OTHER VIEWS How The West Could Lose Philadelphia A fter defeating fascists and communists, can the West now defeat the Islamists? On the face of it, its military pre- ponderance makes victory seem inevitable. Even if Tehran acquires a nuclear weapon, Islamists have nothing like the military machine the Axis deployed in World War II nor the Soviet Union during the cold war. What do the Islamists have to compare with the Wehrmacht or the Red Army? The SS or Spetznaz? The Gestapo or the KGB? Or, for that matter, to Auschwitz or the gulag? Yet more than a few ana- lysts, including me, worry that it's not so simple. Islamists (defined as persons who demand to live by the sacred law of Islam, the Sharia) might in fact do better than the earlier totalitarians. They could even win. That's because, however strong the Western hardware, its software contains some potentially fatal bugs. Three of them deserve attention. effective response with • Pacifism: Among appeasement, including a the educated, the readiness to give up tradi- tions and achievements. conviction has widely Self-hating Westerners taken hold that "there is no military have an outsized impor- solution" to current tance due to their promi- problems, a mantra nent role as shapers of applied to every opinion in universities, Daniel Pipes Middle East problem the news media, religious Special — Lebanon, Iraq, institutions and the arts. Commentary They serve as the Islamists' Iran, Afghanistan, the Kurds, terrorism and auxiliary mujahideen. the Arab-Israeli conflict. But this • Complacency. The absence pragmatic pacifism overlooks the of an impressive Islamist military fact that modern history abounds machine imbues many Westerners, with military solutions. What were especially on the left, with a feeling the defeats of the Axis, the United of disdain. Whereas conventional war — with its men in uniform, States in Vietnam or the Soviet Union in Afghanistan, if not mili- its ships, tanks, and planes, and its bloody battles for land and tary solutions? resources — is simple to compre- • Self-hatred: Significant ele- ments in several Western countries hend, the asymmetric war with — especially the United States, radical Islam is elusive. Box cutters and suicide belts make it difficult Great Britain and Israel — believe their own governments to be to perceive this enemy as a worthy repositories of evil and see terror- opponent. Islamists deploy formidable ism as just punishment for past capabilities, however, that go far sins. This "we have met the enemy and he is us" attitude replaces an beyond small-scale terrorism: •A potential access to weapons of mass destruction that could devastate Western life. •A religious appeal that provides deeper resonance and greater stay- ing power than the artificial ideolo- gies of fascism or communism. •An impressively conceptual- ized, funded and organized institu- tional machinery that successfully builds credibility, good will and electoral success. •An ideology capable of appeal- ing to Muslims of every size and shape, from Lumpenproletariat to privileged, from illiterates to Ph.D.s, from the well adjusted to psychopaths, from Yemenis to Canadians. The movement almost defies sociological definition. •A non-violent approach — what I call "lawful Islamism" — that pursues Islamification through educational, political and religious means, without recourse to illegality or terrorism. Lawful Islamism is proving successful in Muslim-majority countries like Algeria and Muslim-minority ones like the United Kingdom. •A huge number of commit- ted cadres. If Islamists constitute 10 percent to 15 percent of the Muslim population worldwide, they number some 125 to 200 mil- lion persons, or a far greater total than all the fascists and commu- nists, combined, who ever lived. Pacifism, self-hatred and com- placency are lengthening the war against radical Islam and caus- ing undue casualties. Only after absorbing catastrophic human and property losses will left-leaning Westerners likely overcome this triple affliction and confront the true scope of the threat. The civi- lized world will likely then prevail, but belatedly and at a higher cost than need have been. Should Islamists get smart and avoid mass destruction, but instead stick to the lawful, political, non- violent route, and should their movement remain vital, it is diffi- cult to see what will stop them. study showed 60 percent of inter- married families in that city are raising children Jewishly, and states that intermarriage "is con- tributing to a net increase in the number of Jews" in the Boston Jewish community. This position is made more powerful when combined with the 2005 San Francisco Jewish demographic study that also iden- tified higher-than-average rates of intermarried households raising children Jewishly. What do San Francisco and Boston have in common? A Jewish community that, for the most part, welcomes intermarried families to participate as they are. Also, both cities have a tightknit group of interfaith outreach special- ists. There is now talk that other Jewish federations should consider similar expenditures on interfaith outreach. A tipping-point moment on halachic issues came earlier this year, when Ismar Schorsch — outgoing chancellor of the Conservative Movement's Jewish Theological Seminary — pro- posed that the movement's Ramah camps allow children of Jewish fathers and non-Jewish mothers to attend their camps until age 13, when they would then be asked to convert. The fact that this had not previously been allowed is all about culture, not Halachah. Institutional admonishment against intermarriage doesn't stop intermarriage in America. It only serves to push away the intermar- ried. Our sole mission should focus on helping all existing Jewish households engage more deeply in Jewish activities. We know the outreach corps in Boston will keep working to draw in even more interfaith families. We will be a better people for try- ing rather than telling ourselves that those on the periphery of our community are not worth our time or money and should therefore be let go. Daniel Pipes (www.DanielPipes.org) is director of the Middle East Forum. Intermarriage Battle Over New York/JTA F ew Jewish communal leaders have openly declared that the battle against Jewish intermarriage is over and we should instead focus solely on outreach. But the battle is over and has been for a generation. What's more, Jewish outreach works; and it works best when not hampered by mixed messages that tell intermarried families we want them, but they're still second-class citizens. That's the message we still hear from segments of the community, even as many other institutions move toward a more welcoming approach to intermar- ried families. Recent events sug- gest we may finally be able to put the debate behind us. Anyone who has read Malcolm Gladwell's groundbreaking book The Tipping Point forever there- after seeks out the little things that portend big changes at exponential speeds. We've long since reached the demographic tipping point on Jewish intermarriage; but most of our institutions have yet to change direction in terms of their program- ming, posturing and professional training. After maintaining single-digit intermar- riage rates for the first 60 years of the last century, we saw a rapid rise in intermarriage. A 13 percent intermarriage rate for those married before 1970 leapt to 47 percent in 25 years. By 2001, there were about as many intermarried households in America as inmarried households, according to the National Jewish Population Study. More impor- tantly, those intermarried house- holds are younger and produce more children. Forty-five percent of college students who identified themselves as Jewish came from households with one Jewish-born parent. Yet there is still an effort in the organized Jewish community to discredit those Jews. So they hire researchers, who find that intermarried Jews are less Jewishly edu- cated, less Jewishly involved, even though the same could be said for many other Jewish sub-groups. The resulting policy recommenda- tions are always the same: Don't spend money on the inter- married. We have a demographic and a moral imperative to reach out to intermarried families and welcome them into the Jewish community. Intermarriage is not the end of Jewish continuity; not rais- ing Jewish children is the end of Jewish continuity. Recognizing this will lead the organized community to welcome all who would cast their lot with the Jewish people. And when our population begins to grow, we will likely look back upon the recent release of the 2005 Boston Jewish Community Survey as a tipping point. That Paul Golin is associate executive director of the Jewish Outreach Institute. January 4 2007 29