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Livni's failure to build coalition could
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A30
October 30 • 2008
Ai
ith Israel now headed for
new general elections
probably some time early
next year, supporters and opponents of
Tzipi Livni are putting a very different
gloss on her failure to form a govern-
ing coalition.
Opponents say Livni's inability
shows she is not yet seasoned enough
to lead. Supporters counter that the
reasons for her failure show precisely
why she is the best candidate.
Livni says that had she been willing
to give in to excessive political and
budgetary demands by prospective
coalition partners, she easily could
have formed a government. Instead
she took a stand.
The foreign minister, who won the
Kadima primary in September to
succeed party leader Ehud Olmert,
portrays herself as a tough-minded
patriot who sacrificed the premiership
to stave off demands that would have
hurt Israel's national interest.
Her opponents suggest a less
high-minded narrative: They say
Livni bungled coalition negotiations
because of a fundamental lack of
experience.
Livni's coalition effort was badly
hurt by the adept political maneuver-
ing of opposition leader Benjamin
Netanyahu, the head of the Likud
Party. Netanyahu was able to convince
three of Livni's prospective coalition
partners — the Sephardic Orthodox
Shas Party, United Torah Judaism and
the Pensioners' Party — that he prob-
ably would win in a general election
campaign and would be more ame-
nable to their political and budgetary
demands than Livni.
Netanyahu focused on Shas, the
largest of the three with 12 Knesset
seats. The former prime minister
spoke of renewing the "historic alli-
ance" between Likud and the right
Kadima party leader Tzipi Livni
faces a tough political fight.
wing Shas, declaring that if he won the
election Shas would be the first party
he would ask to join his coalition.
The Shas Effect
Shas probably would have been a
difficult nut for Livni to crack in any
situation.
Insiders say party leader Eli Yishai
made a strategic decision several
months ago to force early elections
and pre-empt a looming leadership
challenge from his charismatic prede-
cessor, Arye Deri.
Indeed, there were serious doubts
as to whether he had negotiated with
Livni in good faith. Yishai made two
key demands: an allocation of 1 billion
shekels — approximately $260 million
— for child allowances, and a promise
that Jerusalem would not be up for
negotiation with the Palestinians. On
Jerusalem, Yishai demanded that Livm
actually sign a letter vowing to exclude
the city from future peace talks.
Even if she had been ready to meet
the budgetary demands, the written
commitment on Jerusalem was out of
the question.
"No American president would
Rough on page A32