TUESDAY, AUGUST 25, 1964 THE MICHIGAN DAILY : ._ :.. a. asar .vOrder aYour.1Daily Now- MINIMAL TO GOOD: Professors Rate Goldwatr 's Chances, By JEFFREY GOODMAN Three political science profes- sors disagreed recently on Sen. Barry Goldwater's chances for election in November, but all pre- dicted he will carry a large ap- peal for the white "backlash" against recent civil rights ad- vances. Prof. Norman Thomas termed Goldwater's chances "minimal". Prof. Henry L. Bretton said the Arizona conservative "has a bet- ter chance than he is generally given credit for." He mentioned possibly sufficient electoral vote blocs in the West, South and Mid- west. And Prof. Eugene Feingold gave Goldwater a good chance, "given the right combination of circumstances" While Thomas maintained that Goldwater's hopes for presiden- tial victory have been seriously hurt by "writing off the East," both he and Feingold mentioned the working-class, semi-skilled whites who are strongly affected by Negro demands for equality. Feingold characterized that seg- ment of the population as those who have "not quite arrived and still feel insecure, especially about Negroes taking their jobs away." He also contended that any general increase in civil rights vio- lence before the election-which he considers likely-will be to Goldwater's benefit, since the Ari- zonian is "identified as the candi- date of those opposed to racial change. He has said he does not believe in discrimination, but his Welcome U of M.Students Make your Headquarters at MUEHLIG'S for the largest and best selection of college-dormitory BED SPREADS.- This ear s BACK-TO-SCHOOL SALE ends Saturday, Sept. 5.' Buy early for best selection! PIPING, ROCKby x FAVORITE CAMPUS CLASSIC- OFF TO SCHOOL... ON WITH "PIPING ROCK" symbolic value to integration op-i ponents is most important." Conservative Backlash" Bretton spoke of backlash as coming from the "economically conservative." These are people who are "almost by definition op- posed to the kinds of social change invited by the civil rights move- ment, who want to mtaintain their privileged position," he said. All three thought that Goldwa- ter's choice of Rep. William Miller of New York as his running mate would considerably help Gold- water. Miller is not only an east- erner, but also a Catholic, as are a good many of the European im- migrants who feel threatened by Negro advances, Thomas and Feingold noted. The two held that Miller's can- didacy will put pressure on the Democrats torun Attorney Gen-' eral Robert F. Kennedy beside President Lyndon B. Johnson. Feingold felt that this might cost the Democrats votes in the South because of Kennedy's role in en- forcing civil rights legislation and using federal powers. But Thomas contended that Kennedy would help "play down the \ civil rights backlash' from the urban immi- grant groups, who would identify with him'as a Catholic. 'No Difference' "Johnson has already lost all the Southern votes he ever will, and running Kennedy for vice- president won't make much differ- ence," he said. On the reasons for Goldwater's nomination, Bretton said that conservative forces had been suc- cessful in rallying various groups of people. These include economic conservatives, middle-class anti- labor elements, Western regional- ists and people subscribing in varying degrees to white suprem- acy. Feingold mentioned that Gold- water has been able to exploit various contradictions in current American life, such as the many disadvantages accompanying tech- nological advance. These disad- vantages -- big labor, big bureau- cracy, over-organization, crowded conditions in cities--"make people wish for easy solutions. "Goldwater also appeals to mid- dle-class people who want to feel that their success in life is a func- tion of personal initiative and that poorer people simply lacy such initiative," Feingold said. Long Haul Thomas and Feingold pointed out that Goldwater has been striv ing for the GOP nomination since 1959. While extreme right groups were moving into state Republican organizations in the South and West, Goldwater was touring the country giving speeches and thus putting many local party groups in his debt, Thomas said. He saw a movement of the Democrats to the right in order to fill the "center" political vacuum vacated by Goldwater's nomina- tion. This move-primarily one of local organizational efforts and policy formulation-will allow the Democrats to pick up votes among the moderate Republicans, Thom- as thought. But Goldwater has a fair chance in big-bloc states like Ohio, JIli- nosi, Wisconsin:and California, he said. Bretton termed Pennsylvania Gov. William Scranton's request for party unity a definite sign that Scranton is trying to con- solidate delegate votes for a presi- dential bid in 1968. E The Sti Bicycle fri udent USED Headquarters om 1995' Order Your Daily Now Phone 764-0558 1 1AI 3ca c wwr w M F -. ''''''? *1. \f :1MW .VlA"V :V L:. .. 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