YES, THERAPY WORKS! Let me help you Make positive changes that will last! Guest Column Is Settled Science? s anthropologically caused climate Accurate modeling must also include, change (ACC) settled science in addition to CO2, the effects of or not? About 40 years ago the variation in solar radiation (the ulti- mantra was global cooling. Then, as mate energy source), water vapor sampled temperatures began to rise, (a greenhouse gas) and clouds. The the mantra was global warming. When ACC models either don't include them measurements did not correlate with or include some as a "fudge-factor" that prediction, the mantra became parameter. "climate change." What is a greenhouse gas? In simple The prevailing opinion among the terms, it is a gas that transmits vis- general population, reinforced by ible solar radiation to the Earth while media and the public educational absorbing longer wavelength heat system, is that the climate is chang- radiation from the Earth, thereby trap- ing because mankind is dumping vast ping and radiating that heat back to amounts of carbon dioxide (CO2) into the surface (and some to space). the atmosphere. There are a number of such gases in Much of the public the atmosphere. The most believes it because they are important, in order of their told that "97 percent of sci- effect, are: water vapor (not entists agree that climate droplets, i.e. clouds), CO2, change is real, man-made methane, and nitrous oxide. and dangerous." That state- Water vapor is responsible ment is a myth derived from for 95 percent of the atmo- flawed surveys and bad sphere's greenhouse effect, statistics. The "consensus" and all the atmospheric of 97 percent is based upon CO2 for 3.62 percent. Man- a few surveys and abstracts. made CO2 composes only Iry ing The consensus figure has about 3 percent of that per- Gins berg, been soundly refuted by centage, meaning that man- Ph .D. more reliable surveys. made CO2 accounts for In a paper published in only about 0.11 percent of 2009 in EOS, Transactions American the greenhouse effect. All other man- Geophysical Union, the now- familiar made greenhouse gases combined report of 97 percent consensus on account for about 0.3 percent. ACC was based upon a two-question Clouds should play a critical role survey of selected scientists. None in any climate model because they of those scientists included those reflect visible solar radiation and radi- most likely to be experts in the ate infrared. Yet they are difficult to natural causes of climate change, model because small changes in the namely, physicists, meteorologists, atmosphere and ocean currents have astronomers, solar scientists, etc. large effect on global cloudiness and Furthermore, the "97 percent" figure thus on global climate. Predictions represented only 79 out of a total of from computer-generated climate- the 3,948 who responded — hardly 97 change models should not be trusted percent. if key processes and phenomenology In 2013, Bedford and Cook, using such as this are incorrectly modeled abstracts of peer-reviewed articles or omitted. from 1991 to 2011, again reported 97 In conclusion, ACC is, at best, dubi- percent consensus on ACC. Later, in ous science and may be junk science. August of that year, Legates et al. Why then do governments and completely rebuked that finding in a many politicians embrace ACC as a paper in Science and Education. looming global catastrophe? Perhaps Enough on surveys and statistics. because it is an excuse to implement Changes in the Earth's tempera- their agenda of governmental control ture result from two things: change of the economy and personal behavior in either the amount of sunlight through stringent, far-reaching regula- absorbed by the Earth or in the tions. Academia and many research infrared energy it emits. Computer- scientists support ACC because it is generated models are used to make a fertile ground for reaping research predictions. For the results to have funding. any semblance of accuracy, a model must accurately account for the Irving Ginsberg o f Farmington Hills is retired strong interaction between atmo- as chief scientist for the Department of sphere, ocean, topsoil and vegetation. Energy Remote Sensing Laboratory in Las The ACC-used models consider only Vegas., He has taught at the University of the atmosphere-ocean interaction. 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