0 8 - Friday, September 28, 2007 The Michigan Daily - michigandaily.com First road test should end well for Michigan By SCOTT BELL and JACK HERMAN Daily Sports Editors Ryan Field hasn't been kind in the past to the Michigan football team. Anyone remember 2000, when running back Anthony Thomas fumbled late in the fourth quarter and Northwestern came back, won the game and ruined Michigan's season? Yeah, the Wolverines would like to forget that ever happened, and Saturday is a first good step against a Wildcatcsquadthathelped Duke break its 22-game losingstreak. See if Northwestern will put up enough of a fight to ruin another Michigan Big Ten title dream. Michigan run offense vs. Northwestern run defense. What do you get when you combine the nation's leading rusher with a bottom-tier rushing defense? It depends who you root for. If you're a Michigan fan, it'll probably put a smile on your face. r A Northwestern fan?Shambles might serve you better. That's the case for thisweekend's matchup. Michigan's Mike Hart enters Ryan Field as the nation's top rusher. The Wildcat defense, on the other hand, limps in as one of the Big Ten's worst against the run. The lone brightspot for Northwestern may be that Michigan might go with a Hart Lite attack on Saturday. The Heisman Trophy can- didate has carried the ball 79 times in the last two weeks and would benefit from a lighter load. He suffered a thigh bruise earlier in the month that could use time to heal. But even if Hart only carries the ball 10 to 15 times, backups Brandon Minor and Carlos Brown still pose a formidable enough attack to exploit a weak Northwestern defense. EDGE: MICHIGAN Michigan pass offense vs. Northwestern pass defense. Whether it's Ryan Mallett or Chad Henne taking snaps on Saturday, there will be one constant that bodes well for Michigan fans: the Northwestern pass defense. Sure, Northwestern doesn't have the worst pass defense in the Big Ten, but it's close (the Wildcats'10th-place spotin pass defensetrails only Minnesota's embarrassing 407 yards per game). Even worse, Northwestern is yield- ing the second-most passing yards per game while facing the second-fewest attempts. Michigan's aerial attack hasn't been what many predicted it would be going into the season, but the weapons are still there. Even with a limited playbook if Mallett makes his third-straight start, Michigan should have its way with a weak Wildcat sec- ondary. EDGE: MICHIGAN Northwestern run offense vs. Michigan run defense. If Northwestern wants any shot at coming out of Saturday with an upset victory, it will have to start with the legs of running back Tyrell Sutton. The Wildcats' running back, who missed most of the team's last three games with an injury, is expected to return against Michigan. Two years ago, Sutton was the Big Ten's consensus freshman of the year after an outstanding first season with Northwest- ern. He was effective last year, but didn't build on the flashes of greatness he showed as a freshman. Now, if he wants to get his junipr sea- son back on track, he'll have to start against Michigan's tough front four. Terrance Taylor and Will Johnson are big bodies to contend with in the middle, and the emergence of sophomore Brandon Graham STAFF PICKS The Daily football writers welcome Engineering sophomore Joseph Janiak as their second guest picker this season, at defensive end will give the Northwestern offensive line even more fits. If Michigan's front four can win the battle in the trenches like it did against Penn State, then the Wolverine's linebacking corps should be able to contain Sutton. EDGE: MICHIGAN Northwestern pass offense vs.Michigan pass defense ,Through his first three games this sea- son, Northwestern quarterback C.J. Bacher appeared to be leading a somewhat-potent spread offense. He threw for 838yards, tossed eight touchdowns and ran for two others. Then he met Ohio State. TheBuckeyesbattered Bacher, sackinghim five times and intercepting him twice. Bacher fumbled once and threw for just120 yards. Although the Michigan defense struggled with the spread earlythis year,ithas rebound- ed by terrorizing quarterbacks with backfield pressure the past two weeks. We should probably give Bacher some advice: Talk to Notre Dame quarterback Jimmy Clausen. He can probably give you the number of a good Ann Arbor doctor. That is, if he still remembers. EDGE: MICHIGAN Special Teams Whenever Michigan has set up for a field goal this season - no matter how long or short - one constant remains: Wolverine fans tremble in fear. Missed blocks killed the Wolverines in their loss to Appalachian State. But kicker Jason Gingell has done nothing with good blocks, either. He's just 3-for-7 this year, including a 29-yard clanker against Penn State. Northwestern's Amando Villareal, on the other hand, has been a perfect 4-for-4. But to be fair, Michigan has received some nice punting from Zoltan Mesko. Too bad it doesn't count for three points. EDGE: NORTHWESTERN Intangibles If Michigan and Northwestern have any- thing in common this weekend, it's their motivation: neither wants to be embarrassed again this year. Michigan, as fans need no remind- er, lost to Appalachian State and took a pounding from Oregon. Ohio State clubbed the Wildcats 58-7 last week. The Wolverines have presumably learned from their mistakes and hope to make up for them with increased concentration, determi- nation and focus. Northwestern has likely learned a thing or two from its blowout, too. Unfortunately, it can't add more skill. EDGE: MICHIGAN 0 0 I Freshman Ryan Mallett will likely make his third career start tomorrow against Northwestern. The Wolverines are 2-0 with him under center. No looking ahe'ad for 'M' By JACK HERMAN Daily Sports Editor Before any game against no-way-we- can-lose-to-them opponents, favored teams trot out the typical cliches of not overlooking, working hard and focusing on things one game at a time. Usually, it's tough to take them seri- ously. But after this Michigan's team start to the season, the promises it made leading up to this weekend's game against North- western are almost, well, believable. "They came in prepared for us, we took them lightly and they got the win," said sophomore Brandon Graham of the early losses after this Saturday's win against Penn State. "And I'm glad it happened. Because it's like this: We woke up to see that we could lose. We just took it, we ate it up, and we're looking forward to Northwestern." Considering this season already fea- tured a loss to Appalachian State at home, a match-up with Northwestern provides as a good for a chance of a trip-up game as any other. Michigan will likely start quar- terback Ryan Mallett, a freshman play- ing his first Big Ten road game. Because of Mallett's inexperience, running back Mike Hart has carried the ball 79 times Michigan 25 Northwestern 58 Before every football game this sea- son, two of the Daily's football writers will take the weekend's matchup to the PlayStation 2 and then let you know what happened. - Play of the game - After Michigan jumped out to a 7-0 lead on the first offensive play of thegame, Northwestern marched down the field and answered with its own touchdown, using a mixture of ground and aerial attacks. Northwest- ern coach Scott Bell then set the tone for the rest of the game and went for two, taking a lead he wouldn't relinquish and showing the aggressive gameplan that would lead to a dominating win. - Player of the game - Everyone on Northwestern. Seriously, two quar- terbacks threw for more than 100 yards, both QB #12 and RB in two weeks, an excessive number even for a featured back. And, of course, there's Northwestern's style of play: the dreaded spread offense. Spread teams Appalachian State and Oregon devastated the Michigan defense, slicing the line, outmatching linebackers and blowing by defensive backs. These teams scored 73 points against Michigan; it took six games for the Wolverines to concede that total lastyear. Skill, coaching and mismatches all cre- ate problems when the Michigan defense tries to stop the spread. But oddly enough, so may the Michi- gan offense. Because the Wolverines don't run the system, they don't fill their roster with players who do, either, mak- ing it difficult to field an effective scout' team. "You do have (wide receiver) Junior (Hemingway) work against us some- times to get used to that running quarter- back, but it's still a different game speed, because Junior doesn't run the spread offense," safety Jamar Adams said. "But Northwestern, they run the spread offense. They've been running it since spring ball, so they know what they're doing." If the last two games are any indica- tion, though, the Wildcats aren't doing it Procrastination station very well. Two weeks ago, Northwestern fell 20- 14 to a Duke team that had lost its last 22 games. The Wildcats racked up506 yards, but scored just 14 points. As the final seconds dwindled down, Northwestern failed to score despite four attempts from the Duke 7-yard line. Ohio State rolled over Northwestern 58-7 last week. It held the Wildcats with- out a rushing yard and forced three turn- overs. Northwestern quarterback C.J. Bacher threw for just 120 yards, and the Buckeyes sacked him five times. But the Wildcats do have some hope. Running back Tyrell Sutton could return from injury this week, boosting the offense. Sutton ran for 108 yards and touchdown in the team's first game this season, a27-0 win over Northeastern. In any case, the Wolverines know, in certain circumstances, that the Wildcats have proven they can compete. Last year, a then-2-and-7 Northwestern took advan- tage of adverse weather conditions and fell just 17-3 to an undefeated Michigan. "They have a lot of players returning from a year ago," Michigan coach Lloyd Carr said. "You remember on a cold, windy day here in Ann Arbor, it was an excellent ballgame. I was very impressed with how hard Northwestern played." 0 4 #19 ran for more than 100 yards and the "I might start playing with a blindfold or Wildcat defense had a handful of forced something. This isn't fun at all." turnovers (user ones, too.) PREDICTION: MICHIGAN 35, NORTHWESTERN 17 - Press Conference Northwestern coach Scott Bell: "I made a guarantee last week, and I followed through. Is it a tainted victory because it was against a poor, defense- less old-man look-a-like who is horrible at video games? Not really." "RB #20 was a Heisman candidate? Wow. Nine yards on 19 carries isn't exactly awe inspiring." "At least WR #86 had a good game for coach Herman. 274 yards receiving is quite a lot. All he needed were about 400 more yards and five more touch- downs and I might have broken a bit of a sweat." "Ok, how about a blindfold and just one hand? " Michigan coach Jack Herman: "I thought I was doing something nice for a relative. I should have checked the spelling of Jim Herrmann's name before hiring him as my defensive coordinator." "Even Tommy Amaker got six years here, so I can't be in too much trouble." "What else can I say? It feels like I just got home and found my wife had run off with a drummer." "Well, if there's any good news, at least this means Eastern Michigan has hired my friend Daniel Bromwich." 6 BEN SIMON/Daily Mike Hart is just 139 yards away from becoming Michigan's all-time leading rusher. Scott Daniel Bell Bromwich JacK Herman Wright Josepn Janiak Michigan (-16.5)vs. NORTHWESTERN Michigan Michigan Michigan Northwestern Michigan So. Cal (21) vs. WASHINGTON Washington Washington Washington Southern Cal Southern Cal Louisiana St. (-40) vs. TULANE Tulane Louisiana State Louisiana State Louisiana State Louisiana State Oklahoma (-22.) vs. COLORADO Oklahoma Oklahoma Oklahoma Oklahoma Oklahoma FLORIDA (-18) vs. Auburn Florida Florida Florida Auburn Florida W.Va.(-7)vs SOUTH FLORIDA South Florida West Virginia West Virginia South Florida West Virginia California (+5.5)vs. OREGON.California Oregon.........Oregon Oregon California TEXAS('14.5) vs. Kansas St Texas Texas Texas Kansas State Teas Ohio State -23.5 vs. MINNESOTA QOhi.oate Ohio State Ohio.Sate Ohio.State OhioState. WISCONSIN (-7.5) vsMichigan St .. MichiganState Wisconsin Wisconsin......Wisconsin Wisconsin RUTGERS 06.5) vs. Maryland.Rutgers Rutgers ....Rutgers. Rutgers.. ,Rutgers BOSTON COLLEGE (NL)vs. UMass Boston College .Boston College.. oStonColege. BostonCollege.Boston College Clemson (-) vs. GEORGIA TECH Clemson Georgia Tech Georgia TechGeorgia Techlemson KENTUCKY (-22) vs. Florida Atlantic Kentucky Kentucky Kentucky Kentucky Florida Atlantic GEORGIA (-15) vs.Mississippi Georgia Georgia Mississippi Mississippi Mississippi SOUTH CAROLINA (-13.5) vs. Miss. St. South Carolina South Carolina Mississippi State South Carolina Mississippi St VIRGINIA TECH (-18) vs. North Carolina Virginia Tech Virginia Tech North Carolina Virginia Tech North Carolina Hawaii (-25.5) vs. IDAHO Hawaii Hawaii Hawaii Idaho Hawaii Penn State (-3) vs. ILLINOIS Penn State Penn State Illinois Illinois Penn State Alabama (+2.5) vs. Florida St. Alabama Alabarna.....................Alabama A .aama Alabama Arizona St. (-14)vs. STANFORD Stanford A._a.tt Arizona State StaAford.ArizonaSt. Cincinnati(14).vs.,SANDI.EGO ST Cincinnati .Cincinnati Cincinnati Cincinnati Cincinnati NEBRASKA(-21) vs.lowa State ....Iowa State Nebraska IowaState. IowaState Nebraska Indiana (+11) vs.IOWA Indiana Iowa Indiana Iowa Iowa PUR DUE(22)vs.Notreame.N.tr.. DaNotrePame . Notre Dame.Notre Dame Purdue Purdue Best Bet .Ohio State .Florida Alabama Cincinnati. Oklahoma Record Last Week ......... 1-0.......116-9-0((0 )....15-9-0( . 0-9-0(0 1) . .16-91 )N/A.......-..--..... Overall Record 47-33-4 (1-2) 46-34-4 (3-0) 46-34-4 (1-2) 46-34-4 (2-1) 49-31-4 (1-2) 0 S