The Michinnn Doily-Tuesdnv September 25, 1479-Pose 7'i . r.c . ..... ..y.a.. v.... -x 'wA4 V pIsirw ' xi -J ALVIN TOFFLER SPEAKS AT RACKHAVI: Futurist predicts demise of present social institutions By GREG GALLOPOULOS The world is in the midst of a change of such magnitude and significance that it is comparable only to the industrial and agrarian revolutions, futurist author Alvin Toffler told an audience of morethan 300 at Rackham Auditorium Sunday evening. Speaking before the National Conference on Continuing Education in Nursing, Toffler, author of the 1970 best seller Future Shock, said history can be viewed in terms of "three great waves of change." THE FIRST OF these waves occurred when man abandoned the nomadic ways of the hunter for the relatively stable life of the far- mer. The second wave came with the triumph of technology. We are presently in the third wave - the result of the accelerated pace of change, and of the increased diversity of society. This third wave of change, predicted Toffler, will lead to the "breakup of the World Industrial System." The "World Industrial System," according to Toffler, includes all social institutions that are products of industrialism: "Capitalism and.communism are merely its (the World Industrial System's) children." TOFFLER FORESEESJthe destruction of the present in- dustrial civilization because its "institutions are designed to deal with homogenity and slow-change," and will crumble in the face of the fast-change and diversity that will increasingly confront societies in the future. Rapid change and increasing diversity are, in Toffler's view, the inevitable results of the ever-increasing complexity of the modern world, and have "cultural - not just economic and political" impact. This dramatic alteration of civilization - "the third great wave of change" - differs from its predecessors, the agrarian and industrial revolutions, primarily because "it is happening much faster," Toffler said. "It will play itself out, I believe, not in thousands of years, not in hundreds of years, but in tens of years - decades. We happen to live in those decades." TOFFLER SEES this transition period as one "of extreme tur- bulence and conflict as we restructure the political frameworks of many countries to accommodate the higher levels of diversity." But this does not mean that civilization will be destroyed, Tof- fler said.' While he does maintain that "absolutely fundamental changes are required in all political systems" to accommodate in- creased diversity, he adds that there is "nothing inherent in diver- sity that means violence or anarchy. On the contrary, Toffler said, diversity can provide strength for a system: "Ecological systems are very diverse - the more diversity, the stronger the system." IN ORDER TO weather the stormy transition period, Toffler advises that "we must learn to anticipate changes and prepare alternatives for when our forecasts fail." It is no longer enough, Toffler maintains, to confront problems as they occur. The accelerated rate of change makes it crucial that potential problems be identified, and alternative solutions devised, in advance. "Long range planning," he said, "must be conducted by everyone."~ Toffler's thesis is further developed in his new book, The Third Wave, which will be published in March 1980. Toffler's speech was the keynote address for a five-day con- ference on Continuing Education in Nursing hosted by the Univer- sity. The theme of the conference is "Transition: The Challenge." FASTI You'll get about 20 more miles from every tank of gas if you slow down fron 70 to 55 mph on the highway: For a free booklet with more easy ways to save energy and money, write "Energy," Box 62,' Oak Ridge, TN 37830. ENERGY. We can't afford to waste it. U.SiDepartment of Energy HEW: Assistance to (Continuedfrom Page 1 ask them to find a new place," said William Lemmer, an attorney in the University General Counsel's office. "We could do that, or tell H don't know what they are talkir Those are the two extremes." NOONE IS sure whether th Mi EW they ng about. e tribe is Jets duel in Mideast 1 lchigamua v still a legitimate student organization. The Michigan Student Assembly (MSA )' demands that every student group file for recognition every year, but Michigamua has consistently failed to seek such recognition. It no longer holds an account with the University. And its free lease was granted by the student Union in 1932, but the Union no longer has the power to recognize groups or grant space. The HEW decision revolved around three major distinctions: Whether. Michigamua received significant assistance from the- University, (Continued from Page 1) parachuting to safety. The other two reportedly went down farther into the hills with no word on the pilots. -A Syrian military communique issued in Damascus said two Israeli jets also were "hit," but did not say specifically they had crashed. Casualties from the air battle' were unknown.. LATER YESTERDAY, the wreckage of one plane lay smoldering in woods near Aramoun, less than two miles from the airport. Syrian troops sealed off the area. "I saw two planes come into the sky and then suddenly two more ap- peared," said Ahmed Abdul Khaleq, an Aramoun resident in his 40s. ' "All of a sudden I saw this one falling down with fire coming from its left wing. It exploded when it hit. There was a huge flame." ON JUNE 27, Israeli warplanes shot dawn five Syrian MiG-21s in a dogfight over southern Lebanon, the first air- borne encounter between the two old enemies since 1974. Western military sources said all were downed by a single Israeli F-15 that was on the ground in Israel when the fight began but was quick enough to get there in time to help-the slower Israeli jets. Damascus radio said last Thursday that Syrian jets had driven off Israeli aircraft flying over southern Lebanon. Israeli newspapers said the Syrians used air-to-air missiles in that encoun- ter. The Syrians, whose 22,000 troops police a civil-war armistice in Lebanon, have, pledged to defend Lebanese .territory against Israeli air attacks. Israeli jets frequently fly over Beirut and southern Lebanon on surveillance missions or to attack Palestinian positions. STATE DEPARTMENT spokesman Reston had no comment yesterday on whether Israel's use of F-15s over Lebanon violates U.S. restrictions limiting the aircraft to self-defense missions. The Israelis say their Lebanon operations are pre-emptive missions to defend against Palestinian attack. - The Soviet-supplied Syrian air force has more sophisticated MiG-23s and MiG-27s, but they apparently have not been using these in their challenges against the Israelis. violates civil rights whether the group was simply a social society rather than an honor society and whether the group discriminated on the basis of sex. Honoraries, organizations whose fun- S ctions are to bestow distinction upon their deserving members, fall into the category of student groups and are, consequently, subject to Title IX. TANAY SAID she and Blumenthal were spurred on by a comment made by then President Gerald Ford during one of his visits to Ann Arbor. "During a meeting," she said, "we asked him what he thought about having a blatantly sexist organization on campus and his reaction was to laugh." Blumenthal recalled that Ford said something about ridiculous things stemming from Title IX. "I guess," she said, "this sort of counteracts his little statement." r /, / 1'. Co up on cSp e Ca! Te u niversity of Michigan, School of Music Dp~artment of Dance Offers Fall Courses in Beginning- Intermediate Modern Beginning Ballet Intermediate Modern Intermediate Ballet Advanced Modern Children's Ballet (ages 8-12) Young Dancers Contemporary Dance Workshop (ages 12-18) September 24-November 17,1979 12 COLOR REPRINTS r - - ---- - - - - , Coupon must accompany order. C Color Reprints ~12 for $.89 FROM YOUR COLOR NEGATIVES Limit one order per coupon. Kodak or t ompatible ALcolor negatives. al the same size 7 1 VALID SEP. 17 THRU SEP. 30, 1979 I L.----------------------- -------- *On processing done by Guardian Photo only. PURCHASE CAMERA SHOP 1115 SOUTH UNI\LERSITY AVENUE ANN ARBOR, MICHIGAN PHONE: 665-6101 Faculty: Gay Delanghe Willie Feuer For information call763-5460 or write: Department of Dance Christopher Flynn Susan Matheke Dance Building 1310 N. University Ct. 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