Dangerous Democracy Left to right: Hamas win poses dilemma for policy makers. • A Hamas activist holds an election flier with a photo of Hamas founder Sheik Ahmed Leslie Susser Jewish Telegraphic Agency Jerusalem amas' sweeping election victory is forcing all key players to reassess their positions on the Israeli- Palestinian conflict and has cre- ated a widespread sense of uncertainty about the future. Israelis, Palestinians and out- side observers are raising a host of fundamental questions. The big question is whether Hamas in power will moderate its radical positions or put Palestinian soci- ety on a collision course with H Israel and the western world. There will be enormous pressure on Hamas to adopt a more prag- matic line. The European Union, which provides up to 90 percent of international aid to the Palestinians, is threatening to suspend its economic support unless Hamas recognizes Israel's right to exist and renounces vio- lence, and the United States appears poised to do the same. In the short term, cutting off these funds could leave a Hamas government unable to pay the salaries of 155,000 Palestinian civil servants, including the 30,000-strong Palestinian Authority security forces. In the longer term, ambitious plans to jump-start the stalled Palestinian economy may have to be shelved, perpetuating poverty and unem- ployment. A militant Hamas also will face international isolation, giving Israel the moral and diplomatic high ground for tough responses to Palestinian terror. On the diplomatic front, Israel won't talk to Hamas in its present form; as to the economy, the Palestinians are dependent on Israel for electricity, the transfer of tax revenue, goods, services, What Is Hamas? JTA Staff Jerusalem amas, which will form the next H Palestinian Authority government that ostensibly is to negotiate peace with Israel, has a long history of violence against the Jewish state. Its ideology is based on the destruc - tion of Israel through jihad, Muslim "holy war." The group's 1988 charter states.that "Israel will exist and will con- tinue to exist until Islam will obliterate it, just as it obliterated others before it." It adds that the territory of Israel is "Islamic Wakf" – part of the Muslim reli- gious trust, which can not be given to non-Muslims – and that "the law gov- erning the land of Palestine is Sharia," or Muslim law. The group presents itself as having separate social and military branches, a formula that seeks to insulate the group from charges that it is a terrorist organization. However, few serious observers believe the branches are truly separate. Hamas has its origins in the Muslim Brotherhood, a fundamentalist Muslim group founded in Egypt in the first half of the 20th century. The brotherhood inspired Hamas founder Sheik Ahmed Yassin's notion that Israel is Islamic land. Violent Roots Yassin founded the Islamic Center in the Gaza Strip in the 1970s, turning it into a major religious organization and laying the groundwork for a network of social and welfare institutions that work places and border cross- ings; and, if terrorism escalates, Hamas leaders could become tar- gets. Therefore, while it won an out- right majority of 74 of the 132 seats in the Palestinian Legislative Council, Hamas wants the defeated Fatah movement to stay on in government to give it a semblance of respectability. Still, Hamas for now probably will refuse to moderate its ideology, which calls for Israel's destruc- tion. There are strong pressures on Hamas to maintain its radical line. Iran, for example, could increased the movement's popularity. He continued to absorb the violent and nationalist ideas of the Muslim Brotherhood, and gradually shifted the group's focus from welfare to violence. That paved the way for the founding of Hamas – "zeal" in Arabic, and an acronym for the Islamic Resistance Movement – after the first intifada began in 1987. As early as the first intifada, Hamas also targeted suspected Palestinian col- laborators and rivals in the Fatah move- ment. Hamas began using suicide bombers in 1994 and has carried out at least 60 such attacks; many more have been stopped by Israeli security forces. The group began launching rockets at Israeli targets in 2001, using crude Kassam rockets from Gaza to hit Israeli towns in the Negev, notably Sderot. The group's attacks have killed hun - dreds of Israeli civilians in the past five Yassin. • Palestinian children stand at a polling station in Hawara, south of Nablus. • A Palestinian, his finger stained with voting ink, flashes the victory sign after voting Jan. 25. make up for some funds the European Union withholds — on condition that Hamas remain militant. Fidelity to its ideology, and goading by other militant groups, also could shunt Hamas away from moderation. Dangerous on page 34 years alone, prompting Israeli legal and military responses. The United States and European Union consider Hamas a terrorist organization. An Israeli court sentenced Yassin in 1984 to 13 years in jail, but he was released a year later in a prisoner exchange. He was imprisoned again in the 1990s, but was released in 1997 in another prisoner exchange. During the second intifada, the Israel Defense Forces began targeting Hamas leaders for assassination. Yassin was killed in March 2004 by Israeli helicop - ters. Abdel Aziz Rantissi, who was appointed Hamas head in Yassin's place, was assassinated a month later. Some of Hamas' fund-raising and propaganda activity takes place in Western Europe and North America. In 2004, the United States convicted the Texas Holy Land Foundation on charges that included money laundering for Hamas. ❑ February 2 2006 33