'Page 8-Friday, November 19, 1982-The Michigan Daily
Shultz anxious to improve
U.S. relations with Soviets
WASHINGTON- The Reagan ad-
ministration is ready to explore ways to
improve U.S.-Soviet relations, but
won't be swayed by the "mood music"
emanating from the Kremlin's new
leadership, Secretary of State George
Shultz said yesterday.
Shultz, at a news conference, said the
United States was ready for a "careful,
thoughtful" dialogue with the Soviets.
However, he added, "The important
thing is a change in behavior" on their
part.
Shultz and Vice President George
Bush met on Monday with the new
Soviet Communist party chief, Yuri
Andropov, while in Moscow for the
funeral of Leonid Brezhnev. He said
they were received with "great cour-
tesy."
"Some people say that's a signal and
perhaps it is," Shultz said. But he added
that deeds, not rhetoric, will signal
Moscow's desire for improved
relations.
"We look for changes in behavior or
indications of a willingness to discuss
them," Shultz said. "We have said we
are willing to do so.
Shultz said there should be a
recognition that the problems between
the two countries "on the whole are
problems that they (the Soviets) have
created...'
"But we are ready to get in and
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discuss and try to work things out in a
careful, thoughtful way," he said.
As examples of places where the
Soviets can demonstrate their
willingness to improve relations, Shultz
cited arms control talks now under way
in Geneva, talks in Vienna to reduce
East-West troop strength in Europe and
the human rights conference in Madrid.
Those are negotiations "Where we
would welcome movement," Shultz
said.
A withdrawal of Soviet troops from
Afghanistan would also be "a piece of
constructive behavior," Shultz said in
answer to a question. He did not men-
tion Soviet behavior in Poland.
In the past, administration officials
have insisted on an easing of Soviet
pressure in both Afghanistan and
Poland as conditions for improved
relations with the United States. The
fact Shultz didn't repeat those con-
ditions didn't in itself signify a change,
however.
Shultz said the friendly gestures by
the new Soviet leaders were offset in his
mind by a "quite startling" show of
military strength in a parade in Red
Square following the Brezhnev funeral.
He said Americans should "not allow
the mood music to delude us, to take us
away from our own convictions. We
must do what.is necessary for our own
defense."
There has not been any discussion of
a Reagan-Andropov summit meeting,
Shultz said, but added the president
stands ready to meet with the Soviet
leadership if such a meeting would
have promise of meaningful results.
That has been Reagan's position from
the outset of his presidency, Shultz said.
In answer to a question, Shultz said
the 68-year-old Andropov appeared to
be very much in charge of the Soviet
government as Brezhnev's successor.
Ann Arbor Civic Theater
AUDITIONS
Nov. 21, 22 7:30 PM
"Gift of the Magi"
Directed by Thom Johnson
Needed: 5 women and 2 men
Production Dates: Dec. 18-20
338 S. Main 662-7282
I
Daily Photo by SCOTT ZOLTON3
addresses a Rackham Amphitheatre audience during the economics conference
Economics Professor Robin Barlow
yesterday.
Econo-mic
(Continued from Page 1)
million for 1984, compared to an
estimated sales level of 7.8 million
vehicles this year.
Housing starts were forecast at a 1983
level of 1,618,000, up from the 1982 total
of 1,043,000.
THE STATE forecast, presented by
Joan Crary, an assistant research
scientist with the economics depar-
tment, anticipates a general upturn in
Michigan's economy.
"Nationally, interest rates have been
declining, consumer liquidity is high,
and consumer confidence has been im-
proving. All of these signals would in-
dicate that a sustained recovery in the
automotive market is imminent-a
recovery which would lead Michigan
out of the current recession," Crary
said.
recoverypredicted
Crary, however, later cautioned that Michigan's personali
"The revoery will be closer to a forecast to grow at a rate of,
gradual recovery rather than a sharp 1983 - almost twice the est
one. "The fact that even two years af- for 1982- and at the rate of
ter the recovery begins, the level of in 1984. According to the fo
economic activity is not back to where disposable income will inc
it was before the recession began would percent in 1983 and by 6 perc
indicate that it will be a slow recovery With specific reference
by historical standards," she said. dustry employment, th
THE MICHIGAN forecast projects predicts: "As car sal
total employment rising by 2 percent in nationally during 1983 ... m
1983 and accelerating to a growth rate employment is forecast to
of 4.4 percent in 1984. "These increases 8.9 percent - 27,000 jobs."
in employment against labor force says the forecast, by the E
projections imply a decline in motor vehicle employmen,
the unemployment rate from an increased by another 7.1
average of 15 percent for 1982, to 14.3 24,000 jobs.
percent for 1983 and 11.7 percent for In spite of their optimist
1984," Crary said. the researchers warn, ".
"The 11.7 percent unemployment forecasting substantial in
rate represents not only an absolute for the Michigan economy
improvement in the Michigan em- 1984, but we will still not be
ployment situation, but also an im- level of economic activity w
provement relative to the nation as a terized 1979, and the in
whole," Crary continued. "Our ployment within the stat
forecast implies a gap between the likely be characterized by
Michigan and U.S. unemployment rates proportion of high-wage ma
from 5.3 percentage points in 1982 to 3.6 -jobs."
percentage points in 1984," she said.
income is
7 percent in
imated rate
11.8 percent
recast, real
crease by 2
cent in 1984.
to auto in-
e forecast
es pick up
otor vehicle
increase by
In addition,
end of 1984,
.it will have
.pecent, or
tic forecast,
..we are
.provement
in 1983 and
back to the
which charac-
nix of em-
e will most
y a smaller
nufacturing
wM
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PERSONAL LIVES-Introducing.E. .
Keith Jennini
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n, ing marital p
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