5773 from page 98 7.7 I of acts of sex abuse. When Y.U.'s chancel- lor, Rabbi Norman Lamm, announced he was stepping down, he apologized for mishandling the allegations when he was university president. The Satmar Chasidic community in New York became embroiled in its own sex scandal when it lined up to support an unlicensed therapist from Brooklyn charged with the repeated sexual assault of a female teenager in his care. Even after Nechemya Weberman was found guilty and sentenced to 103 years in prison, the community's support did not waver. Rather, Satmar leaders inveighed against the victim and her supporters. A few days after the trial, a Chasidic assailant threw bleach in the face of a community rabbi, Nuchem Rosenberg, who advocates for victims of sex abuse. But to extrapolate a storyline or trend from these disparate events could be folly. For one thing, the Orthodox sex scan- dals might be more about the dawning of a new age of reckoning on sex abuse than the prevalence of sexual misdeeds among Orthodox Jews. And for all the triumphs that Jewish liberals saw this year, demographic trends suggest that the Jewish communities in the United States and Israel are growing less liberal. Data released in January from the 2011 Jewish population study of New York showed that two-thirds of the metropolitan region's Jewish population growth over the last decade occurred in two haredi neighborhoods in Brooklyn. While there hasn't been a national Jewish population study in more than a decade, the data from America's largest Jewish community suggest that Orthodox Jews, with their high birth- 100 August 29 • 2013 JN rates, will represent an ever-larger propor- tion of the American Jewish community. "The traditional population of American Jews has high fertility and the non-Ortho- dox population as a group is well below replacement level," New York University sociologist Steven M. Cohen, one of the researchers who conducted the study, told JTA. "So American Jewry, with no other change, will become increasingly traditional in the years to come." While fertility rates among non- Orthodox Israelis are not as low as those of American Jews, they lag far behind those of Orthodox Israelis. The relative size of Israel's haredi community as a share of Israel's total population is expected to double by 2020, to 16 percent. In Israel, the culture wars between haredi and non-haredi have focused on the haredi draft exemption and the Orthodox Chief Rabbinate's monopoly over marriage. The haredi establishment has mostly suc- ceeded in protecting the status quo on both those counts, notwithstanding changes in the draft law. And when the 150 or so elec- tors charged with choosing new Ashkenazi and Sephardic chief rabbis went to the polls in July, they rejected the reformist favorite David Stay and instead elected two hare- dim, David Lau and Yitzhak Yosef, the sons of former chief rabbis. In the American Jewish community, the battle has not been between denominations but over Jewish values. Is it a Jewish value to support the right of gays to marry or does the practice contravene Jewish ethics? Should Jews be advocating for greater government fund- ing for private religious schools or fighting the use of taxpayer money in non-public schools? Should Jews press Washington to w. Women of the Wall make a concerted push for sides back to the negotiat- members praying at ing table in July. There Israeli-Palestinian peace or is the Western Wall plaza was a mini-war in Gaza in such pressure right now not in to mark the beginning Israel's best interests? November 2012 that lasted of the Hebrew month of The divisions among eight days and resulted in Ay, July 8, 2013. American Jews on these the deaths of some 150 issues do not fall neatly along Palestinians and six Israelis, denominational lines. but after that Israel's border with Gaza was Meanwhile, the American Jewish politi- mostly quiet. cal divide appears slowly to be widening. It was tragedy in the United States that Though Jews as a whole still skew heavily left the community with lasting scars. Late Democratic, in last November's election last October, a massive storm surge generat- President Obama dropped at least 6 points ed by Hurricane Sandy battered communi- among Jews from 2008, winning an esti- ties, synagogues and Jewish schools up and mated 68 percent of the Jewish vote. The down the Northeast coast. UJA-Federation 2012 election also ushered in a Congress of New York convened an emergency meet- ing to authorize $10 million for rebuilding with fewer Jewish members than at any time since the 1990s. efforts, many of which continue today. The divides over politics and religion Outside of the United States and Israel, stood in sharp contrast to the relative con- the big Jewish stories included the ban- sensus that held up through much of the ning of Jewish ritual slaughter in Poland year on international issues. and a new German law regulating ritual There was practical unanimity on con- circumcision; a controversial exhibit at cern that Syria's civil war not spill over the Berlin's Jewish museum dubbed "Jew in a border, that instability in Egypt not turn Box:' a much-criticized deal between the the Sinai Peninsula into a breeding ground Argentinean and Iranian governments to for Islamic militants, that Iran be prevented investigate the 1994 AMIA Jewish com- from acquiring nuclear weapons capability, munity center bombing; sex abuse scan- that the European Union enforce its deci- dals in Australia; concerns about far-right sion to designate Hezbollah's military wing movements in Hungary and Greece; and as a terrorist organization. the appointment of a new chief rabbi in England. But external threats did not dominate communal discourse in 5773. There wasn't There was some good news here: None the same public urgency on Iran as in past of these stories were about major Jewish years. The Egyptian coup in July was less calamities. concerning for Israel than the 2011 revolu- To be sure, the Jewish people suffered tion that overthrew longtime ally Hosni tragedies in 5773 — from natural disasters, Mubarak. from Gaza rocket fire. But for a people The Israeli-Palestinian relationship was obsessed with survival and accustomed to marked more by the absence of progress attacks, the absence of mass casualty events than anything else — until U.S. Secretary in 5773 made it a remarkable year as much of State John Kerry managed to coax both for what did not happen as for what did. ❑