Page4--Thursday, March 30, 1978-The Michigan Daily Looking t WASHINGTON - When the pollsters ven- tured out to take their first soundings on the 1976 presidential campaign, Jimmy Carter's name didn't even make the list of prospects. That should be fair warning that nothing counts until the competition begins. Still, off-season surveys can point up political problems, and a new Associated Press-NBC News poll indicated that President Carter has had his share - perhaps more. One of them shows up when people are ; asked, in effect, what they would do if they had the 1976 election to do over again. The an- swer: they would still elect Carter over Republican Gerald R. Ford, and by about the same 3 percentage point margin. IN A POLL of 1,604 adults conducted March 21 and 22, Carter was favored by 46 percent, Ford by 43 percent. The rest said they wouldn't. vote or didn't know. That's a lot closer than the hypothetical matchup has been since Carter defeated Ford and entered the White House. Last Novem- ber, for example, a similar poll showed Car- ter with an 18 percentage point margin over Ford. In January, Carter's margin was 12 points. The narrowed gap between the Democratic president and the defeated Republican is an aDDarent reflection of dissatisfaction with Carter's performance in office. The AP-NBC News poll showed that 33 percent of the people rate Carter's performance excellent or good, while 64 percent say the job he is doing is only fair or poor. An AP-NBC News sampling of opinion about a presidential primary match between Carter and California Gov. Jerry Brown gives the president a commanding margin among Democrats. The numbers: Carter 58 percent, Brown 23 percent, with the rest withholding November, 1980 By Walter Mears ANAL YSIS r A - C t~ L Eighty-Eight Years of Editorial Freedom 420 Maynard St., Ann Arbor, MI 48109 :Vol. LXXXVIII, No. 60 News Phone: 764-0552 Edited and managed by students at the University of Michigan The renewed interest In MSA judgment and a few saying they'd prefer other condidates. THE MARGIN of error is 5 percent either way, but in any event, Carter is comfortably' ahead. When people who identify themselves as in- dependents are asked the same question, 42 percent prefer Carter, 31 percent favor Brown. Overall, counting Democrats, in- dependents and Republicans, 46 percent favor Carter, 28 percent favor Brown. Given the fact the presidents, historically, fare worse in the polls in times like these - as promises collide with problems - the num- bers would hardly seem a lure to would-be candidates to risk a challenge to their party's incumbent. But again, the time for such decision is far away. Among Republicans, every would-be can- didate is a challenger, and the lesson of Car- ter's marathon campaign is to start early, to build up contacts and credits long before the election season. A SAMPLING of Republican sentiment, in a poll which has a 7 percent margin of error, shows Ronald Reagan atop the list of prospec- ts for the 1980 nomination. Ford is close behind. That is to be expected. In such an early sur- vey, name recognition is the single most im- portant factor, and more people recognize the names of the 1976 GOP contestants than those of other prospects for 1980. The AP-NBC News poll presented Repubicans with a list of names, and asked which they would support in a presidential primary election. The ranking: Reagan 43 percent; Ford 35 percent; Senate Republican Leader Howard H. Baker Jr. 7 percent; former Texas Gov. John B. Connally 5 percent; former Am- bassador George Bush 2 percent; Sen. Bob J. Dole of Kansas, the 1976 vide-presidential nominee, 2 percent; others or not sure 6 per- cent. When Democrats and independents are asked to rate the same list of prospects. Baker's stock jumps sharply. Among all voters, he is favored by 18 percent, still third, but a lot closer to Reagan, who 'is supported by 27 percent, and Ford; who gets 28 percent backing. Beyond those few portents, ablout all that can be said of the rankings is that they are almost certain to change markedly before the 1980 competiton really begins. Three years before the 1976 election, a poll among Democrats rated Sen. Edward M. Kennedy of Massahusetts the preferred presidential candidate by a wide margin, with Alabama Gov. George C. Wallace econd and nine, count 'em, nine U.S. Senator filling out the list of prospects. Just before that election year began, another poll made the late Sen. Iubert H. Humphrey of Minnesota the favorite, again with Wallace second and, again, with no men- tion of Carter. Walter Hears is a correspondent for The Associated Press. T HERE MUST be a lot of smiling people walking around the offices of the Michigan Student Assembly (MSA) these days. When the deadline arrived to an- nounce candidacy for the upcoming MSA elections, a record number of people had done so. Some 104 students, representing almost every school on campus, are vying for a mere 38 seats on the Assembly. .The overflowing slate of candidates represents a remarkable recovery in the level of interest for student gover- nment on 'campus, even if it is only immediately attributable to the befalling of a major election. In recent years, participation by students in their government has fallen to alarmingly low levels. As a rule, fewer students have run for elective of- fice and fewer students have voted in elections for campus governments. MSA members now in power, for example, were elected by less than 10 percent of the students who make up their constituency. The surge in interest can best be at- tributed to the new election procedures just instituted in February. These provide for the election of all represen- tatives from the various colleges, as opposed to representation-at-large. Because this was the case, members of MSA were able to concentrate their ef- forts on recruiting new candidates. Campus political parties - some of them old and some of them new-were instrumental in gathering new can- didates, as well. Of the 104 new can- didates, only 13 are calling themselves independents. This could very well mean that the various parties, each. with their own- speciaLinterests, will, have a.powerfvl role i the future MSA Adding also to the spark in this year's election is the reinstitution of the direct election of MSA's president and vice-president. Rallies and speeches, which always seemed to be missing from MSA elections of recent years, may now come back into vogue. The large field of candidates and inevitable round of campaigning over the next week and a half can have nothing but beneficial effects on the number of students who come out to vote beginning April 10. The people in the offices of MSA do indeed have reason to smile. The trick now will be to maintain the students' interest in their govermnent after the elections. And that, as many current members of the Assembly will testify, is a considerable challenge. ~C ploy Nerws Swoc NOALL- NASHVILLE, Tenn. - "It's strange," observed a middle- aged black woman, who said she had taken part in lunch counter sit-ins here in the early 1960s, "but, you know, it looks like South Africa is bringing us together again, getting us tired, old folk back on our feet. We just have to do what we can to help those poor, brave kids in Soweto." The sit-in veteran spoke as she marched through the streets of Nashville last weekend with some 5,000 mostly black demon- strators protesting the United States-South Africa Davis Cup tennis matches at Vanderbilt University. The three-day protest - spon- sored by the National Association for the Advancement of Colored People (NAACP), and organized locally' by black and- white students .- mny transform the, growing,,but most white student- led anti-apartheid campaign into a national movement coordinated by black organizations. AT -THE SAME TIME, the Davis Cup protests suggested that the South African issue may be the spark that re-ignites a black protest movement in the United States after nearly a decade of relative quiet despite worsening economic conditions for blacks. Billed as the largest protest of its kind since the civil rights movement, the demonstration recalled for many of the par- ticipants the days of Martin Luther King and SNCC - a movement reborn. "It's a new day today, the beginning of a new era of protest," black activist and comedian Dick Gregory told the cheering crowd, which had been drawn to Nashville from as far away as Chicago and rural North Carolina. "If the American cor- porations that invest in South Africa don't listen to what's hap- pening here today, and if the universities don't listen, they're gonna see a whole lot of trouble." NAACP President Benjamin Hooks promised, "We will lead other marches in other cities, and we will be raising not only the issue of South Africa, but also of unemployment and racism in this country. This is not the end but the beginning ... We shall march on until victory is won and all God's children are free." The Davis Cup demonstrations America's movement Apartheid and By Steve Talbot black drastically cut attendance at the games - the 9,000-seat capacity stadium was never more than 15 percent full. The embarrassingly low turn-out compelled the U.S. Tennis Association to release Vanderbilt, the host, from its. financial obligations, and a local over the country. The organization decided to make the Davis Cup a "symbolic protest," and Hooks told reporters he would be pleased if 2,000 people took part. Furthermore, NAACP mar- shals restrained marchers from I f the imcan corporations that invest in South Africa don't listen to what's happening here today, and if the universities don't listen, they're gonna see a whole, lot off trouble..' - activist and comedian Dick Gregory ce later this year," -said TCAA coordinator David Huet-Vaughn. Regional conferences have begun to bring cohesion and focus to the campus movement against South Africa. Students from 15 New England colleges will gather at Yale University in New Haven the first weekend in April for a series of films, workshops and speakers on the issue of South Africa and U.S. ties to the apar- theid regime. Students in California held a statewide con- ference earlier this year at Santa Barbara. Already anti-apartheid studen- ts have succeeded in forcing a number of colleges from the University of Massachusetts at Amherst to the University of Wisconsin, to divest themselves of stocks in corporations with subsidiaries and ,ffiliates.in SouthAfrica. Some of thecaippus protests, such as those at Stan- ford, the University '&f Califna at Berkeley and the University of California at Santa Cruz last ; spring, have led to mass arrests. Student anti-apartheid leaders also want to link with people off campustotbroaden their base and increase their clout. In Califor- nia, alliances have been developed between students, local activists and a black-led Southern African caucus within the International Longshoremen and Warehousemen's Union. The coalition has picketed a South African cargo ship and collected and sent 32 tons of clothing to Zimbabwean refugees from Rhodesia's white-minority regime. Other attempts to organize'and unite the eclectic and scattered anti-apartheid campaign have failed. However, the national conference proposed by Nash- ville's TCAA - with its black and white members, its non-sectarian approach and, perhaps most im- portantly, its success with the Davis Cup protests - may be the necessary catalyst for the creation of a new national movement. Steve Talbot, an editor of the Berkely, Ca. based bi- weekly International Bulletin and Internews Radio Service, has travelled and reported widely from Africa. He wrote this article for the Pacific News Service. ISTt{ A pRC FWKM clf coal mine owner, Joe Davis, of- fered to pick up the tab. WITH THE ACTIVE partici- pation of black organizations from the Urban League to the Southern Christian Leadership Conference, and white and black students, the Davis Cup protests also provided a major forum and stimulus to the anti-apartheid movement. But strains and dif- ficulties - especially regarding the NAACP's role - remain that could prevent the formation of a coordinated, large-scale, national movement of black and white Americans. The Davis Cup was the NAACP's debut in recent protests against United States-South Africa ties. Many rank-and-file members applauded the group's activism, welcoming Hook's an- nouncement that he expected 40,000 demonstrators to show up in Nashville. But after that initial announcement, the NAACP- decided not to go all out in busing people into Nashville from all joining local activists in on-site picketing, and at the rally Satur- day, Hooks appealed to the crowd to ignore "those disrupters who want us to act a fool over at the gym. A local group - the Tennessee Coalition Against Apartheid - and many black students from Fish, Meharry Medical College and Tennessee State University said they had worked well with local NAACP leaders and tried to coordinate strategy with the national office, but had run into a brick wall. TCAA said it will now move to confronting issues of racism at Vanderbilt, as well as university investments linked to South Africa. "WE ARE GOING to try to unite anti-apartheid groups in the United States by starting a working group with people like Dennis Brutus, the exiled black South African poet and sports ac- tivist, to try to get people together for a national conferen- LETTERS TO THE DAILY Vote to save Campus Legal A id .. °v°' ,_ °. .',. o . f :% . :. . __- i ., _' " !' To The Daily: Sometime soon we U of M students may lose one of the most valuable services We receive at this university - Campus Legal Aid. The Office of Student Ser- vices has recently announced that because of budget cut-backs, it may not continue funding the Campus Legal Aid program next year. There are however some simple steps that students can take to preserve this program - ts are considered "low income" if their yearly income falls below established guidelines of several thousand dollars per year with allowances made for tuition and other fixed expenses. The office handles landlord/- tenant disputes (roughly half the cases are in this area), family law problems such as divorces and child custody disputes, con- sumer and employment mr-hlemg msdemeannr eaes. dollars. For a student this can literally mean a battle for economic survival involving half or more of his or her yearly budget. Realizing the importance of legal services for students, the Michigan Student Assembly has developed a plan whereby legal aid could be preserved and, in fact, expanded to cover all students at the university. This would require a mandatory fee per student per term to pay for all MSA programs. Please VOTE to support collec- tion of this fee. It is vital to the survival of legal aid. The elec- tions will be April 10, 11, and 12. Polling places will be all around campus. Tell your friends to vote too. And if you can spare some hours near or on the days of the election to work at the polls or distribute leaflets and do cam- Im a mI M M1 1