14A - The Michigan Daily - Thursday, November 18, 1999 Enemies clash in Rivalry Week as BCS waits on outcomes 0 By Rohit Bhave and Joe Smith Daily Sports Writers Four of the top 10 teams in the Bowl Championship Series rankings blew it this past Saturday. The entire bowl pic- ture is now in the air going into the final week before the conference champi- onships. Tennessee's surprising loss to unranked Arkansas and Nebraska's dom- inance over then-No. 5 Kansas State have left only two top teams other than No. I1 Marshall undefeated. Florida State controls its own destiny. A victory over Florida this Saturday and a win in the Sugar Bowl would guarantee the Seminoles a national title. Michael Vick and surprising Virginia Tech positioned themselves at the No. 2 spot going into this week's game at Temple. But Florida, with only one loss, has title aspirations of its own. The Gators could ruin Florida State's plans when the two teams meet on Saturday in the annual battle between these two Sunshine State rivals. No.1 FLORiDA STATE (8-0 ACC,10-0 OVERALL) AT No. 3 FLORIDA (7-1 SEC EAsT, 9-1) In this year's tussle in the Swamp, Florida State defensive coordinator Mickey Andrews must decide whether to attack the Florida quarterbacks or to sit back in the passive 3-8 defense that sti- fled the Gators last year, allowing them just 12 points. Florida State may have the luxury of dropping linebackers into coverage if the defensive line, led by defensive tackle Corey Simon, can penetrate the Florida backfield without blitzing. There is question whether Florida State corners Mario Edwards and Tay Cody can play man-to-man against receivers like Florida's Darrell Jackson 17.5 yards per catch, nine touchdowns). They will not have to if Andrews decides o mix zone coverages and confuse whichever inept quarterback Florida coach Steve Spurrier decides to throw out. Offensively, Florida State will count >n Weinke to continue his hot play of ecent weeks. He has two very capable weapons in Ron Dugans and Peter. Warrick. As he did last year off a tipped tass from backup Marcus Outzen in last .eason Florida-Florida State game, Varrick can create touchdowns out of >roken plays. At the same time, Florida has become nemic on offense. Built for a big-play >assing game, the Gators have complet- d a very low percentage of their passes n recent weeks, and have not sustained ffense with first downs. Chris Weinke hopes to lead his Seminoles into the Sugar Bowl by beating Florida. South Carolina last week (15-33, 161 shown the ability to singlehandedly win yards) should concern the Florida faith- games, shown by his four-touchdown ful, as well as the measly 300-yard output effort against Florida. against the winless Gamecocks. Spurrier Quarterback Andrew Zow must sup- has been content to smash running back plement Alexander's running with some Earnest Graham between the tackles, and efficient passing, much as he did against he has been able to generate a solid the Gators. The Tide has shown a tremen- ground game. dous ability to control the ball. Their However, the Gators have lost the rugged style can wear down Auburn. time-of-possession battle too often. An Auburn marches in having played its offense that can't score, and an offense best game of the season. Coming in, that can't control the ball means that the quarterback Ben Leard and wide receiv- Florida defense must play heroically to er Ronney Daniels had career days win against the Seminoles. against a very good Georgia team. If the Florida defense can force a lot of Auburn has both a poor defense and a three-and-outs and keep the Seminoles poor running.game, so the only chance off the field, they have a chance. Florida the Tigers have against the Tide is if the needs to generate a large turnover and two ignite. points-off-turnover advantage in the Despite the home-field advantage, and game, as well as make touchdowns out of a hot streak, Auburn will not be able to Spurrier's trick plays. That said, Florida handle a complete Alabama team. The State could destroy the Gators' with an Tigers will throw often, and may net explosive first half - Florida's offense some impressive yardage on the can't match the Seminoles in a shootout. Alabama defense, but the Tide will be Florida State 37, Florida 21 able to answer Auburn's passing game ALABAMA (6-1 SEC WEST, 8-2 OVER- with a balanced, possessive offense. This ALL) AT AUBURN (2-5, 5-5) will be a dogfight, but Alexander and Amid the raucous chants of "Warrrrr company will prevail. Eagle" and "Roll Tide," Auburn's Jordan- Alabama 24, Auburn 17 Hare Stadium will play host to this year's CALIFORNIA (3-4 PAC-10, 4-6 OVER- Iron Bowl, the site of the state of ALL) AT STANFORD (6-1, 6-3) Alabama's premier sporting event. The annual Big Game between Bay Played under the lights on national tele- Area schools finally has meaning this vison, this game's intensity will rival that year. Played in Palo Alto, Stanford fans of any game played this year. may have the opportunity to possibly wit- Alabama running back Shaun ness the Cardinal's first Rose Bowl sea- Alexander leads the potent Tide offense. son since 1972. Stanford's roller-coaster Look for Alabama coach Mike Dubose season finally has landed the team in a over the rival Golden Bears. This game features a matchup between the Pac-10's best offense (Stanford) and the Pac-10's stoutest defense (California) - if any defense in the Pac-10 can be considered strong. Look for the game-breaking passing tandem of Stanford quarterback Todd Husak and wide receiver Troy Walters. Walters must contend with cornerback Deltha O'Neal of California, who leads the NCAA in interceptions this season. This matchup could be determined by the success Stanford has on offense. If California can slow the Cardinal's offense, they may be able to strike for some cheap touchdowns. Despite their weak defense, a deter- mined Stanford team should roll to its first Rose Bowl in 27 years. Stanford 45, California 35 No. 13 PENN STATE (5-2 BIG TEN, 9-2 OVERALL) AT NO. 15 MICHIGAN STATE (5-2,8-2) Starting the season 9-0, with two straight home games ahead, Penn State was already making travel arrangements for New Orleans, where it expected to play for the national title. But two games and two blown fourth-quarter leads later, the Nittany Lions are now tied for second in the Big Ten and need a victory to secure a Citrus Bowl berth. Penn State cannot afford to beat them- selves against Michigan State like they did against Michigan and Minnesota. The Spartans beat several quality teams this year, including Notre Dame, Michigan and Ohio State, on their way to their first eight-win season since 1987. The Michigan State rushing defense, anchored by Robaire Smith and T.J. Turner, is ranked No. 2 in the country, surrendering just 69 yards per game. The defensive duo will aim their sights at stopping a Penn State ground game that fated poorly against Michigan. The Spartans are led offensively by explosive wide receiver Plaxico Burress, who has consistently made big plays. Senior quarterback Bill Burke left last week's game with a bruised pectoral muscle, but will probably start in his final game at Spartan Stadium. A victory over Penn State would give the Spartans sole possession of second place in the Big Ten and a chance to play in a New Year's Day bowl. Expect Penn State coach Joe Paterno to empty his bag of trick plays after los- ing two consecutive games, and defen- sive coordinatorJerry Sandusky to chan- nel out his frustration and propose a highly aggressive game plan. They will try to shake up the Spartans by creating turnovers and making big plays on both sides of the ball, in order to quiet the Penn State 21, Michigan State 17 No. 17 MINNESOTA (4-3 BIG TEN, 7-3 OVERALL) AT IOwA (0-7, 1-9) The Golden Gophers have certainly been the surprise of the Big Ten this year. Winning seven games for the first time since 1985, and ruining Penn State's national championship hopes with one swift kick, they showed the country that Minnesota is no longer a pushover. In fact, its passing defense and total defense are the best in the Big Ten, giv- ing up just 155 yards in the air and 293 yards overall. Led by the one-two combination of quarterback Billy Cockerham and run- ning back Thomas Hamner, the Gophers are an explosive offense and should con- tinue to succeed against Iowa - owner of the worst defense in the Big Ten. Hamner is 11 th in the nation in rush- ing, averaging 123 yards a game (1,279 for the season). He needs just 165 yards to set the school record. This would nor- mally be a difficult feat, but considering he is facing the Hawkeyes, he should have no problem. Iowa gave up 216 yards last weekend to the new career rushing leader, Ron Dayne, in an embarrassing 41-3 defeat to Wisconsin. Consistent dwellers of the Big Ten basement, the Hawkeyes are losers of seven straight. Make it eight. Minnesota 35, Iowa 6 No. 19 PURDUE (3-4 BIG TEN. 6-4 OVERAl..) AT IN1ANA (3-4, 4-6) The Boilermakers have been an excit- ing team to watch. Heisman candidate Drew Brees leads the Big Ten in passing efficiency, yards. touchdowns and attempts in coach Joe Tiller's oltunse. After starting the season 4-0. Purdue faltered in a horrendous stretch of sched- ule, dropping contests to Michigan. Ohio State, Penn State and Wisconsin. Purdue is already eligible for a bowl game, but beating the Hoosiers would definitely help their chances. The Purdue defense has been suscepti- ble to the big play this season, giving up 38 points to Michigan, 31 to Penn State and over 25 points to both Minnesota and Wisconsin. Teams exploited Purdue's weak secondary by mixing up the run and the pass, and Indiana has the person- nel to do just that. Led by the exciting Antwaan Randle El, one of the more versatile quarterbacks in the country, the Hoosiers have kept themselves in many games. Randle El has 2,463 total yards in offense and leads his team in both rushing and passing. As good of a playmaker Randle El is, he is no match for the explosive Purdue offense, which is well-rested after a bye week. Expect to see Brees and the Big Ten's top receiver, Chris Daniels (108 catches for 1,117 yards), to hook up early and often in this matchup. Purdue 34. Indiana 17