Vege 2-Tuesday, January 9, 1979-The Michigan Daily
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1980 PRIMARIES PREDICTIONS BEGIN:
Reagan will lead at first-Dole

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WASHINGTON (AP)-Surveying his
competition for the 1980 Republican
presidential nomination, Bob Dole sees
Ronald Reagan in the lead but possibly
slowing down later in the campaign.
"Obviously, Reagan is the front-
runner," said the Kansas senator, now
in the third year of his presidential
quest. "One theory is that Reagan will
start off way ahead and not be able to
sustain it."
HE ASSESSED his chances and the
competition at a breakfast meeting
with reporters yesterday.
Dole took aim on 1980 when they
finished counting the votes in 1976 and
the Republican ticket of Gerald Ford
and Dole lost to Democrats Jimmy
Carter and Walter Mondale.
Since he formed a political commit-
tee on Feb. 10, 1978, Dole has been in 43
states, "most of those numerous
times."
THERE WERE eight trips to New
Hampshire, the site of the first
presidential primary.
Endless miles on crowded airplanes.
Every day of every weekend is a dif-
ferent town for another speech and a
bad meal, to shake a few hands and
hope to find some support. And the
early morning sessions, the questions
between sips of coffee, the eggs over
easy growing cold while he tries to ex-
plain why he's doing it and why he
thinks he can win the nomination.

And after it all, "I couldn't say flatly I
can put it together," said Dole. "We've
found enough interest to take a real
hard look."
"IF YOU DECIDE to get into it, you
have to have some realistic hope you
can win," he said when pressed to
assess his chances. "I'm not sure being
in New Hampshire eight times or
anywhere else eight times matters."
The New Hampshire primary is more
than a year away but on the Republcian
side the field already looks crowded.
Dole ticked off the names of George
Bush, John Connally, Rep. Phil Crane
of Illinois and Sens. Howard Baker of
Tennessee and Lowell Weicker of Con-
necticut as likely entrants along with
Reagan and himself.
BUSH, CRANE and Weicker have
registered with the Federal Elections
Commission as contenders for the
Republican presidential nomination,
although only Crane has formally an-
nounced for president.
Former President Ford has said he
won't run in New Hampshire.
Of his own chances in the first
primary, Dole says only "I think we
have a pretty good nucleus of support
up there." He pushes the idea that
Reagan must do well in the northern
New England state with a reputation
for conservatives.
To stop Reagan's drive for the
nomination, Dole says some

Republican, perhaps Bob Dole, "has to
rise from the pack" in the early
primaries.
THE KEY MAY be the ability to put
together an effective organization. So
Dole and most of the other hopefuls are
wooing the small group of political
managers and fund-raisers with ex-
perience in running a national cam-
paign.
The assessment of these political
professionals is crucial.
There's also the constant self-
assessment.
'You have to look at your
weaknesses, you have to be honest with
yourself," he said. "The fact you're
from a small state and a small town.. .
"You also have to have that com-
mitment. . . A lot of people would like to
be nominated, but do they have that
commitment to put in the hours, the
time, and'put up with all that
frustration."
Then, with another breakfast
meeting ended, Dole shook hands and
checked the time. He had a plane to
catch, a speech to make in Florida,
another of the states with an early
presidential primary.
Volume l.X\XX. ,No.8"-
Tuesda . January !. 1979
is edited and managed by students at the University
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Reagan
... Eyes on the White House

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Dole
... Nipping at his heels.
Iran's crisis
may lead to'
gas tratiotig


-Mom MO-M


11


Having trouble paying your electric bill?


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DETROIT (AP)-The chairman of
the U.S. House subcommittee on
Energy and Power said yesterday that
the oil crisis in Iran is worse than many
in the United States have thoughts.
Rep. John Dingell (D-Mich.) warned
that blocked oil produciton there "will
have a significant impact-much
larger than we have anticipated" on
this country's energy supplies.
SUNDAY, ENERGY Secretary
James Schlesinger warned that the
Iranian shutdown might lead to
gasoline rationing,
Dingell would not predict when
rationing or other restrictions might
take effect, but he said the United
States will run into problems in "about
the length of time it takes the last
tanker to clear an Iranian port."
Although Iran supplies only 5 per cent
of U.S. oil, Dingell said decreased sup-
plies to Israel-which the new Iranian
government already has pledged to cut
off-and to Europe will trigger im-
plementation of agreements which the
U.S. has made to help them when their
supplies run low.
Dingell spoke at a news conference
before making a speech to the
Economics Club of Detroit.
Daily Official
Bulletin
MOND)AY, JANUARY 9, 1979
D)aily Calendar
Physics/Astronomy: E. Fry, U-M and Texas A& N4,
"Velocity Resolves Scattering of Atomic Hydrogen?'
2038 Randall, 4 p.m.
Medieval/Renaissance Collegium: C. A. Patrides,
"Like a Sunrise from the Sea: A Preface to Athenibn
civilization," Aud. D, Angell.,4p.m.
Bioengineering: Gary Herrin, "Human
Considerations in the Design of Experiments," 1042
E. Eng.,4 p.m.
Music School: Jerome Jelinek, cello- Joseph Gurt,
piano. SM Recital Hall, 8 p.m.
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