Y Page 2-Tuesday, February 10, 1981-The Michigan Daily ..........,r... ..................r.... . . . . . . . . . ....o....._.,.. ................................ :.:. ...... .:.:>:>.::oo-: -s :";5:;_.}:;:::f ic2 R o:" California firm sees deerease i0 inflation by 1982, WASHINGTON (AP)-The Reagan administration, with the help of a California consulting firm, is predicting that its economic program will cut in- flation in half by the end of 1982-a forecast that flies in the face of what most conventional economic seers are saying. The largest companies that predict future economic activity expect in- flation to decline very modestly over the next two years, from 12.5 percent last year to about 9 percent or 10 per- cent in 1982. THE ADMINISTRATION, however, has been relying on forecasts by the Claremont Economics Institute, a small firm outside Los Angeles, which predicts that inflation could drop to around 6 percent by the end of 1982 if President Reagan's program of tax and spending cuts is approved by Congress. By 1983, inflation could fall to 5 percent or lower, Claremont is projecting. Other private economists are ex- pressing considerable skepticism about that rosy forecast. In Congress, some disbelieving economic experts reject the forecast privately as "garbage" and "absolutely insane." The ranking Republican on the House Ways and Means Committee, Rep. Barber Conable Jr., describes it as "very op- timistic." But John Rutledge, the 32-year-old president of Claremont, contends the conventional forecasts are flawed and defends his own economic prediction model as a more accurate reflection of the way the world works. RUTLEDGE ARGUES that his model, unlike the others, takes into ac- count the impact of "inflationary ex- pectations" of Americans. He explains it this way: If people think inflation will remain high in the future, they will take actions that will help fulfill the prophecy. But if people can be convinced that inflation will abate soon, they will act in a way that will bring inflation tumbling down very quickly: The Claremont model and its op- timistic forecasts have their defenders, including Alan Greenspan, a private consultant who was chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers in the Ford administration. Now a key adviser to Reagan, Green- span has testified before Congress that inflationary expectations are a key fac- tor in the nation's economic problems and that inflation and interest rates would decline quickly if Reagan's policies are adopted. Robert Gough, an economist at another major forecasting firm, Data Resources Inc., said he finds Rutledge's model "very appealing." }: .. ... ?.... . ..................................... ..................................... .rt'...i................................. . ...... ...... Soviets cited for abasE WASHINGTON (AP)-The crackdown on the human rights movement in the Soviet Union last year was as severe as any in more than a decade and in- dicates that Kremlin leaders think the movement is a serious threat to the regime, the State Department said yesterday. It said the Soviet government arrested or prosecuted as many as 100 human rights activists in 1980 and that emigration of Soviet Jews was cut in half. THESE=AND OTHER actions "make it clear that the Soviets regard the limited dissent, and the more generalized pressure for greater respect for human rights and for Soviet law which have appeared in Soviet society in recent years, as a serious threat to the regime," it added. The department also charged that the Soviet army had engaged in "indiscriminate terrorizing" of the population of Afghanistan, which was occupied by 85,000 Soviet troops in December of 1979. The department's harsh hudgment of Soviet ac- tions in the human rights field was contained in its annual report on human rights practices around the world. THE REPORT, covering 153 nations, is mandated by Congress. The 1980 version was prepared by the Carter administration; and officials of the Reagan administration said it does not necessarily represent their views.I The human rights review was particularly critical of rights of Soviet actions in Afghanistan, including "the reported use of lethal chemical weapons, trick ex- plosives and indiscriminate bombing and terrorizing of the Afghan population." "In addition to their continuing violation of basic human and national rights in Afghanistan, Soviet authorities have also stepped up repression at home in a crackdown on human rights activists as severe as any since the beginning of the human rights movement over a decade ago," the report added.. It made specific mention of the exile of Andre Sakharov to the closed city of Gorky, in part because of "his speaking out on the invasion" of Afghanistan, and the cut in emigration of Soviet Jews to 21,000 in 1980 from 51,000 the year before. I.. MSU tenured faculty face possible firings I ]undes (Day Concerb Sun4 eur'ij at 2 YO q4aindfL~ 'c'uas accaI~eus An Oratorio by George Frederick Handel with The Festival Chorus Donald Bryant, Conductor Soloists (Continued from Page 1) won't be as many problems at the University because there are financial reserves here to make'the cuts more gradually. MSU Provost Clarence Winder had requested earlier that all colleges within MSU recommend departmental budget reductions ranging from 5 per. cent to 20 percent. On Jan. 30, deans from all 16 colleges presented their suggestions to the Board of Trustees. Last Friday, after listening to numerous university committees, the Glenda Kirkland Soprano Rosemary Russell Mezzo-Soprano. Waldie Anderson Tenor James Tyeska Bass Members of the University Symphony Orchestra General Admission at $3.00 Tickets at Burton Tower, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 Weekdays 9-4:30, Sat. 9-12 (313) 665-3717 Tickets also available at Hill Auditorium 1 i hours before performance time. IvEnISITycMYSICAL OCIETY In Its 102nd Year Boyne Country Ski Weekends CAMP SEA-GULL in Charfevoix offers economical group accornmo- dations 1981 weekend prices - (per person) 20-40 people... $32.00/weekend 41-80 people... $30.00/weekend 81-100 people. .$28.00/weekend WEEKEND INCLUDES Friday and Saturday night lodging 2 breakfasts I dinner nightly snacks Carpeted and heated lodging over looking lake Charlevoix Minutes to Boyne Mt Highlands. Nubs Nob X country trails Large dining and meeting lodge CALL OR WRITE CAMP SEA-GULL 6152 Palomino Ct. West Bloomfield, MI 48033 (313) 661-1050 trustees voted 7-1 to pass the financial crisis resolution. This enables Mackey to recommend across-the-board budget cuts, as well as faculty firings, and elimination of departments. / Mackey, Winder and the president's Select Advisory Committee - an ad hoc advisory board - will be reviewing the various budgets to recommend cuts to the trustees at a Feb. 27 meeting. Final decisions will rest with the trustees. FRYE ADMITTED the possibility that tenured faculty could be laid off at the University of Michigan, too. "The difference is of degree and not of prin- ciple,' he said. The University of Michigan recognizes that it may have to cut departments, "but we are. trying to relocate personnel rather than lay them off," Frye said. The chairman of the Associated Students of Michigan State University, Bruce Studer, said the student organizations should not be directly af- fected by the budget cuts, but that decreasing enrollments will cut the group's revenues. He explained that his organization's funding comes directly from fees assessed during registration. IN BRIEF Compiled from Associated Press and United Press international reports Nebraska university student charged with three deaths LINCOLN, Neb. -An 18-year-old university student will be charged in the deaths of three other students who'died after a car plowed into a crowd outisde a fraternity party, officials said yesterday. Lancaster County Attorney Ron Lahners said three counts of felony motor vehicle homicide would be filed in county court against John Moreland, a student at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln. Lahners said Judge Robert Camp would hold a bond hearing after the charges were filed. Moreland, of Lincoln, was arrested Saturday after he allegedly drove his small car into a crowd outside a community center in southwest Lancaster County where 0fraternity party attended by more than 38 was breaking up. He was released in the custody of his attorney. Execution deadline passes BEIRUT, Lebanon-A deadline set by a telephone caller for the execution of a kidnapped Jordanian diplomat passed yesterday with no word of his fate and no response from Jordon or Iraq to the caller's demand that they ex- tradite seven Syrian defectors. On Saturday, the anonymous caller, claiming to represent the pro-Syria guerrilla group "Eagles of the Revolution," told Voice of Lebanon Radio that Jordian charge d'affaires Hisham Muhaissen would be killed at 10 a.m. EST yesterday unless seven Syrian Air Force pilots who defected to Jordan and Iraq last year were extradited. A spokesman for the "Eagles", Ossama Bayrakdar, denied in a news con- ference yesterday that his group had any responsibility for kidnapping Muhaissen, 42, from his apartment on Friday. Former governor Ella Grasso buried, leaves epitath of love *)n WINDSOR LOCKS, Ct.-For- mer Gov. Ella Grasso, who left her longtime constituents an' epitath of love, was buried ~ ' yesterday atop a sun-splashed slope in St. Mary's cemetery next to her Italian immigrant parents following a funeral that was televised across Connecticut. Amont the 1,750 mourners at- tending funeral services were representatives of President Reagan and Former President Jimmy Carter. Church bells tolled around the state as the Roman Catholic funeral got under way for the fir- st woman elected governor of any state without -succeeding her husband. Garwood' defense seeks acquittal CAMP LEJEUNE, N.C.-Defense lawyers, claiming jurors ignored evidence that Marine Pfc. Robert Garwood, 34, was mentally ill, yesterday asked a military judge to throw out their client's conviction for collaborating with the enemy in Vietnam during two of the 14 years he spent in prisoner-of- war camps. Garwood's chief council, John Lowe, told the judge, Col. R.E. Switzer that the testimonies of a half-dozen psychiatrists have not refuted the claim that Garwood was driven insane by torture and did not know his actions were wrong. The panel is to hear more evidence this week before sentencing Garwood, who could be given a life term. Mising teen identifies neighbor as Atlanta child kidnapper ATLANTA-A 15-year-old runaway, whom officials had considered listing among Atlanta's 17 dead and missing black children, yesterday identified "a man in my neighborhood" as the kidnapper in a series of December child abductions. Lee Gooch, who left his Atlanta home Jan. 5, had been jailed in Tallahassee, Fla, under the name of Lee Kendell-his mother's maiden name-from Jan. 14 until last Saturday. He was returned to the Leon County sheriff's office in Tallahassee yester- day when he called to see if he could retrieve the car he was driving when he was arrested on reckless driving charges. When asked if he knew anything about the Atlanta mystery, he responded that "a man in my neighborhood snatched some kids in December. It's a kidnapping deal." Vol. XCI, No.112 Tuesday, February 10, 1981 The Michigan Daily is edited and managed by students at The University of Michigan. Published 'daily Tuesday through Sunday mornings during the University year at 420 Maynard Street, Ann Arbor, Michigan, 48109. Subscription rates: $12 September through April (2 semesters); $13 by mail outside Ann Arbor. Summer session published Tuesday through Saturday mornings. Subscription rates: $6.50 in Ann Arbor; $7 by mail outside Ann Arbor. Second class postage paid at Ann Arbor, Michigan. POSTMASTER: Send address changes to THE MICHIGAN DAILY, 420 Maynard Street, Ann Arbor, MI 48109. The Michigan Doily is a member of the-Associated Press and subscribes to United Press International Pacific News Service. Los Angeles Times Syndicate and Field Newspapers Syndicate News rqom: (313) 764-0552. 76-DAILY: Sports desk: 764-0562; Circulation 764.0558 Classified advertising 764.0557 Disploy advertising 764.0554: billing: 764s0550 Composing room 764s0556 0 THE STUDENT BODY is being realistic about the cuts, Studer said. "People would be fooling themselves if they didn't believe there will be shor- tfalls next year. "All-in-all, we're pretty supportive of the budget cuts that are happening," he added. Studer said his organization has been involved with decisions about academic cuts, but hasn't been too suc- cessful with cuts in non-academic areas. Besides the practical attitude most students have about budget reductions, Studer added, students also have not yet realized how they will be affected by the cuts. He explained that any reac- tion probably won't be forthcoming un- til fall. BRUCE HOCKING, president of the Council of Graduate Students, said 65 graduate assistant positions have been slated for termination. "When push comes to shove, the GAs are going first," he said. How about' bringing us your ideas? The best education after college is being able to put your talent to work. To do this, you need an environment that is open to your ideas. One thats can offer you challenge, responsibility and diversity. Scott Paper can do just that. Because of our size and diversity, we can offer capable people an environment in which to develop their potential. Talented college graduates will find career growth op- portunities in finance, marketing and marketing research, accounting, engineering, research and development, management science and industrial relations. That's why you should learn more about Scott Paper, a multi-dimensional, Fortune 500 company. 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Greg DeGulis Mark Fischer Buddy Moorehouse Drew Sharp ~BUSIN£sJ S IA"T Business Manager.................-RANDI CIGELNIK Sales Manager ...................8ARB FORSLUND Operations Manager .............. SUSANNE KELLY Display Manager ............ MARY ANN MISIEWICZ Assistant Display Manager ..... . NANCY JOSLIN Classified Manager .............. DENISE SULLIVAN Finance Manager ................ GREGG HADDAD Nationals Manager ................... CATHY BAER Sales Coordinator ............ E. ANDREW PETERSEN BUSINESS STAFF: Bob Abrahams. Meg Armbruster. Joe Broda. Maureen DeLave. Judy Feinberg. Karen Friedman. Peter Gotfredson. Pomelo Gould. Kathryn li N