Page 10-Sunday, February 18, 1979-The Michigan Daily INVASION WAS EXPECTED Local ex + rts ar escala Ition of Indochina con lIC By TOM MIRGA University foreign political experts were not stunned yesterday by news that China had invaded Vietnam, but expressed grave concern that the fighting might escalate severely if the Chinese prolong their presence there. Local Asia watchers said the Soviet Union might attack Chinese border troops if Peking continues its advance into Vietnam, and would not rule out the possibility of a major conflict between the two superpowers. "IT DIDN'T surprise me one bit," said William Zimmerman, former director of the Center fo' Russian and Eastern European Studies. "China has had a good track record of saying what they mean," he stated, "and (Vice- Premier) Teng's (Hsiao-ping) com- ments here and in Japan clearly poin- ted to somelsort of action."- Political Science Prof. William Ting noted China has a record of limited military objectives in the past, pointing to the border skirmishes with India in 1962 as a good example. "Chinese military operations in the past have always been very careful strategic strikes. It has usually been a case of strike and pufi back, and I would hope that this is the case now," Ting said. But escalation of the conflict was the key concern of the experts, who focused their attention on the highly sensitive Sino-Soviet border, where a combined. total of nearly three million troops are massed, according to United Press In- ternational. "The situation there is very touchy," said Ting. "China is well aware that the Soviets may strike back. A prolonged Chinese attack in Vietnam would give the USSR all the reason it needs to strike. I would expect to see a military move by the Soviets within the next few days if the mess doesn't clear up." Albert Feuerwerker, director of the Center for Chinese Studies, said the Soviets had several options, including direct military assistance - such as the deployment of pilots in Vietnam - or a show of force in Central Asia. "SOVIET MANNING of anti-aircraft positions or piloting of aircraft for Viet- nam is not impossible," said Zimmer- man. "We now have information that there were Soviet pilots in direct combat in Korea, in Egypt in 1970, and in Vietnam in 1966," he said. "That's precisely the level of support that they would like to give." OPERA AWARDS SAN FRANCISCO (AP)-The National Opera Institute recently presented its 1979 Awards for Service to American Opera at a gathering here., The awards are "designed to focus public attention on the achievements of those who make outstanding con- tributions to the excellence of opera in the United States." The Santa Fe Opera (John O. Crosby, general director) received the Award for Outstanding Service to Young Ar- tists. The Seattle Opera (Glynn Ross, general director) received the Award for Outstanding Cormunity Service. The Minnesota Opera Company (Charles C. Fullmer, general director) was given the Award for Creation of New American Works. During 1969 border skirmishes bet- ween China and Russia, Ting noted, the Russians changed the commanders of their border guard, replacing them with strategic nuclear specialists. "It's very possible that they might give the same kind of warning to China again," Zimmerman said. "IT IS NECESSARY to consider the following:"' Ting continued, "how long the battle lasts and how intense the fighting becomes. If it is short and purely tactical, the Soviets will probably limit their involvement to warnings." John Whitmore, from the Center for South and Southeastern Asian Studies, said China and Vietnam have a long history of animosity, going back hun- dreds of years., "The Chinese have been idiotic," he said, "and I don't see what they possibly have to gain. Teng stresses punishment, but China has tried that for hundreds of years and has never had total success. Given the presence of battle-hardened Vietnamese troops, I'd think that they are quite ready to fight it out tooth and nail." WHITMORE SAID he expects the Vietnamese, to revert to the type of guerrilla tactics that enabled them to defeat the U.S. should the Chinese con- tinue their invasion. "Those are rather rough hills out there (on the border)," he said. "If this Housing Rapica Drawing For Students Presently Living In The Residence Halls Who Wish To Return To The Residence Halls For The Academic Year 1979-80 becomes a prolonged battle, the Viet- namese will punish the Chinese with short strikes, kill off a number of them and pull back. China may bloody Viet- nam's nose, but the Vietnamese will be sure to fight back." Most of the experts agreed there was little, if anything, the Carter ad- ministration could have done to prevent the invasion, or do now to limit fighting. "There's nothing that the U.S. could do nor anything they should do either," said Feuerwerker. "We're in a tight spot having just opened relatiorns with the Chinese, -we can't afford to be too critical." Ting said the Carter administration is in a very difficult situation because of worldopinion that the attack is connec- ted in some way to Vice-Premier Teng's.recent visit to the U.S. "We did not clearly disengage our- selves from anti-Soviet comments," Ting said. "Tbe joint communique issued by Carter and Teng used the word 'hegemony', clearly a code word for anti-Sovietism." Feuerwerker said the U.S. has little leverage to exert on the forces in the conflict. "Our hands are tied. We can't adopt an unequivocal position, as that would have a serious impact on our relations with China and Russia., If there should be a serious Soviet military response," he said, "there's nothing that we can do but-watch." Americans evacuate Iran- From AP and Reuter Some 825 weary but relieved Ameri- cans were evacuated from Iran yester day on flights to Rome, Athens, and Frankfurt in a continuing airlift of U.S. citizens from the besieged country. Most of the evacuees were soon tran= sferred to another special flight to the U.S. Meanwhile, in Iran, domestic air ser- vice started and workers were reported streaming back to the oil fields following Ayatollah Ruhollal Khomeini's orders to end the crippling strikes that helped topple the shah. 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