TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 21, 1985 THE MICHIGAN DAILY rAGF, THnEE Exiles Predict Cuban Military to Overthrow Castro By The Associated Press in characteristic Castro fashion WASHINGTON Many Cuban he insists they have been stamped WASHNGTO - Mny Cbanout. exiles who once dreame! of top- Another problem to which he re- pling Fidel Castro by ii. ailing Anteprbmtowiher- thing hoelaCnso say i ing a fers obliquely at times is that of their homeland now say it is Cas- the loyalty of his army and mili- to own ilitry that will turn tary forces. Experts here say dis- There seems to be a new feeling satisfaction has increased enor- of hope among Cuban exiles in mously within these forces in re- ofhpegaong Cban Nexe Yi cent months with the spread of Washington, Miami, New York discontent among Cubans at their "Algo se esta cocinando enplight under Communist masters. Cuba," they say - Something is Castro Controls cooking in Cuba. Castro still controls Cuba. His Hailed military forces and sophisticated Castro was hailed as a conquer- weapons are the most powerful in ing hero when his revolution swept all Latin America. The great hope him into power in January 1959, of the exiles is that this power but now grumbling is audible at will be turned on the Castro gov- times when he makes his three- ernment. hour speeches. Some exiles insist there have He mentions with increasing been at least three attempts in re- frequency and bitterness the prob- cent months to assassinate Castro. lem of guerrillas inside Cuba. And United States officials say they have nothing to confirm such re- ports. Exiles and U.S. officials often have disagreed about some aspects of the situation inside Cuba. Cub- an refugees concede they may be influenced at times by wishful thinking, but say U.S. intelligence in Cuba has been deficient at times, as in the missile crisis of 1962. Agree But there are a number of things on which U.S. experts and the Cuban exiles do agree: -Cuba's economy and interna- tional finance is in chaos. -Castro's theory that below- cost prices for Cuba's bumper su- gar crop will be offset by profits in other production is nonsense. Army ti-Castro forces. There have been numerous purges and arrests of military men, and weapons have been taken away from various units. -Hatred for the Communist re- gime is spreading among the pop- ulace. Firing -Imprisonment, firing squad executions, and other measures aimed at stamping out dissenters are producing additional defec- tions throughout all elements of the population. -Grumbling against rationing, shortages and repressive measures is widespread. One report says that when Castro told people in the vicinity of Nuevitas, a key port city on Cuba's north coast, that things were now better, the crowd ers. The next day army men mov- of Trinidad; and four areas in ed into the town, confiscated doz- Cuba's easternmost province of ens of businesses and dragged off Oriente-a swampy area near Ma- dozens to prisons. nati, and mountain areas south- Despite Castro's claims, it is , west of Manzanillo, northwest and prudent to assume he has not eliminated all anti-government guerrillas groups. These are not large in numbers, their activities are restricted by feal of repres- sive measures, but they operate all over Cuba. Guerrillas Exiles say guerrilla forces are operating now in at least seven areas of Cuba, and that the Cas- tro government knows they are there. The areas they list are in the mountains are San Diego de los Banos, in Pin del Rio Province, the swampy peninsula of Zapa- ta, near Matanzas; the mountains of Las Villas Province, just north northeast of Guantanamo. As if all these problems were not enough, the Cuban economy is in chaos and its international finances in crisis. Even a bumper, sugar crop is not expected to help Castro because of the collapse of prices on the world market due to enormous overproduction in many other areas. And Castro, an unruly figure in the Communist world, is caught up in the struggle between Mos- cow-which props up Cuba's se- curity, economy and military might at an estimated cost of a million dollars a day-and Peking, whose more belligerent ideology Castro prefers. There have been increasing signs that Nikita Khrushchev's successors in the Kremlin, with problems of their own, are impa- tient with the loquacious and un- predictable fellow in Havana. But with all of these problems, there still exists a big question in the minds of those who would like to see Castro toppled from power. It is just how, when and wheth- er the forces working against Castro will mesh into a coordi- nated internal struggle to rid Cuba of its Communist control. So far, there have been no signs of coordination in guerrilla acti- vities, in strategic sabotage, or in plans for any general uprising against the Havana regime. U.S. experts say this is under- standable under the harsh and extraordinarily tight antisubver- sion measures in force in Cuba today. They add that bitterness at such measures, coupled with growing hatred of Cubans of the Communist regime, could well up into national revolt at any time. U.S. policy remains the same: Economic, moral and diplomatic pressure on Cuba, but no permis- sion for exiles to launch their raids from U.S. soil. Sen. Thomas J. Dodd (D-Conn), long a close observer of Cuban affairs, says "There is today in Cuba a state of disenchantment and open rebellion against the Castro regime that bears a strik- ing similarity to the situation that existed in Hungary before the great popular revolution of Oc- tober 1956." Dodd says the Unit- ed States "must embark on a crash program to help Cuban peo- ple liberate themselves." -The Cuban army and the mi- chorused denials so vehemently litia are heavily infiltrated by an- they drowned out the loudspeak- ---- i Coal Over Miners Job Fi: Call Strike World News Roundup 55:2 ring Dispute '10,700 Walk Out in Tri. State Fields Union and Companies Appeal to Members To Return To Work 1 If I SH ETLA S i ELECTION RESULTS: Erhard To Head German Government; Continues Firm Friendship w BONN (I)--Chancellor Ludwig Erhard's personal victory in Sun- day's general election was under- scored yesterday when his Chris- tian Democratic party formally told ex-Chancellor Konrad Ade- nauer to present Erhard's name to President Heinrich Luebke as the head of the next West German his coalition with Deputy Chan- cellor Erich Mende's Free Demo- crats. After yesterday morning's meet- ing of the Christian Democratic leaders, Erhard and Adenauer were grinning broadly and said they were happy. Socialist leaders met in an at- home. The structured society, he explained during the campaign, would be one in which hitherto opposed groups acquired a better idea of the need for working to- gether in the public interest. Adenauer always was glad to acknowledge Erhard as the father of West Germany's "economic ith U.S. the spread of nuclear weapons- a proposal he must have known that the Erhard government help- ed draft. Erhard praised Adenauer pub- licly as a "great European," but Adenauer never had a kind word to say in public about the man who succeeded him after 14 years I, C sND HEATHERS .. . dZES 6 to 16 . , t i'' .V+ ""'7 i % I s I 1 V { . s w «....o . .! __. N 4I i I 11 I I ii I 1 I