig also expressed concern about the new plan. Hortig is living in Alice Lloyd Residence Hall for a second year with a few friends she met in Alice Lloyd last year. She said it would have been terrible if they got split up and couldn't live together in the same hall. "I can't imagine if this year they put me in some random dorm because I would have lost contact with them," she said. According to Logan, a final deci- sion about the new process will be made within the next few weeks. Information regarding housing applications will be available in November. WANT TO WRITE FOR THE MICHIGAN DAILY'S NEWS SECTION? Send an e-mail to smilovitz@michigandaily.com to get started. f