Seventy-Seven Years of Editorial Freedom EDITED AND MANAGED BY STUDENTS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN UNDER AUTHORITY OF BOARD IN CONTROL OF STUDENT PUBLICATIONS The Ever-Present Spectre of Inflation *1 Where Opinions Are Free, 420 MAYNARD ST., ANN ARBOR, MICH. Truth Will Prevail NEws PHONE: 764-0552 Editorials printed in The Michigan Daily express the individual opinions of staff writers or the editors. This must be noted in all reprints. SUNDAY, OCTOBER 22, 1967 NIGHT EDITOR: DAVID KNOKE Tomatoes and Hatchets Hurt The March on Washington.' THE SIZE OF yesterday's march on Washington, considered by most sour- ces to be far larger than the 1963 Civil Rights march, effectively demonstrates the intensity of anti-war feelings now prevailing in the United States. The march can be a useful public relations device for influencing the rest of the populace's attitudes towards the administratio; and the war. But, storm- ing the Pentagon with ax-handles and tomatoes and carrying Viet Cong flags,. as a handful of demonstrators did Sat- urday afternoon, only accomplishes what opponents of American involve- ment in Vietnam can lest afford. It creates strong emotional side issues for supporters of administration policy to capitalize on. For outside of convincing millions of Americans of the need to withdraw from Vietnam, doves must malre the side issues work for their cause. Specifically, they must gain the sympathies of those who are horrified by the trampling of first amendment freedoms dissent has engen- dered. THE TRADITIONAL TACTICS - picket lines; vigils, non-violent civil disobed- ience --i- will not alienate the non-com- mitted, waveriig segment of the popu- lation that must be won over if a politi- cal force strong enough to! end present policies is to be formed. Those who denounce these tactics as ineffective have yet to give them their trial on a large nationwide scale. This means a string of perpetual anti-war vigils across the nation, floods of letters, telegrams, petitions and phone calls to Congressmen and administration of- ficials, and attempts to organize the pop- ulation at the door-to-door "grass roots" level on a massive scale. And it means active non-violent re- sistence of the draft: jamming selective service mailboxes with thousands of draft cards, sit-ins in jail. VIOLENCE AND REPRESSION of in- dividual rights must be left to the administration and police. Those who would put an end to violence in Vietnam must not sully their hands by lowering themselves to the tactics of the author- itarians. By their refusal to retaliate, they stand to win sympathy on the side issue of the right to dissent with no par of physical reprecussions; by storming the Pentagon, by fighting back, they lose their claim to ethical and moral super- iority. Ending the war is far too important to be sacrificed now, when chances for ending it seem to be improving. For only now is a kind of broad based consensus against the war shaping up, only now are housewives and businessmen joining stu- dents and old radicals in their opposition to the administration's policies. f THE RADICALS who stormed the Pent- agon might feel themselves so far out- side of the present American society, that they feel any actions to be justified in opposing the authority of that society. But if they earnestly want to put an end to the war, they must place this goal above their personal animosities against society. -URBAN LEHNER By STEVE SHAVELL OUR NATION'S most urgent economic problem is not in- flation in the future-it is in- flation now. The man on the street notices that GM, Chrysler, and Ford have all upped their car prices. The economist watches the climb of personal income and expenditures, investment spend- ing, housing starts and many other of the leading economic indica- tors - or 'vindicators," as they are known in the administration. Although idle plant capacity is moderate, unemployment is very low at 3.8 per cent and what is always the biggest quarter of the year for business still lies ahead. Even allowing for a widening auto strike, the Gross National Product will advance roughly $15 billion above last year's level, government economists predicted Friday. Moreover, struck auto companies promise to recover lost ground as soon as they are able to resume operations. These facts of a surging econ- omy coupled with the very im- portant consideration of a $25 to $30 billion deficit in the fiscal 1968 Federal budget make it hard to see how severe strains on prices can be avoided. Indeed, the fore- cast for the price rise in the com- ing year is up from 4 to 6 per cent. INFLATION AND the fear of it are manifest in the financial markets too. At the same time that the Federal Reserve is fol- lowing an easy-money policy (in- itiated in order to fight the "mini- recession" of last year), business is accepting without complaint the highest credit costs seen since the 1920's. But some groups feel the crunch. Two weeks ago Day- tona Beach attempted to raise funds for new sewers but could not afford to float bonds with over a 5 perscent yield. The city got no bids. The Consolidated School District of Warren, Michi- gan, was not able to offer more than 4',2 per cent at a $7.1 million bond sale on Sept. 27 and sold nothing. Investors are paying rec- ord prices for growth stocks. Bond prices are withering. The Trea- sury will inflame the situation - and incur large costs in addition - when it finances the govern- ment's cash budget deficit; a sharp contrast to the cash budget surpluses of the proceeding few years. A tax increase would damp the inflationary fires in well-known ways: spending would fall, busi- ness would cut back on new or- ders, investment would decline. In the financial world less foreboding fears of inflation among investors would reduce the nervous, specu- lative unease of the stock market. Slackening demands for funds from business and from the Trea- sury (which would have more money because of more taxes> would improve conditions in the money market. HOWEVER, Congress and the White House are at a stalemate over the proposed tax surcharge and slashes in the new budget. The issues, of course, are just as political as they are economic. Basicaly, it is that the President does not want to bear the onus of having made unpopular spend- ing reductions and that the legis- lative body does not want to open itself to the criticism that it preaches economy while practic- ing extravagance. In a decision mpve the House Ways and Means Committe led by Wilbur Mills of Arkansas voted 20 to 5 two weeks ago to halt consideration of the administra- tion's proposed 10 per cent tax surcharge until substantial cuts in government spending are out- lined. But Congress is not going to at- SJ,-' TKe ASIIALT JUN6CE ously of the "shambles" the econ- omy will find itself in if the tax increase is not passed. The struc- ture of our capital market simply cannot tolerate extrame varia- tions in interest rates. he con- tended. In addition, recent studies as well as the current behavior of business raise considerable doubts as to t 'ffectiveness of monetary stri :y in lowering the rate of business investment. It is felt that other cost con- siderations and the sales outlook dwarf in importance the interest rate factor, Thus the situation is that as serious inflation threatens, is sty- mied over whether or not to take fiscal action and will likely rely once more on the politically ap- pealing tool of monetary policy, whose potency is questionable. What is almost certain is that because of the essentially pon- derous and clumsy nature of the political process, today's dilemma will find itself repeated in the future. The new economics as ex- pounded in the textbooks will be applied only in rare times, such as 1964 when Pres. Kennedy man- aged a tax cut. A partial solu- tion to the whole problem is one that has been in the air for quite a while: to delegate to the Execu- tive the power, subject to Con- gressional veto, to raise or lower taxes within limits when certain economic indicators act in speci- fled ways. This is not asking for formulas to do the decisionmaking nor is it asking for Congress to relinquish its right to tax. Instead, it is putting the matter directly into the hands of the President which will mean that some pos, itive legislative action will be re- quired to halt. for instance, a 10 per cent tax surcharge. The need for such action will likely result in Congress finding it more con- venient to allow minor tax ad- Justments to be made. tempt to cool the overheating economy by passing a moderate tax increase, what are the alterna- tives? Although the administra- tion is not speaking openly about this question, it has temporarily frozen expenditures on certain -non-essentials like river and har- bors projects some military con- struction and - for a few days a couple of weeks ago - the pay of Federal employes. The Federal Reserve will pro- bably soon move to tighten gen- eral credit and perhaps to estab- lish certain selective credit con- trols. The result, as some envis- ion it, will be a financial kind of chamber of horrors. In a recent speech at Chicago, Treasury Undersecretary Deming warned of the grim prospects lying ahead if no tax surcharge is enacted to help stem the increasing de- mand on the credit markets. Secretary Fowler spoke omin- 4 WM'.*.V.TODAY AND TOMORROW ... by WALTER LIPPMANN 01'7G":47V0:'ti. "5Y.t. ; \." 7" Park the Tiger, Go Whale --Australia Flower Power ON THE NORTH SIDE of the Pentagon yesterday, roughly 150 soldiers with fixed bayonettes pointed out had been pushed by the demonstrators' up against the Pentagon wall. A girl of about 20 years old went down the line very slowly and offered a flower to each soldier at his bayonette point. The soldiers re- The Daily is'a member of the Associated Press and ""olleglate Press Service. Fall and winter subscription rate: $4.50 per term by 2arrier ($5 by mail); $8.00 for regular academic school year ($9 by mail). Daily except Monday during regular academic school vear. Daily except Sunday and Monday during regular summer session. Second class postage paid at Ann Arbor. Michigan 120 Maynard St. Ann Arbor. Mictegan, 48104. mained i completely passive. Half way through the line as she proceeded one soldier assumed a crouched position as if ready to attack the flower-bearing girl. This drew a loud laugh and applause from the crowd. As the girl reached the end of the line of stone-faced soldiers, she spread her arms wide, and offered herself to a young gun-bearing man. She stood for several moments and the soldier was having trouble maintaining his stance. When the girl reached the end of the line of bayonettes, no one had accepted her flower or her body. She had not been deflowered. She covered her face with her hands and cried. -GAIL SMILEY PRESIDENT JOHNSON is a man who, having taken the wrong road, has lost his way. Until he corrects his original mis- take he will not get to his des- tination by stepping on the ac- celerator and pushing on. The problem that we in America face is to find our way to the right road. If we do, in fact, realize the mistake we have made, it will be clear enough what the right road is. We can find it and be at least wiser and perhaps even hap- pier than we are today. The original mistake was to commit this country to a large land war on the Asian mainland.. Whatever our ideals and pur- poses are-to stop the expansion of communism, to thwart the con- quest of South Vietnam, to pro- mote liberty and democracy to defend American security - the crucial point is that Mr. Johnson was mistaken in believing that he was going to achieve these objectives by fighting a large land war in Asia. This strategic decision by the President is the great mistake which will have to be corrected. It is often said by the Presi- dent's apologists that if we cor- rect the mistake we will be forced to defend ourselves later on in Hawaii or even in California. This is not so. The essential difference between what we have done in Vietnam and what we should have done is that we have gone ashore on the mainland - where the masses of Vietnam and of China can match against us. The i'ight way, indeed the right thing to do now, is to take our stand on territory separated by blue water from the mainland and from the masses who live upon it. The mistake has drawn us into a war which cannot be won even if we beat down our adversaries to a point where they have to surrender or retire. No agreements can be negotiated offering any assurance that, without our mili- tary presence to enforce them, a Saigon government will be able and willing to do all the things I that the President says we are fighting for. to make it do. The notion that we can win the war for Mr. Johnson's objectives and then go home is either an inno- cent delusion or a. gross decep- tion. It is safe to assert that there will be no "productive" negotia- tions as long as our objectives on the Asian continent are such that we must stay there to en- force them. This will not surprise a n y o n e who remembers the American military tradition and doctrine. It always has been axio- matic that we must exert our power offshore and must never allow ourselves to get pulled deeply onto the mainland. Since Vietnam became an American problem after the French defeat, three Presidents have remember- ed and restated that axiom - Presidents Eisenhower, Kennedy to send more military advisers and to meddle more deeply in Saigon politics. It was not a glor- ious chapter in his Administra- tion. But he stopped well short of engaging this country in an American-Asian war. No one has ever spoken more emphatically than did President Johnson in 1964 about not sending Americans, to fight Asians in Asia. Because the strategy of the war is mistaken, the courage and for- titude of American fighting men is being expended in an unwin- able war. It is not a glorious war. like to do but what we can do. If the Administration could do what it says it is going to do, there might still be objectors: but the debate would, in fact, be over. The question that needs to be considered and discussed is, there- fore, whether by waging a big land war in Asia there is any real pros- pect of achieving our official ob- jectives. There is no prospect. Even to overwhelm the enemy would never bring peace. The revolutionary war would be re- sumed if the American forces vantages. An American decision to adopt a new Pacific strategy will remove the essential issue which makes, the war interminable. An American , decision to pull back to Australia will not only end the war in Vietnam, but it will remove any near, prospect of war with Red China. It will make the terms and conditidns of the pull- back, which would inevitably take some years, the subject of the ne- gotiations for which' we are ask- ing. It is not necessary to labor on' how much easier, cheaper and seems to be a frivolous insult to the U.S. Navy. It is, however, fair to ask wlether from a strong- hold in Australia we can exert as tmuch influence in South Asia as from Saigon and Danang. If influence means that Ameri- can officials can order the natives around, the answer is that to pull back td Australia is to accept the fact that the era of ordering na- tives around is oyer and that policies and purposes must .be i m p l e m e n t e d by nonmilitary means-by trade agreements, cul- tural intercourse, diplomatic deal- ings and propaganda. Before we reject the nonmili- tary means as poor and pale sub- stitutes for Gen. Westmoreland and his firepower, we should real- ize the enormous consequences in world politics of an American de- cision to pull back from the Viet- namese mainland to continental islands inhabited by Western white men. Not only would this c -cision remove the most immed- iate threat of war with the Chi- nese and the Vietnamese, but it would remove the main conflict of interest between the United States and the Soviet Union. In North Vietnam we are attacking territory which the Soviet Union is bound to regard as its responsi- bility. In Australia we would be on territory which they accept as being outside the boundaries of Soviet influence. AN AMERICAN decision to pull back from the mainland would transform our relations with the rest of the world. We would have removed the bone of contention with world opinion, which is the almost universal fear that we are intending to establish an imper- ial position on the borders of China. If we scotch that fear, we may cpnfidently expect to find, willing and friendly supporters and helpers in the difficult and delicate negotiations which will be required to work out the po- litical and military terms and conditions of the great strategic operation. In arguing that we can correct our mistake in Vietnam by rede- ployment of our military forces in the South Pacific, I realize how much all of us hate to admit that we have made a mistake and that we must pull back rather than push forward. But it is not possible to make an omelet with- out breaking eggs. The egg we will have to break in order to re- pair the mistake of 1965 is to admit that we have involved our- selves in a war that we cannot win. Then, while we are still the most powerful and the richest country in the world, we will have found that we were not all that powerful. If that hurts our pride, it will be food for our souls.'It will do us good to learn humility. We will be wiser for it, it less inflated. Such a change of policy would not reduce the prestige and sin- fluence of the United States. If I Is this the place to make our stand? Measured by the overwhelming superiority of American arms, the military results in Vietnam are embarrassing. The Air Force has been battering a country which has no air force. The Navy has been bombarding a country which has no navy. The best equipped army in the history of wars has not defeated the lightly armed rebels or the men from the north. We are, says the general. who commands our troops, fighting a war of attrition! A war to ex- change casualties with the inex- haustible masses of the Asian continent is not a brilliant thing to do. The military tradition and doctrine of this country have al- ways warned us against it. were withdrawn or seriously re- duced. If we are engaged in a war that is unwinable and, in fact, inter- minable, then we have made a colossal strategic mistake. We have blundered even more deeply into the quagmire by persisting in our mistake. In order to ex- tricate ourselves we shall have to correct the mistake. This cannot be done by giving the Air Force a free hand or by sending to Gen. Westmoreland another few hun- dred thousand men. If we cannot win or accomplish our purposes by fighting a land war in Asia, the mistake can be corrected only by making it our declared policy to pull our forces back to terri- more secure would be a South Pacific base in Australia than it can ever be in Indochina. The controlling fact about the Chinese and Vietnamese military forces is that they can march but cannot swim. They have no sea power and we are a very great sea pow- er. If they could invade and con- quer Australia against our Navy and Air Force, they could block- ade Saigon and destroy our-power in South Vietnam. On any cal- culation of forces, Australia and New Zealand can be made invul- nerable. There is, of course, the Chinese nuclear power. But we must re- member that our position in South Vietnam offers no defense ri i:M ' ~~Iu U r.. "MW 4