business & professional Sunny Outlook Home Builders Association says the 2013 housing market looks bright for builders, sellers and buyers. I Jackie Headapohl Managing Editor T he housing slump that began in 2007 is truly over. That's the word from the Home Builders Association (HBA) of Southeastern Michigan's annual trade show, awards program and economic forecast luncheon, which took place Feb. 13 in Sterling Heights. David Crowe, chief economist of the National Association of Home Builders, walked the 400 attendees through charts and statistics that showed that the worst is over and home starts and home prices are again on the rise. "Housing is no longer a drag on the economy and has been contributing to GDP growth for six straight quarters:' Crowe said. "Mortgage delinquencies are down and home affordability is close to record highs:' Crowe said he expected unemployment to remain high throughout 2014, and GDP growth to remain slow but steady. Yes, that's good news. Michigan home- owners, however, are climbing out of a cel- lar deeper than in most states, so it won't be until the end of 2014 or beginning of 2015 that the Michigan housing market returns to near "normal" status. Nationally, home sales are set to keep marching upward. Existing-home sales rose 9.2 percent last year, compared with 2011, according to the National Association of Realtors. And new home starts were up 27.5 percent nationwide, and 24.3 percent in the Metro Detroit area. The Metro Detroit area has been on the "Improving Markets Index" for a year. Inclusion on that index indicates increas- ing permits, an improving employment picture and rising home prices. Home prices are increasing in Michigan, but remain 25 percent off peak prices. The improved housing market is also adding to employment gains. Larry Cohen, HBA vice president, said that nothing sup- ports the economy like new construction and a healthy building industry. "You can't outsource construction, con- crete layers, carpenters or brick layers:' said the Temple Israel member, who owns Cohen Homes and Tremont Construction and has been in business with assistant Cindy Kraus for 25 years. According to HBA data, 2012 per- mits reached their highest annual total since 2006, with a total of 3,644 single- family home permits issued in Macomb, Gov. Snyder presents the Distinguished Service Award for Urban Home Building to the folks at Home Renewal Systems, front, left to right, Shannon Morgan, Tracey Katzen and Bernie Glieberman. Oakland, Wayne and St. Clair counties, a 44 percent increase compared with 2011. "While we still have a way to go to return to 40-year average permit activity, the recovery we've seen since 2009 contin- ues and is now beginning to accelerate said Michael Stoskopf, HBAs CEO. Jewish Builders Honored According to Herb Lawson of Bloomfield Hills-based Windham Companies, who was inducted into the organization's Hall of Fame at the awards luncheon, "with pent-up demand, a need for new houses and interest rates at historic lows, there could never be a better time to buy:' Lawson, a Temple Israel member who is actively developing communities in Detroit, including Gardenview Estates, an 833-unit mixed-use development on the site of the former Herb Lawson Herman Gardens Public Housing Development, said he was "humbled and overwhelmed" by his induction into the Hall of Fame. Lawson has developed more than $2 bil- lion in real estate in his 46-year career. Honored with the HBA President's Award was Rick Kligman, CEO of Superb Custom Homes in Plymouth and 2012 HBA president. During his tenure, Kligman was instru- Rich Kligman mental in the organiza- tion's new name (for- merly called the Building Industry Association), the SE Michigan Residential Building Activity Report, a July 2012 rally for homeownership in Detroit and a "Made in America/Built in Michigan" ini- tiative that put the emphasis on Michigan-made products used in home building to boost the local economy and generate jobs. Kligman said he expects to see a con- tinued rise in pricing. "Consumers realize that there is a lim- ited supply of homes and limited land availability — and we're beginning to see inflation in building materials:' he said. Kligman, whose children attend the Novi-Northville Jewish Learning Center, adds his company is back in acquisition mode and is putting up houses in Novi, Franklin, West Bloomfield and Northville. Howard Fingeroot, co-founder of Pinnacle Homes, was honored as Developer of the Year, along with co- founder Steve Friedman and president John DePorre. Pinnacle Homes was able to achieve remarkable success during the past slump, opening 10 new home communities since it opened its doors in 2005. Fingeroot said sales are strong throughout his communities, including Forest Estates, a gated community in Farmington Hills. "My goal is to close 150 homes and open five Howard new communities this Fingeroot year:' he said. "It's a wonderful market; pric- es are up so it's a good time to sell, and new homes are still affordable with inter- est rates at historic lows:' Speaking of new home starts in par- ticular, Fingeroot added, "We're still 30 percent off the 40-year average, which leaves a lot of room to grow. I think we're still three to five years away from hitting that 40-year average:' Farmington Hills-based Home Renewal Systems (HRS) was honored for Distinguished Service for Home Building. President Tracey Katzen and her father, Bernie Glieberman, accepted the award for work they've done stabilizing dis- tressed neighborhoods through HUD Neighborhood Stabilization Program grants. "A good portion of our business is urban because we believe in it:' Glieberman said. "Generation Y has been deprived of an urban lifestyle, and they want to live it. Currently, ‘ Bernie demand outstrips supply Glieberman in Downtown Detroit:' According to Katzen, today's urban buyers are interested in small apartments in walkable communi- ties. Her family, including children ages 12, 9 and 6, attends Temple Israel. HRS is working in Freemont, Mich., to turn the former high school into senior apartments. Additional develop- ment is planned for Detroit, Pontiac and Wyandotte. HBA also honored Michigan Gov. Rick Snyder with its Distinguished Service to Government Award for his efforts to turn around the state's economy. Snyder was on hand to receive the award. "Look where we've been:' Snyder told the crowd. "No one has suffered more over the last decade than builders. But we're on the comeback trail and let's look to brighter days ahead:' Crowe did paint a fairly positive picture of the housing market in the year ahead, unless the government takes actions to eliminate the mortgage interest tax deduc- tion or perhaps put a cap on the deduction for second homes — Michigan has the most second homes in the nation because of all its Up North cabins and cottages. If either of those things were to occur, it "would be like Armageddon:' Crowe said. But, all in all, his forecast was good. "Overall inflation is relatively low, despite rising prices for building materials:' Crowe said, adding that rents will continue to go up and mortgage rates will remain below 4.5 percent through next year. HBA CEO Stoskopf said, "With sales prices for existing homes steadily rising, combined with inventories that are at their lowest point in years, we are at a point where new home construction could final- ly be the comeback story of 2013:' ❑ February 28 • 2013 63