TWO
THE MICHIGAN DAILY
FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 9, 1962
TWO THE MICHIGAN DAILY FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 9,1982
.1
9'ORTHCOMING BOOK:
Burks Examines Probability
Chasins Sees Mediocrity
In Contemporary Music
By MICHAEL SATTINGER
While on sabbatical leave, Prof.
rthur W. Burks of the philos-
)hy department is writing a book,
Dause, Chance, and Reason,"
hich studies the philosophy of
,use.
"I draw heavily on the mathe-
atics of probability and I look
examples in science to see how
asoning is done. So while the
udy is all done by thinking and
riting, it is not done in a vac-
im," he said.
"The book trie's to answer basic
questions," Prof. Burks continued.'
The first question involves the
nature of probability: How does
one justify a probability judge-
ment, and how does he know
whether something which thought'
to be evidence really is evidence?
Causality Paradox
The second question asks the
nature of causality. "There seems
to be some relation between cause
and effect which cannot be ob-
served, and. yet science is based on
Chase Explains Procedure
For Defense Contract Bids
f ---
By DAVID FAINBERG
President John F. Kennedy's
newly created Arms Control and
Disarmament Agency was the top-
ic of discussion at a recent meet-
ing of the Institute for Arms Con-
trol and Peace Research.
Philip Chase, a physicist and
director of arms control programs
at Bendix Systems Division out-
lined the procedures necessary in
bidding for defense or research
contracts through the agency.
Some of the contractual provi-
sions of ACDA, Chase pointed out,
had to do with security clearance
Blaze Starts
In Lloyd House
Lloyd and Chicago Houses in
West Quadrangle were evacuated
early Wednesday morning after a
fire broke out among Homecoming
display remains in Lloyd House's
recreation 'room.
The fire was contained to the
room, but heavy smoke caused the
evacuation. The original cause of
the fire has not been established.
ISA Committee
To Present Dance
The International Student As-
sociatioll social committee will
sponsor a square dance from 8:30-
12 p.m. today in Dining Room Onei
of South Quadrangle. There is noa
charge for ISA members but non-
members must pay $.50 apiece.
w h i c h may take anywhere
from eight weeks to six months,
depending on the diversity of work
done by members of the bidding
firm.
Employment Problem
This creates a definite employ-
ment problem, in that highly
trained people are often unwilling
to wait that long before they can
begin their work. ACDA also re-
quires strict control over personnel
and a close liaison with the firm
throughout the project.
Chase went on to cite Bendix's
recently-received government con-
tract, TIP (Techniques for In-
spection Procedures), which is in-
volved in monitoring the location
of missile and defense bases, es-
pecially in the Soviet Union.
This project is directly concern-
ed with effective inspection of
such installations if an agree-
ment is reached on world dis-
armament.
Disarmament Research
The Arms Control Institute it-
self is a newly formed association
'concerned with research relevant'
to the technical and applied prob-
lems of arms control and disarma-
ment."
Its activities during the year will
include the publishing of, "The
Journal of Arms Control," dis-
tribution of a timely newsletter of
activity in this field, and an in-
ternational arms control sympo-
sium, Dec. 17-21, which will draw
professional men from all over
the world. The participants will in-
clude Sen. Hubert Humphrey (D-
Minn) and ACDA Director W. C.
Foster.
observation. Hence there seems to
be a paradox," Prof. Burks com-
mented.
From the study have come two
main conclusions. The first is the
theory that "the rules of proba-
bility are pragmatic and are rules
for action. To say that the proba-
bility of an event is such-and-
such is to say that you should bet
correspondingly, assuming moral-
ity permits," he added.
The second conclusion is that
any proposition about probability
presupposes certain general prin-
ciples about the universe.
Cause and Effect
One such principle is the uni-
formity of nature. "The same cause
produces the same effect, no mat-
ter where, no matter when," Prof.
Burks remarked.
Using a great deal of symbolic
logic, Prof. Burks invented a new
logic of causal propositions which
enables one to make inferences in
causality in a mechanical way.
"One can put causal relations in
symbols and manipulate them to
get the result," he explained.
The book is an outgrowth of a
course Prof. Burks teaches in on
the philosophy of science.
ORGANIZATION
NOTICES
B'nai B'rith Hillel Foundation, Sab-
bath Services, 7:30 p.m., Zwerdling-
Cohn Chapel; Lecture: "The Radical
Right," Sol I. Littman (Dir., Mich.
Council of Anti-Defamation League),
8:30 p.m., Brasley Lounge; Nov. 9, 1429
Hill.
* * *
Canterbury Club, Open House, Nov. 9,
7:30 p.m., 218 Division. Speaker: Rev.
Gordon Jones, "Unspoken Theology of
Contemporary Literature."
* * *
Congregational Disciples E & R Guild,
Cost Luncheon Discussion: Pros-Cons-
NSA, Nov. 9, Noon, 802 Monroe.
* * *
India Students Assoc., Deepavali
Banquet, Nov. 10, 6:30 p.m., Union Ball-
room. Guest: Dr. S. M. S. Chati, First
Secretary, Education, Embassy of India,
Washington, D.C. Tickets available at
the International Center.
Mich. Christian Fellowship, Lecture &
Discussion, Nov. 9, 7:30 p.m., Union,
3rd Floor Conf. Room.Speaker: Dr.
Ivan Lowe, Physicist & Missionary,
"Brazil, A Missionary Challenge."
* * *
Newman, Club, Monte Carlo Party:
"Another Night at Louies," Nov. 9, 8:30
p.m.; Ilinois Dunkers' Hour, Nov. 10,
After Game; 331 Thompson.
* * *
Student Governors Program of Alumni
Association, Coffee, 9:30 a.m., Meeting,
10' a.m., Nov. 10, League, Henderson
Room. Speaker: Walter B. Rea, Office
of Student Affairs.
Excellence has become a rare
commodity in the field of contem-
porary music, Abram Chasins, au-
thor, composer, and pianist, said
recently.
Despite the fact that more mon-
ey is spent on concert tickets than
on baseball tickets, and despite
the boom in record sales and cul-
tural activities, an erosion of ex-
cellence exists in all fields of pro-
fessional arts today, Chasins con-
tinued.
"We are sweetly tolerant - so
terribly tolerant about things hap-
pening in our midst that we de-
serve what is happening to us," he
noted.
"It is time that we become im-
patient, that we demand something
to the point," Chasins added.
The supply of mediocre talent
is greater than the demand. Con-
sequently, those who are excellent
-Daily-Tom Brien
STEARN'S DISPLAY-Now on exhibit at Hill Aud., Raymond
Harary's rare Wagner tuba combines characteristics of the French
horn and the tuba.
Rare Instrument Exhibt
Features'Wagner Tuba
are unable to make a living. In
both creative and re-creative art
we must know the difference be-
tween "a real creator and one who
manipulates fashionable devices."
"The important thing is indi-
viduality, not originality," he ex-
plained.
Indian Dinner
To Hear Chari
The India Students' Association
will sponsor a Deepavali ("Festival
of Lights") banquet at 6:30 p.m.
tomorrow in the Michigan Union
Ballroom.
S.M.S. Chari, first secretary of
the Indian embassy, will speak.
Tickets are available today only
at the International Center.
U To Host
Conference
On Injcries
The University will conduct a
seminar today and tomorrow on
the latest research into techniques
in the daily hospital treatment of
victims of accidents which result-
ed in severe burns.
Representatives of 15 institu-
tions, including military surgeons
and representatives of other uni-
versity medical centers, will be
participating in the conference.
The two-day meeting, to be host-
ed by Doctors Irving Feller and
Marion S. DeWeese of University
Hospital was primarily designed
"to provide for an easy exchange
of ideas between surgeons who de-
vote a considerable amount of
time to seriously burned victims."
Attendance is limited to medi-
'cal personnel.
I
I,
By JEFFREY CHASE
"Many historical musical instru-
ments, often rare in the United
States, are so commonplace in
Europe that nobody even bid
against me when I bought this
tenor Wagner tuba two years ago
at an auction in Vienna," Ray-
mond Harary, Grad, commented
about his purchase.
The Wagner tuba, a hybridiza-
tion of the French horn and the
tuba, was invented by Richard
Wagner for his operatic cycle
"Der Ring des Nibelungen." Its
tone is broader and less concen-
trated than that of the horns of
Wagner's day, Prof. Robert War-
ner of the music school explained.
The bore, which is tapered, is
an intermediate between that of
the regular tuba and that of the
late nineteenth century horn. The
funnel shaped mouth piece is
identical with that of the horn. It
was intended that the second
quartet of horn players, that is,
horns five, six, seven and eight,
should play these instruments
when called for, Wagner continu-
ed.
The four octave range of this
Shepard To Give
Psychology Talk
Roger Shepard of Bell Tele-
phone Laboratories will speak on
"Extraction of Metric Information
from Non-Metric Data" at a psy-
chology colloquium at 4:15 p.m.
today in Aud B.
instrument is lower than that of
the horn but higher than that of
the tuba. It is possible to produce
a full chromatic scale in all regis-
ters as well as a full gradation of
dynamic effects. The matter of
quality rather than that of range
prompted the creation of this in-
strument, Harary noted.
The musical parts for the Wag-
ner tubas are like those for reg-
ular horns. These tubas are used
to support and contrast, both
melodically and harmonically, the
brilliant brass-the trumpets and
trombones.
They are especially valuable for
achieving a different quality in a
full blend of brass color; a blend
which the horns alone could not
accomplish, Warner commented.
Right Hand Use
Unlike the German Wagner
tubas, the valves on the Austrian
variety, this one made by Boh-
land & Fuchs in Graz, are played
by the right hand. In both types
the free hand is not held in the
bell as is done while playing
horns, but is used to support the
instrument. The four valves work
on the rotary principal and the
bell is pointed up and to one side,
Harary explained.
Today these tubas are ra.-ely
used. Either a euphonium or a
regular horn, the bore of which
has been enlarged since Wagner's
time, is employed for their parts.
Harary has consented to dis-
play this historical instrument for
an indefinite length of time with
the Stearn's collection in Hill Aud.
V
.
-I
ff
HELD OVER AGAIN ! 3rd BIG WEEK
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DIAL
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"A Great French Film !"
-BOSLEY CROWTHER, N.Y. Times
ANEW ANDRE CAYATTE's
omorroW
ismyn
turn'::,
The Daily Bulletin is an official
publication of the University of
Michigan for which The Michigan
Daily assumes no editorial responsi-
bility. Notices should be ,sent in
TYPEWRITTEN form to Room 3564
Administration Building before 2
p.m. two days preceding publication.
FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 9
Day Calendar
8:30 a.m.-Institute of Environment
Sciences Lectures on "Environmental
Forces, Their Effects and Remedies"-
Registra-tion, Rackham Amphitheater;
Dr. I. Vigness, "Some Fundamentals
of Mechanical Shock and Vibration,"
9:30 a.m.;
John C. New, "Achieving Satellite Re-
liability Through Testing," 10:30 a.m.;
Arthur D. Radke and Robert W. Cos-
tin, "Low Frequency Vibration Environ-
ment and Its Effect on Human Beings-
Some Remedies and Isolating Tech-
niques," 11:15 a.m.;
Prof. Jesse Ormondroyd, "Environ-
mental Problems of Electronic Equip-
ment and Missiles on Shipboard," 2:00
p.m.;
Dr. S. C. Knapp, "Some Thoughts on
the Relationships of Laboratory Tests
and Service Life of Elastomers," 3:00
p.m.
4:00 p.m.-Depts. of Mathematics and
Physics and Institute of Science and
Technology Lecture-George W. Mack-
ey, Professor of Mathematics, Harvard
Univ., "Mathematical Aspects of Quan-
tum Mechanics": Aud. C, Angell Hall,
4:15 p.m.-Dept. of Psychology Col-
loquium-Roger N. Shepard, Bell Tele-
phone Laboratories: Aud. B, Angell Hall,
7:00 and 9:00 p.m.-Cinema Guild -
Vera Baranovskaya and Nikolai Bata-
lov in "Pudhovkin's Mother"; short,
"What Who How": Architecture Aud.
8:00 p.m.-Department of Astronomy
Visitors' Night-Stephen P. Maran, "The
Planet Mercury"; to observe Jupiter,
Saturn, and Moon: Rm. 2003, Angell
Hall.
General Notices
Faculty, College of Lit., Science and
the Arts: Midsemester reports are due,
Fri., Nov. 9, for those students whose
standing at midsemester is "D" or "E."
The green report cards for freshmen
and sophomores should be sent to the
Counselors Office for Freshmen and
Sophomores, 1213 Angell Hall; white
report cards for juniors and seniors to
the Counselors Office for Juniors and
Seniors, 1223 Angell Hall..
Students not registered in this Col-
lege but who elected L. S. & A. courses
should be reported to the school or col-
lege in which they are registered.
At the Request of the 1962 General
Co-Chairman of MUSKET, Women's Ju-
diciary has extended hours on Sat., Dec.
1, until 1:30 a.m.
Events
Student Government Council Approval
for the following student-sponsored ac-
tivities becomes effective 24 hours after
the publication of this notice. All pub-
licity for these events must be withheld
until the approval has become effective.
Voice-Lecture on the Problems of
Academic Freedom by Wendell Phillips,
Nov. 15, 4:15 p.m., 3529 SAB.
Michigan Union - November Mass
Meeting, Nov. 11, 7:00 p.m., Union, Room
3-B.
Panhellenic Assoc.-Selling of wom-
en's Campus Pac, Nov. 12, 13, & 14, 10:00
a.m.-4:00 p.m., Diag., Eng. Arch., Palmer
Field, Fishbowl.
The Dept. of Engineering Mechanics
and the Dept. of Mathematics present
lectures on Mon. and Tues., Nov. 12
and 13 at 4:00 p.m., in Rm. 311 W. Engrg.
Bldg. Prof. C. A. Truesdell, Prof. of Ra-
tional Mechanics, Johns Hopkins Univ.,
will speak on "The Natural Time of a
Viscoelastic Fluid" on Mon. and "In-
equalities and Analytical Problems in
Elasticity" on Tues.
Coffee preceding the lectures at 3:30
p.m. each day in Rm. 214 W. Engrg.
Bldg.
Degree Recital: Ronald C. Attinger,
also saxophone and oboe, will present
a recital on Sat., Nov. 10, 8:30 p.m. in
Lane Hall Aud., in partial fulfillment of
the requirements for the degree Master
of Music in Wind Instruments. His
accompanist will be 'his wife, Beverly J.
Attinger. Compositions he will play are
by Creston, Parcham, Mueller, and Bon-
neau. His recital is open to the public.
The National Ballet of Canada will
appear in the second program of this
season's Extra Series (under the aus-
pices of the Univ. Musical Society) to-
night in Hill Aud., at 8:30. The Ballet
will present the following program:
One in Five (music by Josef and Johann
Strauss); Concerto Barocco (Bach Con-
certo in D minor for Two Violins); Lilac
Garden (music by L'Chausson); Judg-
ment of Paris (music by Kurt Weill);
Les Rendez-vous, Ballet Divertissement
(music by Auber).
A limited number of tickets are still
available, and are on sale during the
day at the offices of the Univ. Musical
(Continued on Page 8)
i
1I
1%
Golden Lion
VENICE FILM FESTIVAL
1st prize
NICOLE COURCEL
GEORGES RIVIERE
CORDULA TRANTOW
"An Exceptional
Picture!"
-Herald-Tribune
I
S.oG.C. inena ji/d
*
TONIGHT at 7:00 and 9:00 Saturday and Sunday at 7:00 and 9:00
Pudhoykin's MOTHER Alfred Hitchcock's
Vera Baranovskaya, Nikolai Batalov
E ~ V . .~ ~. ~ S. U