TE. Michigan Daily Edited and managed by Students at the University of Michigan Thursday, August 15, 1974 News Phone: 764-0552 - M FATHER AID fESp M4H6 AV IF H6C OO HARp A&P tOAS A COC OPHafJ T PSOf, COO-P gE AJY't fIUHC ONKrUL7 TO - AV MYFAT 6RSAID' 1AT F VOU WCR PROSIDET T IKS K AM HOMOR Nl? IT P lYT,-.N CeCOK ADP HAT EHDRkD A FEPLf 5VSk) ~6V6P 'I'OOBI5CAUSO TVK PCES ( j VTS ) OdARS* J . 01,Qw s. BECAUE, MV FATH6R SAIL, FOUpb (k) oLp ) TIhS e6Lc12l kI) A FUOR FOR TIS COzMITR AW 12FOR S~~~(- AW17 ThEY CAi-Ge 4t(C CA SAJTA PWkT.GI6 ME PR6SC %TY T$ IS VYAR - f f;v 6'IVC IRTh C & VC U THA wZ2 A Middle East Vietnam By BARRY RUBIN N ONE HALF of a small but strategically located coun- try, marines in helicopters are fighting a guerilla force which has been controlling most of the area for more than ten years. The names are unfamiliar, but events suggest that n e w powers in the "third world" may have to learn the bitter lessons of Vietnam for them- selves. Iran is moving on several fronts to establish itself as the leading power in both the Ind- ian Ocean and the Persion Gulf. Since last December, 3,500 Iran- ian marines, with 25 U.S.-built helicopters, have been fighting indigenous guerrillas in Dho- far, the western province of Oman - forces which the Oman's Sultan Qaboos has been unable to stop for almost t e n years. Oman controls the southern end of the Straits of Hormuz. Every 14 minutes, an oil tanker carrying the wealth of the re- gion to world markets passes through these straits. To con- trol this traffic and the Gulf itself,- Iran must have Oman's support. Iran has declared itself the protector of the small and un- stable, but oil rich, Gulf states. If guerrilla forces succeed in Dhofar, or in all of Oman, Iran fears a "domino effect" in oth- er countries. Oman has a long shoreline on the Indian Ocean and could be an important base for Iranian moves in that region. UNITED STATES support has been especially important to Iran. As then Assistant Secre- tary of State Joseph Sisco told Congress last year, U.S. pol- icy makers had "decided that we would try to stimulate and be helpful to'-the two key coun- tries in this area - namely Iran and Saudi Arabia - that, to the degree to which we could stimulate cooperation be- tween these two countries, they could become the major ele- ments of stability as the British were getting out . . ." Iran, with its spiraling o i I revenues, can purchase t h e arms and technology needed to play ball with the U.S.: over the last three years, the Shah has spent over $4 billion to buy the most advanced tanks, fight- er planes and helicopters in the world. And, at any given time, about 800 Iranian pilots are be- ing trained in the U.S. During 1972 the U.S. signed a new agreement with Bahrain - a small island nation in the Persian Gulf - for maintenance of the U.S. naval communica- tions base there. Meanwhile, former Treasury Secretary Ro- bert Anderson obtained a con- tract to set up Oman's diplo- matic service and gained oil and mineral concessions. The same year, a consortium of U.S. companies - negotiated an agreement to develop Om- ani fishing in the Indian Ocean. According to some observers, the consortium's activities are used as a cover for arms smug- gilng and intelligence-gather- ing operations. GUERRILLA FORCES in Dhofar, the Popular F r o n t for the Liberation of Oman and the Arabian Gulf (PFLOAG), charge the U.S. has been in- volved directly with forces and planes stationed in S a d i Arabia. Although these claims are unconfirmed, it is public knowledge that most of the equipment used by Iranian troops is U.S. made, and Amer- ican naval units have joined in maneuvers with Iranian ships off Oman's coast. In addition to Iranian a n d U.S. support, Sultan Qaboos has depended heavily on Jordanian and British officers. Oman's Defense Minister, intelligence chief and its army and a i r force commanders are all Brit- ish. Qaboos himself, brought to power by a British sponsored coup in 1970, was trained at Sandhurst, the British W e s t Point. And his forces are expanding: a few months ago, Oman adver- tised for pilots in Australian newspapers, offering $19,000 a year, ten weeks' paid vacation and free air fare home every year for fighting in his forces. Over the last two years, Om- an's army has grown from 3000 to 12,000. NO MATTER how many troops the Sultan can muster, he has been unable to control Dhofar. The province compris- es the western half of Oman and is separated from the rest of the country by a desert. Conquered in the latter half of the 19th Century by Oman, Dhofar's history also marks it apart from the rest of the coun- try. Although the feudal nobil- ity excluded modern thought and technology from all of Oman, Dhofar was kept parti- cularly backward: slavery con- tinued while the government established hardly a single scool or clinic among Ih e quarter million people there. Tribal revolts were not un- common in the province. They were transformed into a mod- ern guerrilla war by Dhofaris who left the country illegally beginning in the 1950's to work in the Gulf oil fields. There they met militant oil workers and longshoremen, including many Palestinians. When they returned h o m e, these workers organized under- ground groups and, in June, 41965, began armed struggle. Starting from mountain bases, PFLOAG units have t a k e n most of the province, leaving the Sultan only the main towns. AS IN OTHER countries, the guerrillas have worked to gain popular support: here by abol- ishing slavery and creating ag- ricultural cooperatives, organ- izing schools and clinics, set- ting up local government coun- cils, and working to establish the equality of women, who fought with the military units. The Sultan's first counter-of- fensive, in late October, 1971, was spearheaded by the Red Devils, an elite British u n it supposedly in Oman to train government troops. A second attempt, in mid-1972, was also based on British support. Both failed tQ dislodge the guer- rillas, who not only continued to hold rural areas but have also blocked the country's main road. Iran's direct involvement be- gan in early 1972, when. the Shah sent military supplies to the Sultan. A year later, in a grim carbon copy of Vietnam, some 600 "advsors" were sent in, to be followed by combat troops last December. The main objectives of the Iranian forces have been to re- open this road and to sever the guerrilla's supply lines from the People's Republic of Yemen. Hand in hand with napalm and Iranian ground troops, Oman has developed a "pacification program" involving Civil Ac- tion Teams, backed by British Royal Engineers units. Strate- gic hamlets are built around waterholes - each with i t s own school, clinic and store, as well as a local anti-guerrilla militia. IRAN FACES other obstacles in its reach for power. Al- though relationsr with Saudi Arabia have improved over the last decade, they have been strained by differences o v e r oil pricing and Saudi fears of rising Iranian power. These differences stem from traditional rivalries. And, al- though conservative leaders in both countries see the PFLOAG .as a common enemy, Caudis and other Arabs are beginning to worry about Iran's military presence in Dhofar and the Gulf. The most extreme reaction has come from Libya. Its rad- ical nationalist leader, C o I . Qadaffi, is a strong anti-com- munist who has not been friend- ly to the Marxist PFLOAG, and offered Qaboos military aid a few years ago. Now, because of Iran's presence, he has recog- nized, and given aid to the PFLOAG, which also gets as- sistance from People's Yemen, Algeria, Iraq and the USSR. THE ARAB League has sought to reconcile the Sultan and the guerrilla forces as a way of eliminating the Iranian presence. The guerrillas h a ve recently agreed to meet with the League's mediation team in a "liberated zone" of Dhofar; but given the gap between them and the Sultan, little progress is exoected. Within the Arab world, the war in Dhofar is beginning to attract as much attention as the conflict with Israel. The strug- gle in Oman may well indi.ate the future direction of the bat- tle in the Middle East. Barry Rubin is a New York- based free-lance writer. Copy- right, Pacific News Service, 1974.