The Michigan Daily - michigandaily.com Monday, October 30, 2006 - 5B. MAIZE GAUGE The Michigan Daily football writers break down the weekend's stats that don't show up in the box- score. The defense-o-meter measures the intensity of the defense, the Carr-o-meter judges Lloyd Carr's demeanor following the game and the hypemeter measures the fans' game performance. DEFENSE-0-METER A Did anyone watch the game? Northwestern could have skipped the game and they would have had 13 more rushing yards than they finished with. The 'D' just continues one-upping itself each and every week. CARR-O-METER Carr seemed in a very good mood considering the result of Saturday's game. He was smiling during most of the press 4 conference. The kicker: He didn't get mad at football writer Scott Bell when his cellphone went off during the presser. HYPEMETER 1,4 Those who were there braved cold conditions and tried 4 being loud, but what other rating can we give a crowd that was nearly half-empty by game's end? Halloween party hangovers suck, but come on: tough it out, guys. STAFF PICKS Predictions against the spread for Oct. 28 Engineering senior Jay Trzcinski, better known to football fans as "hot dog man," uses his 15 minutes of fame to take his shot at Michigan Daily Staff Picks. Northwestern (+32.5) at No. 2 Michigan Minnesota (+27.5) at No.1 Ohio State No 3 Southern cal (-12.5) at Oregon State No. 5 Texas (-12) at Texas Tech No.7 Auburn (-19) at Mississippi No.8 Tennessee (-5) at South Carolina Georgia (+14) vs. No. 9 Florida No 10 Clemson (-5) at Virginia Tech No.11 Notre Dame (-11) at Navy Louisiana-Monroe (-36.5) at No.13 Arkansas Connecticut (+19.5) at No.16 Rutgers Illinois (+22) at No.17 Wisconsin Buffalo (+35.5)atNo.18Boston College No.19 Oklahoma (+1.5) at No. 23 Missouri No. 20 Nebraska (-6) at Oklahoma State Miami (FL) (+5.5) at No. 21 Georgia Tech No. 22 Texas A&M (-5) at Baylor No. 24 Wake Forest (-9) at North Carolina Michigan State (-7.S) at Indiana Northern Illinois (+16.5) at Iowa Penn State (-3) at Purdue Best Bet Record Overall Record WRIGHT From page 1B all 17 of its points after it got the ball with great field position. The Wolverines' first scoring drive started on their own 48-yard line. Their second began at Northwest- ern's 49. And their third started at the Wildcats' 36. The ability to put together a sus- tained scoring drive is a hallmark of a top offense, and something Michigan hasn't done a lot of in its past few games. The Wolverines' scoring difficul- ties weren't the only factors limit- ing their offensive success. After starting off the season relatively injury-free, Michigan has been plagued by injuries in its last five contests, especially on offense. Tight end Tyler Ecker went down against Minnesota. Super- star receiver Mario Manningham injured his knee against Michigan State. Tight end Mike Massey hurt his right arm against Penn State. This week, the injury bug bit Michigan's offensive line. Carr held out Rueben Riley after the right tackle sustained aleg injury against Iowa last weekend. With Riley out, junior Alex Mitchell had to move over to tackle, and fresh- man Justin Boren notched his first start at right guard. Then Mitchell went down in the fourth quarter, bringing in sophomore Mark Ort- mann. Thanks to the Wolverines' youth and inexperience on the right side of the line, Michigan's pass protec- tion was shaky against the Wild- , f' i0. i Scott Matt Bell Singer Michigan Northwestern Ohio State Minnesota Southern Cal Oregon State Texas Texas Tech Auburn Tennessee Florida Virginia Tech Notre Dame Arkansas Connecticut Wisconsin Buffalo Missouri Nebraska Georgia Tech Texas A&M Wake Forest Michigan State Northern Illinois Penn State Michigan State 9-12 (0-1) 79-79-7 (3-4-1) Auburn Tennessee Florida Virginia Tech Notre Dame Arkansas Connecticut Wisconsin Buffalo Oklahoma Nebraska Georgia Tech Texas A&M Wake Forest Indiana Iowa Penn State Penn State 12-9 (t-0) 77-81-7 (3-5) Kevin Wright Northwestern Minnesota Southern Cal Texas Auburn South Carolina Florida Virginia Tech Notre Dame Louisiana-Monroe Connecticut Illinois Buffalo Missouri Nebraska Georgia Tech Texas A&M Wake Forest Michigan State Northern llinois Purdue California 9-12 (0-1) 75-83-7 (5-3) Stephanie Wright Northwestern Minnesota Oregon State Texas Auburn Tennessee Florida Virginia Tech Notre Dame Arkansas Connecticut Wisconsin Buffalo Oklahoma Nebraska Georgia Tech Texas A&M Wake Forest lodiana Iowa Penn State Georgia Tech 11-10 (t-) 75-83-7 (4-4) Jay Trzcinski, HotDogMan Northwestern Ohio State Oregon State Texas Auburn Tennessee Florida Clemson Notre Dame Arkansas Connecticut Illinois Buffalo Oklahoma Nebraska Georgia Tech Baylor Wake Forest Indiana Northern Illinois Penn State Notre Dame 12-9 (1-0) 88-70-7 (4-3-1) Celeb and Singer tie for top honors Yet another strong showing from a celebrity prognosticator extended the celeb's overall lead to an embarrassing nine games over the supposed experts. Matt Singer came closest to dethroning the celebs this week. He took a risk taking Texas Tech, but the pick paid off, giving him a one-game lead over Stephanie Wright for the week. Scott Bell started off the year strong, but he's been slipping ever since. He picked Michigan State as his best bet for the sec- ond - and hopefully last - time this season. The Spartans didn't even come close to covering the spread against Indiana. Kevin Wright's blind loyalty to California cost him this week. He picked the Golden Bears as his best bet even though they didn't play. Trzcinski's strong week continued his recent string of success. He gained notoriety last week when his last-minute decision to buy and distribute hot dogs made him the toast of the student section - and got him kicked out of the stadium by eight ushers. Luckily for him, police told the ushers that they couldn't arrest him for throwing hot dogs. cats. Quarterback Chad Henne was frequently forced out of the pocket, making him scramble or throw on the run. Henne has improved greatly in both areas this season, but he's still most effective when given time to throw in the pocket. Tobe fair, there are reasons why Michigan's offensive output was so low. The chilly air, intermittent rain and strong winds made it hard for the Wolverines to launch their aerial attack. Hart hurt his back when he fell on a first-down marker and played just one series after halftime. And Michigan is still without Manningham. There's no doubt being without their top running back and wide receiver, not to mention playing in cold, wet conditions, hampered the Wolverines. But those excuses won't fly on Nov. 18. What if the weather's awful again? What if an injury prevents Hart from suiting up? What if Manningham isn't cleared to play? To their credit, Michigan's offensive players didn't blame their struggles on the weather or the absence of two of their stars. They admitted they didn't play up to their potential. Luckily for the Wolverines, they have two games to get their offense ready for the big showdown with No. 1 Ohio State. Based on their performance on Saturday, they're going to need it. - Wright can be reached at smwr@umich.edu. THE MICHIGAN DAILY TOP 10 POLL ". we"tv "" mi:"1 nei"""'na"nee"snaa'"hnest"ye 9. ""to".a: itwas a benefical weekof o he(ode ers 7 ekimgnbl.SutenCaeinlylot ndWs SuhenCl slsst reo taelettemi ol oseso week imaginable. Southern Cal finally lost, and West SouthernuCal'sloss to Oregon State left themin sole possession Virginia moved up to No. 3 by default. Now West Virginia of first place in the Pac-0o. But the edge won't matter if must prepare for its only tough game against Louisville. California blows its Nov. 18 game against the Trojans. 5. Louisville: Like their rival Mountaineers, the Cardinals moved up thanks to other teams' failures. Louisville will be off this list if it can'ttake care Also receiving votes: Notre Dame, Arkansas, Rutgers of business against West Virginia on Thursday. ROSES ARE RED VIOLETS ARE BLUE WE READ OUR OWN BLOG AND SO SHOULD YOU IT'S CALLED "THE GAME" AND WE UPDATE IT OFTEN IT'S GOT FRESH AND NEW CONTENT WHICH WE DON'T PLAN TO SOFTEN SO CHECK OUT OUR BLOG WHERE YOU CAN GET THIS GREAT INFO FROM YOU CAN FIND IT ALL AT MICHIGANDAILY.COM WILDCATS From page lB a touchdown in the game's final 30 minutes. Hart's backups struggled, gaining just 58 yards on 21 car- ries to go with two fumbles, before senior Jerome Jackson broke a 33-yard run on the game's final play. But the inconsistency of the offense really didn't mat- ter considering how dominant Michigan (5-0 Big Ten, 8-0 overall) looked on defense. "We came to play, we just didn't execute as well as we could have," Hart said. "That's why it's great to have a great defense. I wasn't worried at all." Michigan's rush defense, already the nation's leader in fewestyards allowed pergame,had its mostimpressive per- formance yet. Northwestern (0-5, 2-7) ended the game with minus-13 yards rushing. The Wolverines' pass defense faced 42 pass attempts, but yielded a respectable 204 yards and most importantly, kept the Wildcats out of the end zone. And the five turnovers Michigan forced (three intercep- tions, two fumble recoveries) matched the Wolverines'total for the five previous games combined. "We go into every game thinking we can dominate," said linebacker David Harris, who tallied both an interception and a sack on the afternoon. "We did a good job against the run today, and it made them one-dimensional. It forced them to throw the ball, so it worked in our favor." After Southern Cal's loss at Oregon State Saturday night, Michigan now sits comfortably at the No. 2 spot in all major polls. The Wolverines face Ball State and Indiana the next two weeks, who have a combined record of 8-10. Assuming it handles those opponents, Michigan would then square off against No. Ohio State on Nov. 18, with the winner assured a spot in the national title game. But as well as the defense may be playing, the stagnant offense on display Saturday will have to improve if the Wol- verines have National Championship aspirations. When asked about the offense's performance following the game, wide receiver Steve Breaston sent a clear mes- sage. "We took a step back," he said. STEVENTAl/Daily Jerome Jackson had the most success of any running back to relieve starter Mike Hart on Satur- day. He carried the ball nine times for a total of 59 yards. I