The Michigan Daily - Thursday, December 8, 1994 - 9 .Russian plan for economy won't work, 9Ai 9 official says The Washington Post MOSCOW -Russia's proposed economic plan for 1995, already dismissed by parliament as too austere, is in fact not tough enough to put the nation on a road to recovery or to qualify for Western aid, a senior official of the International Monetary Fund said Tuesday. Stanley Fischer, first deputy managing director of the IMF, cast doubt on Russia's chances of *qualifying for up to $12 billion in IMF loans that Moscow is counting on to get through next year. "The arithmetic doesn't add up to a program that would work at a low inflation rate," Fischer told reporters after meeting with senior govern- ment officials here. "Some additional cuts or addi- tional revenue are needed." The prospects for Russian reform next year are particularly vital because parliamentary elections are set for December 1995 and presidential elec- tions for six months later. If average people by then see few benefits from reform, they are more likely to vote for authoritarian and ultranationalist candi- dates, many analysts say. Fischer's comments followed apessimistic U.N. report Monday, which forecast growth in East European economies but continued stagnation in Russia and most of the former Soviet Union. The U.N. Economic Commission report said Russia needs a "radical, coherent and credible economic program," but it questioned whether the govern- ment has a wide enough political base to win support for such a program. Three years after abandoning communism, Russia still wavers between radical reform and fidelity to old-style command economics. There has been progress in some areas, such as privatization, but also falling production, growing unemployment, roller-coaster inflation and blos- soming corruption. A government pledge last fall to stabilize the 0 economy in order to attract investment brought monthly inflation rates as low as 5 percent this summer, compared with nearly 30 percent last year. But then a reversion to old habits - handing out credits and tax exemptions to favored factories and industries - brought the monthly rate back to 15 percent in October and 14 percent last month. In the face of resurgent inflation, and a resulting plunge in the value of the ruble, President Boris Yeltsin and Prime Minister Viktor Chernomyrdin again vowed to finally stabilize the economy by France asks for troop withdrawal Bosnia negotiations called futile The.Washington Post PARIS -France announced yes- terday it has asked the United Nations and NATO to make detailed plans to withdraw the 23,000 international peacekeeping troops from Bosnia because the situation there is becom- ing unbearable and mediation efforts have proved fruitless. Declaring other options ex- hausted, Foreign Minister Alain Juppe told the National Assembly that the presence of U.N. forces, including nearly 4,000 French soldiers, has be- come so hazardous and peace negotia- tions so futile that there is no other choice but to pullout the peacekeepers. "The decision we are being forced into will mean war, more unhappi- ness and more suffering," Juppe said. He warned that removing the U.N. forces would be "a high-risk opera- tion that will require reinforcing troops on the ground first" and could end up "setting the Balkans ablaze tomorrow." Juppe's strong comments, al- though not the first suggestion of a French pullout, were seen as a mea- sure of European concern over pos- sible changes in U.S. policy from the Republican-dominated Congress set to take office nextmonth, particularly a proposal to exempt the Bosnian government from the international arms embargo on the Balkans. The French ultimatum also seemed de- signed as a final attempt to pressure Bosnia's warring parties to agree to a lasting truce before any U.S. action on lifting the embargo, which France believes would intensify the war. Shortly afterJuppe spoke in Paris, British Foreign Secretary Douglas Hurd told Parliament in London that his government hopes the peacekeep- ers can remain in Bosnia but that planning for their possible withdrawal is moving ahead following the latest reports of hostage-taking and other forms of harassment. U.S. officials traveling with Sec- retary of State Warren Christopher in the Middle East said British and French officials had indicated these moves during the past couple of days, at both a NATO meeting in Brussels and the Conference on Security and Cooperation in Europe in Budapest. The U.S. officials described the al- lies' declarations as an effort to pres- sure the Serbs into signing a peace accord with the Muslim-led Bosnian government. They said they expect no imminent withdrawals. The conservative French govern- ment recently has seemed eager to move ahead with a withdrawal of its forces from Bosnia so it could be concluded well in advance of a presi- dential election scheduled next spring. French military sources said the cabinet's discussions have fo- cused on ways to avoid further casu- alties. More than 300 U.N. peacekeep- ers are being detained by Bosnia Serb forces as "human shields" to thwart further punitive air strikes by NATO warplanes. Meanwhile, a U.N. request to withdraw up to half of the 1,200 Bangladeshi soldiers stuck in the Bihac enclave of northwestern Bosnia was held up when rebel Croatian Serbs, who control access from the north and the west, refused to provide clearance. A British army foot patrol came under Serb fire yesterday in the east Bosnian Muslim enclave of Gorazde, and a U.N. observation post near the town of Kalesija in northeastern Bosnia was nearly demolished by Serb mortar fire. The United Nations and NATO may withdraw 23,000 peacekeeping troops from Bosnia. "We are at a critical point. We have far too many soldiers who .we are not able to supply with food, fuel and equipment," said U.N. spokes- man Paul Risley. The U.N. command "is faced with very stark choices re- garding their future ability to operate." Theprospectof an imminent with- drawal of the U.N. forces in Bosnia just as winter starts could have devas- tating effects on Bosnia's Muslim- led government. It woulddeprive most civilians of vital food aid and leave its army vulnerable to further attacks from Serb rebels, who have had an overwhelming advantage in weaponry throughout the 32-month-old war. NATO ambassadors in Brussels have ordered military authorities to ask member states how many troops they would be willing to provide for a rescue operation to extract U.N. forces from Bosnia under hostile conditions. NATO military sources estimate that at least 20,000 extra troops could be needed to help remove the U.N. troops over a period that could last several months. The United States would be called upon to provide at least half the new forces to assist in the withdrawal, NATO officials said. The Clinton administration has decided in prin- ciple to dispatch U.S. ground forces to help in such an operation if re- quested by the United Nations, offi- cials in Washington said last week. Although withdrawal is far from im- minent, an official explained, the is- sue has taken on more urgency be- cause of the deteriorating situation in Bosnia. Last week the United States sent about 2,000 Marines and sailors aboard the USS Nassau and two other vessels to stand by in the Adriatic Sea for a possible rescue mission. France also has dispatched the aircraft car- rier Foch from its Mediterranean base at Toulon for possible service in a rescue operation. AP PHOTO Two elderly Chechens hang a portriat of Dzhokhar Dudayev, leader of the separatist Chechen Republic, on a wall of a house in downtown Grozny, the Chechen capital. cutting spending and raising revenue. They also promised to abolish export quotas for oil and gas, a politically risky step but one that Western econo- mists say is essential to put Russia on a free-market footing. Chernomyrdin's draft 1995 budget, when of- fered to parliament recently, did indeed provoke howls of outrage from the military and other lob- bies that claim they cannot survive without more government support. The State Duma, or lower house, cocked a sympathetic ear to the lobbies, shelved the budget draft and agreed to develop its own version. The government claims its budget would bring the deficit down to 8 percent of the gross national product, the economy's total output for the year. But Fischer said IMF analysts believe it would more likely lead to a deficit of 10 percent of GNP- and that Russia should be shooting for at most a 6 to 7 percent deficit. Suicidal man phones radio personality Stern Stern keeps him occupied on morning talk show; police nab him before he * jumps from bridge Los Angeles Times NEW YORK - Shock radio per- sonality Howard Stern, contacted by cellular phone by a man threatening to leap from the George Washington Bridge here, kept the man occupied during his morning show until police could seize the would-be jumper yes- terday. "Once I determined this was a jumper, I said I have to keep this man laughing ... until the cops get there," Stern told a news conference. "Who better to help someone who is psychologically disturbed than Howard Stern, who himself is psy- chologically disturbed?" he joked as police offered congratulations. Police said Emilio Bonilla, 29, walked to the middle of the bridge, climbed over a railing and called Stern. "Let me thank you for calling in," Stern told Bonilla. "I always wanted to help someone who was about to jump off a bridge." As a national radio audience lis- tened, they spoke for several minute# while Bonilla threatened to plunge into the Hudson River. "I mentioned the fact I had a movie coming out and he would miss it if he would die," Stern said. "It caused him to laugh. Butit also caused him to say, 'Hey, wait a second. Maybe I should stay around for the movie.' At another point, Stern told Bonilla, "You may think life's a bed of roses, but it's not" and pleaded with him to get "tuned into anything is ::. }: . ~: ~ ric evaluation. He was charged with cocaine possession and reckless en- dangerment. A spokesman for the Port Au- thority of New York and New Jersey, which operates the span, said there was no evidence that what occurred on the bridge was a hoax. At the beginning, Stern wondered whether the call was a joke and he asked listeners on the bridge, which links New York City with New Jer- sey, to honk their horns. One driver beeped his horn, verifying the seri- ousness of the situation. "There is tremendous pressure on AP PHOTO an individual when someone is plead- host on ing with you to give them a reason to n live," Stern said at his news confer- tes. ence. "Through my calm, through my collected way, I was able to keep my and was wits about me and, of course, save the asychiat- day." Howard Stem shows a sketch of a jumper who called the talk showr a cellular phone and threatened to jump from the George Washingtor Bridge. Police grabbed the man after Stern calmed him for five minut in life" with "a little hobby or some- thing." Port Authority Police Lt. Stanley Bleeker, who was listening to the drama, sent officers to the scene. They found that Helen Trimble of Brooklyn, an- other listener, had stopped her car and had wrapped Bonilla in a bear hug. "I heard this man talking saying he was looking at a police helicop- ter," Trimble said. "...I was looking on the bridge for a man talking on a cellular phone. He was easy to pick out...." "I stopped my car in the middle of the bridge, and put a hug on him. ...He was shaking and he was talking to you and his face would lighten every once in a while," she later told Stern. "I don't know what you were say- ing to him. But he would lighten up and slowly, slowly, he started to relax a little bit more. ..." Police said that Bonilla, a New Yorker, was very distraught taken to a local hospital for p eBagels *Muffinm *Frozen (Gish- '4" *Pasta Salads s *Soups Yogurt eVegetable Salads -Glace) *Fruit Salads *Deli Sandwiches oIs 715 N. University ' Groceries You can go Places with the ]Daily Classifi~e(s r ,r. i -* .. r . \ i _ .; art~ r Keg Beer i7 s r - O [*l