- ; L" Search crews look for survivors yesterday among th commuter trains that collided Tuesday in central Loi Gov't offici lieadquarte BERLIN (AP) - The German government said yesterday it had received assurances that Daimler- £hrysler AG will keep its headquarters in Germany, even as media stirred speculation the automaker may flee across the Atlantic to escape the country's uncer- tain tax future. Finance Minister Hans Eichel was assured by the air of the automaker's supervisory board, Hilmar JKopper, that reports of a move are false, said govern- ment spokesperson Charima Reinhardt. But conjecture about a possible move gathered steam in the media. Yesterday the mass-circulation Bild newspaper quoted an unidentified Daimler- Cfrysler manager as saying that co-chairman Juergen Schrempp's "favorite is New York" and that he wants a decision made by the beginning of next year. Ithough the original report in the news magazine ern focused on the desire to boost the company's r'gging shares as a motive for moving, Bild and fiscal experts said the uncertain tax picture in Germany may be a bigger factor. "Nobody knows what the future brings," said Ralph 1aruegelmann, an expert for fiscal policy at the Institute of German Business. Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder's government is in thte middle of contentious debate on a $16.4 billion austerity program aimed at trimming Germany's gen- Bull market Los Angeles T imes NEW YORK - The marathon bull Stre market of the 1990s is approaching the new millennium out of breath, low on r e f4el and facing ever tougher competition. r Through the third quarter ended Sept. I the blue-chip Standard & Poor's regularity tI 0-stock index had struggled to a mere just as the 4.4 percent price gain year to date. most peopl That figure improved with Monday's 1990s, so market rally. Still, without a powerful stunned eve fourth-quarter surge, the index's believers wit unprecedented four-year streak of 20 Then why percent-plus gains looks like it will end slowdown f there. vious perio For the average investor in domestic tumbled or stock mutual funds, meanwhile, the The marl reward for staying in the market been tied t Gough the first nine months of this weaker doll year was on par with the S&P index's bug fears, a return - about 5 percent. Yet those "While a gain is certainly better than a near as dire, loss, some investors might wonder if the investors cc risk posed by stocks was worth it. You default an could have earned 3.6 percent so far this unraveling :ear in a risk-free money market fund. fund, a rela For Wall Street, talk that the now 9- and an econ year-old bull market may finally be Brazil. er has a familiar ring, of course. The The S&P Wl's demise has been predicted with industrials t 5 1a E t The Mvihgn Daiy -Thursday, October 7, 1999 - 7A NATION/WORLD 4 Death toll climbs in train collision.. Los Angeles Times LONDON - Emergency crews managed to recov- er two more bodies yesterday from the charred wreck- age of Britain's worst postwar rail accident, but police said scores of other passengers were still unaccount- ed for and feared dead. The confirmed death toll from Tuesday's collision between two commuter trains in central London stood at 28, with more than 150 people injured in the rush- hour crash. Forty-two other people "were seen to get on the train by members of family or friends" and have not been heard from since, said Andy Trotter, deputy assistant commissioner of the Metropolitan Police. Additionally, he said, there were reports of 100 more who "may have" gotten on one of the two trains. "I fear the total number of fatalities will be much greater than it is now," Trotter said. It was unclear how many more bodies could be retrieved, however. Trotter said one of the first-class AP PHOTO coaches had been reduced to "ashes and debris." That car alone seated about 50 passengers. "It is a very difficult and grim task for the rescue workers. There was a seere fire in that carria e, and the great devastation will present great chal'enges to us to identify who was in there," Troter sid Meanwhile, rail officials said the disaster occurred when an outbound commuter train failed to stop at a red crossing signal. The investigation into the crash will focus on the three-car Thames Trains outbound serv ice from Paddington Station "following reports that it passed a signal at danger" and crossed into the path of an incoming express train from Cheltenham, according to an official rail statement. The statement from Railtrack, which runs the train lines, and the two train companies involved in the accident said the signals involved were "in full work- ing order" and that the London-bound First Great Western Train express from Cheltenham "was autho- rized to proceed under green lights" But while the rail companies seemed to emphasize human error, the British media and union officials stressed that eight other incidents had been linked to the signal involved in Tuesday's crash - signal 109 - including one in February 1998 when an express train from H leathrow Airport to Paddington Station neaix collided with a Bristol-bound train. uhe general secretary of the train drivers union said his oranizat ion had asked that the signal be moved because drivers were having trouble seeing it, but that nothing had been done. The rail companies'statement said that their inves- tiation "will also examine the history of signal 109 including previous incidents where signals were passed at danger at this location" Tuesday's crash caime two years after another colli- sion on the same stretch of railway at Southall, eight miles away, which left seven people dead andlS0 injured. lnvestigators combed through the wreckage of Tuesday's crash for a missing "black box" from the Thames train that they hoped would shed some light on the accident. The trains reportedly crashed at a combined speed of about 150 mph and burst into flames. Several of the cars were decimated, and debris from the wreck was thrown as far as 60 yards away into neighboring back- yards. he wreckage of two ndon. als: Daimler-Chrysler rs to stay in Germany crous social welfare system and lowering budget deficits. Stern reported this week that Schrempp is under pressure for a possible move because of the company's weaker share price since the merger with Chrysler Corp. last year. One reason cited for the decline is that U.S. investors are less interested in Daimler-Chrysler shares because - unlike the former Chrysler shares - they are not included in the major U.S. stock index- Schrempp is having the company study plans to move its headquarters to the United States and create a holding company in Zurich, Switzerland, as its European base, the Stern report said. Daimler-Chrysler has called reports on the move "speculation," but the company has in the past joined the chorus of business leaders to speak out against the governments tax overhaul plan. In March, chief financial officer Manfred Gentz said in a letter to Schroeder that the tax plan would force jobs out of Germany and discourage foreign investment. Bruegelmann said that as of now, companies in the United States pay a 35 percent federal tax on business income along with city and state taxes. He said a com- pany in New York, for example, pays an overall tax rate of 45.8 percent - and that is not expected to change drastically anytime in the near future. "Nobody knows what the future brings." Ralph Bruegelmann Institute of German Business fiscal policy expert change drastically anytime in the near future. In Germany under current law, companies must pay Although government reforms as they are now writ- ten call for lowering the tax rate to 38.75 percent, the way income is defined could mean that companies still end up paying more, he said. "The danger of higher tax burdens (in the United States) in the future is by far not as big as in Germany," Bruegelmann said. Schrempp had considered moving the company in May 1998 during talks on the merger, but decided on Stuttgart at the time. The former government of Chancellor Helmut Kohl had guaranteed companies that their tax burdens would not shift drastically. But with Schroeder now in power and tax changes imminent, everything is up in the air. Even if the company were to move its headquarters, the factories and subsidiaries remaining in Germany still would be subject to business taxes, said Bruegelmann. Thursday Supermack ro uctions Techno mice 1.501Long Necks Friday Killer Flamin o's Rock Band $2. 7 H eine's, Jager shots & Stoli drinks Sa turdaL Come Hme Af t State! 'That's My Mama W/Meropc~x" U of M's own rock and Drink Specials! -s- am erIcan 996-2 74 r T I ame. ' : -; taggers toward millennium ak of 20 percent-plus rns may end this year hroughout the decade. But U.S. economy has shocked e with its resilience in the too has the stock market n some of its most ardent th its upward momentum. ' y should the current market eel any more final than pre- ds in which stocks either stagnated? ket's woes this year have to higher interest rates, a ar and Year 2000 computer mong other issues. problems seem nowhere as those of a year ago, when onfronted a Russian bond d currency collapse, the of a major U.S. investment pse of Asia's financial flu nomic and political crisis in 500 and the Dow Jones umbled almost 20 percent in late summer 1998. This time, the declines thus far have been about half as bad. There are plenty of optimists who see this as a mere hiccup in a continuing bull market. New York money manager David Alger believes that when many investors see the strength in third-quar- ter corporate earnings - a byproduct of the robust economy - stocks will quickly rebound. He also sees the Dow, now at 10,401, rising to 20,000 by 2004 as the flourish- ing of the Internet and the efficiencies it produces counteract inflationary pres- sures from global economic growth. But other Wall Street veterans say the bull market is running out of many of the things it needs to survive - espe- cially at its current altitude. "I feel strongly this is a bull market that is very tired and has a long way to go down from here," said John Rogers, head of Ariel Capital Management in Chicago. Ironically, U.S. stocks' problems stem in large part from the very global economic recovery that many investors had been hoping for. What recovery brings, investors are realizing, is competition for stocks. The greatest competition comes from high- er interest rates. The Federal Reserve raised short-term rates twice last sum- mer to keep pace with the economy. The Fed opted to leave rates alone in a meeting Tuesday, but there is a clear consensus that the central bank isn't likely to cut them any time soon. Nor is the European Central Bank likely to loosen credit any further. Thus, stock markets will be deprived of the tail wind from falling rates that they enjoyed last fall. Peter Anderson, chief investment officer of American Express Financial Advisors in Minneapolis, believes interest rates are more likely to go high- er than lower through the next year. That will continue to weigh on stocks, he said. "I thought we would get a zero rate of return on the S&P for this year, and I still think we may get that, Anderson said. U I I \ I BROWSE iept.comn for Springbreak "'2000". ALL destinations offered. Trip Participants, Student Organizations & Campus Sales Reps wanted. Fabulous parties, hotels & prices. Call Inter-Campus 800-327-6013. CANCUN & JAMAICA SPRING Break Specials! 7 Nights Air, Hotel, Free Meals, Drinks From $399! I of 6 Small Businesses Recognized For Outstanding Ethics! springbreaktravel .com 1-800-678-6386. - - - PUT POSTERS UP ON CAMPUS or get a group and go free to Bahamas. Cancun, Jamaica or Florida for Spring Break! No selling involved. Lowest prices and reputable company make it easy. springbreaktravel.com 1-800-678-6386. 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