8 - The Michigan Daily - Tuesday, October 26, 2004 NEWS Oil spending grows to almost $300 billion dollars The Associated Press While Americans wince as they fill up their SUVs with $2-a-gallon gasoline, market forces are smiling on the Saudi Arabias and Exxon Mobils of the world. A transfer of wealth of historic proportions is taking place as worldwide spending on oil is expected to grow this year by about $295 billion, or 27 percent, compared with 2003, according to government data. Consumers and businesses are paying substantially more for gasoline, heating oil, diesel and other products derived from crude as demand and prices surge. While the corresponding windfall of profits for oil exporting nations and petroleum companies is sapping strength from the international economic recovery, it's not causing the kind of financial shock that followed the oil crises of the 1970s. Still, experts warn that the market constraints underlying high and volatile energy prices suggest that higher oil price could be here to stay. "There's not a consensus out there, but the question is being asked more now than it has been at any time in the last 20 years," said Jim Burkhard, director of global oil at Cambridge Energy Research Associ- ates in Cambridge, Mass. Rising oil costs are linked as much to Amer- ica's apparent drive-at-any-price car culture and China's raging industrial expansion, as they are to the world's unusually thin supply cushion, a con- dition that has magnified anxieties about poten- tial supply disruptions in Venezuela, Russia and Nigeria. Consumption continues to rise in spite of higher prices that are expected to slow global economic growth by about 0.5 percent in 2005. Much sharp- er financial pain will be felt in poor, developing countries that are net oil importers. "As with most things, the global impact is not spread evenly around the world," said JeffreW, Lewis, manager of international finance research at The World Bank. Lewis predicted that, without emergency funding, much of the organization's $2.5 billion aid to struggling nations this year will have to be reallocated to fuel purchases by local governments, leaving health and education programs grossly underfunded or scrapped alto- gether. With oil futures marching to the $55 a barrel level this month - up from about $30 a year ago - the list of winners is topped by Saudi Arabia, Russia, Norway, Iran, Venezuela and other lead- ing exporting nations. Saudi Arabia alone sup- plies about 12 percent of the world's daily oil fix. Exxon Mobil Corp., Royal Dutch/Shell Group and the rest of the private petroleum giants are also flush with cash as profits and stock prices soar. The same goes for oilfield services firms such as Schlumberger Ltd. and Baker Hughes Inc., as well as the countless smaller providers of the equip- ment, ships and workers needed to produce and transport some 82 million barrels a day. The extra $295 billion spent on oil this year comes courtesy of, but not without complaint from, motorists, homeowners, manufacturers, air- lines and truckers. The biggest share would come from (no shocker here) Americans, who account for nearly one quarter of global daily oil demand. United States consumers are expected to shell out an additional $40 billion this year just to heat their homes and fuel their cars and trucks. The greatest financial squeeze is felt by low- and fixed- income families, who spend about three times as much of their wealth on energy as do middle- income families. European economies are generally worse off, with the prospects for rising inflation and unem- ployment in the region somewhat higher, accord- ing to a report by the International Energy Agency and the International Monetary Fund. European countries do not have as much of their own oil production as the United States, where roughly 2 out of every 5 barrels consumed is pumped domestically. To keep consumption in check, European nations levy significantly higher fuel taxes than the United States, which helps to explain why the total imports of GermanyFranceItaly and Spain are about a third smaller than America's. Even so, the four countries combined will spend about $25 billion more for oil in 2004 than they did in 2003. In Germany, Europe's largest economy, experts are worried that the country's nascent financial turnaround could falter next year, in part because of higher energy prices, but also because of an indirect oil-price pinch as exports to China and the United States taper off. This comes at a time when Germany's unemployment rate is around 10 percent and consumer demand has barely risen in three years. In Asia, the picture is somewhat mixed. In China, where daily oil imports have risen an estimated 35 percent, or roughly 700,000 barrels a day, and have helped propel global demand and prices to unexpectedly high levels, the rising cost of fuel is merely contributing to a minor slowdown of the country's economic boom. Put another way, mammoth industrial growth is dwarfing any neg- ative impact caused by higher energy prices. In Japan, the country's near-total dependence 7 on imports is offset significantly by the economy's relatively high fuel efficiency. But like Germany, it is very concerned about the weakening finan- cial power of its trading partners due to soaring oil prices. East Asian countries are likely to be hit harder, according to the Asian Development Bank, which recently predicted the region's growth would decline by 0.8 percent in 2005. ""A Russian-U.S. crew safely return from joint space station mission ARKALYK, Kazakhstan (AP) - A Russian-U.S. crew returned to Earth from the international space station Sunday in a pinpoint landing on the Kazakhstan steppe, and NASA's chief said the United States wanted to continue the joint rela- tionship on future missions to Mars. Russian rockets and the nonreusable Soyuz space craft have been the only way NASA can get to the space station and back since the U.S. shuttle fleet was grounded after the Columbia burned up on re-entry in February 2003, killing all seven astronauts aboard. The bell-shaped Soyuz TMA-4, car- rying Russian cosmonauts Gennady Padalka and Yuri Shargin and American astronaut Mike Fincke, parachuted down to the landing site, some 55 miles north of the Kazakh town of Arkalyk, at 4:36 a.m. The return marked Padalka's and Fincke's first experience with grav- ity after a six-month stay on the orbital outpost. Shargin spent eight days on the station after arriving Oct. 16 with the station's new two-man crew, Russian Salizhan Sharipov and American Leroy Chiao. Search crews took just 14 minutes to reach the Soyuz capsule after its land- ing, compared with the average 90-minute search after nighttime arrivals, said Vasily Tsibliyev, head of the Cosmonauts' Train- ing Center at Star City, outside Moscow. The Soyuz's return flight "was anoth- er successful effort for a continuous presence on the international station," O'Keefe said at Russian mission control outside Moscow. NASA Administrator Sean O'Keefe praised the Russian space agency work- ers, especially the helicopter-based search and rescue crews, for their "tremendous professionalism." He also said the United States wants to further that cooperation by drawing on the Russian space program's extensive experience in long duration flights when NASA embarks on missions beyond the moon and to Mars. "The first international partner we see to collaborate with most is our colleagues Rosaviakosmos, given the vast experi- ence they have had in long duration space flights," O'Keefe said. Rosaviakosmos is the Russian space agency. Russian cosmonauts own all the space endurance records, set on the Mir space station. Cosmonaut Valeriy Polyakov spent 438 days aboard the Mir for the all- time record. Earlier, Vladimir Titov and Musa Manarov spent 366 days in space. The longest American stay in space is 196 days by astronauts Carl Walz and Daniel Bursch in 2001 and 2002, aboard the international space station. After being helped out of the capsule by the search team, the three fliers sat in chairs, sipping hot drinks and bundling in blankets, and then underwent brief medi- cal checks in a nearby tent before flying to Star City. The Soyuz spacecraft, the workhorse of Russia's cash-strapped space program, boasts a stellar safety record. But minor glitches occasionally occur. Earlier this month, the crew arriving at the space station had to turn off the auto- pilot, apply the brakes and manually con- nect the Soyuz to the docking point after an unidentified problem prompted the craft to approach the station at danger- ously high speed. In May 2003, the first time American astronauts returned on the Soyuz, a com- puter malfunction sent the crew on a dive so steep their tongues rolled back in their mouths. The crew landed so far off target that more than two hours elapsed before rescuers knew the men were safe. Now the Soyuz is outfitted with satel- lite phones and a global positioning sat- ellite system. Russia also requests that the former Soviet republic of Kazakhstan close off a large area of its airspace before the scheduled landing. NASA has said that shuttles should be flying again by early summer. 0I AP PHOTO American astronaut Mike Fincke, front, and Russian cosmonaut Yuri Shargin, third, get off a plane at the Chkalovsky airport, just outside Moscow on Sunday. 0 0I rI