THE MICHIGAN DAILY Saturday, January 8, 1977 -f Pre T W6 1 r'Ig - w I U.S. INTELLIGENCE ESTIMATE INDICATES: Soviets seeking military edge I' 4 WASHINGTON (Reuter) - isicalPresident-elect Jimmy Carter's pledge to cut defense spending is running up against a somber new U.S. intelligence estimate that the Soviet Union is seeking 12 military superiority over the United States. -7 p.m. The top-secret National Intel- ion ligence Estimate, strongly influ- enced by hard-line experts from outside the government, takes issue with the previous U.S. as- never forgets Carlsberg Elephant is a unique continental malt beverage with a refreshingly different body and taste. Perfect companion to Carlsberg's two great Danish beers. Carlsberg and Carlsberg Special Dark Lager. IMPORTED Caring National Breweries, Inc Bahinore, Md. Sole Dist. of Carlsberg Beert . sessment that the Soviet Union was satisfied with its . current rough military parity with the United States. THE BELIEF that rough mili tary parity is satisfactory to both sides has guided U.S. stra- tegic doctrine and military pro- curements for the past several years. It is the reason the. United States has not automat- ically tried to match every new Soviet missile or nuclear war- head. PRESENTS JANUARY 10, 11, 12 611 Church A2 995-5955 Leaks of the new, pessimistic1 view have thus produced a sus-t picion that its formulators are trying both to reverse current1 policy, which they regard as U.S. complacency, and to fore- stall Carter's pledged defense cuts. "It just couldn't be furthera from the truth," Director ofj Central Intelligence George Bush says of the suspicion ,that the new report is an attempt to force Carter's hand. "THE CIA has great integrity, and it would never take direc- tions from a policy-maker, me The CIA would never take directions from a policy maker in order to come up with a con. clusion.' -CIA Director George Bush t t 1 1 ! is belief in their inevitable triumrph achieved military superiority throughout the world. and are in fact planning on war. One of the most recent dis- putes concerned Soviet military GENERAL Keegan said he spending. Last October, Ameri- had firm evidence that the Rus- can intelligence( experts decided sians were hardening missile that the Russians spent about 11 silostso that they are' less vul- per cent of their gross nationial nerable to U.S. countec-attack, product on defense - almost building new bomb shelters for double the previous estimate. the leadership and providing But the experts explained that more civil defense pro-ectioq for this did not really mean that So- the civilian population and in- viet d e f e n s e spending had dustry. doubled. What it means is that "What it all means is that the they had previously underesti- Soviets believe they can sut vive mated the amount of economic a nuclear war," he said. effort the Russians must make in order to achieve a desired military goal. IN THE topsy-turvy world of intelligence estimates, the So- viet military effort has been# measured not only in U.S. dol- lars but also in terms of how much the same effort would cost the United States. This means that if the Soviet Union uses 1000 soldiers, each earning private's pay of three7 rubles a month, to build a dam, the United States estimate ofj the miionthly cost is not what logic dictates - 3,000 rubles. Rather, the United States cal- culates how much it would cost to build the same dam using American soldiers, who earn up to 300 and 400 times as much as their Russian counterparts, and cites that answer as the Soviet cost 'I view policy in Clausewitzian terms - which is the way the Soviets look at it, war is a continuation ofi 0 I HAD CANCER AND IULVED. politics by other or anybody else, in order to come up with a conclusion," he TlHS METHOD of reasoning said in a televised news con- has meant that whenever U.S. ference. servicemen received a pay rise But the annual estimate of of say five per cent, the Soviet Soviet military intentions has military budget, as estimate:l by long been a subject of dispute U.S. intelligence, was increased within the intelligence commu- five per cent. nity. Yet the upward revisioti of tie Military men feel that in the Soviet defense budget last Oc- nast, too much credence has tober - much as it anoears to been given to economic intelli- be a mere juggling of figures - gence that tends to minimize the shares. with reports. of an in- effectiveness of the Soviet mili- creased Soviet civil defense ef- tary machine. fort, the responsibility for the new intelligence estimai@. AMERICAN' students of Com- Major General George Kee- rnunist ideology feel that intel- gan, who retired Janary 2 as ligence professionals give too the Air Force Chief of Intelli- much weight to satellite photo- gence, told the New York Times Graphs of new missile sites and last week that he is convinced not enough to the Communists' I the Russians have already continuation of politics by other means. means.'* -Harvard Prof. Richard Pipes' t General Keegan was one oft the outside experts who influ-i enced the more pessimistic new intelligence estimate.j OTHERS, while not sharing aili his views, say the professional intelligence establishment ap to now has been too confident thatl the Soviet Union regards war, as unthinkable.- Professor Richard Pipes of! Harvard University said he and his colleagues "view Soviet pol- icy in Clausewitzian terms - which is the way the Soviets! look at it." The reference is to the doc- trine of Prussian general Karl von Clausewitz that war is a BUT WHILE warning that the remlin may still think in terms f armed conquest, the estimate reportedly vague on when and ow it may choose to achieve s goals. The imprecision is significant. One expert said the Soviet Jnion's p6ssible dreams of mili- ary victory are not all that im- ,orrant. What is important, he irgued, is whether the United ;tates can successfully resist So- iet military attack. UNDER current, and projected J.S. defense programs, he add- d, the 'United States can and vill deter any Soviet aggression. For all its pessimism, the es- imate does not call upon the resident to abandon efforts at [etente or arms control witmthe >oviet Union, leaving tha Judg- nent to him. "We will oass the itelligence stimates along to the consum- rs (high government officials) and then the policy makers will make the determinations as to whether or not the policy is vi- able," Bush said. BUT THE leak of the new as- sessment, and the cntroversy between the two groups of in- elligence experts who composed t may make it more difficult for Carter to make a disnssionate i'elgment on future defence pos- t:re. The diirlosre that lie Amer- iran intelligence community has agreed on a new Soviet threat will uindohedly increase he noliiPal presure on Carter to increase. rather than reduce, America's own defe me spend- ing. Un to now the United States has arg'ie' that it is enough to hae s9iffi-ient nuciear might to i-f'i-t "inacceotable dam- age" on an aegressor. Bt henceforth it may be harder for the President to de- fe"d te argiment that the United Stats is safe so 'ong as it has rorTh eq'ivalence with the So0 irj Union - eve.1 thcugh that rfoiioh ea"ivalen^.e may men that the United Sates is in fart "'irneicalv fr hysical- l" inferior to the Rusans in troops and missiles. THFE MICH" '" DAIY Volume LXXXVI, No. 80 saturday, January 8, 1977 is edited and °managed by students at the University of Michigan. News phonW 764-0562. Second class postage paid at Ann Arbr. Michigan 48109 Publ shed d a iy Tuesday through Sunday morning during the univer- sity year at 420 M~vnard Street. Ann Arbor. Michi n 48109. Subscription rates: $12 Sept. thru April (2 semes- ters; $13 by mail outside Ann Arbor. Summer session published Tues- day through Saturday morning. Subscription rates: $6.50 in Ann Arbor; $7.50 by mail outside Ann Arbor. IKA ANC I IVEDe American Cancer Society. Call us for help. iHSSPACEa cc em 5s I HOUSING DIVISION Save $10.00 to $59.90 if you act now. If youve been thinking about getting a programmable, texas Instruments has a special offer- for you RESIDENT STAFF JOB OPENING FOR 1977-78 INFORMATIQNAL MEETINGS: MONDAY, JAN. 10-THURSDAY, JAN. 13 BAITS-January 10,. Monday, 7 P.M. MARKLEY-January 12, Wednesday, Stanley Lounge 10 P.M. North Pit (Dining Rm. 3) BURSLEY-January 10, Monday, 7 P.M. WEST QUAD-January 13, Thursday, 7:00 Resident Directors-West Dining Room P.M. Dining Room No. 1 BURSLEY-January 10, Monday, 8:30 P.M. BARBOUR-January 13, Thursday, 8:00 Resident Directors-West Dining Room P.M. Newberry Living Room COUZENS-January 11, Tuesday, 7 P.M. NEWBERRY-January13, Thursday, 8:00 Living Room P.M. Newberry Living Room MOSHER-JORDAN-January 11, Tuesday, EAST QUAD/RESIDENTIAL COLLEGE- 8:00 P.M. Jourdon Lounge January 13, Thursday, 8:00 P.M. South Dining Room STOCKWELL-January 11, Tuesday, 9:00 P.M. Blue Lounge SOUTH QUAD-January 13, Thursday, 9:00 P.M. West Quod OXFORD-January 12, Wednesday, 7:00 P.M. Seeley Lounge FLETCHER-January 13, Thursday, 8:00 PILOT PROGRAM/ALICE LLOYD-January P.M. First Floor Lounge 12, Wednesday, 8:00 P.M. Newcombe Lounge The above campus-wide informational sessions for prospective staff applicants have been scheduled to discuss the dimensions and expectations of the various staff positions, how to apply in the buildings and/or houses, who to contact, criteria to be used in the selection pro- cedure and the number of positions that are likely to be vacant. JANUARY 17, 1977: STAFF APPLICATIONS AVAILABLE IN HOUSING OFFICE, 1500 S.A.B. JANUARY 21, 1977: DEADLINE FOR APPLICATION FORMS FOR REAPPLYING STAFF DUE IN HOUSING OFFICE;,1500 S.A.B. JANUARY 28, 1977: DEADLINE FOR APPLICATION FORMS FOR NEW APPLICANTS DUE IN HOUSING OFFICE, 1500 S.A.B. I I 'I I SR-56 $109.95* If youtwant an incredible slide rule calculator that's also programmable, then this is the one for you. There're 74 preprogrammed functions and opera- tions. And it has AOS, TI's unique algebraic operating system, the underlying reason an SR-56 is so power- ful. It'll let you handle problems with as many as 9 sets of parentheses. Talk about memory. An SR-56 has 10 (11 if you count the T-registered.). And you can do arithmetic with all of them. Chances are' you'll soon discover how really easy it is to program. An SR-56 has 100 steps. Six logical decision functions. Four levels of subroutines. Dec- rement and skip on zero. Compare a test register with the dispilay to make a conditional branch. And this is just the beginning. Think about it. Can you really afford to put off get- ting your SR-56, now? Texas Instruments will rebate $10.00 of your original SR-56 purchase price when you: (1) return this completed coupon including serial number (2) along with your completed SR-56 customer information card (packed in box) and (3) a dated copy of proof of your purchase, verifying purchase between Jan.l and March 31, 1977. SR-56 Rebate Offer SR-52 $299.95* If you want the computer-like power of a card pro- grammable then choose this one. Techniques like optimization, iteration, data reduc- tion, what-if matrices, mathematical modeling, need not tie up your mind--or your time. But learning to use it is a hassle, you say. Not true. Prerecorded programs are gathered into software libraries: Electrical Engineering. Math. Statistics. Finance. All you need do is load a mag card, press a few keys and you'll get answers that previously required a computer. You can make your own programs just as easily. In just a couple of hours you'll begin to0 prove what a powerful asset you have- right at your fingertips. And there's not a better time to get an SR-52 than right now. r ----------------- N SINCC 1968 LAND6 SKY FINE WATER MATTRESSES SOFT-MACHINE FURNITURE MONASTERY SOFAS, DINING TABLES, CHAIRS, ETAGERE, CONSOLE S FOUNTAINS £- - t I Gerry Peirce You never seem to hear about the people who are cured of cancer. I am one of them. My cancer was dis- covered early. Because I went for a PAP test regularly. I want you to have a PAP test. Make an appointment for one right now. And keep having the test regu- larly for the rest of your life. The rest of your life may be a lot longer if Vou dro. r' I i Electrical Engineering. Statistics. Math. Finance. Choose any two and (1) return this completed coupon including serial number along with (2) our completed SR-52 serialized customer information card (packed in box) and(3) a dated copy of proof of your purchase, verifying purchase between Jan. 20 and March 31, 1977. SR-52 free software library offer P. 0. Box 1210 Richardson, Texas 75080 - r I !I I !