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May 31, 2012 - Image 63

Resource type:
Text
Publication:
The Detroit Jewish News, 2012-05-31

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WOrld

Nuclear from page 45

"There is hope to resolve the conflict peace-
fully, but only if the West stands united with
further sanctions and a credible military
theat on the table."

many people don't understand is
that now that Iran has 3.5 percent
enriched uranium, it's 70 percent on
its way to a nuclear weapon. With
20 percent enriched uranium, the
Iranians would be 90 percent there;
after which, it's one small step to a
nuclear weapon.
Already, Iran has enough 3.5
percent enriched uranium to poten-
tially develop and fuel five nuclear
weapons.
If this agreement were to be
made, I fear Iran could continue to
work on a secret nuclear program,
improving centrifuge technology,
working on nuclear triggers, mis-
siles and warheads — all of which
we know Iran has worked on in
the past — and then, at a point of
their choosing, break the treaty and
quickly produce a nuclear weapon.
Ideally, negotiations would put an
end to all of Iran's nuclear activities.

Is there any doubt left that
Iran's goal is to produce a nuclear
weapon?
DS: None. IAEA reports from
November 2011 verify that Iran has
worked on all the technology nec-
essary to build a nuclear weapon.
Although there is no evidence that
they are doing so now, it could be
that they have already mastered
that technology. Iran is a very oil-
and gas-rich country, which has
underdeveloped oil fields. It makes
no sense that they would divert
resources and incur international
sanctions to generate nuclear energy
while sitting on these oil and gas
deposits. Iran has not produced a
single kilowatt of nuclear energy. It's
ludicrous to believe that producing
energy is their goal.

Are sanctions having an effect
on the Iranian economy?
DS: While current sanctions
haven't slowed down Iran's nuclear
program, they did help return them
to the negotiating table. Sanctions
from the European Union sched-
uled to take effect July 1 would
ban Iranian oil purchases and ban
insuring all oil shipments from Iran.
These would have a much more
serious impact on its economy, but

they are not quite the "crippling
sanctions" Secretary of State Hillary
Clinton has spoken about.

Is there any likelihood of
Western allies and Iran reaching a
peaceful solution that would end
Iran's nuclear ambitions?
DS: Iran has spent the last 30
years investing resources in its
nuclear program while fighting
opposition from the international
community. It's hard to swallow that
they would give up now. Still, there
is hope to resolve the conflict peace-
fully, but only if the West stands
united with further sanctions and a
credible military threat on the table.
That credible threat is necessary for
negotiations to succeed. We simply
have to stick to our guns, be stead-
fast and show no signs of weak-
ness. The West must be unified in
its message. Mixed signals suggest
weakness or compromise. We must
negotiate with urgency.

Will Israel strike Iran on its
own, if need be?
DS: Israel has spoken about the
zone of immunity:' when it would
run out of options, presumably
when it wouldn't have the power to
destroy the nuclear installations,
such as the underground enrich-
ment facility at Fordow, which is
built into a mountain.
There is a very fine line between
too early and too late, and it's a
danger to miss an opportunity. How
much time? Think more in terms of
months, not years.
I believe Israel and the U.S. are
the closest of allies, and I would
assume close cooperation if there
were to be a military strike, but to
what extent, who knows? After all,
it is believed Iran would have the
capability to strike the United States
as well. I would hope there would be
cooperation. President Obama has
said his policy toward Iran is "not
one of containment" and "all options
are on the table" to prevent Iran
from acquiring a nuclear weapon.
But I would also hope that it never
gets to that point at all. 0

((

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May 31 . 2012

63

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