OPINION I fl~ ivu~riiguii L'u.;y Inihi Page 4 Thursday, October 2, 1980 i he Michigan ucalty ," 4., Bobtheengineer by David Kirby di e byrstue ahnistiigan l Edited and managed by students at The University of Michigan Vol. XCI, No. 25 420 Maynard St. Ann Arbor, MI 48109 Editorials represent a majority opinion of The Daily's Editorial Board Fun in the armed forces BOB!W'~4TA'CYou' rZVO/,& UiPS' YO(/ WO,6 57-~ycr ".r A WL~r ro r11a-c gx SUA'SH/N'.d /°/COLEJS ~ ) Ar .*O( .j) OTA CHfECK r7W/s our.. "A4 305 ri70/ r, ~WIlY/A 7EE D/f'LPowE' ENG/NE~ RU'CNS AT 5-3 AM!P/,1 ZT FMCCS A l % % 6-kAD C1uA1AA'9N A 176~ M.P. N. HEAD WIND. USING y 4o- rodeMl. 5rrEA TkfAC,INA W,'/jwl-S... TI OM .DE 74RM/A' TA'6 PVT Do WN/V MA/VFo hOYA/, . ANDVGo To f'5[ "*..z 'T cAnr~, S7- LY ',t ' 'DONr~~~ 17<5 4WCA"t. 0 H, THOSE WILD, wacky U.S. armed forces. First it was that silly socket wrench dropped down a missile shaft that could have blown Arkansas clear over to California. Then a six-man army team on a secret training exercise in Texas got lost and wound up at a rural far- mhouse. And yesterday, an Army ROTC commander (also in Texas) was arrested for allegedly operating a sex service in his spare time. Just picture those six Army joes, "armed to the teeth with machine guns and other military weapons, landing in a farmyard somewhere near Brown- field, Texas. They were supposed to get to an Air Force base nine miles north of the town without being U.S. interv THEBRZEZINSKIS and Buckleys among us must be rubbing their hands in glee. The lessons of the Viet- nam war seem to recede farther and farther into the past as America's military once again gears up to play the hero in the eyes of misguided Americans-arid the villain in the eyes of the rest of the world. The military establishment, the State Department, and the White House all mistakenly believe they have found a way to protect American in- terests in the Mideast without taking either Iran's or Iraq's side in the current conflict. They have decided to send four radar-equipped planes to Saudi Arabia along with 300 military personnel. In this way, Washington hopes to help keep oil supplies flowing to the West without risking the wrath of either the Iraquis, their Soviet suppor- ters, or the men in Tehran who control the fate of the American hostages. But in its haste to brandish its military might, the administration has failed to consider the possible im- plications of its actions. Whatever the American intent, the troops and planes that are on the way to Saudi Arabia could and probably will be taken by at least one of the warring nations as a move of hostility. The vicious fighting between the two nations is not an isolated occurrence. It is only the latest outburst in a long series of skirmishes both on the bat- tlefield and in the diplomatic arena. The sources of the two nation's enmity lie in various economic, political, noticed, according to a Pentagon spokesman. The owner of the farm, in the best American "no trespassing" tradition, refused to let the soldiers use his telephone, but did offer to let them stay in his barn. And just imagine that ROTC com- mander, finishing a hard day teaching students how to penetrate the enemy's defenses, running home to fix up some businessman with a $400 (yes, that's what he sometimes charged) prostitute. Kind of all makes you wonder whether the military will be able to keep track of those little MX warheads scurring beneath the earth's crust. We can hear it now. "Sorry to report, Mr. President, but we seem to have misplaced one.'' ,ening again religious, and ethnic disputes, some of which the president has clearly not adequately considered before making the commitment to Saudi Arabia. Contrary to an unfortunate miscon- ception on the part of many Americans, the Muslim nations of the Mideast do not see themselves as being composed of one unified people. They are divided along lines of custom, language, and the particular sect within Islam to which the majority of each nation belongs. Though the countries are neighbors, the rift between Iran and Iraq is deeper than most. Iraqis are Arabs; Iranians are not. Iraqis speak Arabic; many Iranians do not. The importance of these differences is lost on many Americans (and evidently, on President Carter), but to the countries concerned it is quite important. President Saddam Hussein of Iraq puts it this way: "The Koran was writ- ten in Arabic and God destined the Arabs to play a vanguard role in Islam." With such feelings of nationalism and ethnic superiority at work in the current situation, the reaction Iran will have to the Saudi deal ought to have been obvious. Saudi Arabia is an Arab, Arabic-speaking country. It is possible that the Iranian people and leaders already view the oil-rich kingdom as an established Iraqi ally. In effect, the U.S. is not living up to its promise of neutrality in the Mideast conflict. The president's brand of non- interference will make the U.S. look like a villain once again. S . r r i. +# f w 'i k. F. 'S '" t: v . c :. I C A y1 AO i 1 I :.. Tt/E KEfr ity Mrc Y ::..: Nuclear war One issue we must debate The Iraqi-Iranian war, and its potential for sparking a super power conflict, comes as a timely reminder that on the political issue that overshadows all the others, there is no debate in the 1980 presidential campaign. That issue, quite simply, is how do we avoid nuclear war? The two major candidates are sparring with each other on a host of rhetorical or speculative issues related to national security: DID PRESIDENT Carter, who came into office promising a $5-$7 billion cut in the Pen- tagon budget, and who is running for re- election on a five percent increase in military spending, make a shambles of the nation's defense? Will Reagan, who has'mentioned at least ten countries as candidates for possible U.S. invasion, prove to be as trigger-happy in deed as in his words? Is Jimmy Carter playing politics by adver- tising supersecret "stealth aircraft?" Is Carter as likely to stumble into a war as Reagan is to court war? Both candidates agree that the military budget must go up. The differences with respect to the crisis in U.S.-Soviet relations are at most a matter of nuances. The Reagan charge that Carter should have raised the military budget faster is answered with a counter-charge that President Ford was the one who neglected the nation's defense. MEANWHILE, RELATIONS with America's most critical allies continue to deteriorate. The nation's dependence on im- ported oil, while it has dipped somewhat, con- tinues at a dangerously high level. And the response to the serious vulnerability in the Persian Gulf is the Carter Doctrine, a threat to use nuclear weapons in the event the Soviets interfere with the flow of oil. Presidential Directive 59, which announces ar new targeting doctrine that has been evolving over many years, lends credence to the idea that the United States expects to fight a nuclear war. The timing of the announ- cement a few days before the opening of the Democratic Convention suggests that it was meant for Reagan as much as for Brezhnev. The Republicans have been saying for some time that the Russians had a war-winning strategy. The most dangerous aspect of the newly announced strategy, which further closes the gap between the Carter and Reagan approaches to national security, is that it reinforces the idea that the war both sides are planning for cannot be avoided. GEORGE KENNAN, who coined the term "containment" and developed some of the theoretical ideas on which America's Cold War Policy has been based, has spoken out most eloquently about the danger of the growing perception that war in inevitable. In such a climate, fear and despair paralyze constructive steps to prevent it. And both sides fall into the belief that by expressing their fears in a huge military build-up they are doing all they can. The debate we should be having on national security is whether this belief is an illusion. There are many ways war can come about. But essentially they fall into two distinct scenarios. The one that has been much publicized by the advocates of greatly in- creased military spending is a deliberately initiated war by the Soviet Union. They are prepared, so the theory goes, to risk millions of casualties if they can inflict significantly greater casualties on the U.S. THERE IS NOTHING in Soviet history or ideology to support the theory. Soviet leaders have committed some monumental crimes in the name of national security-mostly again- st their own people. And they have invaded countries on their borders. But their historic preoccupation with the defense of their homeland, their .historic caution, and above all the uncertainties any leader faces about limiting the damage in a nuclear war, makes By Richard Barnet WE OUGHT TO be having a debate about this. It is a debate about human nature, the Soviets' and our own. It is not a debate about the technical capabilities of weapons systems, on which there is general agreement. Nor is it a matter for experts, because on the critical issue there are no ex- perts. No one knows what a Soviet leader would do in an unprecedented crisis. And no one knows how an American president would when under even less favorable circumstances if he thought that these were the only options. THE GROWING pessimism about war feeds the very feelings that could make a war happen. When the two super powers stop talking, or the talks are nothing more than in- terminable rituals, both side .,crease the arms budget and their own sense of insecurity at the same time. When we spend the $2 trillion dollars or more we are slated to spend* in the next decade, the Russians will most likely match it. They are prepared, if history is any guide, to sacrifice consumer goods and Of~~4W THE SOVIET UNION, in its efforts to prepare for the possibility of a nuclear war, published this civil defense booklet last summer. respond. But the notion that the president' would be more resolute in defending American interests if he knows he can kill 50 million Russians instead of only 30 million twists the thinking. Yet that is the assumption on which we are putting our hopes, and tens of billions of dollars. The strength of the country to meet a crisis will come from a strong economy and a social order to which our people are passionately committed. The historical example that should be worrying us is not Munich or Finland, but France in 1940, when the reputedly strongest military power in Europe collapsed and surrendered because it had already failed its society. The second scenario for a future nuclear war is much more plausible: a war into which we stumble. It will come about because one side or the other becomes convinced that it cannot be avoided. In an age when one shmarine cnmmander can land the even the growth of their industrial machine to keeping up or, if possible, keeping ahead. Their mounting insecurity costs us money. And in the end it makes us less secure. The National Security Council has never conducted a comprehensive study of what military spending is doing to our economy, the foundation of our national strength. The two principal candidates are promising to cut government spending, which is supposed to be bad, and to raise the Pentagon budget, which is supposed to be good. Neither canO didate is challenging the other on the dangerously inconsistent policy of fighting in- flation on one front and courting it on another. No wonder voters are bored. The life and death issues on which survival of the United States hangs are not even being mentioned. Richard Barnet is a fellow at the Washington, D. C.,-based Institute for -- u