The Michigan Daily - Friday, December 3, 1993 -10 U.S. income rises, boosts spending for holiday gifts OH, THE HORROR WASHINGTON (AP) - Just in time for holiday shopping, Ameri- cans' incomes are increasing in re- sponse to a gradually improving job market. Consumers spent liberally in Oc- tober, especially for big-ticket items such as automobiles and appliances. New homes also sold briskly, although more slowly than the month before when sales soared to a four-year high. "People are certainly willing to spend whatever increase in pay they get and more," said economist Sandra Shaber of The WEFA Group of Bala Cynwyd, Pa. "It's starting to feel like a real recovery." Personal income rose 0.6 percent, the third increase in a row, to a sea- sonally adjusted annual rate of $5.47 trillion, the Commerce Department said yesterday. Consumer spending, meanwhile, advanced for the seventh consecutive month, rising 0.8 percent to a $4.47 trillion annual rate. In a separate report, the depart- ment said new home sales fell 6.5 percent to a seasonally adjusted an- nual rate of 679,000. But sales re- mained well above last year's pace and the decline followed a 14.9 per- cent surge in September. The Labor Department said the number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits unexpectedly dove by 17,000 last week, to 321,000, the lowest level in two months. Consumer spending - which de- pends on job and income growth - accounts for roughly two-thirds of the economy. The big October ad- vance supports analysts' predictions of a fourth-quarter economic growth rate of more than 4 percent. That would more than double the average growth of 1.8 percent during the first nine months of the year. However, economists warned that consumers are borrowing and dip- ping into savings for a portion of their spending power and probably will need to retrench somewhat after he holidays. "Consumers are in better spirits and that will keep the spending good through the important holiday sea- son. But afterward I think there will be a bit of a breather," said economist Stuart Hoffman of PNC Bank Corp. in Pittsburgh. "The economy won't go into neutral but it will throttle back a bit." Nevertheless, yesterday's positive economic news flustered financial markets. It supported the growing belief that the Federal Reserve will nudge short-term interest rates higher early next year to quell any chance of inflation reigniting. "I think there is a greater than 50 percent chance they will move in the first quarter," said economist Lynn Reaser of First Interstate Bancorp in Los Angeles. "The Federal Reserve wants to be pre-emptive. They don't want to wait until inflationary pres- sures are building. At that point it would be too late." Octoberincome gains were driven partly by an increase in farm subsidy payments but also by a healthy 0.5 percent gain in wages and salaries. Spending for durable goods, in- cluding items from washing machines to pickup trucks expected to last three or more years, was strongest, up 3.1 percent. Spending rose 0.8 percent for non-durable goods and 0.4 per- cent for services. Scientists uncover gene. linkedto colon cancer BOSTON (AP) -Scientists have tracked down a flawed gene that causes about 10 percent of all colon cancer, one of the most common in- herited disorders, and say it should quickly lead to the first broadly usedf genetic screening test. The vast majority of those wh6 have the flaw and are tested should be spared death, one of the scientisfs' says. Unlike many basic scientific dis- coveries, doctors believe this one will have almost immediate practical uses. They predict that within a few months, or two years at most, there will be a simple blood test to spot people with the defective gene so' they can be carefully watched for signs of cancer. Colon cancer is easily stopped if found soon enough in pa- tients. One of the discoverers, Dr. Bert Vogelstein of Johns Hopkins Univer.?'1 sity, said the test should probably be taken by anyone with a close relative who has ever suffered colon or uter- ine cancer. "That's millions and millions of people," he said. An estimated 152,000 Americans' will be diagnosed with colon and rec tal cancer this year, and 57,000 will After CRISP computers closed on North Campus, many students were forced1 SUSANISAAKIst to form long lines at other locations. Research shows mental depression dents productivity, U.S. pocketbook WASHINGTON (AP) - Mental depression costs $43.7 billion a year in treatment and lost productivity, a toll slightly larger than heart disease and one borne mostly by corporate America, researchers said yesterday. The study proves mental health in- surance is not "a luxury, a frill, an unnecessary expense,"Tipper Gore told the National Mental Health Associa- tion, which reviewed the study yester- day. "It makes good business sense to invest in an employee's mental health," said Gore, who advises President Clinton on the subject. The study, by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology andThe Analy- sis Group, a consulting firm, found clinical depression generates $12.4 bil- lion in medical bills a year. Depres- sion-induced suicides cost $7.5 billion in lost earnings. But the biggest bill---$23.8 billion - came from absenteeism and lost productivity, the study said. Workers lost 88 million working days in 1990 because of depression, mostly among employees ages 30 to 44. The toll is more than heart disease, which costs $43 billion a year. But the study underestimates the cost because it didn't count depression that aggravates alcohol or drug abuse or other illnesses, said Dr. Frederick Goodwin, director of the National In- stitute on Mental Health. "A fourth of all people who have a heart attack follow it with depression, and those who do are three times as likely to be dead in six months," Goodwin said. About 15 million Americans suffer clinical depression at some point in their lives. The potentially disablingj illness causes fatigue, loss of memory and concentration, weight loss and, in severe cases, suicide. Medication and psychotherapy can cure 80 percentofdepression, yet fewer than a third of depressed people seek aid. Clinton's health reform package includes mental health benefits, em- phasizing outpatient treatment. die. .. Study claims Michigan is no longer attractive to investors LANSING (AP) - Michigan's reputation as a high-cost state for busi- ness often knocks it out of the running for new factories and jobs, according to a study presented yesterday to the Michigan Jobs Commission. "Many times Michigan doesn't even get into the picture," said James Lothian, of PHH Fantus Consulting. The New Jersey-based company did the study. Fantus specializes in business lo- cation and economic development. Lothian said it has helped 8,000 cli- ents locate new plants or expand their businesses. In looking at that database, he said the study found that before 1977, when Michigan was considered as a poten- tial plant site, it made the list of top five choices 57 percent of the time. Since 1977, that's dropped to 14 percent, he said. "It's not just what is happening in Michigan," Lothian said. "It's also what's happening in other states, other countries." r I The study said to keep the jobs it has and to attract new jobs, Michigan should move quickly to step up its economic development efforts, im- prove the predictability and speed of its regulatory agencies, improve the overall business climate and upgrade the skills and education of its work- ers. Once that's done, Michigan will be able to reshape its image nation- ally and internationally through mar- keting, Lothian said. "You don't sell the house, then go out and fix it up," he said, adding other states had run into problems when they tried to do that. On the plus side, the report said: Michigan already has consoli- PRINTING HIGH QUALITY Low PRICES dated its $400 million in job training programs into a structure that allows businesses to seek help in only one place. It has also set aside $40 million for economic development workforce training, one of the biggest such bud- gets in the country. The state has cut taxes five times over the past three years. The school finance and quality debate in the Legislature gives Michi- gan a chance to make a bigjump in the educational level of its workers. The Michigan Jobs Commis- sion has started an aggressive job retention program that centers on call- ing on businesses and finding out what their needs and problems with state government are. The goal is to, visit 1,0000ofMichigan's75,000busi- nesses within a year. Gov. John Engler chaired the com- mission meeting where the report was outlined in a two-hour presentation. He described it as "a very good report and it does lay out some paths for those of us on this commission and in state government." Michigan already is working hard to improve its business climate and while more improvements can be made, it's already got a good story to tell, Engler said. "You've got to sell what you've got," he added. "What we have to do is continue to improve the product line, but sell what we have and sell it as well as we can." Experts say this is the first genetic screening test that will be used on' large scale. Other DNA tests now available or" in development, such as those for Huntington's disease and cystic f=' brosis, would be used by relatively small numbers of people. Dr. Francis Collins, director of the National Center for Human Genome' Research, predicted the test eventu- ally will be offered to anyone worried about cancer, even those with no fani=_p ily history. The advance also has important implications for understanding how cancer develops. The gene fixes er- rors that can creep into genetic mate rial every time a cell divides. When the gene is broken, genetic defects quickly pile up, leading to cancer. The researchers speculate that the gene may play an underlying role in a: variety of tumors besides colon can- cer and may trigger cancer that is not inherited. The gene, dubbed MSH2, cause half or more of all cases of hereditary, non-polyposis colorectal cancef, which accounts for roughly one in six of all colon cancer cases. Experts call g it the most common known example, of an inherited susceptibility to dig-; ease. The gene runs in families. About one in 200 people in the Western world inherits it. They are at greatly increased risXk of colon cancer and other tumors such as uterine, stomach and ovarian cancer. Vogelstein said the first candii' dates for the screening test will b6 people whose families are thought to carry the gene because of their higlh colon cancer rates. "Right now, people in these fami- lies don't know which ones have this" time bomb," Vogelstein said. "In a few months, we should haven a blood test that will tell which people'. don't have to worry," he continued.,,W "For the ones who do have it, we can catch tumors early." " i r i i jP" Tau Beta Pi, the National Engineering Honor Society, was founded to mark in a fitting manner those who have conferred honor upon their Alma Mater by distinguished scholarship and exemplary character as students in engineering, or by their attainments as alumni in the field of engineering, and to foster a spirit of liberal culture in engineering colleges. We, the officers and faculty advisors of the Michigan Gamma Chapter of Tau Beta Pi, wish to congratulate the following people who have achieved our high standards and have successfully completed the initiation rituals, thereby becoming active members of Tau Beta Pi: ",h + y , , n. # I *^y 0 0, Gautum Agrawal Mark Ardayfio Bobbi Beckers Kenneth Re'niimin Bradley Fitzgerald Frank Fontana Bredham Givens David Gnoman Elizabeth Marsh Angela Martens Bethany Meder nTwavdMillr Aaron Schwass Richard Sleczick Brad Soderwall Rrinn .rvrht H; * - vvr E U, I ~ '- ' '~~ 7MF&& .4 I nEUEWW- m i I