,PAGE TWO THE MICHIGAN DAILY THURSDAY. MAY 19. 1969 PAGE TWO THE MICHIGAN DAILY T1flTR~nAY. 1WAV 1O Iflulil , . .~ .W4W . .liiJ iVl.7il.l; ii 1 lAi 1 7 1VVV Viet Nam Prediction Game-United States Loses By The Associated Press How accurate have United States leaders been in assessing develop- ments and prospects in embattled, tumultuous South Viet Nam? A recapitulation of some of their less lucky statements about a frus- trating war in a frustrating coun- try suggests that a pattern has geen repeating itself over and over with deadly regularity. Events mock the assessments, the predictions and the sometimes guarded optimism of harassed U.S. administration leaders. Signals, Omens Absence of an ambassador from his post in Saigon can be almost a signal for some new and shock- ing development. A U.S. strategy conference in Honolulu can be transformed into an omen of Sai- gon turmoil to come. Time after time Washington ex- presses surprise at a sudden stor- my development in Saigon's poli- tics. Now, once again, Washing- ton is surprised as it looks at a new crisis, this one evoking echoes of the 1963 turmoil which brought down the regime of President Ngo Dinh Diem. The current upheaval came while Ambassador Henry Cabot Lodge was in Washington for con- sultations. This pattern is familiar too, Summer, 1963 ,In the summer of 1963, the fate- ful Buddhist crisis built up during the vacation of Ambassador Fred- erick Nolting. The crisis was at a high tem- perature when he returned. Be- fore his departure, with Lodge about to succeed him, Nolting Nolting made a prediction: "Victory over the Viet Cong in my judgment is well on its way in Viet Nam, provided only that unity of purpose and perseverance in action are not weakened by in- ternal dissension." The~ internail dissepnsion was al- retortedp to TPes~it John F.'Ken- I ready there and burning furiously. Taylor's Year In his one year as ambassador, July 1964 to June 1965, Gen. Max-' well D. Taylor ieft Saigon for Washington four times. During three of those absences there were political upheavals in Saigon. Only once did Taylor return to find in office the same men who were there when he left. Administration figures such as Defense Secretary Robert S. Mc- Namara and Rusk have been fre- quently unlucky with assessments and predictions regarding the Viet Nam war. U.S. military men. too. frequently were confounded by the frustrating way events de- veloped in Viet Nam. Perhaps the least lucky with predictions and assessments has been McNamara. In September, 1963, McNamara and Taylor visited Viet Nam. They ' IV, JJVl 4GU UV L-1 t-,OIUGl1k Cl Vllll 1?. "tGll- .5'r:rr::."::.1". M.^.'.1Y1;w.. ^{{.SVJ.:""r:."{YY{A. ..4 "" ."''°":!i{':{11: {{'}"r::": :1f.{Sti{k: {Y:{ti:"::"Yn Y{."{11;.Y.1} "{.Y1t.:'::;}:{f{:1;:'! ": :{{{¢:{"::'::": }:Y:{'.{r. Nrr.V.". .wwwv -4 -t ti1': : r. . ... . .J. ..:": .r45:".: .,1:; r .. M1.. ."r. .: V. .; Y..,rh5f r:' .5r1"":..:: r. .: f. 1: . {: 1 '. ..."4'V.l'.'.4'" }", "....M1. "".1a.{:* r:;...1...f...... "11".".V::.Y.. . . r .r. """ : :{wrr.4.{ {:u +{f.": 'S?. voa 'v:" :1 1i.. '}i'f.1J...bh1A.....Y:fA tiAtW:{...L...".1 r"f.:4" ::{tiff{4: ..:' ,..?S.' ..!uNS. k ." :.,.?:1'"sY":".1.":.1."... .......::.::..:.5;..:.:..'.:r. :..:.:::."::":" :4{". .:"."ra^:.".C">.'S1z":.$":{ ?: ar:... " .. 15>}.: DAI LY OFF CN..... .......... ...... ...... nedy "their judgment that the major part of the U.S. military task can be completed by the end of 1965" and that the need for major U.S. involvment would end then. Military Coup Two months later a military coup brought down the Diem regime. Rusk and NcNamara wen to Honolulu for a crisis conference and total support was expressed for the new top man, Naj. Gen. Duong Van Minh. At the end of 1963. McNamara expressed optimism about pros- pects for 1964, noting that the rate of Communist attacks had "declined dramatically." On Jan. 27, 1964, he noted that Minh's government "has considerably more popular support than its predecessor and the military revo- lutionary committee is beginning to take action to intensify military operations and improve civil ad- ministration." Three days later Minh was evicted by a coup and Maj. Gen. Nguyen Khanh was in. Minh had been going downhill all along. And the fact of 1964 was that Commu- nist attacks, rather than declining, increased in intensity. Delighted A few days later McNamara said he and President Johnson were delighted with Gen. Khanh's plans to step up the war. On Feb. 18 he said "the United States will pull out most troops by 1965. even if the anti-Communist drive fal- ters" in Viet Nam. Keeping all American troops in South Viet Nam, he said. "would be a waste of our personnel." What if the South Vietnamese effort should cave in? "I don't believe that pouring in hundreds of thousands of troops is the solution," said McNamara. He said the administration had no plans to do so. Today there are 255,000 U.S. troops in Viet Nam. After a visit to Saigon in March. 1964, McNamara remarked: "I think Gen. Khanh has got-it now. I was most impressed with their pacification program and now all we have to do is help administer it." The pacification program had difficulty getting off the ground. McNamara, who had made many public demonstrations of support for Khanh in South Viet Nam, was back there again in May, 1964, with Taylor, and the two reported "excellent progress." In June, 1964, administration representatives consulted in Hono- lulu on the Viet Nam situation. Lodge left Saigon to campaign in presidential primaries and Tay- lor took his place. And a storm was brewing. Suddenly Khanh, under heavy political pressure. announced he was stepping out as premier. A civilan became premier, and Sai- gon floundered for a while under civilian rule sponsored by the military. This - August, 1964 - was the month of "escalation." Commu- nist gunboats attacked U.S. war- ships in the Tonkin Gulf, and the Americans retaliated with air strikes against the gunboats' base in North Viet Nam. In July, 1965, McNamara was back in South Viet Nam. now un- der Ky's rule after a bewildering series of coups and political man- euvers. He noted a deterioration in the situation since he had last been there 14 months before. But in November, 1965, ending yet an- other visit, he said his most dra- matic impression was that "We have stopped losing the war." Last week, McNamara conceded that political turmoil in South Viet Nam cut U.S. military effect- iveness, but he predicted "that will terminate shortly." Then South Viet Nam blew up again. Early this year President John- son traveled to Honolulu and gave his personal endorsement to Ky and the chief of state, Lt. Gen Nguyen Van Thieu, as young lead- ers determined that a social revo- lution should not wait until the guns went silent. He said "The leaders of both governments are determined that we shall move forward." There are some who say now that the Honolulu meeting was a mistake, indeed a political blun- der. It foretokened new political trouble in South Viet Nam. Some commentators pointed out that the display of U.S. patron- age for Ky offended feelings of national sovereignty and dignity in South Viet Nam. And Ky appeared to be emboldened by the meeting to take a firm stand against a military rival in the 1st Corps area-the scene of the latest big explosion. Taylor. too, has had trouble with prognostication. Four years ago he said he was impressed with what South Viet Nam was doing under Diem and commented: "They are on the right track." The Diem regime was derailed a year later. In April, 1964, Taylor publicly opposed the idea of using Ameri- can troops "as the direct means of suppressing the guerillas." They are being used for that now. In March, 1965, Taylor said he had "a feeling things are turning for the better" in Viet Nam. And when he was leaving Saigon to be succeeded by Lodge, Taylor re- marked that "The future is cer- tainly more hopeful than it was a year ago." He would make no predictions on how or when the war would end, saying it would take time. "We are on the right track," said Taylor. i, Ph. 483-4680 Enhancte on CARPENTER ROAD OPEN 7 P.M. NOW SHOWING Shown at 3:25 and 11:50 SUNDAY, MAY 22,8 P.M Dancing-Hobnobbing-Refreshments V 1429 Hill St. Gilck Social Hall Admission Free A CHiLDREN'S CONCERT of Folk Singing and Dancing SATURDAY, JUNE 4-11 A.M. and 2 P.M. SLAUSON JUNIOR H.S. AUDITORIUM Children 50c Adults $1 .00 Order tickets by calling 665-9935 or 662-5996 or purchase them at Shipman's (both stores), Kiddie Korner, and at the door. SPONSORED BY THE CHILDREN'S COMMUNITY SCHOOL a rA /lle/ 1K/xe, lttt'" 1.1V: 1 Vf. t'f:'.' ..,V ..f 1".VY: ". r V ". ',1 V.Y.. T.;: " ... "" l :'. .tV1f::....: :':::. 1".V.'.. :. . . .., 1.. M.".. "f: "1f.t. . t::V.r i11... }::t. ....'.'Vff :Y 1Vfn . :': f :.. ...... .. .:. fi :A.. 1 ..t.........1 'V}: "" :V: V1f.. t'. 1 11f.+ ','tiV1:1t "'f ;.. .t.... ... . .......... 1 ..... ::.::.".....,1::"' ..rr1r::: f:.lvru: 'r':J}T:S-'r....... a. r.1.n..tiS "i7:}r;;}}S: tit '....Aifi.!.'Q's. tS .i*.R". ".:"}Y.l .ntY7 t':15ti....+....{:.MV }:.. .f.''L"'.t:'.' X.1'3.:......u.:..a...:..+ tii":{1Yhr...::.. f.....:.Y...R....AV..1 f: f:}...., ...{..".?^..}. A....1 N}f . The Daily Official Bulletin is an official publication of the Univer- sity of Michigan for which The Michigan Dailyassumes no editor- ial responsibility. Notices should be sent in TYPEWRITTEN form to Room 3519 Administration Bldg. be- fore 2 p.m. of the day preceding publication, and by 2 p.m. Friday for Saturday and Sunday. General Notices may be published a maxi- mumof two times on request; Day Calendar items appear once only. Student organization notices are not accepted for publication. THURSDAY, MAY 19 Day Calendar Programmed Learning for Business Workshop-Michigan Union, 8:30 a.m. Nutrition in Nursing Education Work- ship-Registration, Rackham Lobby, 9 a.m. General Notices French and German Objective Test: The Objective Test in French and' German administered by the Graduate School for doctoral candidates is sched- uled for Thurs. evening, May 26, from 7 to 9 p.m. in the Rackham Lecture Hall. ALL students planning to take the objective test must register by May 25 at the Reception Desk of the Graduate School Office in the Rack- ham Bldg. For further infirmation call the Re- ception Desk, Office of the Graduate School, 764-4402. Placement POSITION OPENINGS: U.S. Civil Service-Announces exams for two positions as Recreation Spe- cialist GS-5 and GS-7 levels. Open- ingsat McGuire Air Force Base, N.J. 4 yr. degree with specialization in Arts and Crafts, Dramatics, Social Activi- ties, Sports, or combination of above. Three years of experience in above fields. File Form 57 and card form 5001-ABC, notification of necessity to ORGAN IZATION NOTICES USE OF THIS COLUMN FOR AN- NOUNCEMENTS is available to official- ly recognized and registered student or- ganizations only. Forms are available in Room 1011 SAB. * . India Student's Association, A film, "Gumrah," May 21, 7 p.m., Aud. A, Angell Hall, Lutheran Student Chapel, Ascension Day services, Thurs., May 19, 7:30 p.m., Hill St. at Forest Ave. Young Friends, Recreation & plan- ning for the summer (bring a sack supper), May 19, 5:30 p.m., Friends Meeting House, 1420 Hill St. take test received later. Further in- formation at the Bureau~. Jewish Educational Alliance, Savan- nah, Ga.-Program aid position open for grad with degree in field related to social work. Some work exper. in Jewish Comm. Center prog. or comp. recreation, teaching, or camp setting. An interest in Jewish life and an orien- tation toward Jewish values. Johnson and Johnson, Chicago, Ill. -Production Supervisors, 10 trainee po- sitions. Desire recent grads willing to work any shift in a flexible schedule. No specific major, or exper. necessary. Latin American Teaching Fellowship Program-Fellowships in S. American universities. Two years of grad school required for opportunity to do work and further research. 6 mos. training, Argentina, Brazil and Chile, Portuguese or Spanish fluency required before de- parture. Time commitment not to ex- ceed 18 mos. Applications and brochure available at Bureau of Appointments. Management Consultants, N.Y. Area -Marketing specialist for chemical cor- poration. All phases of marketing an- alysis, implementation, prices, fore- cast, College degree in Chemistry pref- erable with some grad work in Bus. Ad. 5-10 yrs. exper. in marketing re- search and product management in the chemical industry. Management Consultants, N.Y. Area r ACADEMY AWARD WINNER Best Supporting Actor -Senior Financial Analyst. Degree in Bus. Ads, MBA desirable, exper, with large firm necessary. * * * For further inform Ftion please call 764-7460,mGeneral Division, Bureau of Appointments, 3200 SAB. SUMMER PLACEMENT SERVICE: 212 SAB-' United Airlines, iPttsburgh, Pa. - Looking for a girl who will be 20 by July 27 and finished her sophomore year. Learn to be a stewardess be- ginning June 20. Your junior and sen- ior year you will be their representa- tive on campus. Details at Summer Placement Service, 212 SAB, Lower Lev- el. J. Kazloff, Inc., Detroit-Accountant or bookkeeper for fish market. You can start immediately. Salary open. De- tails at Summer Placement Service, 212 SAB. Announcement: Summer Placement Service at 212 SAB is open year around Students interested in jobs after the first summer session should come in and look things over. Camps, resorts business and industry are still looking for people, especially camps. Typists are needed all over the country. WE, have the jobs if you will take them. * * a Details at Summer Placement, 212 SAB, Lower Level. TO BE INCLUDED IN THE FIRST HUNT ENTRIES ARE DUE BY FRIDAY, MAY 20 Picture yourself walking across the Diag . . , suddenly a giant bat (dis- guised as a paper airplane) comes swooping down and lacerates your jugular veins. Another kill, another point for the successful hunter. Or would you believe a shark attacking you in the Fishbowl? Yes, that exciting new campus game, "The Hunt", has arrived at Mi- chigan. Patterned after the movie The Tenth Victim it gives the players a chance to. release their emotions, meet interesting people, and have a killing good time. The game will be played during the Spring-term with a party for the players at the end. Participants will be randomly matched through the use of I.BM cards. GENERAL RULES (Details on- joining) 4." 1. 2. 3. 4. Each hunt will last four days. One point will be given for each successful kill. Two points for a technically brilliant kill. (Coroner's decision). If the hunter is killed by the victim he loses one point. ALSO Shown at 10:20 only "SKY DIVERS" IN COLOR 2 COLOR CARTOONS I 5. If the hunter kills an innocent bystander he loses two points. 6. The simulated kill must involve a physical touch by the instrument of destruction. The Coroners will judge the merits of each kill. 7. The executor must document the kill by a brief description of the kill signed by the victim (hunter or hunted). 8. Decision of the Coroners is final. THE* UNT HOW TO JOIN 1. Send $3.00 along with your name, address, age, major, height, weight, and sex to 1412 CAMBRIDGE, ANN ARBOR. 2. Before each hunt you will either be sent the name and information on your victim or you will be notified that you are a hunted. 3. You will receive a sophisticated card that identifies you as a mem- ber of "THE HUNT", and incidently puts you in the same class as Bond, or if you are really good perhaps Maxwell Smart. .. . 4. The first hunt will begin on May 23, 1966. Participants will be sent detailed instructions prior to that time. 5. For information on how this game has worked on other campuses read TIME, May 13, 1966, page 70. ' "WILDLY ~; f1,