The Michigan Daily - michigandaily.com Monday, November 6, 2006 - 5B MAIZE GAUGE The Michigan Daily football writers break down the weekend's stats that don't show up in the box- score. The defense-o-meter measures the intensity of the defense, the Carr-o-meter judges Lloyd Carr's demeanor following the game, and the hypemeter measures the fans' game performance. t z DEFENSE-0-METER 214 Twenty-six points against Ball State is straight -up pathetic. But keep in mind that nine of the points came off a safety and an interception, and 14 more came against the second team. But still ... it's frickin' Ball State. CARR-O-METER In typical Lloyd Carr fashion, the coach seemed happier ,4t after a disappointing game than after a big win. He insisted it wasn't a step back for the team and said he was happy that Michigan played a lot of young kids at key times. HYPEMETER 314 The student section was still a little thin at the top, but by game's end, it was much louder. One writer's ears were ring- / ing more from being on the sideline on the last drive than they were from the previous night's Chili Peppers concert. STAFF PICKS Predictions against the spread for Nov. 4 Don't call us lazy for bringing back our nation's first president. We tried to get Patrick Stewart, but he claimed he didn't know enough about American football. Ball State(+33) at No.2 Michigan No.1 Ohio State (-27) at Illinois No. 5 Louisville(+1)at No. 3 West Virginia Oklahoma State (+17) at No. 4 Texas Arkansas State (+31.5) at No. 6 Auburn No. 7 Florida (-17) at Vanderbilt No. 13Louisiana State(-3)at No8tTennessee No.9 SouthernCal(-29)at Stanford UCLA (+17) at No.10 California North Carolina(+27) at No.11 Notre Dame No.12 Arkansas (-2.5) at South Carolina No.16 Boston Col. (-4) at No.22 Wake Forest Penn Stater(+7) at No.17 Wsconsin No.18 Oklahoma (-3) at No. 21 Texas A&M Maryland (+17) at No.19 Clemson No. 20 Georgia Tech (-6) at N.C. State No. 23 Virginia Tech(-2.5) at Miami Washington (+14) at No. 24 Oregon Arizona (16.5) at No.25 Washinton State Northwestern (+20) at lowa Indiana (+6) at Minnesota Purdue (+2.5) at Michigan State Best Bet Record Overall record 1 WRIGHT - From page 1B Left tackle Jake Long denied the Wolverines lack of focus and then, in the same breath, went on to talk about why they struggled to put the Cardinals away. "I don't think we lost focus," Long said. "We just did things in the game that we usually don't do that could cause us to lose, and we came very close to that today." Usually when you make mistakes that you normally don't, it stems from a lack of concentration. Henne echoed the contradiction. "I thought our guys were focused," Henne said. "At times, (practice) was an easy going, everyone was having too much fun instead of going down to the hardnose and getting out there and practice." "Having too much fun" and "being focused" tend not to go together. It's hard to focus when you're not paying attention to the opposing team across the field, but instead on the national hype and the showdown in Colum- bus. ESPN already started the count- down, and apparently, Michigan did too. Mental miscues are a direct prod- uct of a distracted team, a truth Henne hinted at after the game. "We just hurt ourselves," Henne said. "We couldn't put the ball in the kF'''{ . - t si f . r s * _ : rf 3 '; . f .. , 'i i _ E F 1 j ( Scott Bell Michigan Ohio State Louisville Texas Auburn Vanderbilt Tennessee Stanford UCLA Notre Dame South Carolina Boston College Wisconsin Texas A&M Maryland matt Singer Michigan Ohio State West Virginia Texas r E Auburn Vanderbilt Tennessee Stanford UCLA North Carolina Arkansas Boston College Wisconsin Texas A&M Clemson Georgia Tech Miami Washington Arizona Northwestern Minnesota Purdue Purdue 12-10 (1-O) 89-91-7 (4-5) .evin Wright Ball State Illinois Louisville Oklahoma State Auburn Vanderbilt Tennessee Stanford California Notre Dame South Carolina Boston College Wisconsin Texas A&M Maryland N.C. State Virginia Tech Washington Arizona Northwestern Indiana Michigan State California 10-12 (0-1) 85-95-7 (5-4) -nepname Wright Michigan Ohio State West Virginia Texas Auburn Vanderbilt Tennessee Stanford UCLA Notre Dame Arkansas Boston College Wisconsin Texas A&M Clemson Georgia Tech Virginia Tech Washington Washington State Northwestern Minnesota Purdue Stanford 11-11 (0-1) 86-94-7 (4-5)~ George Washington Fonner president Ball State Ohio State West Virginia Texas Auburn Vanderbilt Louisiana State Stanford UCLA North Carolina Arkansas Boston College Penn State Texas A&M Maryland Georgia Tech Miami Washington Washington State Northwestern Indiana Purdue Penn State 12-10 (0-1) 100-80-7 (4-4-1) Coin proves that writers pretty much suck at making picks, Bell & Singer save face. Call it fate. Call it bad luck. Call it lack of prognosticating prowess. Whatever it is, celebri- ties continue to crush the football writers week in and week out. This week was no different, as the writers decided to uphold the Daily tradition of having former President George Washington - in the form of a coin flip - make the picks. Unfortunately for the writers, nobody could beat the coin and its slightly-above-aver- age result. Only Scott Bell and Matt Singer tied the coin, and Bell still hasn't fallen below .500 in the overall standings this year. Singer was the lone picker to get his best bet right, and would also like to let it be known that he flipped the coin forthe celebrity picks. Kevin Wright's insistence on picking California every week for his best bet - whether they're playing or not - is starting to fail him. The Golden Bears couldn't beat host UCLA by more than 17 on Saturday. The writers really wish Patrick Stewart had agreed tormake the picks after this presidential beat- down. He was too busy conduct ing the band to take two minutes out of his schedule to make picks. Georgia Tech Virginia Tech Oregon Washington State lowa Minnesota Purdue Tennessee 12-10 (0-1) 91-89-7 (3-5-1) end zone and get first downs. It all came down to just execution like I said before, and coach Carr was pret- ty disappointed in that." Pretty disappointing doesn't begin to describe the Michigan effort. Sure, it showed flashes of that dominant team that handed it to Notre Dame (like rushing for more than 200 yards in the first half), but not enough to justify its No. 2 ranking. Ball State is a middle-of-the-pack Mid-American Conference team at best and beating the Cardinals by eight points isn't convincing or reassuring. For all the faults critics can now find with the Wolverines, noth- ing much has changed. Michigan remained perfect. The first-team defense, when playing together, sur- rendered just three points. And Man- ningham's return sparked a recently anemic offense. Still, the players learned more from eking out a winthanthey would have from a blowout. "It's definitely a reality check for us," Henne said with a chuckle. "If they don't come out next week fired up, then we're not the team that everybody thinks we are." Can the Wolverines rediscover the fire from earlier this season? Sure. But for me, the jury's still out. - Wright can be reached at kpwr@umich.edu THE MICHIGAN DAILY TOP 10 POLL T7. California: The Golden Bears rattled off their eighth con- secutive victory by knocking off UCLA by two touchdowns. Southern Cal is the only competition remaining between the Golden Bears and a one-loss regular season. 3. Louisvnle:; v-ow's unac ut r h neph LtcCemn - the Cardinals beat up West Virginia on national television Thursday night. Now Louisville has to be considered a strong contender to run the table. L 9. Notre Dame; Ottensive mastermind Chrliue Weis has his team back on track followingthe devastating loss to Michigan in the third week of the season. Brady Quinn is also finding his way back into Heisman conversations. Also receivingvotes: West Virginia, Louisiana State, Rutgers. CARDINALS - From page 1B English said. "But we're 10-0, and the goal is to win the next two games, and that's the deal." For the first time this season, even Michigan's top defenders looked vul- nerable. The Wolverines have won by closer-than-they-should-have-been margins before - last weekend's 17-3 victory over Northwestern, for example. Saturday was different. The front seven picked up three sacks, but the vaunted defensive line couldn't get pressure on Davis when it mattered. Linebacker David Harris recorded a career-high 14 solo tackles, but many came after other Michigan defend- ers let ball carriers slip through their grasp. And the big plays almost cost the Wolverines the game. "We went out there and gave up big plays; that's what hurts the most," Woodley said. "We gave up a lot of big plays on both sides of the ball that we shouldn't have given up. Going into these last two games, you can't give up big plays or you'll lose games." Even Michigan's offense got into the act. In the end zone, sure-handed tailback Mike Hart lost his first fum- ble in 665 carriesgivingBall State two points. Then quarterback Chad Henne made a "poor throw" that Cardinal Erik Keys intercepted and returned for a touchdown. Thanks to the Wolverines' surpris- ing defensive breakdown, the offense's otherwise strong performance was all but forgotten - an even bigger deal considering Saturday marked star receiver Mario Manningham's return from arthroscopic knee surgery. Michigan (6-0 Big Ten, 10-0) put up 507 yards of offense, including a sea- son-high 352 yards on the ground, and had two too-yard rushers. His fumble aside, Hart impressed as usual, amassing 154 yards on 25 carries. Freshman Brandon Minor also showed up big, gaining 108 yards on just 12 rushes. Even though the offense showed a spark it had lacked in recent weeks, the Wolverines' near-meltdown was virtually the only thing on their minds after the game. Woodley said it was a wake-up call. Sears said Michigan didn't bring its 'A' game. Left tackle Jake Long called it a "reality check." It could have been much worse. In a sluggish weekend for most of the nation's top teams, Michigan wasn't the only squad caught looking ahead. The top-ranked Buckeyes beat Big Ten bottom dweller Illinois by just seven points in their first close win this year. Even so, the Wolverines know a similar performance against Indiana this weekend could turn out very dif- ferently. "Ithinkguyswerereadingtoomany press clippings about themselves and about our team, and it got us really focused in an individual manner," Henne said. "I think we just need to be more focused, and this week take a step forward." Co-captain LaMarr Woodley was visibly upset with Michigan's defensive performance against Ball State during the postgame press conference. Quarterback Chad Henne threw for 155 yards and one touchdown agains