PAGE FOUR A

THE MICHIGAN DAILY

S AY, NOVEMBER 4, 1962

PAGE FOUR A THE MICHIGAN DAILY SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 4, 1962


The Southwest

EArizona
The state which has sent con-
servative Republican Barry M.
Goldwater and liberal Democrat
Carl Hayden both to the Senate,
now finds itself locked in a real
headline-stealing battle of the
candidates.
Sen. Hayden, who has been in
Congress since Arizpna became a
state, is getting a real rousing
fight at the hands of Evan Mec-
harn (R). Hayden, were it not for
the Central Arizona public works
project, would be deep in trouble.
Meanwhile, Republican G o v.
Paul Fannin is getting a stiff
challenge from Democrat contend-
er Samuel P. Goddard, who won a
smashing primary victory. God-
dard blames Republicans for "ris-
ing unemployment," but Fannin
counters with statistics to' prove
that "Arizona never had it so
good."
In the House races, Arizona has
gained a seat due to reapportion-
ment. In the first district, Rep.
John J. Rhodes (R) should win
handily, as will his Democrat
counterpart in the second district,
Rep. Morris K. Udall.
In the new third district, how-
ever, Democrat George F. Senner
Jr. is locked in a seesaw battle
with John P. Clark (R). Experts
agree the race could go either way.
THE OUTCOME...
Sen. Hayden should turn back
Republican Mecham's strong
challenge.
Gov. Fannin will probably
squeeze by Democrat Goddard.
The House line-up: two Re-
pubilcans, one Democrat.
Nevada
Republicans have been totally
unable to generate any interest in
the November elections, and as a
result, the Democrats are likely to
retain most everything in sight.
The best gubernatorial prospect
the GOP had, Lt. Gov. Rex Bell,
rancher and ex-movie star, died
suddenly in the middle of the
campaign. This left the party in
confusion.
Thus, Gov. Grant M. Sawyer (D)
should win handily over Las Vegas
Mayor Oran Gragson (R). Sen.
Alan Bible (D) is also quite well
in front of his Republican chal-
lenger, William B. Wright.
Rep. Walter S. Baring will prob-
ably breeze into the lone House
seat once more.
THE OUTCOME .. .
Gov. Sawyer, Sen. Bible and
Rep. Baring-a Democrat sweep.
New Mexico
A looming deficit in the state's
budget could hurt incumbent Gov.
Edwin L. Mechem (R), who has
proposed a one-cent hike in the
state sales tax to offset the red
ink.
His opponent, Speaker of the
House Jack M. Campbell, immed-
iately came out four - square
against such a tax hike.
Republicans meanwhile are plot-
ting another of Mechem's last-
minute, whirlwind finishes, which
have put him over the top four
times in the past. Perhaps, this
time, however, it will not be
enough.

Election Special

The Pacific States

The Democrats now hold both
House seats and should continue.
THE OUTCOME...
Campbell should capitalize on
fiscal unrest to sneak by Mec-
hem.
Democrats will retain two
House seats.
Oklahoma
Republican wheat farmer Henry
C. Bellmon of Billings is rated an
even chance to oust the Demo-
crats from the statehouse, which
they have held for the 55 years
since Oklahoma became a state.
Democrats are split down the
middle. Millionaire builder W. P.
"Bill" Atkinson of Oklahoma City
turned back former Gov. Raymond
Gary in a bitter primary, and
many Gary supporters are work-
ing for the GOP.
Even the efforts of Democrat
strongmen Sen. Robert S. Kerr
seem to have been unable to pull
the loose ends together.
For the Senate, GOP hopeful
B. Hayden Crawford of Tulsa is
trailing incumbent Democrat Sen.
A. S. "Mike" Monroney, however.
The Sooners traditionally are
concerned over national and in-
ternational matters, and Mon-
roney, a veteran in Congress, has
served them well.
In the House, four Democrats
and one Republican are safe, but
incumbent Democrat Rep. Victor
Wickersham is getting tough com-
petition from Republican Glenn
L. Gibson, a Minco bookkeeper and
strong conservative.
THE OUTCOME ...
Bellmon will probably sneak
past Atkinson in a squeaker.
Sen. Monroney should defeat
Crawford, a former assistant
attorney general in the Eisen-
hower administration, without
too much trouble.
The House lineup should re-
main the same.
Texas
The big contest is between
former Secretary of the Navy John
B. Connelly (D) and his Demo-
crat-turned-Republican opponent
Jack Cox, who is campaigning on
an out-and-out conservative plat-
Republicans are claiming the
victory, and Democrats are forced
to admit it will be close. Connelly
has the support of Vice-President
Lyndon B. Johnson, but incum-
bent Gov. Price Daniel (D), who
got bounced in the primary, is
pretty much sitting on his hands.
No clear-cut issue has yet
emerged, and Democrats admit
Connelly will have real trouble if
there is not a large voter turnout.
Texas gained one house seat in
the new apportionment, which is
being elected at-large, giving it
23. If Cox were to run well and
win, he might pull Republican
Desmond Barry through with him
to take the new seat.
The GOP also claims it will pick
up House seats in the 16th and
18th districts.
THE OUTCOME.. .
Connelly should squeak
through, due to his relative con-
servatism and the state's Demo-
cratie traditions.
House lineup: 21 Democrats,
3 Republicans.

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Alaska
Sen. Ernest Gruening (D) left
Washington early this year and
has been spending his time on
the Alaskan campaign trail.
Observers see little or no chance
of Republican Ted Stevens upset-
ting Gruening, a moderate who is
fairly well-liked.
A much closer race comes be-
tween Demc-rat Gov. William A.
Egan, who faces a "trong challenge
from former territorial Gov. Mike
Stepovich (R).
However, voters like Egan's
strong stand against Russian and
Japanese encroachment of Alas-
kan fishing waters.
The real toss-up comes for the
lone House seat, where Rep. Ralph
J. Rivers (D) is in a neck-and-
neck f i g h t with Republican
Lowell Thomas Jr., son of the
CBS commentator.

THE OUTCOME ...
Sen. Gruening has little
worry about; he'll win.

to

Gov. Egan will probably slide
past Stepovich.
Thomas might possibly sneak
by Rep. Rivers, a GOP gain of
one in the House, a Democrat
loss of one.
California
Former Vice-President Richard
M. Nixon (R) is fighting for polit-
ical survival and incumbent Gov.
Edmund M. 'Pat' Brown (D) is
only too aware of it.
Most polltakers find Brown
ahead just slightly, but they
quickly note that there are enough
undecided voters to swing the tally
decisively in one direction or an-
other.
Nixon has been closing in on
Brown in the polls during the last
few months, scoring him for inept
leadership and administration and'
pinning the 'soft on communism'
brand on him.
The race will certainly go right
to the wire.
Meanwhile, overshadowed by
the violent gubernatorial race, Sen.
Thomas M. Kuchel (R) appears
to be in front of state Sen. Richard
Richards (D), who isn't making
any visible headway.
Another mad scramble is for
the House seats. The state gained.
eight new seats in reapportion-
ment, and the Democrat-control-
led legislature parcelled them out
on a partisan basis.
The present House line-up is 15
Democrats, 14 Republicans, 1 vac-
ancy.
The GOP hopes to pick up two
Democrat seats: The first district,
where Rep. Clem Miller (D) was
just killed in an airplane crash,
and the 38th district, where Rep.
D. S. Saund (D) is deathly ill in.
Walter Reed Hospital.
In California, it is hard to pre-
dict anything political. Voters
split their tickets in 17 different
directions with great abandon.
They are completely independent
and quite unpredictable.
THE OUTCOME ...
At the present rate, Nixon
should squeeze by Gov. Brown
with a razor-thin edge.

Sen. Kuchel will defeat Rich-
ards somewhat more easily.
In the House: Democrats
should pick up most of the new
House seats, making the new
line-up 22 Democrats, 16 Repub-
licans.
Hawaii
In the newest state, politics are
showing signs of becoming even
more torrid than those of her
sister state across the water, Cali-
fornia.
In a no holds barred campaign,
Rep. Daniel K. Inouye (D) is fav-
ored over Republican Benjamin
F. Dillingham to succeed retiring
Sen. Orin K. Long (D).
On the statehouse scene, Repub-
lican Gov. William F. Quinn is
holding a narrow edge over Demo-
crat John A. Burns, retired police
captain, and fighting an internal
split within his party. He could
be upset.
Observers favor two liberal
Democrats to cop the House seats,
both of which are up for grabs.
THE OUTCOME ...
Rep. Inouye should step fairly
easily into the Senate.
Gov. Quinn should slip back
into the capitol building-by a
whisker.
The Democrats will take both
House seats-a Democrat gain
of one seat.
Oregon
Sen. Wayne Morse (D) will
definitely have his hands full with
Republican opponent Sig Unan-
der, former state treasurer, but
the crusty old Republican-turned-
Democrat should win anyhow.
Republican Gov. Mark Hatfield
is considered by all (including the
Democrats) a cinch to beat Atty.
Gen. Robert Y. Thornton (D), so
the ammunition is being concen-
trated in the Senate contest.
In the House, the GOP is mired
deep in trouble in the fourth dis-
trict. The Republican incumbent
didn't seek re-election, and the
Democrats appear to be holding
the edge.
THE OUTCOME .. .
Sen. Morse should win, but not
as comfortably as usual.
Gov. Hatfield is a shoo-in.
The House line-up: Three
Democrats, one Republican-a
Democrat gain of one, a GOP
loss of one.
Washington
Young Lutheran minister Rich-
ard Christenson (R) ,. ide a
strong showing in the GGP pri-
mary, and he is running hard with
the support of Edgar Eisenhower,
but few if any believe he can
overtake veteran Sen. Warren G.
Magnuson (D).
In the House, where the present
line-up is five Republicans and
itwo Democrats, no change is ex-
pected, but the GOP is hoping for
an upset in the fifth district.
THE OUTCOME ...
Sen. Magnuson, who has yet
to acknowledge he has any op-
position, should coast in easily.
The House delegation will re-
main unchanged.

TUESDAY ELECTIONS:
Michigan,_Nation Ballot on Close Races
Ax

(EDITOR'S NOTE: The 1962 Daily
Election Special was compiled from
various national news media and
their campaign coverage, including
The Christian Science Monitor, The
New York Times, The Wall Street
Journal, Time Magazine, Newsweek,
U.S. News and World Report and
Associated Press dispatches.)
By JOHN BRYANT and
MICHAEL HYMAN
Non-presidential national elec-
tions have in the past been marked
by voter apathy, lackluster cam-
paigning and a lack of significant
issues.


The Border States

Arkansas
Quietly, Winthrop Rockefeller,
brother of the New York governor,
is building the Republican Party
in Arkansas, and although the
GOP doesn't hope to pull out a
victory in '62, they are running
hard.
And apparently Democrats feel
the heat, for they have been wag-
ing a campaign this year for the
first times in decades.
Gov. Orval Faubus (D), seeking
his 5th term, is safe. GOP op-
ponent Willis (Bub) Ricketts'
campaign has hardly gotten off
the ground.
Things aren't quite so easy
however for Sen. J. William Ful-
bright (D), who is getting rous-
ing opposition from Dr. Kenneth
G. Jones (R). A strict conserva-
tive, Jones is hitting Fulbright's
liberal voting record hard.
In the House, the state loses
two seats in reapportionment, both.
Democrats.
THE OUTCOME...
Faubus will coast to an easy
victory.
Fulbright also will win, but
not so handily.
The remaining four House
seats will stay with the Demo-
erats-a Democratic loss of two.
Kentucky
Nationally popular Sen. Thrus-
ton B. Morton (R)'is in a real
horse-race against Lt. Gov. Wilson
W. Wyatt (D) for the Senate.
In a campaign based largely on
personal appeal, Morton, the form-
er GOP national chairman, is rely-
ing more and more on his con-
servative voting record to see him
through.
The state, carrying a 2-1 Demo-
cratic 'registration, has shown
signs of leaning toward the GOP
in recent local elections, such as
populous Jefferson County (Louis-

familiarity with foreign policy,
pointing derisively to Wyatt's
membership in the American's for
Democratic Action (he was the
founding chairman).
In the House, Kentucky loses
one seat in reapportionment, leav-
ing seven. Five Democrats and the
lone GOP incumbents are safe.
But Third District Rep. Frank W.
Burke (D) of Louisville is receiv-
ing terrific opposition from ultra-
conservative Gene Snyder (R).
THE OUTCOME ...
Sen. Morton by a whisker, due
to the Cuban crisis.
House lineup: Five Democrats,
two Republicans.
Missouri
Sen. Edward V. Long (D) is re-
ceiving an increasingly hard battle
at the hands of his Republican op-
ponent, GOP conservative B. Cros-
by Kemper of St. Louis, who has
sold his program to most of the
rural voters..
Sen. Long is still in the lead,
but Kemper, a Democrat-turned-
Republican, is swinging hard at
his "blind support of the New
Frontier." The GOP campaign is
well-oiled and heavily financed.
Events in the closing days of
the campaign could be decisive, as
Kemper will concentrate his pitch
in the metropolitan Democrat
strongholds of St. Louis and Kan-
sas City. He might pull off an
upset.
In the House, presently nine
Democrats and two Republicans,
reapportionment has cost the
Democrats one seat. Republicans
are running hard in the fourth
district and may well snare it away.
THE OUTCOME.. .
Sen. Long will win his first
complete term, but not too com-
fortably.
The GOP may snare off an-
other House seat, making it

taken on Democrat Rep. A. Paul
Kitchin. For awhile it was neck-
and-neck, but now Jonas seems to
be holding a slight edge.
Democrats also admit they are
receiving heavy pressure from
GOP contenders in three more
districts. Present line-up: 11 Dem-
ocrats, 1 Republican.
In the Senate, Sen. Sam J.
Ervin (D) has only token opposi-
tion.
THE OUTCOME...
Sen. Ervin in a landslide.
Shake-up in the House; prob-
ably ending up 9 Democrats, 2
Republicans.
Tennessee
Despite the fact that the gov-
ernor's race has been an in-again,
out-again affair, the turnover has
not affected former Gov. Frank
G. Clement, the Democrat nomi-
nee, who seems virtually assured
of election.
He has the support of retiring
Gov. Buford Ellington and has
been only little more than annoyed
at the anti-Clement campaign of
retired Navy Capt. William Ander-1
son, who is running as an inde-
dependent.
He did have a second indepen-
dent against him, E. B. Bowles of
Knoxville, added to the regular
Republican nominee, Hubert Patty
of Maryville. But Bowles claimed
the 'race got too crowded for him
and withdrew.
Six of the nine House seats, now
in the Democrat Party, will stay
there. The GOP will retain their
present pair of seats and are fav-
ored to snatch a third, now held
by the Democrats.
THE OUTLOOK . . .
Clement will return to the
governorship in a walk.
GOP will swipe one House seat
from the Democrats, making it
Democrats s i x, Republicans

However, with the Cuban crisis,
medicare, and Federal aid to edu-
cation as issues this year, the cur-
rent campaign has been far from
sedate.
Thirty-nine Senate seats are at
stake this year, 19 held by Demo-
crats and 15 by Republicans. It
is considered unlikely that the
Republicans will regain control of
the Senate this year because of
the large number of incumbent
Democrats (43) whose seats are
not at stake this year.
Governor Races
Governors' chairs in 35 states
are also at stake this year. The
Democrats are most vulnerable
here, holding 21 governorships to
14 for the Republicans.
Republican leaders are eyeing
races in California, Michigan, New
York and Pennsylvania, as four
potential GOP presidential candi-
dates are running for the gover-
norships of these states.
In the House reapportionment
is an important factor with all
435 House seats are at stake. Cali-
fornia shows the largest gain, add-
ing 8 seats, while Pennsylvania,
dropping three, is the biggest loser.
GOP Landslide
Currently there are 262 Demo-
crats in the, House and 174 Re-
publicans. Barring a Republican
landslide, the Democrats will
probably retain control of the'
House.
The gubernatorial race in Mich-
igan is one of national importance.
George Romney is one of the
brightest stars in the GOP galaxy,
and a victory would increase his
magnitude tremendously.
On the other hand, his Demo-
crat opponent, Gov. John B.
Swainson, presents a warmer im-
age than Romney and has the
advantage of a strong Democratic
organization behind him.
Heated Campaign
The campaign has been a heated
one, but no major issue has de-
veloped. Romney's major campaign
topics have been "the mess in
Lansing" and Swainson's "lack of
leadership." Swainson's campaign
has been essentially defensive.
However, a good deal of their
campaign speeches have been de-
voted to criticizing each other.
Both men have come out for tax
reform, more aid to education, and
increased industrialization.
They differ on the adoption of
the newly written Constitution,
mainly because the apportionment
clauses concerning State Senate
would assure the Republicans of
control.
Vote Switching
The latest Detroit News Poll
shows Romney ahead by a whisker.
Annnidinr t th c.WR ?MMA vo tep

In the thumb district of the
state, Republicans are trying to
regain the seat of Rep. John
O'Hara of Utica. However, largely
Democrat population gains in
suburban Macomb County make
a Republican victory unlikely.
In the race for the newly-creat-
ed congressman-at large, former
Republican Congressman Alvin
Bentley leads former state Demo-
crat Chairman Neil Staebler. How-
ever, quite a few voters are not
aware that they must vote for two
congressmen instead of one.
Wayne County's six Democrat
congressmen are favored to win
re-election. First District Rep. Lu-
cien Nedzi (D) is a certain winner
over perennial Republican challen-
ger Walter Czarnecki.
/ Diggs-Blackwell
In the 13th District, Democrat
Rep. Charles Diggs seems safe in
his bid for re-election against
Republican Robert Blackwell.
Rep. Harold Ryan (D) of the
14th District appears to be assured
of victory although he won by only
800 votes in a special election held
last year. His opponent is Republi-
can Lois Nair. The John Birch
Society is an important issue in
this district.
Rep. John Lesinski (D-Dear-
born) is favored to retain his 16th
District seat, one of the nation's
largest. His GOP opponent is
Laverne O. Elliot.
Dingell-Richards
Rep. John Dingell (D) of the
15th District also seems to be a
safe bet for re-election. He is op-
posed by Republican Ernest Rich-
ards.
Rep. Martha W. Griffiths, con-
gresswoman from the 17th Dis-
trict, likewise can be confident of
re-election. She is opposed by Re-
publican James O'Neill.
In suburban Oakland County,
Republican Rep. William Broom-
field should defeat Democrat
George Fulkerson of Waterford.
Huffman Successor
Outstate, Republican candidate
Edward Hutchinson is a shoo-in to
capture the fourth district seat
formerly held by GOP congres-
sional dean Rep. Clare Hoffman.
His opponent is Leland Mitchell
of Three Rivers.
Veteran GOP Rep. August Joh-
ansen is also favored in his cam-
paign for re-election in the third
district over his Democrat rival,
Paul Todd.
Rep. George Meader, also a vet-
eran Republican congressman,
should defeat his Democrat chal-
lenger, Thomas Paine, without too
much trouble.
Ford-Reamon

Alabama
Republicans are waging their
hardest fight since the Recon-
struction but it shouldn't affect
the political picture; Democrats
will undoubtedly win everything
in sight as usual.
Republican James D. Martin of
Gadsden should roll up an im-
pressive vote total, but it won't be
heavy enough to dislodge Sen. Lis-
ter Hill (D), who has not dissatis-
fied the voters.
However, the Christian Science
Monitor reports that Alabamans
are suddenly viewing the Demo-
cratic Party with growing alarm,
due to the actions on the part of
the Kennedy administration in the
Oxford incident. Martin appears
to be picking up a considerable
number of defections. Whether his
total will be significant remains
to be seen.
Strict segregationist Democrat
George C. Wallace has no Republi-
can opposition, the GOP concen-
trating their fire on Hill. Wallace
has promised to "stand in the
door" of any school threatened
with integration.
The House race, however, is a
real donnybrook. Due to reappor-
tionment and a deadlock in the
legislature, the state lost one seat
and all nine Democrat incumbents
were tossed into an at-large pri-
mary battle, with Rep. Frank Boy-
kin coming out low man on the
totem pole.
Republicans had only put up
three candidates, but they have
quickly produced five more write-
ins, hoping to pull enough dis-
sident Democrats to elect at least
one GOP congressman in the fray.
Their chances are, in the light of
Ole Miss, getting better. Republi-
cans are riding the Kennedy ad-
ministration hard for its tactics
in Mississippi, and the voters are
responding.
THE OUTCOME . .
Wallace can't lose.

with the state's voters by going
against the Kennedy medicare
program.
In the House races, Florida has
gained four new seats by the 1960
census, and the scramble is one.
Present lineup is seven Democrats,
one Republican, and the GOP is
counting on picking up the 11th
district, while eyeing a couple of
others.
By far the most colorful race is
former Sen. Claude Pepper's
comeback attempt against Repub-
lican Robert Peterson of Miami
Beach. Democrat Pepper, aNew
Dealer and fighter for liberal
causes, is given the long lead, but
he is far too controversial to be
a sure thing.
THE OUTCOME«..
Sen. Smathers will win easily.
Republicans will snare off
one of the four new house seats,
making the line-up Democrats
10, Republicans 2-a GOP gain
of 1, a Democrat gain of 3.
Georgia
In this world of constant
change, if anything is sure, it will
be the victories of Sen. Herman
Talmadge (D) and state senator
Carl Sanders (D) who is running
for governor in Georgia; neither
has any opposition.
Democrats should retain all ten
House seats, though things are
getting lively in one Atlanta dis-
trict (5th), where Democrat Char-
les L. Weltner bounced Rep. James
C. Davis (D), a white supremicist,
in the primary. He now faces Re-
publican L. J. O'Callaghan, former
president of the Atlanta School
Board. There's an outside chance
for an upset, due to the Oxford
incident.
THE OUTCOME ...
Sen. Talmadge without oppo-
sition.
Gov.-elect Sander likewise.
All ten Democrats, probably

Oxford incident will stir some GOP
protest votes.
Republicans have put their best
foot forward, but there is no issue
for them to stir up the constitu-
ency against such a powerful dy-
nasty as the Long family.
THE OUTCOME...
Sen. Long will return to Wash-
ington in a breeze.
All eight Democrats will fol-
low him just as easily.
Mississippi
The Oxford incident has solidi-
fied the people of Mississippi be-
hind Democrat Gov. Ross T. Bar-
nett, and although there is no
Senate or governor race, the solid-
arity will carry over to elect the
six Democrats running for the
House.
Besides, there's no GOP opposi-

The Deep South

GOP Rep. Victor Knox of Sault
Ste. Marie should be victorious
in his close race for re-election
against Democrat Warren Cleary.
Rep. John Bennett (R) whose
12th District is one of the small-
est in the nation, is the probable
winner in his contest with Demo-
crat William J. Bolognesi.
All in all, Michigan's House
delegation should consist of 12
Republicans and seven Democrais,
a gain of one by the Republicans.


tion.
The state lost one seat in re-
apportionment though.
THE OUTCOME ...
Democrats lose one seat'
through redistricting.
South Carolina
For the first time since 1876, a
Democrat from South Carolina is
locked in a real Inock-down, drag-
out fight for his political security.
Sen. Olin D. Johnston (D), a
strong supporter of President
Kennedy, is getting real opposi-
tion from conservative Republican
journalist William D. Workman,
author of the recent book ex-
plaining racial segregation, "The
Case for the South."
Few see Workman the victor,
but all concede he will sap many
conservative votes away from the
liberal Johnston.
However, Johnston ran surpris-
ingly well against able Gov. Ernest
Hollings (D) in the primary, gath-
ering a 100,000 vote margin of
labor and Negro support. The Ox-
ford incident is helping Workman

I