Page 4--Tuesday, December 11, 1979-The Michigan Daily Method in Khomeini's madness Ninety Years of Editorial Freedom Vol. LXXXX, No. 79 News Phone: 764-0552 Edited and managed by students at the University of Michigan ;, Ai ( -" , By Wiliam Beeman omb-gft- V*o -Ioclql 4 5S4J(.w4G" OF Por4Mu OS66ES .I. Teddy's sh B ACKING incumbent presidents during national crises is a traditional stumbling block in presidential politics, and when Teddy Kennedy wasn't looking, he tripped over it and fell with some ill-timed remarks about the Shah of Iran. Whether Kennedy will be able to pick himself up, dust off the damage of ad- verse publicity, and get back in the race before losing too much ground is speculation better left for the political, pundits. What the Kennedy case does is un- derscore the precariousness of America's position in Iran, the dangers of divisiveness at home, and the need for caution in these delicate negotiations. Kennedy, like all the other 15 declared presidential candidates, has been placed in an unfair position. The man they are challenging has virtually silenced them while himself comman- ding constant media attention as the Iranian crisis continues. The key questions of what to do about the Shah of Iran and when to take military ac- tion are questions that belong in the public forum for debate. But to debate' these questions openly now puts the United States squarely at a disadvan- tage in its quest for a negotiated set- tlement. The Iranian students illegally holding the U.S. embassy in Tehran have constantly attempted to rally American public opinion to their side, to lend legitimacy to their actions By allowing dissent at home, from our leading politicians, we are sending the signal that their P.R. is succeeding, ,and that only strengthens their / //. ยข5M+ fI ah remarks resolve. Kennnedy's points are well- taken-the Shah is indeed a vile and sleazy despot who plundered billions of dollars from his own country. Kennedy is right, but his timing was definitely wrong. Only days after Kennedy made his remarks about the Shah, he was being quoted on the front page of two Tehran newspapers-fueling the anti-Shah rhetoric of the students holding the embassy. Kennedy's words were taken out of context and printed in such a way as to give the Iranians the im- pression that he supported their ac- tions against the embassy because he, like they, hated the Shah. This is obviously not the impression that Kennedy wanted to display, and it is not his fault that his words were taken out of context. And no doubt the least thing that Kennedy wanted to do was prolong the situation by giving the students the impression that they are right and have his sympathy. Since Kennedy did not want to do these things, the best thing he could have done was to keep his mouth shut, at least until the hostage crisis is resolved. When this crisis is over, Jimmy Car- ter will have to answer a lot of questions-why did he let the Shah into this country, why did he not take steps to secure the embassy beforehand, etc. But those questions must wait until the current situation is resolved, since the primary task at hand is to rescue the hostages safely, not to call Jimmy Car- ter on the carpet. There'll be plenty of time for that later. While U.S. leaders are expressing support for President Carter's handling of the hostage crisis in Iran, few have recognized the ex- traordinary skill with which the Ayatollah Khomeini and the Revolutionary Council in Iran have handled the situation. The Ayatollah has been able to take a situation of potential crisis proportions and, with a series of masterful strokes, turn it into an event which leaves his rule much stronger and more influential than it was before the crisis began. The Ayatollah faced several problems when the crisis broke. First, he needed to gain con- trol of a situation which was not being layed out under his direction. Second, he had to do so while avoiding the appearance of repudiation and discouraging his principal supporters. Third, he had to turn the event in- to something that would be viewed as a positive move rather than a disaster. KHOMEIN I CHOSE TO gain control over the group of revolutionaries occupying the embassy by slow, step-by-ste encroachment on their decision-making prerogatives. Star- ting at the beginning of the occupation, he bagan to make small requests of the students while congratulating them on their revolutionary action. First, he asked them not to speak of killing anyone. The students promptly complied. Second, he requested that the hostages not be blindfolded. This also was acceded to. Third, by giving crowds an implicit mandate to occupy the British embassy and then get- ting them to leave, he demonstrated his ability to get people to give up an occupied compound. Finally, he sent his son Ahamd into the U.S. embassy grounds with the students. Khomeini's son provided the essential com- munications link that would be necessary if the occupiers were to come under the direct control of Khomeini and the Revolutionary Council. In the days following, it bacame clear that the way to control the situation in the em- bassy was to demonstrate that every move taken was a proper revolutionary action. To show the West and the people of Iran that he" was, in fact, now in control of events, a plan was needed to ensure that if the release of hostages became necessary, it could be ac- complished in a way which the embassy oc- cupiers would not view as capitulation. THE RELEASING of women and blacks in the embassy, coupled with the threat to try the rest of the hostages as spies, was a brilliantly conceived way to accomplish this aim. Although they initially resisted the plan, the occupiers were lead to feel that they were dealing an important ideological blow both to those who criticized Islam for its treatment of women and to the United States for its treat- ment of blacks. At the same time, by raising the possibility of trials, it seems that the oc- cupation would take on additional revolutionary significance. ' Binding the American hostages over to trial will accomplish two important goals. First, it takes the hostages out of the hands of oc- cupiers of the embassy and place them firmly under the control of the Revolutionary Coun- cil. Second, it will make the action of handling over the prisoners by the occupiers seem to be a proper revolutionary action. Taken in this light, it can be seen that Khomeini has been steadily working toward an imporovement of a difficult situation, and in fact working quite clearly toward the release of the hostages while demonstrating to Iranians that he con- tinues to maintain a hard revolutionary line throughout. Members of the Iranian government, prompted by the deliberations of the Revolutionary Council, have urged the United States to brand the Shah a criminal, or at least to agree in principle that he could be tried as a criminal as a way of ending the present crisis. FAR FROM BEING a capricious action designed to humiliate the United States, this move is undoubtedly designed to defuse the principle fear still driving the Iranian people to act against the U.S.-the fear that the U.S. intends to restore the Shah to power by a military plot. Although most Americans would find this inconceivable, the majority of Iranians still believe it to be possible, based on the 1953 restoration of the Shah through the efforts of the CIA. If the U.S. were to publicly declare that the Shah is a criminal or would be able to stand trial, this would be proof that such a plot is not in progress and would make negotiations much easier. For Khomeini and the Revolutionary Coun- cil, maintaining internal solidarity within Iran must take the highest priority even in the present struggle with the United States. Despite the extraordinary sense of hope and optimism set loose last February with the fall of the Bahktiar regime, the revolution has largely been unable to achieve its goals or to establish the order necessary to move the country forward. Technical and medical per- sonnel have left the country in droves, and difficulties with obtaining basic necessities, while not acute, are foreshadowing worse times to come. In addition, popular resentment against the repression of centrist and leftist political groups, the reimposition of press censorship, and the inability of the government to provide work for thousands of the unemployed was beginning to frighten the new regime. The fragile authority structure in the country was beginning to disintegrate. KHOMEINI' SUCCESSFUL co-optation of the U.S. embassy seizure buys him time as he grapples with several immediate dilemmas inside Iran. The first is a continuing debate over the legal and religious justification for allowing the secular state to be headed by a religious authority. A Committee of Experts assigned to review the draft of Iran's new constitution added a provision assigning the position of head of state to the chief acknowledged AP Photo religious leader of the nation. This provision, which gives the leader Shah-like powers, was hotly contested by the members od Mehdi Bazargan's secular government. It was reported just a few days before the takeover of the U.S. embassy that Bazargan's cabinet had tried unsuccessfully to dissolve the Committee of Experts. Indeed, it may have been this action which finally convinced Khomeine to accept Bazargan's frequently offered resignation. More importantly, opposition on this question came from Ayatollah Kazem Shariat-Madari, generally acknowledged as Iran's principal religious authority after Khomeini. Yet another source of opposition to a formal legitimization to Khomeini's rule as a feature of the new constitution came from the leftist and middle classes who have watched him lose popular support since summer and who have doubted openly his ability to sustain all elements of Iran's diverse society. A public referendum will be held in early December to approve the draft constitution. A month ago, the future of this referendum might have been in doubt. Now, however, Khomeini's stand in the embassy takeover practically assures that there will be no op- position whatever. KHOMEINI'S SECOND and most serious dilemma concerns the reconstitution of the armed forces and the police. Discouraged, without leaders, and riffled with desertions and discipline problems, all areas of the ar- med forces are in serious disarray. Main- taining simple law and order was thus begin- ning to become an extremely serious problem. In the weeks following the fall of the Bahktiar government, arms were available everywhere. Machine guns and. other weapons were finding their way across the Iraqi borders and were selling in Kurdistan for under $100. 'the criminal classes in the cities found it easy to obtain guns, and armed robberies, almost unheard of in the last 20 years, began to become a reality. Still, there was continual pres$ure from the clergy, and particularly the clergy sitting on the Revolutionary Council, not to allow the armed forces to be reorganized. The reason was simple: they were in mortal fear of a military counter-coup. The remedy for such a possibility is to develop a new army-one loyal to the Ayatollah, committed to establishing an. Islamic Republic and inafraid to face the superior military forces of the West even if it means certain death. This has not been possible so far. But with the takeover of the U.S. ambassy, it has been possible for Khomeini to revive the hope, spirit and commitment of the original revolution. And now his new army seems a lot closer to reality than it did a month ago. William Beeman, a teacher of an- thropology at Brown University, has spent the last 12 years studying and living in all parts of Iran. He is currently at work on a book about Iran. This article was written for Pacific News Service. Spacey Jane By Tom Stevens _ ---- WHAT ARE wE DVO)NC N~ow? OUTRuNNtN G THE (jIMMlCKS. IS TH WTH< ATr SINILAR- THE JOJ$ I I 1 I'