he £rilitran DaUi Eighty-four years of editorial freedom Edited and managed by students at the University of Michigan Capitalism and stagflation Wednesday, October 9, 1974 News Phone: 764-0552 420 Maynard St., Ann Arbor, Mi. 48104 City shafts student voters Editor's note: This analysis is the second in a series of contrast- ing viewpoints on the current economic crisis. Readers' responses in the form of articles or letters will be welcomed. By LEE REYNIS and BRUCE STEINBERG AMERICAN C A P I T A L- ism,indeed world capital- ism, is suffering its greatest crisis in 40 years. For pessi- mists, signs of an imminent worldwide depression may be read in the failure of major Eu- ropean and American banks, in increased consumer indebted- ness and sharply declining cor- porate liquidity, and in a plummeting U. S. stock mar- ket, which has tumbled down- ward almost 500 points in the past three years and which this past week dipped below 600 to its lowest level since 1962. But even the optimists among us-with the exception of capi- talists whose profits are up and of supply considerations in the current inflation, we feel that the specific factors contributing to it need to be examined in a systematic fashion. While apologists for capital- ism are fond of referring to our great "free enterprise" system, this is hardly an ac- curate characterization. The last 100 years have witnessed an ever-increasing concentra- tion of capital assets, and few industries remain competitive. Economic power is extremely concentrated, with obvious po- litical consequences. In terms of inflation, monopoly power gives rise to the ability to ad- minister prices; freed from the discipline of the market, capi- talist producers are able to set prices ,so as to maintain profit margins. (It must be not- ed that increasing monopoliza- tion is the direct result of com- petition.) In this context that we can begin to examine the THE REGISTRARS at the Michigan Union are to be commended for managing to register some 1,500 vot- ers despite blatant hanky-panky by the Republican - dominated City Council, which tried to see that as few students as possible were regis- tered. It doesn't take a genius to see that it is natural for more people in the transient student population to regis- ter each year than in the off-campus areas of the city. For Council to cut the number of campus registration areas from three to one was a flag- rant a violation of the right to vote. That there was only one registra- tion area was not the only offense by any means. Location of the site in the basement of the Union instead of a more traveled area like the Fish Bowl also smacked of discrimination against would-be student voters. ALTHOUGH REPRESENTATIVES of the City Clerk's office said yesterday they could not make even a "foolhardy" estimate of the differ- Sports Staff MARC FELDMAN Sports Editor GEORGE HASTINGS Executive Sports Editor ROGER ROSSITER .... Managing Sports Editor JOHN KAHLER ........ Associate Sports Editor ence between last year's registration rate and this year's, it was obvious that many people were discouraged by the long lines and confusion at the Union site. Unique to the student registration location was its very own city-ap- point sergeant-at-arms. One regis- trar who was saving time Monday by not administering the traditional oath was asked to leave the table by this supervisor. Other registrars began administering oaths such as, "Do you solemnly swear that you did not kidnap the Lindberg baby?" But the sergeant-at-arms failed to notice these violations. As many as 100 students at a time braved the lines to register to vote. There are only two ways to prevent a similar circus every time students register on campus: The city must pass a specific ordinance that would keep council from changing registra- tion policy at whim, or voters must elect a majority of council members who do not cringe at the thought of student enfranchisement. -BARBARA CORNELL TODAY'S STAFF: News: Jeff Day, Barbara Cornell, Mary Harris, Lois Josimovich, Judy Ruskin, Sue Stephenson Editorial Page: Steve Ross, Rebecca Warner Arts Page: Jeff Sorensen Photo Technician: Karen Kasmausk i terms which afforded a stand- ard of living in the U. S. that would have been impossible oth- erwise. Effectively, the Third World was made to pay the cost of American affluence, an af- fluence which soothed class an- tagonisms in the U. S. But con- trol over foreign resources re- quired the backing, often mili- tary, of the U. S. government. The U. S. emerged from World War II as the dominant power in the capitalist world. The rise of war-ravaged Europe and Japan. as major industrial powers presented a fundamen- tal challenge to U. S. hegemony in the world economy, but it was Vietnam and the signing of the Paris peace accords which spelled real defeat for American imperialism. T H E SIGNIFICANCE of the Organization of Petroleum Ex- porting Countries (OPEC) must be viewed in this context. For the first time, countries which possess natural resources were able to challenge U. S. control over these resources. This would not have been possible without Vietnam. Short of military in- tervention - and Vietnam is a lesson in the unwiseness of this tactic - the U. S. has no lev- erage over the Arab states; it has been forced to accept high- er prices. But the increase in fuel and gasoline prices is not solely at- tributable to the Arabs. In addi- tion to deriving such benefits from the energy crisis as reduc- ed competition from independ- ents and suspension of various environmental controls, the oil companies were able to capital- ize on the crisis, adding a sur- 'While apologists for capitalism are fond of referring to our great "free enterprise" sys- tem, this is hardly an accurate characteriza- tion. The last 100 years have witnessed an ever-increasing concentration of capital as- sets, and few industries remain competitive. Economic power is extremely concentrated; with obvious political consequences.' ::4": :{}irv"xrr::rxm t; "::gr.::$4;"m a ? OUR ECONOMY has increas- ingly come to rely upon injec- tions of government spending - usually of a military nature- to sustain rates of economic growth, and upon government use of monetary and fiscal poli- cy tools to provide a framework of economic stability. There is evidence, however, that the traditional tools of macro - economic policy have become less and less effective in sustaining economic pros- perity. It has become impossi- fiscal policy. IT ALSO IGNORES the fact that business and government may want a recession precise- 1v because the last recession was incomplete: a worsening economic situation which in- cludeda balance of payments crisis with elections forthcom- ing in 1972 necessitated drastic action by the government. The recession was cut off be- fore worker incomes had fallen. The government put a clamp on I k ;I p oCOUPS a \ I1ALO CONGREiS rising - can find little to be happy about with the deteriorat- ing economic situation: for stu- dents, for workers, for people on fixed incomes, things are bad and they're likely to get worseabefore they get better, Over the past 12 months, the Consumer Price Index has gone up over 12 per cent, its highest rate of increase ever, and there is no sign that this upward es- calation of prices will be soon reversed. In the same period, real take home pay for the average worker declined over five per cent, the largest de- cline observed since such sta- tistics were first collected. T H E UNEMPLOYMENT rate has increased sharply, up. Four per cent in the past month to a current rate of about 5.8 per cent - a figure that doesn't even count people who have given up looking for work, or who work but would like to work more, or who find themselves in jobs far below their capabili- ties. Even administration econ- omists acknowledge that the unemployment rate will go sub- stantially higher. This phenome- non is called stagflation. We had a slight taste of it about four years ago, but the current rate of inflation in a period of eco- nomic recession is unprecedent- ed in American history. While administration officials, business leaders ,and most aca- demic economists would have us believe that the current eco- nomic crisis is the result of a coincidence of basically unre- lated and transitory phenomena - e.g. greedy oil sheiks and bad weather - and of our irra- tional and profligate behavior as consumers, the fact is that the current crisis has its roots. deep in the very nature of capi- talist production and in the his- tory of monopoly capitalist de- velopment in the U. S. What then are the origins of the current economic crisis? ROOTS OF THE CURRENT INFLATION Most bourgeois economic an- alysis would agree that the cur- rent inflation is primarily the result of supply factors, spe- cifically greatly increased prices for raw commodities such as food and oil and a "wage- price spiral." Most would prob- ably also acknowledge some 'de- gree of "demand-pull" inflation as a hangover from Vietnam. Without denying the importance roots of the current inflation. THE MID - SIXTIES saw a inflation of the traditional de mand - pull variety, as the gov ernment, afraidto reveal th true scope of the war to th+ American people, resorted t the printing press to cover it military expenses. One result o this was to flood the world wit American dollars, which Europ and Japan were forced to accu. mulate. The war thus had ser ous consequences for an alread deteriorating U. S. balance o payments (financial claims b Americans on foreigners minu financial claims by foreigner on Americans.) The balance o payments went deeply into def cit, forcing a long-postponed de valuation of the dollar in 1971 Devaluation of the dollar, i making imports more expen sive, had a direct inflationar impact, but it also exacerbate the inflation situation indirect ly. The government had bee seeking ways of expanding ex ports in order to carry out it imperial designs, and agricu tural product exports were logical choice. T H E DEVALUATION of th dollar made U. S. agricultura products cheaper for foreign ers. At prevailing price levels profit margins on foreign sale of U. S. agricultural product rose relative to those on domes tic sales, creating an incentiv for agricusiness concerns to d vert output from the U. S. t foreign markets. This diversion of output oc curred at a time when weathe conditions produced shortfall in U. S. agricultural output. Th result was the food crisis of th summer of 1973, a situatio which was further aggravate by government moves to freez agricultural prices. The other important commo ity which has been blamed fo escalating inflation is oil. Th tendency is to point an accus ing finger at the Arabs, bera ing them for their greed. Bu what is the impact of the pr ducing countries' 'increase [ crude prices and how were the able to pull off such a price in crease? ALTHOUGH THE U.S possesses relatively abundax natural resources, America capitalists began quite early t ,exploit foreign resources o n ie e 0 -s o h )e J- lv y y of i- a- sources required the mi ent.' :".ch : S '. : .fa :their o n to r ap:NaSs .m :..V": YY::: "...".."....:..:.'.". " " : ..... . 1J.' 1/ I. i, L 'Although the U.S. possesses relatively abundant natural resources, American capitalists began quite early to exploit foreign resources on terms which afforded a standard of living in the U.S. that would have been impossible otherwise. E f fectively, the Third World was made to pay the cost of American affluence, an affluence which soothed class antagonisms in the U.S. But control over foreign re- backing, of 'en rmilitary, of the U.S. govern. . r ~ 4 n . J. . charge of their own to reap n massive increases in profits. No n- longer able to force the Third y World to pay the price of U. S. tt- affluence, American capitalists n- are forcing cutbacks in the -n American standard of living. sINCREASES IN FOOD, oil J- and other commodity prices to- a gether explain only a fraction of the present inflation. Infla- tion is to a large degree the re- e sult of a struggle over national _ income - an income already - reduced because the Arabs , have begun siphoning off their s share - between workers and s capitalists and among the vari- - ous groups of capitalists them- e selves. i- - .. to .The sixties saw workers gain- ing a slightly larger share of . national income due to a reduc- r ed unemployment, while profits s declined. In response to declin- e ing profits, capitalists struck e back. Wage-price controls pro- n vided a temporary expedient, d since wages were controlled far e more effectively than prices, and profits were allowed to d- rise. The present inflation is a r result of productive capitalists e attempts to defend their rate s- of profit in the face of increas- t- ed worker militance, rising in- t- terest rates, and rising raw ma- o- terial costs. n The ability of corporations to y raise prices at a time of falling -_ demand and thus insulate their profits at the expense of de- clining worker real incomes S. rests with their monopoly pow- nt er. The present inflation is, to a n large extent, profit push infla- o tion; it is a direct assault on the n living standards of most Ameri- cans by a privileged few. ROOTS OF THE CURRENT RECESSION Capitalist economies tend to- ward stagnation. It is fair to say that the only periods of prosperity enjoyed by t h e American people have been either during or in the after- math of wars. There is no doubt 'that we are currently experiencing a re- cession: real gross national product (GNP adjusted for in- flation) declined in the first two quarters of the present year- the classic indication of a re- cession - and further decline may be expected in the current quarter. It is important to realize that a recession is not a period of economic collapse or panic, but a period of economic downturn. Capitalist production has al- ways been subject to intermit- tent booms and busts. Rapid rates of expansion eventually lead to tightened labor markets in which wages are bid up thr.iah .-m-pt;tin for work- BANKwS POME LSRIN6- " hrA1"L-MAF.H*W4 ble to achieve full employment with relative price stability, and it is becoming more and more difficult to achieve full em- ployment at all. Difficulties in achieving full employment result partly from an increasing tendency to sub- stitute capital for labor in pro- duction and partly from the growing inflexibility of the American economy. Increased. monopolization impairs the abil- ity of the market mechanism to allocate resources and results in prices that resist downward pressure. But inflexibility also accom- panies an expansion of the gov- ernment's role within the econo- my - an exnansion which is necessitated by market failures and imperfections, by the need to mitigate the worst excesses of capitalist production, and by the need to stimulate production to prevent economic stagnation. TO THE EXTENT that the administration is concerned about unemployment, it is con- l ') 10, >. It i kcl I MVIN1 IA ji FIA -TAf wage gains in the form of wage- price controls and thus permit- ted capitalists to recapture lost profits. But increasing worker militancy, bred by an infla- tionary erosion of real incomes, again threatens profits at a time when foreign markets are de- pressed and when purchasing power has been reduced by rising oil prices, the benefits of which accrue at least partly to the Arab states. While bad weather, recalci- trant Arabs, and bad policy may be held as factors in the' current economic crisis, it is clear that these factors by themselves could not have pro- duced the current situation. The crisis is rather an almost inevitable result of contradic- tions that have arisen in the course of capitalist develep- ment. THE CAPITALIST class finds itself in the middle of a deter- iorating economic situation that is, in many respects, of its own making. Government policy a TIM MIL'WAUKEE JOURNAL publSiafirs-Hats 8yntt,' t . 1-. 'Don't look at me! I just sell 'em!' Letters to the Daily money To The Daily: I'D LIKE to comment on the obscenity of the entire column "A quickie glossary to economic perils," but I'll restrict myself to the one "definition" which is at the base of all the others: "Money - the foundation of American Capitalism, the root of all evil." If you're going to assert that money is the root of all evil, you ought to iden- tify first what money is the root of, and whether or not it is evil. I'll maintain that money, in fact, is the symbol for the most priceless of human values. Mon- ey stands for those capacities of tive achievement, and any ad- vancement of his condition. To denounce the meaning of money is to denounce the rational fa- culty; that which makes human beings human (not that that would be at all unique in the context of human history). YOU DID make one correct observation: that money is "the foundation of American Capi- talism." It would be impossible for .it not to be; they both de- rive from the same philosophi- cal base. That base, though, was never identified while capital- ism had a chance, which is why people like you have no idea what exactly money is the root of. While you quip about w h a t jinx To The Daily: IN YOUR issue of September 25, Gordon Atcheson oointed out the "20 year jinx" - that since 1840 every president elected in a year divisible by 20 failed to complete one of his terms. There is another jinx. Except for the two war heroes, Grant and Eisenhower, no Republican has ever had two full terms. Hayes, Benjamin Harrison, Taft and Hoover had one tegnm com- plete; Garfield and Harding died in their first term; Lincoln and McKinley died at the Deginning of their second term; Nixon re- signed from his second term; Andrew Johnson (who was real- I --. in his fourth term) managed it. Curious coincidence? -Preston Slosson Professor emeritus September 26 prison To The Daily: I AM A federal prisoner at Leavenworth, Kansas. I Have been in prison now just short of six years. I expect to be getting out within tae next 10 months. And after being in pri- son for so long, I have lost all contact with the people I once know on the streets. What I would like is people to correspond with these last few months of confinement so that I may familiarize myelf with the now things in the worldI to- cerned about unemployment of a relatively privileged group, namely white male heads of households. Labor stratification means that certain groups - women, blacks, teenagers - pay the costs of unemployment, suffering more sharply rising jobless rates than white, "adult," males. The uniqueness of the current recession rests with the facts that it is accompanied by ac- celerating rates of inflation, that it fnllnws s clnsely on tools have been blunted, and, further, are incapable of simul- taneously dealing with the many facets of the problem. It is clear that President Ford will ask the American people, who have already suffered an erosion of living standards, to make additional sacrifices. We will bear the burden, while the wealthy few attempt to main- tain, their privilege. Lee Revnis and Bruce Stein-