The Michigan Daily- Friday, January 10, 1992 - Page 3, Kennedy aide says e Cuba was mistaken WASHINGTON (AP) - For- mer Defense Secretary Robert Mc- Namara said yesterday in a speech prepared for delivery in Havana that Cuban officials were wrong 30 years ago in assuming the United States was inflexibly opposed to Cuba's revolution. McNamara said the United States was willing to work with the Cuban revolution but was un- able to do so because of President Fidel Castro's efforts to promote subversion in the Western Hemi- sphere and his intimate ties to the Soviet Union. The long-held Cuban view is that the United States never accepted the reality of the Cuban revolution for ideological reasons. McNamara outlined his views at the opening of a four-day meeting of dozens of Americans, Soviets and Cubans who were part of the Cuban missile crisis 29 years ago. Castro was scheduled to take part in each of the four days of the conference. Foreign reporters have been de- nied visas to cover the proceedings but a copy of McNamara's remarks was made available to The Associ- ated Press before he left for Havana. The Havana meeting, similar to earlier reviews of the events leading up to the missile crisis, is designed to examine whAt McNamara called the "misinformation, miscalcula- tion and misjudgment" of that pe- riod in the hope a repeat of the crisis can be avoided. As President Kennedy's defense secretary, McNamara was a key fig- ure in both the April 1961 Bay of Pigs invasion and the missile crisis 18 months later. 'U' researcher develops theory 4 * (. to predic by David Wartowski Daily Research Reporter A University researcher will submit an article later this month to the Journal of Geophysical Re- search explaining his new theory that may enable scientists to predict earthquakes by measuring the tem- peratures of the Earth's crust. Geophysics Research Fellow Bart Tichelaar explained his theory is based on the idea that the Earth's crust is made of moving plates which are formed at ridges at the bottom of the world's oceans. As molten rock comes out of the ridge, it becomes part of the oceanic crust. Then it moves away from the ridge toward the continental crust at about 5 centimeters per year, cool- ing down as it travels. A cooler crust will have more chance of causing an earthquake once it reaches the continental crust, Tichelaar found, because it will cause more friction between the plates. Tichelaar traveled to several Pa- cific basin countries, including Chile, Mexico, Alaska, and Japan, to measure the temperatures and the depths of the interfaces between the crusts to find the relation between interface temperatures and the oc- currence of earthquakes. In Japan, for example, Tichelaar said since the oceanic ridge is far off the coast, by the time the oceanic crust collides with the continental t quakes' crust, it is cool and likely to cause,. an earthquake. In Mexico, howevera,: the colliding oceanic crust is still, hot and slips more easily beneath. the continental crust, without caus- ing as many disturbances. According to his research, Seat tle is not under a large threat of earthquakes. Before the oceanic crush reaches Seattle, it has been pushed, Tichelaar's new theory may enable scientists to predict earthquakes by measuring the temperatures of the earth's crust. -p . . . . ,. .,. .4 . .' Oh, give me a home... Engineering junior Jamie Stottlemyer (left) and LSA junior Kent Hansen (right) meet with Dawn Lamberton, a real estate leasing consultant, to try to secure housing for next year. Wholesale rices tumble In 1991 as economy stagnates nearly 700 kilometers below t4y; surface by the continental crust, This reheats the crust, allowing it, to pass more freely beneath the cor't:- tinental crust. Tichelaar's theory deals only' with earthquakes caused by the movement of the Earth's crusts, add does not relate to earthquakes caused by faults. Tichelaar presented his theory Dec. 13 at the yearly meeting of the American Geophysical where Tichelaar said other scientists made arguments against his theory that hie will attempt to address in his paper. WASHINGTON (AP) - Prices paid by wholesalers fell in 1991 for the first time in five years, the gov- ernment said yesterday in a report reflecting a dramatic swing in oil costs and a stagnant economy. The Labor Department said sepa- rately that new claims for unem- ployment insurance jumped in the last full week of the year, even though Christmas left laid-off workers one less day than usual to file for benefits. The department's Producer Price Index declined a seasonally adjusted 0.2 percent in December, bringing wholesale inflation for the year to minus 0.1 percent. That followed a 5.7 percent rise in 1990 and was the best perfor- mance since a 2.3 percent drop in 1986. Declines in the index are rare. There have been only five since 1955. The 1986 drop was the first since 1963. A good portion of the improve- ment in 1991 came from shifting en- ergy prices. They soared 30.7 percent in 1990 with Iraq's invasion of Kuwait, then fell 9.6 percent last year after it became clear the war did not permanently disrupt the world oil supply. Even factoring that out, price in- creases are moderating. Excluding the volatile food and energy sectors, prices charged by factories, farms and other producers rose 3.1 percent in 1991 compared with 3.5 percent in 1990. Economists said persistent eco- nomic sluggishness has sapped con- sumers' appetite for buying, thus easing upward pressure on prices. They expect weak growth will con- tinue. New claims for unemployment benefits jumped by 22,000 to 458,000 during the week ending Dec. 28. NASA to launch Groups prod Engler to raise cigarette tax EAST LANSING, Mich. (AP) - A new coalition of health groups, including the head of the Department of Public Health, urged the pub- lic yesterday to press Gov. John Engler to back a cigarette tax increase. "The governor has not made a decision on this issue," said Public Health Director Vernice Davis Anthony. She added the tobacco industry is pressuring him to resist a tax hike. "He's got a decision to make," she said. "The governor wants to know what the citizens of our state feel about this." Engler's administration is considering dou- bling the current 25 cents-a-pack cigarette tax to raise money for health programs. That would give Michigan the highest such tax in the nation, and raise about $228.5 million in new revenue each year. Doubling the state tax would cost a pack-a-day smoker about $90 a year more. The proposal also would switch the tax to a 48 percent excise tax based on the wholesale price of all tobacco products. And the tobacco tax would apply to cigars, chewing and pipe to- bacco and snuff for the first time. Officials said the governor's office has been bombarded with letters from the tobacco indus- try, opposing the tax increase, since initial re- ports about it appeared last week. "This is a classic trial balloon," Dennis Schornack, senior policy adviser to Engler, said of the health groups' effort. "The people of Michigan have a chance to let the governor know how they feel." Anthony said she was satisfied with Engler's commitment to public health programs. How- ever, she said, "I would be very disappointed" if he didn't support the tax plan. Schornack said Engler probably won't dis- cuss the issue in his State of the State address on Jan. 21. "The budget (to be issued in February) will be a clear indication of where we're going." shuttle D CAPE CANAVERAL, Fla. (AP) - NASA has chosen Jan. 22 for the year's first space shuttle launch, a weeklong scientific re- search mission involving foreign as- tronauts. Mission managers set the launch date following a meeting at Kennedy Space Center yesterday. Discovery is scheduled to blast off at 8:53 a.m. EST with seven as- tronauts and the Spacelab. The crew includes a German physicist who flew in space once before and a neu- rologist, who will become the first Canadian woman to venture into or- bit. The rest of the crew is made up. of American astronauts. The astronauts will conduct iscovery medical experiments on one another and monitor the growth of various plants and small animals. Among the laboratory specimens are fruit flies, roundworms, slime mold, lentil roots, and wheat and oat seedlings. More than 200 scientists from around the world are collaborating with NASA on the seven-day mis- sion. It will be the first Spacelab mis- sion since last summer. The astro- nauts will float from the cabin through a tunnel to the pressurized laboratory module in the cargo bay. The National Aeronautics and Space Administration plans eight space shuttle flights in 1992, two more than last year. High fats raise heart disease risk, * even with normal cholesterol levels NEW YORK (AP) - People with normal cholesterol levels and high amounts of blood fats may be four times as likely as others to suf- fer a heart attack, and could be wrongly given a clean bill of health, researchers say. Researchers said many doctors do not understand the significance of elevated levels of the blood fats called triglycerides. As a result, many people with normal choles- terol levels are not identified as having special risks. Nevertheless, the study found that these people should be identi- fied and treated. "This population had the greatest risk and the greatest benefit," said the study's director, M. Heikki Frick of the Helsinki University Central Hospital. People whose total level of blood cholesterol contained a high proportion of so-called "bad cholesterol" and who had high triglyceride levels were 3.8 times as likely as others to have a heart at- tack, Frick said in a telephone inter- view yesterday. This is true even in people whose total cholesterol is normal or only slightly elevated, he said. The study appears in January's issue of Circu- lation, published by the American Heart Association. The study also showed that the heart attack risk could be cut 71 per- cent by lowering triglyceride levels and raising the levels of "good cholesterol," otherwise known as high-density lipoproteins, or HDLs. The improvement can be accom- plished by losing weight and exer- cise or by drugs. The study used a drug called gemfibrozil. The bad cholesterol - LDLs, or low-density lipoproteins - have been known to be associated with heart disease risk. The higher the LDLs, the higher the risk. Rises in HDLs, on the other hand, have been linked with lower risk. But until now, the link has not been clearly demonstrated, said Dr. William Castelli, director of the Framingham (Mass.) Heart Study. "This is the first proof in the history of medicine that, if you raise HDL, you lower the subsequent heart attack rate," he said. DAILY ARTS SEZ: Support Campus Cinema Religious Services ST. MARY'S STUDENT PARISH (A Roman Catholic Parish at U-M) 331 Thompson Street SAL: Weekend Liturgies-5 p.m., and SUN:-8:30 a.m.,10 a.m.,12 noon, 5 p.m., and 7 p.m. FBI,: Confessions-4-5 p.m. 11N., Jan. 12: Newman Social--5:30-7:30 p.m. MN,, Jan. 13: Catholic Update-7 p.m. WED~, Jan. 15: Appalachia Orientation-7 p.m. UNIVERSITY REFORMED CHURCH 1001 East Huron (at Fletcher) SUNDAY: Worship-10:30 a.m. Student Luncheon-Noon (free) For info., call Dan Carlson, 662-3153 I 1 THE LIST What's happening in Ann Arbor today The University of Michigan Department of Dermatology is seeking volunteers ages 13 - 30 years to test new therapies for Acne. Eligible participants wi/I/be compensated $100 for their time and effort. For more information please call (313) 434-DERM Monday - Friday, 8:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. Z "" University of Michigan s- Medical Center AFRICAN-AMERICAN RIGHTS. WOMEN'S RIGHTS. DATE RAPE. See how students in the 60s dealt with the same issues facing you today. THE ZOO ZOO CHRONICLES. a play written and dilrected by Elise Bryant Bring Your Best Friend to revisit life on campus in 1969-1974 as Chronicles takes you effortlessly on a journey of self-definition for three college roommates who form life-long friendships at the height of the Viet Nam war, the escalation of the Afro- American movement and the beginnings of the women's movement. The foundation of our future, built by students then, is awaiting completion in our choices of today. - Meetings Sunday U of M Cycling Team. Mass meeting. Michigan Union, Welker Rm, 8 p.m Speakers Friday "Prospects for Privatization in Poland: An Update on the Michigan Business Assistance Corps Experience," Brown Bag Lecture, 200 Lane Hall, noon. Sunday Dennis Rahiim Watson. Michigan Union Ballroom. Furthermore Friday U-M Taekwondo Club. Friday work- out. CCRB Small Gym, rm 1200, 6-8 p.m. Beginners welcome. Student Book Exchange. Michigan League Basement, 11 a.m. - 5 p.m. Saturday Student Book Exchange. Michigan League Basement, 11 a.m. - 5 p.m. 1n in v The Eating Disorders Program is seeking members for a 10 week psychoeducation group focusing on managing eating disordered behavior, beginning January 22, 1992, 5 - 6:30 every Wednesday. For more information contact Vivian Folsom MSW at 936-4861 Monday - Friday 8:00-a.m. - 5:00 p.m. -.Un.versty of M.ch:g:n Medical Center ii > R K S H O P J I UiniversitvyActivities Center t k1 e a t r e 1991 i