-111 Seventy-Sixth Year EDITED AND MANAGED BY STUDENTS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN UNDER AUTHORITY OF BOARD IN CONTROL OF STUDENT PUBLICATIONS WherethpiW s AreFrxee, 420 MAYNARD ST., ANN ARBOR, MICH. Truth. Will Prevail: NEws PHONE: 764-0552 Editorials printed in The Michigan Daily express the individual opinions of staff writers or the editors. This must be noted in all reprints. FRIDAY, MARCH 31, 1967 NIGHT EDITOR: WALLACE IMMEN The U.S. Is Going North A SPECULATIVE PREDICTION: The United States will announce and de- fend the presence of U.S. troops north of the Vietnam demilitarized zone within the next two months. Indications from the Guam confer- ence, from a reorganization of military command in Vietnam, from the increas- ing cost of air attacks on the north, and from a continuous stiffening of U.S. conditions for peace all indicate that some sort of major escalation is in the making. There is little reason to doubt that that escalation could involve inva- sion.. The Johnson administration has, over the months, consistently upped the ante for an approach to the conference table with North Vietnam. Whereas last year the administration required only an agreement to negotiate as suitable terms for a bombing halt, this year the price seems to (nobody is really sure) have be- come a harsh quid pro quo-a halt to in- filtration of the South (which means a cut-off of supplies to those already there), which is asked for before, not after, any bombing pause or similar show of reduced U.S. military activity. Concurrently, the U.S. has escalated its bombing attacks to include non-mili- tary industrial plants, and recently be- gan direct shelling over the demilitarized zone. There are also indications that bombing and other activity surrounding North Vietnamese ports is being stepped up. NONE OF THIS will work and Washing- ton knows it. The Soviet Union has and will keep pace with U.S. escalation. Soviet missiles are responsible for a good percentage of the losses of U.S. aircraft, losses which have been climb- ing at an ever-increasing rate. The bomb- ing itself continues to have a minimal ef- fect on the Hanoi regime. There is thus no chance that, under current military conditions, the United States can bludgeon Hanoi into surrender. But the Johnson administration1 is caught in a political bind at home. Nobody likes the way strategy is being handled now. Pacification (even assuming our heart is really in it) is too big a job, and everyone realizes it. Moreover, no President as alive to political pressures as Johnson can keep the war going the way it is. All Americans, whether they are for escalating or for getting out, are weary of the war. All are alive to its day-to-day existence and watch the President care- fully. That means that every day there is pressure to try something different. No war as universally frustrating as this one can be kept at a status quo for very long. Thus Johnson must constantly find new and dramatic tactics, if for nothing more than to periodically provide new hope. HE ALSO WANTS to be re-elected in 1968. That means either ending the war or involving the United States so deeply in a bigger one that his leader- ship cannot be repudiated "in mid- stream." For his own political ends, the latter method is probably the safest. Johnson thep olitician is a man whose domestic program has been unpopular in conservative circles; and whose war years have been so desperately unhappy and so personally attributable to him that ending the war will only seem like end- ing a feud fought at the public expense. Johnson will not win great love for ending a war he made deserving of the title. All this adds up to one thing-some- thing "new," something to carry over through 1968. In short, escalation, with a good chance of drawing China into the war. Within two months the United States will: 1) Armit that there ares pecial forces in North Vietman and 2) Send a contingent of troops to the North to "save" a company already en- circled there, or 3) Send American troops through the demilitarized zone in a "chase" effort. Accompanying this or soon after will be a bombing of some Chinese supply source. Once it is known Americans are in the North, U.S. forces there will gradually ex- pand in a manner analogous to the grad- ual escalation we have been witnessing these past few years. NOW, IF THE UNITED STATES is will- ing to go into the North and thus risk a war with China, perhaps it might be useful to think in terms of Washing- ton's'wanting a war with China. Through these past few years the John- son administration has presented dis- senters with the argument of Munich- "if we don't stop them now, when will we?" Secretary of State Rusk has been and is now a dedicated foe of the Com- munist Chinese and has, as we have seen, been more than willing to fight a war to "stop them." He has left no doubt that the war in Vietnam is against China.- With that in mind, why not carry the Munich analogy one step further: if we are stopping Nazi Germany from taking the Sudetenland, why shouldn't we now make sure she is too crippled to start again somewhere else? Certainly. the time is ripe. Communist China has been wracked by civil war and is in the most desperate shape she has known since 1949. If there were ever a time to destroy or permanently cripple the central government of China with- out having to destroy its people, that time seems to be now. And given a Chinese entry into North Vietnam, the Soviet Union might well be as willing to support the United States as to side with China, with whom she shares little love and many thousands of miles of border. The temptation to use a giant pincer on the Chinese mainland could be too strong for Washington to resist. ALL THIS MAY SEEM far out to some, but who would have thought in 1964 that the United States would have near- ly a half-million troops in Vietnam to- day? Whereas two months ago we peti- tioned Washington to stop the bombing of North Vietnam, we now find ourselves in the position of trying to prevent U.S. troops from invading the North. And whether Washington's intent is to fight China or not, the prospects for further escalation seem quite strong, and there is no reason to doubt that that will involve going north. In as inhumane a war as anyone could possibly conceive, the President's personal political consid- erations deem it necessary that we ex- pand our enterprise. -HARVEY WASSERMAN Under the Influence An Evening With Robben Fleming of Meredith Eiker MADISON, WIS.-Robben Wright Fleming is coming to things where students commute, and I know more about Jim was stopped by flashing red lights and a university Ann Arbor today for the first time since his election resident schools like Wisconsin or Michigan." policeman told him he was 13 miles over the speed limit on Tuesday as the University's ninth president. Andy But he seemed more interested in Andy's comments and asked why his car wasn't registered. Jim handed the Sacks, photographer for The Daily, and I were the first on the fence-writing in Madison, telling us its long tra- officer his driver's license and perhaps the cop recog- University students to visit the new president in Madison dition and asking for details on the origin of Michigan's nized the name because that was the end of it . . . no and I must admit it's been a long time since I've been pop-art fence. ticket. received more cordially by an administrator. At 6 he said he was going home for dinner and we Jim doubted that the policeman knew who he was A phone call to him an hour after his acceptance said we'd find ourselves a place to stay for the night. He . . "I took a make-up test the other day and the pro- statement to the Regents found him more than willing offered to let us spend the night at his home ("We have fessor spelled my last name with two m's. I explained to see us, at our convenience, whenever we might arrive. a lot of room and you're both more than welcome"), but that there are 17 Fleming's in the phone book that have Transportation seemed to be the only problem-flights to we declined, I not being quite sure what to make of such one m and only two that have two m's. The professor Madison are sporadic to say the least-and it was Flem- an invitation. . . looked at me and said my name was probably misspelled ing who suggested we fly to Milwaukee and take a bus He reminded us that we could get beer with dinner because 'the Chancellor here's name is Fleming and he from there ("Badger, not Greyhound, they run more at the Wisconsin Union and told us to come out to his spells it with two m's.' Obviously not very many people often"). house as soon as we could. know who I am." I was anticipating that Fleming might say he was going to take a few days vacation (everyone else in Madi- FLEMING AND HIS family live in a modern home in SURE, FLEMING said a lot of important stuff and he son was) and that since he and his wife would be in Ann the suburbs of Madison. Again we found him finishing will probably say most of it again while he's here in Ann Arbor later in the week that it would be more convenient up with photographers-this group from Detroit-and Arbor this weekend. Maybe he'll even continue to extend to wait until then. answering a constantly ringing phone. His wife served this kind of hospitality to students here while he's But as Fleming told us later, he had planned in ad- coffee and cookies and Fleming slouched in what seemed president. vance to leave Tuesday relatively free to see all the to be his favorite living room chair and answered more What Fleming the administartor may be like at this people who might want to talk to him for as long as they questions. point isn't clear; Fleming the man, however, is a pretty might want to stay. Again the conversation was easy. Fleming doesn't nice guy. He enjoys his critics almost as much as he We talked in his Bascon Hall office, Andy snapping hedge on his answers ("As far as the draft is concerned, enjoys his supporters. pictures and Fleming answering occasional phone calls. I prefer a lottery . . .") nor does he leave any ambiguity When we left he insisted I take a copy of the Daily We were able to establish an immediate rapport, and it in his statements. Cardinal, the Madison campus paper, with me in which became more like a conversation with an old friend than He's difficult to trap-he won't talk about things his strongest critic, philosophy graduate student Robert an interview with a new president. he doesn't know about-preferring to make references to Cohen, had written a satire on "Chancellor Lemming." situations at Wisconsin rather than hypothesizing about Said Cohen, "we hope against hope that Lemming will HE TOLD US the details of his decision to come to what it might be like at Michigan. accept the Minnesota post and make Wisconsin a better Michigan rather than to accept Minnesota's offer. "Min- When we were ready to leave, his son Jim, a freshman place." nesota," he said, "is an urban university among other at Wisconsin, drove us back to our motel. On the way, I think he'll probably make Michigan a better place. Letters: The Slow Death of Free Debate To the Editor: "ceremonies" may be a growing which peaceful, democratic means met for over a year, and has fdr 1965, which seeks to codify the [T SEEMS A SHAME that U category around here and public of change are available." the past few years failed to nom- policy Mr. Smith quoted, to estab- Thant, when he comes to Hill airing of views a waning one. This " Regents ByLaw sec. 8.11, inate the three student members lish formal prerequisites for Uni- Aud. today, will be unable to hear trend should be reversed; partic- which- states that "the University it is supposed to seat, its old pro- versity-financed events. and respond to questions from the ularly, there is no reason why men has an affirmative obligation to ceedings from the early '60s are Surely nothing horrible would audience after his speech. The like U Thant should be invited see that students and faculty are still the most official University happen if our Vice-Presidents, ap- cause for this is not the relentless here and not requested to talk offered a comprehensive, impartial policy on public discussions here. pointed to carry out policy as well press of time, nor U Thant's dis- with the students and faculty. and objective program of on-cam- Vice-President Smith declined as promulgate it, allowed us to interest in exchanging views. pus public discussions (my em- to show me the minutes of the question U Thant today. Rather, our University administra- OUR ADMINISTRATORS may phasis) of important and. contro- committee, but was willing to tors debated and decided that a find support for shifting their pol- versial social issues." summarize its policy thus: "It -Peter Steinberger, Grad. question period would not be al- icy in the following, if they care ! Student Government Council was fairly well agreed that insofar -Jean Tenander, Grad. lowed; U Thant was not asked for to take a look: regulations, which provide that as the University took an active for VOICE-SDS his view on the question, nor were 0 Regents' ByLaw sec. 8.11A (1), every student-sponsored "lecture, role in encouraging (i.e., finan- the students and faculty who will which states that 'it is the policy forum, discussion or other public cing) any speech, it wanted a for- fill Hill Aud. to hear him asked of the University to foster a spirit talk" must provide "ample oppor- mat that included as wide" an' OPINION for their view. of free inquiry and to encourage ;unity for questions from the audience as possible, and a ques- Vice-President Smith explained the timely discussion of a wide floor"; tion-and-answer discussion rather The Daily has begun accept- to me that U Thant's speech was variety of issues, provided that the * The minutes of the Univer- than just presentation." ing articles from faculty, ad- seen as "a ceremonial occasion," views expressed are stated openly sity's Committee on Public Dis- 'Vice-President Cutler, secretary ministration, and students on akin to commencements, and not and therefore are subject to crit- cussion, set up with the Vice- . subjects of their choice. They as a chance for a public airing of ical evaluation. Restraints on free President for Academic Affairs as of the Committee, had only frag- are to be 600-900 words in ideas. The censoring of questions inquiry should be held to that Chairman and the Vice-President ments of its work in his files, length and should be submitted during the Hart-Ford speeches a minimum which is consistent with for Student Affairs as Secretary. but showed me, among these frag- to the Editorial Director. few weeks ago indicates that preserving an organized society in Although the committee has not ments, a draft proposal of July 5, M. ., .. I 41 41 11 4! More Thoughts o n The Unthinkable 4 By RONALD BAN Last of a Two-Part Series DISARMAMENT and surprise attack is perhaps the most paradoxical and perplexing prob- lem to the McNamara policy of deterrence. Nuclear weapons with their destructive power and the tremendous speed of their delivery give a tremendous advantage to the side attacking first. Pearl Har- bor demonstrated the efficacy of a surprise attack and that a strong deterrent can also be an excellent target to a nation that feels threatened by its presence. Therefore, in. disarmament we should seek those measures which could seriously reduce on all sides the dangers of surprise attack. The best way to do this is to reduce the incentives of such an attack or to substantially limit the advan- tage of surprise attack. "Inasmuch as the chief if not the only rea- son why either side might want to hazard deliberately planned war against the other would be to remove a menace which had be- come subjectively intolerable, we can add that the measures which reduce the probability of acciden- tal outbreak of the war also re- duce the probability of preventive war." THEREFORE our over-riding I interest for the enhancement of our deterrence posture is, of course, in the security of our own retalia- tory force. But that does not mean that we especially desire the oth- er side's retaliatory force to be insecure. If the opponent feels insecure, we suffer the hazard of his being more trigger-happy. As Defense Department spokesr- man John T. McNaughton said in a 1962 Ann Arbor speech, all our policies must be concerned with stability-"stability against tech- nological surprise, against acci- dents and unexpected or mislead- ing events, against a tendency for every confrontation to spiral into violence and how our decision will contribute to quickening or dampening the arms race," The implications of this think- ing are very important. "In the new outlook weapons, however powerful, that weaken stability have a minus value; weapons that contribute to stability have a plus value, whichever side has them! "A first strike-only weapon whichtcan be destroyed in an ene- my attack and must be used in the first moments of a nuclear exchange, if it is used at all, is obviously DEstabilizing." A perfect example of this type of weapon was the Thor and Jupiter IRBM's we stationed in Britain and Tur- key and the Russian equivalents that sparked the Cuban missile crisis." A second strike weapon, sufficiently shielded to survive a nuclear attack, which can provide time for evaluation and judgment, is necessarily stabilizing." THE EFFECT of these concepts was demonstrated by an interest- ing verbal exchange. Secretary McNamara, asked when he thought the Soviet Union would have invulnerable second strike missiles, said, "the sooner the bet- ter 4' emphasizing the importance of stability. This led Linus Paul- ing to the perfectly logical con- clusion that the United States should build some Polaris missiles for Russia. Our defense strategists have been concentrating on deploying an invulnerable, second-strike or stabilizing deterrent system, hence the emphasis on hardened Minute- man missiles, and the Polaris sub- marine-weapons practically in- vulnerable to a surprise attack. Taking this concept further, as certain theorists have persuasively shown, if our whole object is to ensure the futility of a surprise attack by the enemy, we should build a super-dirty bomb. What could be a better deterrent than a dirty bomb which could ensure complete destruction if only two or three bombs get throughs? "Thus schemes to avert sur- prise attack have as their most ,1 * . The Safety of Weappns Rather Than People." A Meeting With Robben Fleming 11'M HOPING TO FIND a mechanism in Michigan for meeting with students and talking with them," Robben Wright Fleming, newly elected president of the University, said in an interview Tuesday. Fleming will have his first opportunity to do this tomorrow morning at 8:15 in the Student Activities Building when Student Government Council holds an open meet- ing with him. This is a wonderful opportunity for students to meet and welcome the new president, to hear what he has to say, and also to express their views about their university. Bruce.Kahn, newly elected president of SGC, has said that all students inter- ested in attending the meeting will be accommodated, even if this means mov- ing from the Council room to a larger one. Hopefully this open meeting will set a precedent for effective communication between the administration and the stu- dents. -SUSAN ELAN Associate Managing Editor Peace March THIS MORNING between 9 and 10, just prior to the address of United Nations Secretary-General U Thant at the Hon- ors Convocation, there will be a demon- stration march in front of Hill Aud. ex- pressing protest of U.S. policy in Vietnam. The purpose and spirit of the United stubborn 'adherence to the belief we know what's best for everyone. "The first function of deter- rence is to make surprise attack completely unattractive to the oth- er side. The only way to do so is to make certain that an attack by the other side will be met in kind, not necessarily in the same degree but at least to a substantial one. The error in popular judgment is that the certainty of retalia- tion comes as a matter of course, without considerable special ef- fort. On the contrary, a great effort is required to accomplish it. The implications of this are viewed in terms of the concept of limited war. "What distinguishes limited war from total war is that limited war involves an important kind and degree of restraint-deliberate re- straint. In the past, wars were kept limited by the small margin of the national economic resources available for mobilization and by the small capability for destruc- tion that could be purchased with that narrow margin. Today, on the contrary, we speak of limited war in a sense that connotes a deliberate hobbling of a tremen- dous power that is already mobil- ized." PROF. BRODIE'S insights of 1959 have been put into practice by Secretary McNamara. The rev- olutiAn in tihe nfen neprt- willing to limit objectives because we want to keep the war limited, and not the other way around." Our current problems in Vietnam emphasize this dramatically. The problem of limited war and a more flexible deterrent posture is that though it lessens the pos- sibility for all out war by mis- calculation, paradoxically it in- creases a war's chances through the possibility of a limited en- counter escalating into a larger conflict. Increasing our capability to intervene makes intervention a realizable option. Arguing that the United States can be very discrim- inating in the use of its deter- rence does not negate that Viet- nam or any such future action would not be possible without strong conventional forces. IN CONCLUSION, our whole strategic thinking is based on the axiom that war is here to stay. -As Brodie succinctly says, "Arm- ed aggression by one nation against another is an old story, and there is not much reason to suppose that we have seen the last of it. We have thus far found no way to control it except by the threat or the action of opposing it with sufficient force." Until the U.S. finds an alterna- tive to the present balance of pow- er system, our strategy will be based on this assumption. McNa- mara has made some commend- a31l mn~~c+to lmi+the nncsiili As Their Objectives immediate objectives the safety of weapons rather than the safe- ty of people. They seek to per- feet and to stabilize mutual de- terrence-to enhance the integri- ty of particular weapons system." This statement from Thomas Schelling explains McNamara's stubborn stand against the anti- ballistic missile. The ABM is very destabilizing because it is consid- ered a first-strike weapon. It works optimally only when the side possessing it strikes first and dam- ages the other's capability enough to be able to destroy his reciprocal attack with his ABM's. I Oman=