Saturday, October 26, 1968 THE MICHIGAN DAILY Page Three Saturday, October 26, 1968 THE MICHIGAN DAILY Pace Three 1948-1968 ' Can Humphrey pull a Truman? By 1ACK BELL WASHINGTON (A)-In spite of many similarities between the & presidential campaigns of 1068 and 1948, changed voting patterns are likely to malke it difficult for Hubert H. Humphrey to duplicate Harry S. Truman's stunning up- set victory. The national opinion polls show Republican Richard M. Nixon running substantially ahead now as Gov. Thomas E. Dewey was be- lieved to be in 1948. But the counter-trend of strong races by Democratic candidates in individual states matches in many instances that of 20 years ago. Democrats hope that candidates ,for governor and Congress will pull Vice President Humphrey to a plurality in closely contested .states as some of them aided Truman in critical areas in, 1948. Humphrey has said he must duplicate Truman's late campaign comeback to win. Nixon's answer to the Republican fear that history might repeat has been to promise a whirlwind finish. BOMBING FACTOR One factor is the possibility some development might give Humphrey a last-minute surge, perhaps a Vietnam bombing halt that could promise some real prgress toward peace. r Without this, Humphrey counts heavily on some local Democratic cani1idate to provide him with the kind ,of, coattail help that Adlai E. Stevenson, running for gov- ernor, and Paul Douglas, running for the Senate, gave Truman -in Illinois in 1948. f r. 5th WEEK! CLL Program Informs "NARSIAHIG. "AN ARTISTIC ACHIEVEM But'times and voting patterns votes that otherwise might have have changed in Illinois and, per- gone to Humphrey. . haps even more importantly else- Because he had a relatively where. strong Southern base, Truman The eight states Truman car- won in 1948 by carrying only five ried in the South 20 years ago of the nine largest industrial gave him 99 electoral votes, pro- states-California, Illinois, Ohio, viding the margin of his 303-189 Texas, and Massachusetts. win over Dewey. The then Dem- Without a secure Dixie base, ocratic Gov. Strom Thurmond of with little hope for Illinois where South Carolina collected 39 as a Nixon counts himself strongest, Dixiecrat candidate. and facing a stiff challenge in There are clear signs that third- Texas, Humphrey can hardly af- party candidate George C. Wal- ford to duplicate Truman's losses lace won't stop where Thurmond in New York, Pennsylvania, Michi- did 20 years ago. Thurmond won; gan and New Jersey. only Alabama, Louisiana, Missis- Despite these GOP forebodings, sippi and South Carolina. 1968 has none of the earmarks of the Democratic year that 1948 Wallace is strongly in the run- ning with Nixon for the Southern proved to be. staes hatTruan arredin- Twenty years ago the Demo- states that Truman carried, in- crats took nine Senate seats away cluding Arkansas, Florida, Geor- from the Republicans without gia, Kentucky, North Carolina, losing any of 'their own, gaining Tennessee,Texas and Virginia. operationkcontrol of that body. Humphrey is reported to e They took over the ouse with runing third in some of these a startling ain of 74 seats, giving states and it would be a tremen- them 263 at the start of the 81st dous upset for him to carry' all Congress. of them. Truman carried eight of the Outside the South, Wallace's nine states where a Democrat re- vote could cut into Humphrey's placed a GOP senator, Delaware strength, as Thurmond's support beingdthe only exception. did not do in Truman's case. This was the year when Hum- NEW YORK APPEAL phrey helped Truman carry Min- The major parties discount nesota. It also was the year of the Georg tWale' hichcat 7.1 ml n first Senate election of Lyndon votes in the 1964 presidential con- . Johnson of Texas, Estes Ke- test. But if Wallace got only 10 Kauverof Oklahoma an Douglas o per cent, he could affect the out- Illinois. come in a close race. Truman carried five of the seven The Wallace vote could also states where Democrats replaced make the difference in other key Republicans as governors. He also states. The Republican assumption cairried the two, Utah and Wash- is that he will take blue-collar _id where Republican guber- natorial candidates ousted Dem- ocrats. IU "-ii a Shows at OPPOSITION 1-3-5-7-9 P.M. If the Democratic candidates of S -5=290 20 years ago were not all happy tiOl - 5-690 about being on the ticket with HEST RATING ! Truman, -there was not such a broad and deep-seated party dvi- AENT!"-N.Y. Daily News sion over major policies as now plagues Humphrey.' If the vice president catches any h senatorial coattails, he will have 0 T / *UhePAULNMNpadon HiF rachel Marg ary H i M w ww, and " I Ior~wR~.4w RS Dave Jok. RBARELLA" DIAL 8-64-6 "Searinr~g and SophisticatedI K 'Inadmissible Eidence'$1.00 nclud is immaculate in pres- entation. It is impor- tant because it is -Judith CristEN-F IH A I I "T - Time Gigantic Pol IN PEI PAT PA Also Fec The 1st E Ticket Con $2.50- Mreg AOctober 30t1 SSIBLE 5NCE" - j 5920 Grai USIA . TICKETS ON SALE atOlyr IlTWOland the J. L. Hu DAYS Mail Orders accepted ONLY__ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ t i i i r to depend in many instances on candidates who disagree with him on the Vietnam war and other Johnson administration policies and actions. These, include Sen. Joseph S. Clark of Pennsylvania, former Rep. John J. Gilligan of Ohio, Sen. George S. McGovern of South Dakota, ,Sen. J. W. Fulbright of Arkansas and Sen. Wayne Morse of Oregon. In contrast to Truman's day, California has adivided and dis- organized Democratic party which Humphrey is trying desperately to patch together. The vice presi- dent's strategists hope that Alan Cranston, the Democratic sena- torial nominee, will help pull some votes Humphrey's way. Cranston is leading by a wide margin in most polls, but Humphrey is trail- ing Nixon. ASSETS GONE Humphrey's task Is further com- plicated by the absence of some built-in Truman assets. Truman had been president nearly four years and the country knew a great deal about him and how he would act-even if it didn't al- ways like what he did. Humphrey has been out of the main political spotlight for four years. He must generally defend the record of another man, without having had much influence on how that record was made. He cannot point, as Truman did, to any international accomplishment, such as the European recovery program. x Unlike Truman's time, there is no Republican Congress to whip- saw. Unlike the 1948 pesident he has no personal control from the White House of government ma- chinery and no personally domi- nated party organization built up over four years. Truman had his domestic trou- bles, but they do not compare with the dissension over the Viet- nam war which, has proven a troublesome problem for Hum- phey and violence in the streets which has become an issue with the voters. _ .. i! POLICE MOVE IN to break up protesters at Durham, N.C., rally' for third-party Presidential candidate George Wallace. A sort"history ONIGHT at mel ns 0.0 1421 Hill St, 8:30 P.M. i. r f'1 A I! . - . { 4 f i i ; , I .. t Next: "BA ii ! ofthir~d EDITOR'S NOTE: Third party ef- forts to wvin tihe nation's highest electoral office have failed badly in the past. George C. Wallace's try at the White House on the Ameri- can Independent Party ticket may make history in the size of its popular and electoralvote. Here is a resume of some Third Party ef- ' forts in previous years. By The Associated Press Third parties in American poli- tics have been like homely girls at a high school dance: they mostly fare badly but show up again and again and again. But George C. Wallace's run for the White House on the American Independent Party ticket may write a new and historical chapter in political handbooks. It may turn out to be the most successful third, party effort ever. Only four times since Abraham Lincoln was sworn in as president in 1860 have the third party candi- dates managed to carry any of the states in the electoral college or win as much as 10 per cent of the popular vote. Only once since the Civil War -and then under the unusual con- ditions of the Republican split in 1912-has the third party can- didate placed second. That election saw two Repub- lican presidents, incumbent Wil- liam H. Taft and his predecessor, Theodore Roosevelt, battling each other, Taft on the Republican tick- et and Roosevelt as a Progressive -or Bull Mgoose. The split in the GOP easily gave the election to Democrat Woodrow, Wilson and the party's failure to heal the wound by 1916 may have contributed to Wilson's re-elec- tion. Taft finished third in 1912 with only eight electoral votes, while the man who captured the imagin-' ation of the nation as the leader' of the Rough Riders won 88 elec- toral votes, the most a third party candidate has ever received. Together, Roosevelt and Taft captured more than 50 per cent of the popular vote, 7 million com- pared with Wilson's ,6 million. The second best performance Lparties turned in by a third-party candi- date since the Civil War was in 1948, a year that saw the birth of two new political parties: th'e Dixiecrats or State's Rights party and Henry Wallace's Progressive Party. Strom Thurmond, then governor of South Carolina, won 39 elec- toral votes from five southern states opposed to Harry Truman's stand on civil rights. Thurmond's party never seriously took its cam- paign above the Mason-Dixon line. Henry Wallace's party soon had the left wing label around its neck and polled only about,2 per cent of the votes cast. In 1924, W isca o n s i n's cru- sailing Robert M. LaFollette cap- tured 13 electoral votes as a Prog- ressive and in 1892 James B. Wea- ver, running on the populist ticket took 22 electoral votes. Often the combined vote of all minor parties has fallen beneath 5 per cent. In 1936, for example, candidates from five minor parties -the Union, the Socialist, the Communist, the Prohibition, the Socialist Labor-received only 2.6 per cent of the popular vote. In 1940, four minor party candidates received a scant .5 per cent, and in 1944, three candidates received .7 per cent. Only about half a dozen minor parties emerged before the Civil War, but afterward they sprang up in great numbers, with color- ful names such as the Mugwumps and the Greenbacks. Some emerged out of special in- terests, such as the farm parties; some splintered away from the two giants over one issue or another. Before the Civil War, minor par- ties polled at least 10 per cent of the popular vote in three elections: the Free Soil party won 10 per cent in 1848; the American, 'or "Know-Nothing," party took 22 per cent in 1856, and in 1860, the Constitutional Union Party took 10 per cent and the Breckenridge Democrats 18 per cent. "6 the Wby The Associated Press and College Press Service A "SECURITY GAP" between the U.S. and the Soviet Union does not exist, Secretary of Defense Clark Clifford said yesterday. Clifford denied charges f r o m Republican presidential candidate Richard Nixon that the administration has allowed a "gravely serious security gap" to come between the U.S. and the Soviet Union. Although Clifford declared the U.S. still holds subtan- tial military supeiority over the Soviets, the figures he quoted revealed the strategic lead has dwindled during the past year. Clifford said, "I was comforted when I came into the de- partment by our ... superiority over the Soviets. I have continued in that direction." The figures he listed stated that the U.S. leads the Soviet Union by 1,054 to "approximately 900" intercontinental bal- listic missiles, by 650 to 150 in long-range strategic bombers, and 4,206 to 1,200 in deliverable nuclear weapons. All of these figures reflect recent Soviet gains. SOUTH VIETNAMESE PRESIDENT Nguyen Van Thieu has refused to yield his opposition to a possible separate role for the Viet Cong's National Liberation Front in peace talks. Thieu's persistence on this point was seen as an obstruc- tion to progress in the Paris peace negotiations. South Vietnamese informants said U.S. Ambassador Ells- worth Bunker, after several meetings with Thieu over the past two weeks, has accepted the position as final. He has told officials in Washington further efforts to persuade the president to change his mind are futile, sources revealed. Last Tuesday, Thieu repeated his stand that he could ac- cept the Front at the peace table only as a part of the North Vietnamese delegation. Thieu's meetings with Bunker reportedly were concerned more with a bombing halt than the Viet Cong's role in peace negotiations. Informants said that Thieu and Bunker were in agreement that a bombing suspension should be followed by reciprocal North Vietnamese de-escalation. THE JUSTICE DEPARTMENT announced yesterday the indictment of 15 U.S. and foreign companies and eight top executives on charges of monopoly and con- spiracy. The indictment, based on the companies' sale and dis- tribution of quinine and quinine products, was returned by a grand jury in the U.S. District Court for the 7th district of New York. The American firms involved are Rexall Drug and Chem- ical Co., Mead and Johnson and Co., and R. W. Greef and Co. Inc., a New York City importer. Harry Y. de Schepper, presi- dent of R. W. Greef, was the only executive of the U.S. firms named in the indictment. All are charged on three counts under the Sherman Anti- trust Law. NEW YORK CITY'S LABOR PROBLEM worsened yesterday as a state Supreme Court order failed to halt a work slowdown by 32,000 policemen and firemen. Wage negotiations broke down between New York Mayor John Lindsay and the Patrolmen's Benevolent Association as some 3,000 police and firemen called in sick. On a request from Lindsay, State Education Commission- er James Allen stepped back into the teachers strike and ar- rangeda meeting with Albert Shanker, strike leader. Their meeting will concern the crisis between the predominantly Negro and Puerto Rican Ocean Hill school district and the 55,000 member teachers union. Lindsay said the Ocean Hill conflict had become a "fear- ful battleground between the, races." Allen earlier ,failed in an attempt to end the teachers' strike. Since then, he has been under pressure to have the state take over the paralyzed 1.1 million-pupil school system' FRENCH PRESIDENT CHARLES De GAULLE met with wildly cheering crowds of Turks yesterday as he ar- rived in Ankara for a five-day visit to the ancient country. De Gaulle, the first French head of state ever to visit Turkey, is believed to be anxious to ease East-West tensions by improving relations with this key member of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization Turkish President Cevdet Funay told De Gaulle his coun- try has "always joined in completely with the western na- tion's efforts toward East-West detente." In a mild reference to the recent S o v i e t invasion of Czechoslovakia, he commented,"it is still too early to be com- pletely optimistic." PRESIDEN' JOHNSON yesterday signed legislation imposing tough penalties for the use and possession of LSD. The penalties, for other hallucinogenic drugs as well as LSD, range as high as one year in prison and a $1,000 fine, or up to three years in prison and a $10,000 fine for repeated of- fenses. The new law also would punish as felonies the manufac- ture, sale, or distribution of hallucinogenic drugs. NOW' singing a variety of blues and folk music, playing guitar and harmonica with Jack Quine "Shattering' realit! Drawn life- sized and sharp by Mr. Osborne." -A. H. Weller, N.Y. Times "Brilliant .F -William Wolf, Cue, "TRIUMP accompanying guitar on piano and es free food R-PRESIDENT itical Rally RSON kULSEN aturing EDITION Details about his wife, his women and his wor/d, were... F! tributions -$.50 ~' ARAMIOUNT ,ICUro" "INADMI EVIDE h-8:00 P.M. STADIUM, nd River mpia Stadium-Grinnells dson Company at Olympia Stadium FRANCOIS- MITTERRAND $ Y 1. A NFN .........:: t g;x r : FRANCE IN MOTION NEXT TUESDAY and WED. suciSSx R-0Al "UJLYS UNDRGROU N D Thurs., Fri., Sat., Sun.--11:00 P.M. -separate odmission required at the Vth Forums 5th Ave at Liberty, 761 -9700 D E R G not recommended for anyone over 30 years of age -Next- BOSTON STRANGLER OCTOBER 27 2:00 P.M. HILL AUDITORIUM Tickets on Sale-$1.00 Diag (11-2) and Union Desk (All Day) Tickets available at Door Invitations to reception available at Union and League UNION-LEAGUE I1 b I EXPANDED CINEMA is a revolution. A new way of seeing. A new way pf thinking. A new way of being. The image is the idea is the word is the 'act. Expanded awareness. A taste of the essences. Expanded Cinema says it. It says: Revolution. I NO 2-6264 SATURDAY and SUNDAY A NOUS 'LA LI BERTE,, Directed by Rene Clair, 1931 Clair, the first director to really master the medium of sound, greatly influenced the American directors who were trying to make film nmore than "canned theater." "A Nous La Liberte" was the obvious and direct source of Chaplin's "Modern Times." MAIN STREET-a'moment of sexual desire stretched in time so as to make fun of itself-psy- chedelic background. REPORT-by Bruce Conner-an, underground film-maker's examination of President 'Kennedy's assassination. BRATS-Laurel and Hardy play themselves and their sons. Very funny. PIECE MENDALA-END WAR-one love making act which is seen simultaneously from both sides 0 . 2nd 'I I i ..-E V -- - 11 I I